UConn at Rice - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
UConn -10.5 (48.5) (-375) Open: -9.5
Rice 37 - UConn: 34

Huskies (9 - 4) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

Heavy Rain Shower Predicted
CONN 2nd straight Road Game
RICE coming off BYE
Our Line: UConn -15 (SP+ CONN -21)
Projected Score: CONN: 33 - RICE: 18 (52)
CONN Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CONN Travel: 1518 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Owls (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 7.9 (#85)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-29.5	51.5	W 59 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UConn at Syracuse	+7.0	57.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/13	UConn at Delaware	-8.5	52.5	L 41 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/20	UConn vs Ball State	-21.0	53.5	W 31 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/27	UConn at Buffalo	-3.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/4	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	52.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	UConn at Boston College	-2.5	58.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/25	UConn at Rice	-10.5	48.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/1	UConn vs UAB	-10.0	61.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/8	UConn vs Duke	+7.5	63.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/15	UConn vs Air Force	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/22	UConn at Florida Atlantic	-6.0	64.0	W 48 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/27	UConn vs Army	+5.5	41.5	L 16 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Rice's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Rice at Louisiana	+14.5	49.5	W 14 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Rice vs Houston	+13.5	38.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/13	Rice vs Prairie View A&M	-29.5	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Thu 9/18	Rice at Charlotte	-1.5	41.5	W 28 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Rice at Navy	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-4.5	54.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	Rice at UTSA	+8.5	48.5	L 13 - 61	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Rice vs UConn	+10.5	48.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/31	Rice vs Memphis	+13.5	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/8	Rice vs UAB	+1.5	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Rice vs North Texas	+18.5	57.0	L 24 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/29	Rice at South Florida	+28.5	57.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Fri 1/2	Rice vs Texas State	+17.5	55.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#13 (.31)	46% (29)	35.3	46% (46)	2.93 (70)	151	47% (25)	277	4.58 (16)	#112 (.22)	47% (126)	27	50% (133)	43% (89)	3.8 (81)	45.5	0.2	1.2
RICE	#114 (.09)	38% (113)	19.8	40% (101)	2.84 (86)	213	34% (132)	98	3.33 (106)	#119 (.25)	40% (52)	32.3	41% (55)	40% (48)	3.8 (82)	48.9	0.7	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	35.3	33.5	46%	4.58	0.2	20	428	151	277	5.3	45%	54%	46%	47%	12%	.31
RICE Defense	12	32.3	32	40%	3.8	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	41%	40%	13%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	27	32.2	46.6%	3.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	50%	43%	15%	.22
RICE Offense	12	19.8	23.9	38.3%	3.33	0.7	18	311	213	98	4.3	71%	28%	40%	34%	17%	.09

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	27:00	20.1	42%	72%	4.5	45.5	0.2	1.2	5.8	2.6	0	30.4
Rice	12	32:54	17.5	36%	55%	4.8	48.9	0.7	0.5	4.8	1.8	0	26.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	45% (111)	46% (46)	28.6	150.6	5.3	24 (36)	.21 (28)	2.93 (70)	82% (9)	6% (3)	1.04 (39)
RICE Defense	12	48% (49)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.15 (94)	2.96 (79)	64% (19)	8% (115)	1.15 (132)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	55% (121)	50% (133)	-	-	-	-	.21 (123)	3.37 (132)	67% (33)	10% (68)	0.95 (68)
RICE Offense	12	71% (4)	40% (101)	50.3	213.3	4.3	20 (60)	.08 (84)	2.84 (86)	75% (55)	13% (131)	1 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	54% (25)	47% (25)	22.8	33.4	277.4	8.3	12.2	30 (14)	1 (1)	.44 (14)	1.6 (51)	32% (74)	29% (84)	.48 (14)	6% (59)	2.5 (1)
RICE Defense	12	50% (92)	40% (48)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (100)	.38 (118)	1.9 (135)	33% (49)	31% (84)	.44 (128)	5% (90)	2.5 (135)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	44% (18)	43% (89)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (55)	.28 (85)	1.6 (69)	26% (132)	33% (116)	.4 (115)	5% (95)	2 (80)
RICE Offense	12	28% (133)	34% (132)	11.3	16.9	97.9	5.8	8.7	10 (121)	3 (7)	.12 (121)	1.6 (37)	31% (62)	22% (134)	.09 (130)	3% (9)	2.1 (41)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 0.38 #70
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.68 #25
UConn's Defense Rating: 17.30 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7 #45
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #31
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #71

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: 0.38 Rice: -11.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 6.7 Rice: -14.3

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -11.4 #124
Rice's Offense Rating: 0.57 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 14.07 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 7.9
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #119
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 33
Rice 18

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UConn 31
Rice 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
UConn 33
Rice 26

Total Points: 59

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Rice	37	UConn	34	UConn -10.5	Rice	48.5	Over
2024	10/26	UConn	17	Rice	10	UConn -6.5	UConn	47.0	Under
2023	10/07	Rice	31	UConn	38	Rice -10	UConn	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	1	1	2 Overs
UConn	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#70) CONN at (#124) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	RICE
Power RatePwr	#70	#124
SP+SP+	#45	#119
Perf GradeGrade	#33	#124
OffenseOff	#12	#100
DefenseDef	#98	#128
Spec TeamsST	#84	#94
TalentTal	#95	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#101

UConn Notes(12/6) Hires Jason Candle (Toledo HC), Mora to Col St
(10/25) Bad L vs Rice, Def mauled for 300 yds rushing
(10/18) Great W at BC, QB Fagano balled out, 5-2 and rolling
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Injury Report

Rice Notes(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report

UConn on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	RICE Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#128
SuccessSuc	#29	#52
ExplosiveExp	#27	#136
PPAPPA	#13	#119
PowerPwr	#25	#106
SP+SP+	#31	#104
Pts POPPO	#16	#82
HavocHav	#13	#113

UConn Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#45	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#55
Run ExplRExp	#39	#132
PPAExp	#28	#94
Run BlockR Blk	#5	-
OL YdsOLY	#70	#79
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#84
TackleTak	-	#77

UConn Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#48
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#135
PPAExp	#14	#118
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#66
F7 HavocF7	#3	#115
DB HavocDB	#59	#90

Rice on Offense

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	CONN Def
Perf GradePerf	#100	#98
SuccessSuc	#113	#126
ExplosiveExp	#127	#40
PPAPPA	#114	#112
PowerPwr	#123	#120
SP+SP+	#119	#71
Pts POPPO	#106	#81
HavocHav	#92	#89

Rice Run Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#112	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	#101	#133
Run ExplRExp	#57	#68
PPAExp	#84	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	#86	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#135
TackleTak	-	#109

Rice Pass Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#132	#89
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#69
PPAExp	#121	#85
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#87
F7 HavocF7	#131	#68
DB HavocDB	#9	#95

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 78°Rain: 0.217

Rematch from Week 9
UConn 10.5 (48.5)
Rice won vs UConn this year (37-34)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Rice last year (17-10)
UConn beat Rice in 2023 (38-31)

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	284	412	69%	3441	28	1	8.4
Ksaan Farrar	11	18	61%	84	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camryn Edwards	210	1240	15	5.9	73
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Victor Rosa	30	155	2	5.2	31
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman	23	138	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell	101	1276	13	12.6	80
Reymello Murphy (Tr)	39	446	3	11.4	61
John Neider	27	422	2	15.6	45
Javonte Vereen (Tr)	21	305	5	14.5	50

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Malachi McLean	79	2	1	1	2
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Donovan Branch	30	5	4	7	1
Tyquan King (Tr)	41	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Mon Brinson	59	7	0	0	6
Tyrece Mills (Tr)	25	2	0	1	5
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chase Jenkins	119	172	69%	1025	9	2	6.0
Drew Devillier	10	21	48%	123	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Jackson	164	811	6	4.9	73
Chase Jenkins	151	531	5	3.5	34
Daelen Alexander	74	392	3	5.3	57
DAndre Hardeman Jr.	72	296	2	4.1	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Turner	53	374	3	7.1	55
Drayden Dickmann	37	323	3	8.7	46
Tyson Thompson	8	105	2	13.1	37
Quinton Jackson	4	74	1	18.5	75

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Awe	88	7	3	2	2
Ty Anthony Morris	73	8	3	3	2
Marcus Williams	61	4	0	1	5
Tony Anyanwu	52	7	5	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tony Anyanwu	52	7	5	3	1
Michael Daley	15	5	5	2	2
Andrew Awe	88	7	3	2	2
Ty Anthony Morris	73	8	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Omari Porter	30	1	1	8
Khary Crump	14	0	0	6
Marcus Williams	61	4	1	5