Rice Owls at Navy Midshipmen
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD (American Athletic)
Owls (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (14 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (14 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
RICE 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
RICE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Navy -14.5 (SP+ NAVY -19)
Projected Score: RICE: 17 - NAVY: 31 (48)
NAVY Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
RICE Travel: 1250 miles, 1 hrs behind
NAVY coming off BYE
RICE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Navy -14.5 (SP+ NAVY -19)
Projected Score: RICE: 17 - NAVY: 31 (48)
NAVY Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
RICE Travel: 1250 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 44 - 18 (45 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#40)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 44 - 18 (45 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#40)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
| Rice's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Rice at Louisiana | +14.5 | 49.5 | W 14 - 12 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Rice vs Houston | +13.5 | 38.5 | L 9 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Rice vs Prairie View A&M | -29.5 | 48.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | N | |
| Thu 9/18 | Rice at Charlotte | -2.5 | 42.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Rice at Navy | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Rice vs Florida Atlantic | -0.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Rice at UTSA | +13.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Rice vs UConn | +11.5 | |||||
| Fri 10/31 | Rice vs Memphis | +23 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Rice vs UAB | -6.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Rice vs North Texas | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Rice at South Florida | +16.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Navy's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Navy vs VMI | -42.5 | 54.5 | W 52 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Navy vs UAB | -20.5 | 59.0 | W 38 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Navy at Tulsa | -14.0 | 52.5 | W 42 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Navy vs Rice | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Navy vs Air Force | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Navy at Temple | -0.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Navy vs Florida Atlantic | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Navy at North Texas | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Navy at Notre Dame | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Navy vs South Florida | -0.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/27 | Navy at Memphis | +16 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/13 | Navy vs Army | -10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE | #133 (-.03) | 38% (106) | 20.3 | 44% (76) | 2.94 (73) | 243 | 21% (135) | 70 | 3.43 (99) | #60 (.11) | 29% (10) | 21.3 | 33% (24) | 26% (8) | 3.38 (62) | 52.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| NAVY | #11 (.46) | 60% (5) | 44 | 62% (4) | 3.87 (7) | 377 | 50% (32) | 118 | 5.05 (31) | #74 (.14) | 38% (61) | 18 | 33% (23) | 43% (89) | 3.73 (73) | 57 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE | #126 (.05) | 35% (127) | 36% (127) | 2.7 (118) | 115 | 35% (121) | 239 | 3.27 (119) | #60 (.16) | 37% (11) | 40% (37) | 34% (4) | 3.72 (62) | 57.4 | 1.8 | 1 | ||
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE Offense | 3 | 20.3 | 14 | 38.1% | 3.43 | 0.7 | 21 | 313 | 243 | 70 | 4.4 | 77% | 21% | 44% | 21% | 13% | -.03 |
| NAVY Defense | 3 | 18 | 15.5 | 38.1% | 3.73 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 56% | 33% | 43% | 17% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE Defense | 3 | 21.3 | 12 | 29.3% | 3.38 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 44% | 33% | 26% | 14% | .11 |
| NAVY Offense | 3 | 44 | 45 | 59.8% | 5.05 | 1 | 24 | 495 | 377 | 118 | 6.8 | 83% | 17% | 62% | 50% | 9% | .46 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | 3 | 35:10 | 20.7 | 37% | 43% | 5 | 52.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 2.7 | 0 | 30.2 |
| Navy | 3 | 34:11 | 23.7 | 63% | 75% | 5.3 | 57 | 1 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 3 | 0 | 34.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE Offense | 3 | 77% (3) | 44% (76) | 56 | 243.3 | 4.4 | 6 (49) | -.06 (124) | 2.94 (73) | 75% (52) | 11% (109) | 0.61 (132) |
| NAVY Defense | 3 | 43% (25) | 33% (23) | - | - | - | - | .05 (64) | 2.44 (37) | 70% (71) | 10% (71) | 1.3 (123) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE Defense | 3 | 54% (102) | 33% (24) | - | - | - | - | .09 (81) | 2.89 (80) | 55% (24) | 9% (92) | 1.31 (124) |
| NAVY Offense | 3 | 83% (2) | 62% (4) | 55.7 | 377.3 | 6.8 | 15 (1) | .45 (5) | 3.87 (7) | 86% (21) | 8% (47) | 1.03 (50) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE Offense | 3 | 21% (134) | 21% (135) | 10 | 13.7 | 70 | 5.1 | 7 | 2 (102) | 1 (23) | .12 (113) | 1.7 (32) | 32% (81) | 14% (134) | -.09 (133) | 2% (8) | 1.9 (81) |
| NAVY Defense | 3 | 56% (113) | 43% (89) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .26 (86) | 1.3 (31) | 33% (70) | 31% (83) | .11 (31) | 7% (41) | 1.5 (18) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE Defense | 3 | 44% (32) | 26% (8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .16 (53) | 2.1 (134) | 38% (22) | 32% (88) | .48 (112) | 6% (72) | 2.3 (111) |
| NAVY Offense | 3 | 17% (135) | 50% (32) | 7 | 10.7 | 118 | 11.1 | 16.9 | 3 (90) | 2 (60) | .49 (23) | 1.7 (24) | 19% (3) | 37% (34) | .47 (45) | 2% (4) | 1.9 (83) |
Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Rice's Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Rice's Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Rice's Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Rice's Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Rice's Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -9.66 Navy: 4.135
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.2 Navy: 7.8
Rice: -9.66 Navy: 4.135
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.2 Navy: 7.8
Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Navy's Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Rice Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 12
Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 12
Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
Rice 17
Total Points: 48
Navy 31
Rice 17
Total Points: 48
Navy Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Rice | 24 | Navy | 10 | Rice | Navy -12.5 | Rice | 49.0 | Under |
| 2009 | 10/10 | Rice | 14 | Navy | 63 | Navy | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | Rice | 9 | Navy | 41 | Navy | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Navy | 14 | Rice | 13 | Navy | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Rice | 6 | Navy | 38 | Navy | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Navy | 10 | Rice | 17 | Rice | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Navy | 13 | Rice | 21 | Rice |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 4 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Rice | 3 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 5 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#104) Rice Info
Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 21%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Rice has lost 1 straight
Rice has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Rice Notes
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
(3/24) HC Abell ran a gun-option system @ Davidson
(3/24) RB - Jackson/Atkins some exp. #1 left (Hou)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Welker/Dickman some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back. Bad LY. Took 1 portal
Rice Highlights
Rice has Really Good Running Game (#9)
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good run defense (#24)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice has a great TO Margin (#28)
Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a really bad Offense
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is not Explosive (#136)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#133)
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)
Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 21%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Rice has lost 1 straight
Rice has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Rice Notes
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
(3/24) HC Abell ran a gun-option system @ Davidson
(3/24) RB - Jackson/Atkins some exp. #1 left (Hou)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Welker/Dickman some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back. Bad LY. Took 1 portal
Rice Highlights
Rice has Really Good Running Game (#9)
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good run defense (#24)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice has a great TO Margin (#28)
Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a really bad Offense
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is not Explosive (#136)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#133)
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NAVY | RICE |
| OverallOver | #27 | #65 |
| OffenseOff | #20 | #55 |
| DefenseDef | #44 | #76 |
| Special TeamsST | #35 | #81 |
| PassingPass | #72 | #48 |
| RushingRush | #1 | #61 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #81 | #51 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #14 | #101 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #37 | #58 |
| TacklingTkl | #87 | #26 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #52 | #97 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #18 | #40 |
| Coverage DefCov | #50 | #55 |
(#90) Navy Info
Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Team Profile
Option Offense 83%, Pass: 17%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Great Run Success 62%
Good Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has won 3 straight
Navy has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Navy Notes
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed
Navy Highlights
Navy in Undefeated
Navy is Undefeated at Home
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is efficent (#5)
Navy has a top Offensive Line (#7)
Navy offense is good on 3rd downs
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)
Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Team Profile
Option Offense 83%, Pass: 17%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Great Run Success 62%
Good Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has won 3 straight
Navy has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Navy Notes
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed
Navy Highlights
Navy in Undefeated
Navy is Undefeated at Home
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is efficent (#5)
Navy has a top Offensive Line (#7)
Navy offense is good on 3rd downs
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Jenkins | 27 | 37 | 73% | 182 | 1 | 1 | 4.9 |
| Drew Devillier | 3 | 4 | 75% | 28 | 1 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Jackson | 46 | 213 | 2 | 4.6 | 17 |
| Daelen Alexander | 32 | 149 | 0 | 4.7 | 16 |
| Chase Jenkins | 47 | 144 | 2 | 3.1 | 21 |
| Aaron Turner | 8 | 89 | 2 | 11.1 | 52 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drayden Dickmann | 11 | 84 | 0 | 7.6 | 23 |
| Landon Ransom-Goelz | 4 | 57 | 1 | 14.3 | 34 |
| Aaron Turner | 7 | 33 | 0 | 4.7 | 13 |
| Tyson Thompson | 3 | 29 | 1 | 9.7 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Anthony Morris | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Awe | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Kane (Tr) | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Peyton Stevenson | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Daley | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Joseph Mutombo | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Ty Anthony Morris | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper King | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khary Crump | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Michael Daley | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Omari Porter | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 18 | 25 | 72% | 328 | 3 | 2 | 13.1 |
| Braxton Woodson | 3 | 7 | 43% | 26 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tecza | 45 | 272 | 4 | 6.0 | 39 |
| Blake Horvath | 41 | 245 | 3 | 6.0 | 35 |
| Eli Heidenreich | 24 | 209 | 3 | 8.7 | 25 |
| Braxton Woodson | 10 | 194 | 2 | 19.4 | 74 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | 10 | 126 | 1 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Luke Hutchison | 3 | 70 | 2 | 23.3 | 63 |
| Cody Howard | 1 | 65 | 0 | 65.0 | 65 |
| Joshua Guerin | 1 | 35 | 0 | 35.0 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarcAnthony Parker | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Robinson | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Pirris | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Griffen Willis | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Robinson | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| MarcAnthony Parker | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Moutome | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Kendall Whiteside | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ira Oniha | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Justin Ross | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Phillip Hamilton | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |