Rice at Charlotte - 2025 Matchup Preview

Thursday, September 18th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Rice -1.5 (41.5) (-130) Open: -5.5 | 46.5
Rice 28 - Charlotte: 17 (American Athletic)

Owls (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (14 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 7.9 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)

CHAR 4th straight Home Game
CHAR is playing their 4th straight game
RICE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Rice -7.5 (SP+ RICE -12)
Projected Score: RICE: 27 - CHAR: 19 (46)
RICE Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
RICE Travel: 937 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Rice at Louisiana	+14.5	49.5	W 14 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Rice vs Houston	+13.5	38.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/13	Rice vs Prairie View A&M	-29.5	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Thu 9/18	Rice at Charlotte	-1.5	41.5	W 28 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Rice at Navy	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-4.5	54.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	Rice at UTSA	+8.5	48.5	L 13 - 61	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Rice vs UConn	+10.5	48.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/31	Rice vs Memphis	+13.5	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/8	Rice vs UAB	+1.5	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Rice vs North Texas	+18.5	57.0	L 24 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/29	Rice at South Florida	+28.5	57.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Fri 1/2	Rice vs Texas State	+19.5	55.5	L 10 - 41	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Charlotte vs App State	+8.5	53.5	L 11 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/6	Charlotte vs North Carolina	+16.5	49.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/13	Charlotte vs Monmouth	-3.0	66.5	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Thu 9/18	Charlotte vs Rice	+1.5	41.5	L 17 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3	Charlotte at South Florida	+28.5	54.5	L 26 - 54	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Charlotte at Army	+17.5	45.5	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Charlotte vs Temple	+10.0	47.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Fri 10/24	Charlotte vs North Texas	+25.5	60.5	L 20 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Charlotte at East Carolina	+29.5	56.5	L 22 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Charlotte vs UTSA	+16.5	57.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/22	Charlotte at Georgia	+42.5	53.5	L 3 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Charlotte at Tulane	+31.5	52.5	L 0 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)	19.1	36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)	32.9	40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)	14.3	39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)	36.3	48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	12	19.1	14.2	35.5%	3.27	1.8	18	354	115	239	4.6	37%	62%	36%	35%	20%	.05
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	35.7	45.3%	3.87	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	48%	42%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	12	32.9	32.6	37%	3.72	1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	34%	17%	.16
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	17.2	37.1%	3.9	1.8	17	343	119	224	3.7	47%	52%	39%	35%	17%	.1

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	12	28:40	18.3	35%	35%	7.1	57.4	1.8	1	6.3	2.7	2	32.6
Charlotte	12	28:37	17.3	30%	42%	7.8	65.3	1.8	1	4.9	1.2	1	26.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	12	37% (132)	36% (127)	24.8	114.5	4.6	14 (98)	-.03 (126)	2.7 (118)	86% (3)	10% (63)	1 (55)
CHAR Defense	12	56% (118)	48% (111)	-	-	-	-	.19 (104)	3.27 (106)	68% (35)	8% (114)	0.96 (57)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	12	55% (112)	40% (37)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.06 (80)	76% (83)	11% (45)	1.07 (103)
CHAR Offense	12	47% (88)	39% (110)	32.3	118.7	3.7	16 (90)	.09 (93)	2.75 (113)	68% (105)	11% (106)	1.1 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	12	62% (4)	35% (121)	24.3	39.8	239	6	9.8	17 (79)	13 (103)	.11 (121)	1.5 (97)	38% (129)	25% (119)	.17 (119)	10% (133)	1.9 (104)
CHAR Defense	12	44% (18)	42% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.34 (112)	1.8 (122)	31% (92)	33% (107)	.57 (132)	6% (51)	2.4 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	12	45% (24)	34% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.16 (33)	1.7 (109)	34% (30)	24% (4)	.19 (23)	6% (70)	2.1 (81)
CHAR Offense	12	52% (46)	35% (120)	14.8	29.4	224.1	7.6	15.2	16 (87)	14 (115)	.12 (120)	1.9 (6)	35% (123)	29% (96)	.23 (103)	6% (57)	2.3 (3)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -17.27 #126
Rice's Offense Rating: 2.31 #128
Rice's Defense Rating: 19.58 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 7.9
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #120
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -17.27 Charlotte: -23.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -14.8 Charlotte: -26.7

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -23.55 #135
Charlotte's Offense Rating: -0.08 #134
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 25.32 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.7 #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.5 #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.6

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Rice 27
Charlotte 19

Projected Total Points: 46

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/18	Charlotte	17	Rice	28	Rice -1.5	Rice	41.5	Over
2024	09/28	Rice	20	Charlotte	21	Rice -4	Charlotte	48.0	Under
2023	11/18	Charlotte	7	Rice	28	Charlotte -0.5	Rice	46.5	Under
2022	10/29	Rice	23	Charlotte	56	Rice -15	Charlotte	61.0	Over
2021	11/06	Charlotte	31	Rice	24	Charlotte -6.5	Charlotte	51.5	Over
2016	11/12	Charlotte	21	Rice	22	Charlotte -10	Rice	60.0	Under
2015	11/28	Rice	27	Charlotte	7	Rice -9.5	Rice	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	3	3	3 Overs
Rice	4	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	2 - 5	2 - 4	0 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 2	5 - 2	1 - 0	4 - 2

(#126) RICE at (#135) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RICE	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#126	#135
SP+SP+	#120	#134
Perf GradeGrade	#123	#129
OffenseOff	#107	#113
DefenseDef	#124	#132
Spec TeamsST	#96	#129
TalentTal	#107	#97
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#65

Rice Notes(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report

Charlotte Notes(10/19) Team is awful, Off is bad but Def is worse.
(10/4) QB1 is now Zach Wilcke, played OK in USF blowout
(10/4) Off is still really bad, can't run. 3 QBs thru wk 6
(10/2) QB1 Connor Harrell out for season (knee), Loftis QB1
(9/18) WR E. Jai Mason a baller to watch. QB meh
(9/18) Run Off awful, Run Def bad. Not much hope
(9/18) Tim Albin very good coach but roster is bad
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
Charlotte Injury Report

Rice on Offense

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#132
SuccessSuc	#127	#107
ExplosiveExp	#36	#85
PPAPPA	#126	#113
PowerPwr	#128	#132
SP+SP+	#119	#132
Pts POPPO	#119	#81
HavocHav	#123	#87

Rice Run Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#129	#130
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#111
Run ExplRExp	#55	#57
PPAExp	#126	#104
Run BlockR Blk	#90	-
OL YdsOLY	#118	#106
Stuff RateStuff	#81	#100
TackleTak	-	#129

Rice Pass Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#97	#122
PPAExp	#121	#112
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#112	#121
F7 HavocF7	#63	#114
DB HavocDB	#133	#51

Charlotte on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	RICE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#124
SuccessSuc	#122	#11
ExplosiveExp	#2	#99
PPAPPA	#116	#60
PowerPwr	#134	#105
SP+SP+	#132	#112
Pts POPPO	#70	#62
HavocHav	#92	#55

Charlotte Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#136	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	#110	#37
Run ExplRExp	#24	#103
PPAExp	#93	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#109	#110
TackleTak	-	#115

Charlotte Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	#120	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#6	#109
PPAExp	#120	#33
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#126	#76
F7 HavocF7	#106	#45
DB HavocDB	#57	#70

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Rice 1.5 (41.5)
Rice won at Charlotte this year (28-17)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat Charlotte last year (28-17)
Charlotte beat Rice in 2024 (21-20)
Rice beat Charlotte in 2023 (28-7)

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chase Jenkins	119	172	69%	1025	9	2	6.0
Drew Devillier	10	21	48%	123	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Jackson	180	889	6	4.9	73
Chase Jenkins	151	531	5	3.5	34
Daelen Alexander	74	392	3	5.3	57
DAndre Hardeman Jr.	76	302	2	4.0	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Turner	63	398	4	6.3	55
Drayden Dickmann	37	323	3	8.7	46
Tyson Thompson	8	105	2	13.1	37
Payton Matthews	4	93	0	23.3	54

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Awe	93	9	4	3	2
Ty Anthony Morris	79	9	3	3	3
Tony Anyanwu	63	8	7	3	1
Marcus Williams	61	4	0	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tony Anyanwu	63	8	7	3	1
Michael Daley	15	5	5	2	2
Andrew Awe	93	9	4	3	2
Ty Anthony Morris	79	9	3	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Omari Porter	31	1	1	8
Khary Crump	14	0	0	6
Marcus Williams	61	4	1	5

CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson Loftis (Tr)	128	232	55%	1415	8	8	6.1
Conner Harrell (Tr)	64	96	67%	737	4	2	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rod Gainey Jr.	74	260	1	3.5	37
Cameren Smith (Tr)	62	220	0	3.5	13
Jariel Cobb (Tr)	51	190	0	3.7	21
C.J. Stokes	48	149	1	3.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)	60	740	5	12.3	64
Sean Brown	36	508	1	14.1	46
E. Jai Mason	31	423	4	13.6	62
Miles Burris	14	134	0	9.6	18

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	4	2	0
Kadin Schmitz (Tr)	65	1	0	3	2
Ja'Qurious Conley	64	0	0	0	2
Shay Taylor (Tr)	62	6	2	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	4	2	0
Curtis Simpson (Tr)	31	5	3	4	1
Shay Taylor (Tr)	62	6	2	6	0
Yamil Talib	28	4	2	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)	20	0	4
Ja'Qurious Conley	64	0	2
Derrick Edwards	19	1	2