Purdue at Notre Dame - 2021 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (2:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -7.5 (58.0)
Notre Dame 27 - Purdue: 13

 
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 2nd straight Road Game
ND 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ ND -7)
Projected Score: PUR: 17 - ND: 38 (55)
ND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 94 miles
Fighting Irish (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (84 - 38)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/5 Notre Dame at Florida State-7.053.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 Notre Dame vs Toledo-16.555.0W 32 - 29ON
Sat 9/18 Notre Dame vs Purdue-7.558.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/25 Notre Dame vs Wisconsin+6.043.5W 41 - 13OY
Sat 10/2 Notre Dame vs Cincinnati+2.550.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Notre Dame at Virginia Tech+1.046.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Notre Dame vs USC-8.059.5W 31 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Notre Dame vs North Carolina-3.563.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 11/6 Notre Dame vs Navy-21.047.5W 34 - 6UY
Sat 11/13 Notre Dame at Virginia-7.562.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-18.057.5W 55 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Notre Dame at Stanford-20.553.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 1/1 Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State+1.545.5L 35 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
ND.2547%4248%3.2621147%2373.84.1339%17.639%40%2.83380.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense618.815.843.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19
ND Defense1217.61839.4%2.831.4 - - - - - 44%55%39%40%22%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense631.834.443.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
ND Offense124244.747.2%3.840.924449211237556%44%48%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Notre Dame1233:4924.249%65%4.4380.91.47.32.4229
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69
ND Defense1244%39% - - - - .042.4371%14%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
ND Offense1256%48%42.2211.4533.163.2688%10%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2
ND Defense1255%40% - - - - - - 7.221.637%30%.348%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
ND Offense1244%47%19.330.2237.47.912.3153.371.629%36%.423%1.9

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Notre Dame: 11.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 10.3   Notre Dame: 17.4




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 11.2 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2021 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #20
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #15

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 38
Purdue 17

Projected Total Points: 55
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Notre Dame56Purdue30Notre Dame -24.5Notre Dame51.5Over
202409/14Purdue7Notre Dame66Notre Dame -11.5Notre Dame45.5Over
202109/18Notre Dame27Purdue13Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame58.0Under
201409/13Notre Dame30Purdue14Notre Dame -29.5Purdue0
201309/14Purdue24Notre Dame31Notre Dame -21.5Purdue0
201209/08Notre Dame20Purdue17
201110/01Purdue10Notre Dame38
201009/04Notre Dame23Purdue12
200909/26Purdue21Notre Dame24
200809/27Notre Dame38Purdue21
200709/29Purdue33Notre Dame19
200609/30Notre Dame35Purdue21
200510/01Purdue28Notre Dame49
200410/02Notre Dame16Purdue41
200309/27Purdue23Notre Dame10
200209/07Notre Dame24Purdue17
200112/01Purdue18Notre Dame24
200009/15Notre Dame23Purdue21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame1532 Overs
Purdue321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 73 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams7 - 112 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #11
Perf GradeGrade #76 #12
OffenseOff #33 #24
DefenseDef #113 #13
Spec TeamsST #72 #14
TalentTal #46 #12
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffND Def
Run GameRun #117 #25
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffND Def
Pass GamePass #15 #17
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #52
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #51 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #40 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #15 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Notre Dame -7.5 (58.0)
Notre Dame won vs Purdue this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Purdue last year (56-30)
Notre Dame beat Purdue in 2024 (66-7)

  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ND's OC Tommy Rees (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Marcus Freeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD