Miami (OH) at Minnesota - 2021 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -18.5 (55.0)
Minnesota 31 - Miami (OH): 26

 
RedHawks (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (33 - 48)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.4 MPH
M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9  (SP+ MINN -13)

Projected Score: M-OH: 25 - MINN: 27 (52)
MINN Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
M-OH Travel: 575 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (24 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+22.549.0L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Miami (OH) at Minnesota+18.555.0L 26 - 31OY
Sat 9/18 Miami (OH) vs Long Island University-39.555.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/25 Miami (OH) at Army+7.549.0L 10 - 23UN
Sat 10/2 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan+2.556.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-2.558.0L 12 - 13UN
Sat 10/16 Miami (OH) vs Akron-20.051.0W 34 - 21ON
Sat 10/23 Miami (OH) at Ball State+3.553.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Miami (OH) at Ohio-7.054.5L 33 - 35ON
Tue 11/9 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.058.0W 45 - 18OY
Tue 11/16 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-17.052.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Miami (OH) at Kent State-1.068.0L 47 - 48ON
Thu 12/23 Miami (OH) vs North Texas-2.056.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Minnesota vs Ohio State+14.062.0L 31 - 45OY
Sat 9/11 Minnesota vs Miami (OH)-18.555.0W 31 - 26ON
Sat 9/18 Minnesota at Colorado+2.549.0W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-30.552.5L 10 - 14UN
Sat 10/2 Minnesota at Purdue+2.046.0W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Minnesota vs Nebraska+4.548.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 10/23 Minnesota vs Maryland-4.053.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Minnesota at Northwestern-7.543.5W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/6 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.544.5L 6 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Minnesota at Iowa+4.037.5L 22 - 27ON
Sat 11/20 Minnesota at Indiana-7.543.0W 35 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+7.039.0W 23 - 13UY
Tue 12/28 Minnesota vs West Virginia-5.044.5W 18 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.2742%28.941%3.0814843%2793.83.2242%23.141%43%3.7560.80.91.3
MINN.1842%25.543%3.1319841%1623.73.137%17.338%37%3.7545.311.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1328.923.741.8%3.830.9214261482794.346%54%41%43%17%.27
MINN Defense1317.321.637.4%3.751.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%37%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1323.130.941.9%3.751.3 - - - - - 52%47%41%43%23%.22
MINN Offense1325.523.642%3.731203601981624.368%32%43%41%14%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1329:4521.540%43%6.760.80.91.37.82.9127.6
Minnesota1335:2619.944%60%4.545.311.44.51.9032
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1346%41%34.8147.64.315.143.0880%9%0.99
MINN Defense1347%38% - - - - .052.7874%10%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1352%41% - - - - .23.1182%16%1.11
MINN Offense1368%43%46.3198.14.327.123.1381%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1354%43%1932.8278.58.514.7328.371.735%35%.417%2
MINN Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 8.151.435%21%.127%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 9.271.633%27%.287%2.4
MINN Offense1332%41%11.719.71628.213.9129.311.829%30%.345%2

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #73
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH):    Minnesota: 9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.5   Minnesota: 14.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.7 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4  #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 27
Miami (OH) 25


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Minnesota 29
Miami (OH) 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 26
Miami (OH) 23

Total Points: 49
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.6
Defense: 17.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/11Minnesota31Miami (OH)26Minnesota -18.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201809/15Minnesota26Miami (OH)3Minnesota -14Minnesota46.5Under
201109/17Minnesota29Miami (OH)23
200709/08Minnesota41Miami (OH)35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota411 Overs
Miami (OH)011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) M-OH at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #18
Perf GradeGrade #58 #6
OffenseOff #55 #7
DefenseDef #50 #30
Spec TeamsST #130 #34
TalentTal #111 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCat
M-OH OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #55 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #92 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #88
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #29 #20
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #71
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #7 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #82 #22
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #44 #110
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #28 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Minnesota -18.5 (55.0)
Minnesota won vs Miami (OH) this year (31-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD