Florida Atlantic at Rice - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 4th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Rice -4.5 (54.5) (-198) Open: -5.5
Florida Atlantic 27 - Rice: 21 (American Athletic)

Owls (3 - 5) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
RICE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Rice -2.5 (SP+ FAU -2)
Projected Score: FAU: 26 - RICE: 29 (55)
RICE Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 961 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Owls (5 - 5) (5 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (24 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Florida Atlantic at Maryland	+16.5	57.5	L 7 - 39	U	N
Sat 9/6	Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M	-21.0	51.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	+2.0	56.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Florida Atlantic vs Memphis	+14.0	62.5	L 26 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/4	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+4.5	54.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Florida Atlantic vs UAB	-4.5	66.5	W 53 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+20.5	72.5	L 13 - 48	U	N
Sat 10/25	Florida Atlantic at Navy	+14.5	63.5	L 32 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-4.5	60.5
Sat 11/15	Florida Atlantic at Tulane	+14.5
Sat 11/22	Florida Atlantic vs UConn	+11
Sat 11/29	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	+15

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Rice's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Rice at Louisiana	+14.5	49.5	W 14 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Rice vs Houston	+13.5	38.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/13	Rice vs Prairie View A&M	-29.5	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Thu 9/18	Rice at Charlotte	-1.5	41.5	W 28 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Rice at Navy	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-4.5	54.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	Rice at UTSA	+8.5	48.5	L 13 - 61	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Rice vs UConn	+10.5	48.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/31	Rice vs Memphis	+13.5	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/8	Rice vs UAB	+1.5	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Rice vs North Texas	+12.5
Sat 11/29	Rice at South Florida	+26.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#70 (.17)	39% (110)	30.3	40% (104)	2.66 (93)	103	40% (94)	326	3.81 (75)	#107 (.21)	44% (104)	36.3	49% (130)	39% (47)	4.65 (130)	60.4	2.1	0.4
RICE	#118 (.07)	39% (114)	21.1	41% (91)	2.76 (78)	192	35% (128)	93	3.23 (112)	#76 (.15)	37% (19)	27.9	38% (30)	36% (21)	3.46 (46)	47.7	0.6	0.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	8	30.3	21.4	39.5%	3.81	2.1	24	429	103	326	3.4	38%	62%	40%	40%	18%	.17
RICE Defense	10	27.9	28	36.9%	3.46	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	38%	36%	15%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	8	36.3	37.6	44.3%	4.65	0.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	49%	39%	15%	.21
RICE Offense	10	21.1	23.8	38.9%	3.23	0.6	16	285	192	93	4.2	71%	28%	41%	35%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	8	28:21	24	37%	67%	7.1	60.4	2.1	0.4	5.6	1.6	2	30.6
Rice	10	29:05	15.5	36%	52%	4.4	47.7	0.6	0.6	4.7	1.7	0	26

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	8	38% (133)	40% (104)	30.8	103	3.4	8 (99)	.06 (93)	2.66 (93)	78% (28)	10% (74)	1.04 (36)
RICE Defense	10	49% (58)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	.08 (68)	1.6 (2)	63% (30)	9% (85)	1.23 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	8	56% (127)	49% (130)	-	-	-	-	.24 (129)	2.84 (83)	79% (118)	10% (54)	1.08 (119)
RICE Offense	10	71% (4)	41% (91)	45.3	192	4.2	17 (60)	.07 (86)	2.76 (78)	74% (54)	14% (134)	0.92 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	8	62% (3)	40% (94)	31.1	48.3	325.9	6.8	10.5	20 (22)	13 (134)	.25 (71)	1.5 (65)	36% (126)	27% (99)	.32 (71)	8% (128)	2.1 (30)
RICE Defense	10	50% (73)	36% (21)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (100)	.24 (74)	1.9 (132)	34% (27)	31% (90)	.46 (128)	6% (84)	2.5 (135)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	8	43% (11)	39% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.23 (69)	1.5 (61)	31% (87)	27% (33)	.24 (54)	4% (121)	2.1 (102)
RICE Offense	10	28% (133)	35% (128)	10.1	14.9	92.9	6.2	9.2	7 (121)	3 (7)	.1 (123)	1.4 (101)	32% (76)	21% (135)	.07 (129)	4% (14)	2 (66)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -10.68 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 3.03 #106
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 13.71 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #107
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #79
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #122

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -10.68 Rice: -7.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -10.2 Rice: -12.4

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -7.71 #103
Rice's Offense Rating: 0.10 #128
Rice's Defense Rating: 8.12 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 #117
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #121
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Rice 29
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Rice 30
Florida Atlantic 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Rice 30
Florida Atlantic 27

Total Points: 57

Rice Scoring
Offense: 21.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Rice	21	Florida Atlantic	27	Rice -4.5	Florida Atlantic	54.5	Under
2023	11/25	Rice	24	Florida Atlantic	21	Rice -5	Florida Atlantic	46.5	Under
2022	10/15	Florida Atlantic	17	Rice	14	Florida Atlantic -5	Rice	54.5	Under
2016	11/05	Rice	25	Florida Atlantic	42	Rice -2	Florida Atlantic	57.0	Over
2015	10/10	Florida Atlantic	26	Rice	27	Florida Atlantic -1.5	Rice	56.5	Under
2013	09/28	Rice	18	Florida Atlantic	14	Rice -14	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	3	2	1 Overs
Florida Atlantic	3	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	0 - 6	0 - 6	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	6 - 0	0 - 0	6 - 0

(#114) FAU at (#103) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	RICE
Power RatePwr	#114	#103
SP+SP+	#107	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#110
OffenseOff	#90	#100
DefenseDef	#123	#105
Spec TeamsST	#95	#115
TalentTal	#83	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#101

Florida Atlantic Notes(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Rice Notes(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	RICE Def
Perf GradePerf	#90	#105
SuccessSuc	#110	#19
ExplosiveExp	#21	#136
PPAPPA	#70	#76
PowerPwr	#106	#75
SP+SP+	#79	#96
Pts POPPO	#75	#46
HavocHav	#104	#87

Florida Atlantic Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#120	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#104	#30
Run ExplRExp	#36	#133
PPAExp	#93	#68
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#103
TackleTak	-	#69

Florida Atlantic Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#94	#21
Pass ExplPExl	#65	#132
PPAExp	#71	#74
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#17	#42
F7 HavocF7	#74	#85
DB HavocDB	#128	#84

Rice on Offense

Option Offense 72%, Pass: 27%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	FAU Def
Perf GradePerf	#100	#123
SuccessSuc	#114	#104
ExplosiveExp	#131	#66
PPAPPA	#118	#107
PowerPwr	#128	#107
SP+SP+	#121	#122
Pts POPPO	#112	#130
HavocHav	#110	#91

Rice Run Game

Option Offense 72%, Pass: 27%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#104	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	#91	#130
Run ExplRExp	#83	#119
PPAExp	#86	#129
Run BlockR Blk	#90	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	#83
Stuff RateStuff	#89	#98
TackleTak	-	#55

Rice Pass Game

Option Offense 72%, Pass: 27%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#71	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#47
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#61
PPAExp	#123	#69
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#123	#77
F7 HavocF7	#134	#54
DB HavocDB	#14	#121

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 85° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Rice -4.5 (54.5)
Florida Atlantic won at Rice this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (24-21)
Florida Atlantic beat Rice in 2022 (17-14)

FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)	224	342	66%	2328	17	11	6.8
Zach Gibson (Tr)	17	30	57%	168	2	2	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gemari Sands	66	330	0	5.0	37
Kaden Shields-Dutton	43	193	4	4.5	16
Xavier Terrell	54	161	1	3.0	14
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)	62	58	2	0.9	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Easton Messer (Tr)	64	608	1	9.5	55
Jayshon Platt	31	471	3	15.2	48
Asaad Waseem (Tr)	38	466	5	12.3	44
Dom Henry	19	260	3	13.7	43

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)	58	2	1	1	1
Dillion Williams (Tr)	51	2	0	0	3
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)	40	4	2	0	1
Christopher Keys	33	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wilky Denaud	20	4	2	0	0
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)	40	4	2	0	1
Cecil Doggette Jr.	16	5	2	1	0
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)	16	2	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Wendol Philord	14	2	4
Damarius McGhee (Tr)	20	0	3
Dillion Williams (Tr)	51	2	3

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chase Jenkins	99	142	70%	885	8	2	6.2
Drew Devillier	7	12	58%	58	1	0	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Jackson	148	758	6	5.1	73
Chase Jenkins	124	422	4	3.4	34
Daelen Alexander	74	392	3	5.3	57
DAndre Hardeman Jr.	58	221	2	3.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Drayden Dickmann	33	302	3	9.2	46
Aaron Turner	38	217	2	5.7	32
Tyson Thompson	8	105	2	13.1	37
Quinton Jackson	4	74	1	18.5	75

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Awe	66	7	3	1	2
Ty Anthony Morris	58	8	3	3	2
Marcus Williams	50	4	0	1	5
Tony Anyanwu	41	6	5	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tony Anyanwu	41	6	5	3	1
Michael Daley	15	5	5	2	2
Andrew Awe	66	7	3	1	2
Ty Anthony Morris	58	8	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Khary Crump	14	0	0	6
Marcus Williams	50	4	1	5
Omari Porter	24	1	1	4