North Texas at Rice Game Matchup
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Rice OwlsRice logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Rice Stadium - Houston, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
UNT 2nd straight Road Game
RICE coming off BYE
Our Line: North Texas -6.5   (SP+ UNT -8.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 34 - RICE: 28 (58)
UNT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UNT Travel: 262 miles
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 8)
 
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 North Texas vs Lamar-15.5
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-7
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-4.5
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army+7
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida+6
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA+6
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-10
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-4
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-6.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Rice at Louisiana+14.50.0
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+15
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-7
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-1
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.5
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic+0.5
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+10.5
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+16
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+6.5
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)22.236% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)25.440% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1333.534.842.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23
RICE Defense1225.421.237%3.721 - - - - - 55%45%40%34%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1334.24344.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
RICE Offense1222.231.835.5%3.271.8183541152394.637%62%36%35%20%.05

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Rice1228:4018.335%35%7.157.41.816.32.7232.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)
RICE Defense1255% (112)40% (37) - - - - .16 (85)3.06 (80)76% (83)11% (45)1.07 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
RICE Offense1237% (132)36% (127)24.8114.54.614 (98)-.03 (126)2.7 (118)86% (3)10% (63)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)
RICE Defense1245% (24)34% (4) - - - - - - 8 (93).16 (33)1.7 (109)34% (30)24% (4).19 (23)6% (70)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
RICE Offense1262% (4)35% (121)24.339.823969.817 (79)13 (103).11 (121)1.5 (97)38% (129)25% (119).17 (119)10% (133)1.9 (104)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -8.60 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
North Texas's Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -8.60   Rice: -14.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   Rice: -15.8




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -14.165 #115
Rice's Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Rice's Defense Rating: 17.82 #86
2025 Talent Rating: 536.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #121
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #132
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 34
Rice 28

Projected Total Points: 58
Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26North Texas21Rice17North TexasNorth Texas -14.5Rice57.0Under
202110/30Rice24North Texas30North TexasRice -1.5North Texas55.0Under
202011/21North Texas27Rice17North TexasNorth Texas -2.5North Texas65.5Under
201911/23Rice20North Texas14RiceNorth Texas -6.5Rice55.0Under
201810/27North Texas41Rice17North TexasNorth Texas -30Rice58.0Push
201711/25Rice14North Texas30North TexasNorth Texas -12.5North Texas62.5Under
201609/24Rice35North Texas42North TexasRice -7.5North Texas55.0Over
201509/19North Texas24Rice38RiceRice -6Rice54.0Over
201410/25Rice41North Texas21RiceRice -13Rice0
201310/31North Texas28Rice16North TexasNorth Texas -2.5North Texas0
201009/11North Texas31Rice32Rice
200809/27Rice77North Texas20Rice
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice552 Overs
North Texas755 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 54 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams5 - 76 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.60 #90
Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127
Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Texas Notes
(3/23) QB Mestemaker/Poffenbarger(UM)/Jimerson(Fr)
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas     Ratings Matchup     Rice
Power #90
#115
Off #98
#135
Def #87
#86
Talent #85
#101
SP+ #92
#121
SP+ Off #37
#132
SP+ Def #127
#99

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Rice in 2022 (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | RICE
Depth Chart: UNT | RICE
Rosters: UNT | RICE
(#115) Rice Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.165 #115
Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Defense Rating: 17.82 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 536.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Rice Notes
(3/24) HC Abell ran a gun-option system @ Davidson
(3/24) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Will need mobile QB
(3/24) RB - Jackson/Atkins some exp. #1 left (Hou)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Welker/Dickman some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back. Bad LY. Took 1 portal
(3/24) Def was bad, have some exp. Light DL
(3/24) Really hard job, no portal. Option great idea


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)6786%20002.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Drew Mestemaker148716.270
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Evans (Tr)43474511.064
Miles Coleman36378210.549
Dalton Carnes29371212.834
Wyatt Young18295216.475

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Fields (Tr)726121
Ethan Wesloski575321
Quinton Hammonds522011
Shane Whitter492023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Briceon Hayes (Tr)267532
Richard Outland155330
Ethan Wesloski575321
Fatafehi Vailea344320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)332006
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)262004
Taylor Starling202004

Rice's OC Vince Munch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Devillier203853%137003.6
Lucas Scheerhorn (Tr)1333%1010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson4827515.745
Taji Atkins2415826.633
Drew Devillier92002.210
Drayden Dickmann1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylen Walker22264112.050
Artis Cole (Tr)12152112.730
Drayden Dickmann108018.031
Quinton Jackson116916.317

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Jon Kay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Andrew Awe444110
Daveon Hook352012
Max Ahoia341008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Michael Daley146310
Joseph Mutombo113210
Demone Green102211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Ahoia341008
Daveon Hook352012
Jack Kane (Tr)320012