Nebraska at Minnesota - 2021 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -4.5 (48.5)
Minnesota 30 - Nebraska: 23 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (14 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (20 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN coming off BYE
NEB is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ MINN -4)
Projected Score: NEB: 21 - MINN: 27 (48)
NEB Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
NEB Travel: 337 miles

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Nebraska at Illinois	-6.5	52.0	L 22 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/4	Nebraska vs Fordham	-42.0	55.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Nebraska vs Buffalo	-13.5	54.0	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Nebraska at Oklahoma	+22.5	62.5	L 16 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Nebraska at Michigan State	+3.5	55.0	L 20 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-11.0	51.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Nebraska vs Michigan	+2.5	50.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/16	Nebraska at Minnesota	-4.5	48.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Nebraska vs Purdue	-7.5	54.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/6	Nebraska vs Ohio State	+14.0	68.5	L 17 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Nebraska vs SE Louisiana	-28.5
Sat 11/20	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+10.0	43.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Nebraska vs Iowa	-1.5	41.0	L 21 - 28	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Minnesota vs Ohio State	+14.0	62.0	L 31 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-18.5	55.0	W 31 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/18	Minnesota at Colorado	+2.5	49.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-30.5	52.5	L 10 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/2	Minnesota at Purdue	+2.0	46.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+4.5	48.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Minnesota vs Maryland	-4.0	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Minnesota at Northwestern	-7.5	43.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Minnesota vs Illinois	-14.5	44.5	L 6 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Minnesota at Iowa	+4.0	37.5	L 22 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/20	Minnesota at Indiana	-7.5	43.0	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+7.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	.18	47%	28.7	50%	3.01	201	44%	188	3.3	.19	42%	24.6	41%	43%	3.75	60.6	2.3	0.9
MINN	.24	45%	23	44%	2.97	193	47%	199	3.91	.34	51%	22.9	52%	50%	3.62	41.1	1	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	8	28.7	19.5	47.3%	3.3	2.3	21	389	201	188	4.8	58%	42%	50%	44%	18%	.18
MINN Defense	7	22.9	13	50.8%	3.62	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	50%	12%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	8	24.6	28.3	42.2%	3.75	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	41%	43%	17%	.19
MINN Offense	7	23	30.1	45.2%	3.91	1	22	392	193	199	4.5	61%	39%	44%	47%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	8	28:25	21.3	36%	62%	6.8	60.6	2.3	0.9	6.6	1.6	0	24.7
Minnesota	7	33:57	21.6	48%	54%	4.6	41.1	1	0.9	2.1	1.1	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	8	58%	50%	41.8	201.4	4.8	15	.2	3.01	82%	13%	0.9
MINN Defense	7	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.25	83%	7%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	8	55%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.73	58%	12%	1.05
MINN Offense	7	61%	44%	42.6	192.9	4.5	19	.17	2.97	68%	9%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	8	42%	44%	19.4	28.5	188	6.6	9.7	5	9	.16	1.3	27%	25%	.24	5%	2
MINN Defense	7	47%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.34	1.3	26%	30%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	8	45%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.27	1.5	30%	34%	.35	5%	2
MINN Offense	7	39%	47%	15.3	26.3	199.1	7.6	13	7	5	.35	1.6	26%	44%	.56	6%	2

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nebraska's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #33
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: Minnesota: 9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 10.3 Minnesota: 14.4

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.7 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Nebraska's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 27
Nebraska 21

Projected Total Points: 48

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/17	Minnesota	24	Nebraska	6	Nebraska -7	Minnesota	47.5	Under
2023	08/31	Minnesota	13	Nebraska	10	Minnesota -7.5	Nebraska	43.0	Under
2022	11/05	Nebraska	13	Minnesota	20	Minnesota -14.5	Nebraska	44.5	Under
2021	10/16	Minnesota	30	Nebraska	23	Nebraska -4.5	Minnesota	48.5	Over
2020	12/12	Nebraska	17	Minnesota	24	Nebraska -8.5	Minnesota	61.5	Under
2019	10/12	Minnesota	34	Nebraska	7	Minnesota -7	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2018	10/20	Nebraska	53	Minnesota	28	Nebraska -4.5	Nebraska	54.5	Over
2017	11/11	Minnesota	54	Nebraska	21	Minnesota -1.5	Minnesota	47.5	Over
2016	11/12	Nebraska	24	Minnesota	17	Nebraska -8	Minnesota	48.5	Under
2015	10/17	Minnesota	25	Nebraska	48	Nebraska -1.5	Nebraska	47.0	Over
2014	11/22	Nebraska	24	Minnesota	28	Nebraska -10	Minnesota	0
2013	10/26	Minnesota	34	Nebraska	23	Nebraska -8.5	Minnesota	0
2012	11/17	Nebraska	38	Minnesota	14
2011	10/22	Minnesota	14	Nebraska	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	9	8	4 Overs
Nebraska	5	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	7 - 5	3 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 9	5 - 7	1 - 4	4 - 3

(#) NEB at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#93	#6
OffenseOff	#78	#7
DefenseDef	#83	#30
Spec TeamsST	#63	#34
TalentTal	#25	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Nebraska Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#88	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#132	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#82	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#80

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#68
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Nebraska 4.5 (48.5)
Minnesota won vs Nebraska this year (30-23)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Nebraska last year (24-6)
Minnesota beat Nebraska in 2023 (13-10)

NEB's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD