Ohio State at Minnesota - 2021 Matchup Preview

Ohio State Buckeyes at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Thursday, September 2nd 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -14 (62.0)
Ohio State 45 - Minnesota: 31 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (25 - 3)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -5 (SP+ OSU -15)
Projected Score: OSU: 25 - MINN: 18 (43)
OSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
OSU Travel: 623 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Ohio State at Minnesota	-14.0	62.0	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/11	Ohio State vs Oregon	-14.5	65.0	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Ohio State vs Tulsa	-24.5	60.5	W 41 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ohio State vs Akron	-48.5	66.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Ohio State at Rutgers	-15.0	58.0	W 52 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Ohio State vs Maryland	-22.0	71.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Ohio State at Indiana	-21.0	59.0	W 54 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Ohio State vs Penn State	-18.5	60.5	W 33 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ohio State at Nebraska	-14.0	68.5	W 26 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Ohio State vs Purdue	-19.0	65.5	W 59 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-19.5	70.5	W 56 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Ohio State at Michigan	-6.5	63.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Ohio State vs Utah	-4.5	64.5	W 48 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Minnesota vs Ohio State	+14.0	62.0	L 31 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-18.5	55.0	W 31 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/18	Minnesota at Colorado	+2.5	49.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-30.5	52.5	L 10 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/2	Minnesota at Purdue	+2.0	46.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+4.5	48.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Minnesota vs Maryland	-4.0	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Minnesota at Northwestern	-7.5	43.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Minnesota vs Illinois	-14.5	44.5	L 6 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Minnesota at Iowa	+4.0	37.5	L 22 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/20	Minnesota at Indiana	-7.5	43.0	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+7.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	.38	53%	33.4	51%	3.5	256	55%	263	4.2	.17	45%	9.3	39%	48%	3.73	54.6	1.1	2.3
MINN	.24	45%	23	44%	2.97	193	47%	199	3.91	.34	51%	22.9	52%	50%	3.62	41.1	1	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	8	33.4	30.6	52.6%	4.2	1.1	25	519	256	263	6	57%	43%	51%	55%	16%	.38
MINN Defense	7	22.9	13	50.8%	3.62	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	50%	12%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	8	9.3	8.2	44.7%	3.73	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	39%	48%	18%	.17
MINN Offense	7	23	30.1	45.2%	3.91	1	22	392	193	199	4.5	61%	39%	44%	47%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	8	32:10	25	49%	56%	6.1	54.6	1.1	2.3	5.8	2.6	2	28.8
Minnesota	7	33:57	21.6	48%	54%	4.6	41.1	1	0.9	2.1	1.1	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	8	57%	51%	43	256.3	6	19	.33	3.5	75%	11%	1.09
MINN Defense	7	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.25	83%	7%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	8	39%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.11	2.25	64%	11%	0.67
MINN Offense	7	61%	44%	42.6	192.9	4.5	19	.17	2.97	68%	9%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	8	43%	55%	19.8	28.1	262.5	9.3	13.3	22	6	.45	1.6	27%	40%	.6	5%	2.1
MINN Defense	7	47%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.34	1.3	26%	30%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	8	61%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.35	1.5	32%	33%	.27	7%	1.9
MINN Offense	7	39%	47%	15.3	26.3	199.1	7.6	13	7	5	.35	1.6	26%	44%	.56	6%	2

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.3 #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.2 #1
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: Minnesota: 9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 29.3 Minnesota: 14.4

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.7 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 25
Minnesota 18

Projected Total Points: 43

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Ohio State	42	Minnesota	3	Ohio State -23.5	Ohio State	42.5	Over
2023	11/18	Ohio State	37	Minnesota	3	Ohio State -27.5	Ohio State	51.5	Under
2021	09/02	Minnesota	31	Ohio State	45	Ohio State -14	NA	62.0	Over
2018	10/13	Ohio State	30	Minnesota	14	Ohio State -29.5	Minnesota	60.5	Under
2015	11/07	Ohio State	28	Minnesota	14	Ohio State -23	Minnesota	53.0	Under
2014	11/15	Minnesota	24	Ohio State	31	Ohio State -14.5	Minnesota	0
2010	10/30	Minnesota	10	Ohio State	52
2009	10/24	Ohio State	38	Minnesota	7
2008	09/27	Ohio State	34	Minnesota	21
2007	09/29	Minnesota	7	Ohio State	30
2006	10/28	Ohio State	44	Minnesota	0
2005	10/29	Minnesota	31	Ohio State	45
2002	11/02	Ohio State	34	Minnesota	3
2001	11/03	Minnesota	28	Ohio State	31
2000	10/13	Ohio State	17	Minnesota	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	1	3	2 Overs
Ohio State	14	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	3 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 8	2 - 3	0 - 1	2 - 2

(#) OSU at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#2	#6
OffenseOff	#1	#7
DefenseDef	#57	#30
Spec TeamsST	#21	#34
TalentTal	#3	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ohio State Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#1	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#13	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#5	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#29	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	OSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#82	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#85

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#24
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Ohio State 14.0 (62.0)
Ohio State won at Minnesota this year (45-31)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Minnesota last year (42-3)
Ohio State beat Minnesota in 2023 (37-3)

OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Kerry Coombs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD