UConn at Rice - 2025 Matchup Preview
UConn logo   UConn Huskies at Rice Owls  Rice logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
UConn -10.5 (48.5) (-375)  Open: -9.5
Rice 37 - UConn: 34

 
Huskies (9 - 4) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
CONN 2nd straight Road Game
RICE coming off BYE
Our Line: UConn -14.5  (SP+ CONN -20)

Projected Score: CONN: 34 - RICE: 20 (54)
CONN Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CONN Travel: 1518 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Owls (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 7.9 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
UConn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UConn vs Central Connecticut-29.551.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 UConn at Syracuse+7.057.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 UConn at Delaware-8.552.5L 41 - 44ON
Sat 9/20 UConn vs Ball State-21.053.5W 31 - 25ON
Sat 9/27 UConn at Buffalo-3.051.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/4 UConn vs Florida International-7.052.5W 51 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 UConn at Boston College-2.558.5W 38 - 23OY
Sat 10/25 UConn at Rice-10.548.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/1 UConn vs UAB-10.061.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 11/8 UConn vs Duke+7.563.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/15 UConn vs Air Force-7.564.5W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/22 UConn at Florida Atlantic-6.064.0W 48 - 45ON
Sat 12/27 UConn vs Army+5.541.5L 16 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Rice at Louisiana+14.549.5W 14 - 12UY
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+13.538.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-29.548.5W 38 - 17ON
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-1.541.5W 28 - 17OY
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.045.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-4.554.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+8.548.5L 13 - 61ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+10.548.5W 37 - 34OY
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+13.548.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB+1.551.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+18.557.0L 24 - 56ON
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+28.557.5L 3 - 52UN
Fri 1/2 Rice vs Texas State+19.555.5L 10 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)35.343% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)2742% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)19.136% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)32.940% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1335.333.541.8%4.091.2193711841875.254%46%43%40%13%.19
RICE Defense1232.93237%3.721 - - - - - 55%45%40%34%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense132732.239.4%3.361.1 - - - - - 49%51%42%37%17%.1
RICE Offense1219.123.935.5%3.271.8183541152394.637%62%36%35%20%.05

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1327:1619.137%47%550.41.21.15.21.6231.5
Rice1228:4018.335%35%7.157.41.816.32.7232.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1354% (39)43% (82)35.7184.15.222 (55).18 (40)3.07 (58)77% (39)7% (13)1.03 (45)
RICE Defense1255% (112)40% (37) - - - - .16 (85)3.06 (80)76% (83)11% (45)1.07 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1349% (45)42% (63) - - - - .05 (29)2.76 (31)63% (18)10% (78)0.89 (28)
RICE Offense1237% (132)36% (127)24.8114.54.614 (98)-.03 (126)2.7 (118)86% (3)10% (63)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1346% (96)40% (84)15.828.6186.86.511.823 (41)9 (48).23 (85)1.5 (114)30% (47)30% (88).29 (86)6% (87)2 (82)
RICE Defense1245% (24)34% (4) - - - - - - 8 (93).16 (33)1.7 (109)34% (30)24% (4).19 (23)6% (70)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1351% (84)37% (23) - - - - - - 9 (76).17 (35)1.5 (37)32% (72)26% (17).28 (57)7% (23)2.1 (97)
RICE Offense1262% (4)35% (121)24.339.823969.817 (79)13 (103).11 (121)1.5 (97)38% (129)25% (119).17 (119)10% (133)1.9 (104)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -3.23  #76
UConn's Offense Rating: 18.99  #34
UConn's Defense Rating: 22.22  #124
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #38
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -3.23   Rice: -13.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 5.1   Rice: -14.8




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -13.535  #126
Rice's Offense Rating: 2.31  #128
Rice's Defense Rating: 19.58  #105
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 7.9
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8  #120
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 34
Rice 20


Projected Total Points: 54
Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Rice37UConn34UConn -10.5Rice48.5Over
202410/26UConn17Rice10UConn -6.5UConn47.0Under
202310/07Rice31UConn38Rice -10UConn47.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice112 Overs
UConn221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#76) CONN at (#126) RICE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNRICE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #76 #126
SP+SP+ #53 #120
Perf GradeGrade #33 #123
OffenseOff #14 #107
DefenseDef #94 #124
Spec TeamsST #86 #96
TalentTal #95 #107
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #101
UConn Notes
(12/6) Hires Jason Candle (Toledo HC), Mora to Col St
(10/25) Bad L vs Rice, Def mauled for 300 yds rushing
(10/18) Great W at BC, QB Fagano balled out, 5-2 and rolling
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Injury Report
Rice Notes
(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report
UConn on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffRICE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #14 #124
SuccessSuc #82 #11
ExplosiveExp #99 #99
PPAPPA #67 #60
PowerPwr #34 #105
SP+SP+ #38 #112
Pts POPPO #51 #62
HavocHav #30 #55
UConn Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffRICE Def
Run GameRun #29 #101
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #37
Run ExplRExp #45 #103
PPAExp #40 #85
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLY #58 #80
Stuff RateStuff #83 #110
TackleTak -  #115
UConn Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffRICE Def
Pass GamePass #17 #130
Pass SuccessPSuc #84 #4
Pass ExplPExl #114 #109
PPAExp #85 #33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #77 #76
F7 HavocF7 #13 #45
DB HavocDB #87 #70
Rice on Offense
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCatRICE OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #94
SuccessSuc #127 #37
ExplosiveExp #36 #26
PPAPPA #126 #25
PowerPwr #128 #124
SP+SP+ #119 #76
Pts POPPO #119 #26
HavocHav #123 #53
Rice Run Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffCONN Def
Run GameRun #129 #119
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #63
Run ExplRExp #55 #28
PPAExp #126 #29
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLY #118 #31
Stuff RateStuff #81 #26
TackleTak -  #105
Rice Pass Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCatRICE OffCONN Def
Pass GamePass #77 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #121 #23
Pass ExplPExl #97 #37
PPAExp #121 #35
Pass Block/RushP Blk #112 #96
F7 HavocF7 #63 #78
DB HavocDB #133 #23
Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
UConn 10.5 (48.5)
Rice won vs UConn this year (37-34)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat UConn last year (37-34)
UConn beat Rice in 2024 (17-10)
UConn beat Rice in 2023 (38-31)

  
CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano28441269%34412818.4
Ksaan Farrar111861%84004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Camryn Edwards2101240155.973
Jayden Brown3226228.249
Victor Rosa3015525.231
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman2313816.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell10112761312.680
Reymello Murphy (Tr)39446311.461
John Neider27422215.645
Javonte Vereen (Tr)21305514.550

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryun Parham (Tr)125151011
Oumar Diomande1168551
Malachi McLean792112
Cam Chadwick663124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryun Parham (Tr)125151011
Oumar Diomande1168551
Donovan Branch305471
Tyquan King (Tr)414322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Mon Brinson597006
Tyrece Mills (Tr)252015
Cam Chadwick663124

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins11917269%1025926.0
Drew Devillier102148%123105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson18088964.973
Chase Jenkins15153153.534
Daelen Alexander7439235.357
DAndre Hardeman Jr.7630224.036
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Turner6339846.355
Drayden Dickmann3732338.746
Tyson Thompson8105213.137
Payton Matthews493023.354

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Awe939432
Ty Anthony Morris799333
Tony Anyanwu638731
Marcus Williams614015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Anyanwu638731
Michael Daley155522
Andrew Awe939432
Ty Anthony Morris799333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omari Porter311018
Khary Crump140006
Marcus Williams614015