Wisconsin at Purdue - 2021 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo   Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (3:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -3.5 (41.0)
Wisconsin 30 - Purdue: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (57 - 20)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ WIS -10)
Projected Score: WIS: 21 - PUR: 22 (43)
WIS Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 223 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Wisconsin vs Penn State-5.548.5L 10 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan-26.052.0W 34 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Wisconsin vs Notre Dame-6.043.5L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/2 Wisconsin vs Michigan-2.043.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 10/9 Wisconsin at Illinois-12.542.0W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/16 Wisconsin vs Army-14.037.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 10/23 Wisconsin at Purdue-3.541.0W 30 - 13OY
Sat 10/30 Wisconsin vs Iowa-3.035.5W 27 - 7UY
Sat 11/6 Wisconsin at Rutgers-13.037.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 11/13 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-26.041.5W 35 - 7OY
Sat 11/20 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-10.043.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/27 Wisconsin at Minnesota-7.039.0L 13 - 23UN
Thu 12/30 Wisconsin vs Arizona State-8.542.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS.0742%12.845%2.7816539%1813.47.0235%21.632%37%2.442.31.71.7
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense712.8942.3%3.471.7203461651813.954%46%45%39%16%.07
PUR Defense631.83043.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense721.626.235%2.41.7 - - - - - 46%54%32%37%18%.02
PUR Offense618.820.943.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin736:2019.638%42%5.142.31.71.75.11.6030.9
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense754%45%41.9164.63.913.062.7882%11%0.88
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense746%32% - - - - -.22.0963%11%0.67
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense746%39%17.728.91816.310.2107.091.530%30%.166%1.8
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense754%37% - - - - - - 8.21.739%23%.18%2.1
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1  #7
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin:    Purdue: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 20.1   Purdue: 10.3




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Purdue 22
Wisconsin 21

Projected Total Points: 43
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Wisconsin52Purdue6Wisconsin -12Wisconsin44.5Over
202309/22Purdue17Wisconsin38Wisconsin -5.5Wisconsin54.0Over
202210/22Wisconsin35Purdue24Wisconsin -1.5Wisconsin51.5Over
202110/23Purdue13Wisconsin30Wisconsin -3.5Wisconsin41.0Over
201911/23Wisconsin45Purdue24Wisconsin -24.5Purdue49.0Over
201811/17Purdue44Wisconsin47Purdue -3.5Wisconsin56.0Over
201710/14Wisconsin17Purdue9Wisconsin -17Purdue49.5Under
201611/19Purdue20Wisconsin49Wisconsin -26.5Wisconsin48.5Over
201510/17Wisconsin24Purdue7Wisconsin -20.5Purdue51.5Under
201411/08Purdue16Wisconsin34Wisconsin -15.5Wisconsin0
201309/21Wisconsin41Purdue10Wisconsin -23Wisconsin0
201210/13Purdue14Wisconsin38
201111/05Wisconsin62Purdue17
201011/06Purdue13Wisconsin34
200910/31Wisconsin37Purdue0
200610/21Purdue3Wisconsin24
200510/22Wisconsin31Purdue20
200410/16Purdue17Wisconsin20
200310/18Wisconsin23Purdue26
200010/20Wisconsin24Purdue30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue237 Overs
Wisconsin1882 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 113 - 83 - 40 - 4
Road Teams11 - 98 - 34 - 04 - 3

(#) WIS at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWISPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #35
Perf GradeGrade #3 #76
OffenseOff #19 #33
DefenseDef #3 #113
Spec TeamsST #49 #72
TalentTal #21 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCat
WIS OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #75 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #100 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #103 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffWIS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #2
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #117 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #15 #42
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Wisconsin 3.5 (41.0)
Wisconsin won at Purdue this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2024 (52-6)
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2023 (38-17)

  
WIS's OC Joe Rudolph (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD