Tennessee at Purdue - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo   Tennessee Volunteers vs Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Thursday, December 30th 2021 (3:00 PM EST)
Tennessee -8 (67.0) (220)  Open: -3.0 | 58.5
Purdue 48 - Tennessee: 45  (TransPerfect Music City Bowl)

 
Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ TENN -7)
Projected Score: TENN: 35 - PUR: 25 (60)
TENN Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TENN Travel: 160 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-37.060.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/11 Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+3.556.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/18 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-38.053.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Tennessee at Florida+19.065.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/2 Tennessee at Missouri+2.566.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 10/9 Tennessee vs South Carolina-10.557.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Tennessee vs Ole Miss+1.082.0L 26 - 31UN
Sat 10/23 Tennessee at Alabama+24.568.0L 24 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Tennessee at Kentucky-1.057.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+19.056.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Tennessee vs South Alabama-28.561.5W 60 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-33.065.0W 45 - 21ON
Thu 12/30 Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.1443%39.844%3.1314243%2053.02.248%28.846%51%3.8350.21.51
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1039.83743.2%3.021.5203461422053.852%48%44%43%16%.14
PUR Defense631.83043.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1028.82948.3%3.831 - - - - - 52%48%46%51%15%.2
PUR Offense618.820.943.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1027:5620.130%67%6.150.21.515.52227.3
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1052%44%37.5141.53.812.133.1374%10%0.85
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1052%46% - - - - .072.6178%10%0.77
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1048%43%17.928.5204.77.211.4149.161.629%28%.186%1.8
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1048%51% - - - - - - 5.351.428%35%.255%1.6
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Purdue: 5.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 17.5   Purdue: 10.3




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 5.15 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 35
Purdue 25

Projected Total Points: 60
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202112/30Purdue48Tennessee45Tennessee -8Purdue67.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue111 Overs
Tennessee000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Tennessee Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021City Bowl Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48
2019Gator Bowl Tennessee vs Indiana-4.056.0W 23 - 22
2016N/A Tennessee vs Nebraska-3.059.0W 38 - 24
2015Outback Bowl Tennessee vs Northwestern-9.0W 45 - 6
Purdue Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021City Bowl Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45
2018City Bowl Purdue vs Auburn+3.558.5L 14 - 63
2017Farms Bowl Purdue vs Arizona+3.064.5W 38 - 35
  
(#) TENN at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #35
Perf GradeGrade #78 #76
OffenseOff #81 #33
DefenseDef #68 #113
Spec TeamsST #110 #72
TalentTal #19 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #11 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #60 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #115 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #117 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #15 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nissan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Tennessee 8.0 (67.0)
Purdue won vs Tennessee this year (48-45)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD