Florida Atlantic at Rice - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at Rice OwlsRice logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Rice -4.5 (54.5) (-198)  Open: -5.5
Florida Atlantic 27 - Rice: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Wind: 12.4 MPH
RICE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -1.5  (SP+ FAU -6)

Projected Score: FAU: 29 - RICE: 27 (56)
RICE Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 961 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Owls (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 7.9 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+14.062.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+4.554.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-4.566.5W 53 - 33OY
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+20.572.5L 13 - 48UN
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+14.563.5L 32 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-4.560.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+16.560.5L 24 - 35UY
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+6.064.0L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+6.566.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Rice at Louisiana+14.549.5W 14 - 12UY
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+13.538.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-29.548.5W 38 - 17ON
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-1.541.5W 28 - 17OY
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.045.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-4.554.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+8.548.5L 13 - 61ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+10.548.5W 37 - 34OY
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+13.548.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB+1.551.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+18.557.0L 24 - 56ON
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+28.557.5L 3 - 52UN
Fri 1/2 Rice vs Texas State+19.555.5L 10 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)29.540% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)36.343% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)19.136% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)32.940% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1229.521.839.2%3.191.520398189209554%45%40%39%17%.17
RICE Defense1232.93237%3.721 - - - - - 55%45%40%34%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1236.337.240.6%3.721.6 - - - - - 52%47%43%38%16%.21
RICE Offense1219.123.935.5%3.271.8183541152394.637%62%36%35%20%.05

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1230:2219.535%47%6.651.61.51.65.71.4128.5
Rice1228:4018.335%35%7.157.41.816.32.7232.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1254% (41)40% (107)38189.2524 (45).2 (34)3.15 (48)64% (118)12% (113)1.28 (2)
RICE Defense1255% (112)40% (37) - - - - .16 (85)3.06 (80)76% (83)11% (45)1.07 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1252% (86)43% (72) - - - - .16 (87)3.09 (86)83% (124)10% (65)1.05 (97)
RICE Offense1237% (132)36% (127)24.8114.54.614 (98)-.03 (126)2.7 (118)86% (3)10% (63)1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1245% (98)39% (99)17.129.2208.67.212.214 (108)11 (72).19 (96)1.6 (51)33% (105)32% (65).39 (46)5% (37)2.1 (43)
RICE Defense1245% (24)34% (4) - - - - - - 8 (93).16 (33)1.7 (109)34% (30)24% (4).19 (23)6% (70)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1247% (45)38% (39) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (94)1.8 (129)34% (33)32% (88).35 (91)6% (52)2.2 (108)
RICE Offense1262% (4)35% (121)24.339.823969.817 (79)13 (103).11 (121)1.5 (97)38% (129)25% (119).17 (119)10% (133)1.9 (104)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -15.22  #120
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 7.75  #101
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 22.97  #126
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #98
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -15.22   Rice: -13.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -8.7   Rice: -14.8




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -13.535  #125
Rice's Offense Rating: 2.31  #127
Rice's Defense Rating: 19.58  #104
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 7.9
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8  #120
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 29
Rice 27


Projected Total Points: 56
Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Rice21Florida Atlantic27Rice -4.5Florida Atlantic54.5Under
202311/25Rice24Florida Atlantic21Rice -5Florida Atlantic46.5Under
202210/15Florida Atlantic17Rice14Florida Atlantic -5Rice54.5Under
201611/05Rice25Florida Atlantic42Rice -2Florida Atlantic57.0Over
201510/10Florida Atlantic26Rice27Florida Atlantic -1.5Rice56.5Under
201309/28Rice18Florida Atlantic14Rice -14Florida Atlantic0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice321 Overs
Florida Atlantic344 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 30 - 60 - 60 - 0
Road Teams3 - 36 - 00 - 06 - 0

(#120) FAU at (#125) RICE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFAURICE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #120 #125
SP+SP+ #98 #120
Perf GradeGrade #106 #123
OffenseOff #87 #107
DefenseDef #114 #124
Spec TeamsST #73 #96
TalentTal #83 #107
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
Florida Atlantic Notes
(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report
Rice Notes
(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffRICE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #124
SuccessSuc #108 #11
ExplosiveExp #5 #99
PPAPPA #80 #60
PowerPwr #101 #104
SP+SP+ #64 #112
Pts POPPO #122 #62
HavocHav #89 #55
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffRICE Def
Run GameRun #125 #101
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #37
Run ExplRExp #2 #103
PPAExp #34 #85
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLY #48 #80
Stuff RateStuff #66 #110
TackleTak -  #115
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffRICE Def
Pass GamePass #46 #130
Pass SuccessPSuc #99 #4
Pass ExplPExl #51 #109
PPAExp #96 #33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #41 #76
F7 HavocF7 #113 #45
DB HavocDB #37 #70
Rice on Offense
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCatRICE OffFAU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #114
SuccessSuc #127 #54
ExplosiveExp #36 #117
PPAPPA #126 #90
PowerPwr #127 #126
SP+SP+ #119 #131
Pts POPPO #119 #62
HavocHav #123 #61
Rice Run Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #129 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #72
Run ExplRExp #55 #97
PPAExp #126 #87
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLY #118 #86
Stuff RateStuff #81 #79
TackleTak -  #69
Rice Pass Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCatRICE OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #77 #118
Pass SuccessPSuc #121 #39
Pass ExplPExl #97 #129
PPAExp #121 #94
Pass Block/RushP Blk #112 #72
F7 HavocF7 #63 #65
DB HavocDB #133 #52
Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 85° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Rice -4.5 (54.5)
Florida Atlantic won at Rice this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Rice last year (27-21)
Rice beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (24-21)

  
FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)34551467%365224177.1
Zach Gibson (Tr)315359%323336.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands10546504.437
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
Xavier Terrell5416113.014
Easton Messer (Tr)351117.039
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)1001029610.355
Asaad Waseem (Tr)69726510.544
Jayshon Platt46720515.748
Dom Henry40575414.490

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)835201
Dillion Williams (Tr)622003
Christopher Keys471001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Cecil Doggette Jr.247320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)424008
Damarius McGhee (Tr)300004
Jayden Sweeney (Tr)412034

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins11917269%1025926.0
Drew Devillier102148%123105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson18088964.973
Chase Jenkins15153153.534
Daelen Alexander7439235.357
DAndre Hardeman Jr.7630224.036
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Turner6339846.355
Drayden Dickmann3732338.746
Tyson Thompson8105213.137
Payton Matthews493023.354

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Awe939432
Ty Anthony Morris799333
Tony Anyanwu638731
Marcus Williams614015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Anyanwu638731
Michael Daley155522
Andrew Awe939432
Ty Anthony Morris799333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omari Porter311018
Khary Crump140006
Marcus Williams614015