Purdue at UConn - 2021 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at UConn Huskies  UConn logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (3:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -35 (56.5)
Purdue 49 - UConn: 0

 
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CONN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ PUR -36)

Projected Score: PUR: 20 - CONN: 36 (56)
PUR Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
PUR Travel: 749 miles
Huskies (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lou Spanos (0 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
UConn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UConn at Fresno State+28.063.5L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/4 UConn vs Holy Cross-3.049.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 UConn vs Purdue+35.056.5L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/18 UConn at Army+34.548.0L 21 - 52OY
Sat 9/25 UConn vs Wyoming+31.553.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UConn at Vanderbilt+14.551.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 UConn at Massachusetts-3.057.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 10/16 UConn vs Yale+3.546.5W 21 - 15UY
Fri 10/22 UConn vs Middle Tennessee+14.054.0L 13 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UConn at Clemson+40.550.5L 7 - 44OY
Sat 11/20 UConn at UCF+30.056.0L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/27 UConn vs Houston+32.054.5L 17 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
CONN0%35.30%000%000%270%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense618.815.843.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19
CONN Defense02719.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense631.834.443.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
CONN Offense035.340.30%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
UConn00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69
CONN Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
CONN Offense00%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2
CONN Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
CONN Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    UConn: -10.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 10.3   UConn: -25.6




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.3 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2021 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6  #130
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7  #130
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #120

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 36
Purdue 20


Projected Total Points: 56
UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

UConn's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/11UConn0Purdue49Purdue -35Purdue56.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn000 Overs
Purdue111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) PUR at (#) CONN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURCONN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #130
Perf GradeGrade #76 #130
OffenseOff #33 #136
DefenseDef #113 #81
Spec TeamsST #72 #99
TalentTal #46 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffCONN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #81
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #120
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffCONN Def
Run GameRun #117 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffCONN Def
Pass GamePass #15 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #101
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCatCONN OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #106 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCatCONN OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #135 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #98 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Purdue 35.0 (56.5)
Purdue won at UConn this year (49-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CONN's OC Frank Giufre (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Jarren Horton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD