Minnesota at Iowa - 2021 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Iowa -4 (37.5)
Iowa 27 - Minnesota: 22 (Big Ten)

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ MINN -3)
Projected Score: MINN: 16 - IOWA: 30 (46)
IOWA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 244 miles

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Minnesota vs Ohio State	+14.0	62.0	L 31 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-18.5	55.0	W 31 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/18	Minnesota at Colorado	+2.5	49.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-30.5	52.5	L 10 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/2	Minnesota at Purdue	+2.0	46.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+4.5	48.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Minnesota vs Maryland	-4.0	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Minnesota at Northwestern	-7.5	43.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Minnesota vs Illinois	-14.5	44.5	L 6 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Minnesota at Iowa	+4.0	37.5	L 22 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/20	Minnesota at Indiana	-7.5	43.0	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+7.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Iowa's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa vs Indiana	-3.5	45.5	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Iowa at Iowa State	+4.0	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Iowa vs Kent State	-22.0	55.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa vs Colorado State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/1	Iowa at Maryland	-3.0	47.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Iowa vs Penn State	-2.5	41.0	W 23 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Iowa vs Purdue	-11.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Iowa at Wisconsin	+3.0	35.5	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa at Northwestern	-11.5	40.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/13	Iowa vs Minnesota	-4.0	37.5	W 27 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Iowa vs Illinois	-12.0	37.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa at Nebraska	+1.5	41.0	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Iowa vs Michigan	+12.0	43.5	L 3 - 42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.24	45%	23	44%	2.97	193	47%	199	3.91	.34	51%	22.9	52%	50%	3.62	41.1	1	0.9
IOWA	.16	45%	29.3	48%	2.83	171	43%	198	3.95	.02	38%	16.1	39%	38%	3.17	39.6	1.1	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	7	23	8.3	45.2%	3.91	1	22	392	193	199	4.5	61%	39%	44%	47%	16%	.24
IOWA Defense	8	16.1	13.7	38.3%	3.17	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	7	22.9	38	50.8%	3.62	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	50%	12%	.34
IOWA Offense	8	29.3	28.3	45.4%	3.95	1.1	20	369	171	198	4.6	52%	48%	48%	43%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	7	33:57	21.6	48%	54%	4.6	41.1	1	0.9	2.1	1.1	0	26.4
Iowa	8	29:15	19.9	34%	67%	4.8	39.6	1.1	2.3	6.4	2.8	3	32.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	7	61%	44%	42.6	192.9	4.5	19	.17	2.97	68%	9%	1.06
IOWA Defense	8	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	59%	11%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	7	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.25	83%	7%	1.09
IOWA Offense	8	52%	48%	37	171.1	4.6	18	.14	2.83	84%	9%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	7	39%	47%	15.3	26.3	199.1	7.6	13	7	5	.35	1.6	26%	44%	.56	6%	2
IOWA Defense	8	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.08	1.5	31%	30%	.15	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	7	47%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.34	1.3	26%	30%	.27	5%	1.9
IOWA Offense	8	48%	43%	17.6	31	197.6	6.4	11.2	9	5	.19	1.2	31%	27%	.22	4%	1.8

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: Iowa: 8.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 14.4 Iowa: 11.4

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 8.2 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 30
Minnesota 16

Projected Total Points: 46

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Iowa	41	Minnesota	3	Iowa -7.5	Iowa	39.5	Over
2024	09/21	Minnesota	14	Iowa	31	Iowa -3	Iowa	34.5	Over
2023	10/21	Iowa	10	Minnesota	12	Iowa -3.0	Minnesota	30.5	Under
2022	11/19	Minnesota	10	Iowa	13	Minnesota -2	Iowa	31.5	Under
2021	11/13	Iowa	27	Minnesota	22	Iowa -4	Iowa	37.5	Over
2020	11/13	Minnesota	7	Iowa	35	Iowa -3	Iowa	58.0	Under
2019	11/16	Iowa	23	Minnesota	19	Iowa -3	Iowa	44.5	Under
2018	10/06	Minnesota	31	Iowa	48	Iowa -7	Iowa	41.5	Over
2017	10/28	Iowa	17	Minnesota	10	Iowa -7	Push	43.0	Under
2016	10/08	Minnesota	7	Iowa	14	Iowa -1.5	Iowa	50.0	Under
2015	11/14	Iowa	40	Minnesota	35	Iowa -11	Minnesota	47.0	Over
2014	11/08	Minnesota	51	Iowa	14	Minnesota -1	Minnesota	0
2013	09/28	Minnesota	7	Iowa	23	Minnesota -3.5	Iowa	0
2012	09/29	Iowa	31	Minnesota	13
2011	10/29	Minnesota	22	Iowa	21
2010	11/27	Minnesota	27	Iowa	24
2009	11/21	Iowa	12	Minnesota	0
2008	11/22	Minnesota	0	Iowa	55
2007	11/10	Iowa	21	Minnesota	16
2006	11/18	Minnesota	34	Iowa	24
2005	11/19	Iowa	52	Minnesota	28
2004	11/13	Minnesota	27	Iowa	29
2003	11/15	Iowa	40	Minnesota	22
2002	11/16	Minnesota	21	Iowa	45
2001	11/17	Iowa	42	Minnesota	24
2000	11/17	Minnesota	27	Iowa	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	20	9	5 Overs
Minnesota	6	3	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	4 - 8	4 - 4	0 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 16	8 - 4	4 - 0	4 - 4

(#) MINN at (#) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	IOWA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#27
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#26
OffenseOff	#7	#59
DefenseDef	#30	#13
Spec TeamsST	#34	#20
TalentTal	#43	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Minnesota Injury Report

Iowa Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	IOWA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#82	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#28	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MINN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#113	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#106	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Iowa -4.0 (37.5)
Iowa won vs Minnesota this year (27-22)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Minnesota last year (41-3)
Iowa beat Minnesota in 2024 (31-14)
Minnesota beat Iowa in 2023 (12-10)

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD