Rice at Louisiana - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -14.5 (49.5) (-625) Open: -14.5 | 49.5
Rice 14 - Louisiana: 12

Owls (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (14 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 7.9 (#85)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 7)

Our Line: Louisiana -6 (SP+ ULL -6)
Projected Score: RICE: 22 - ULL: 28 (51)
ULL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
RICE Travel: 205 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Rice at Louisiana	+14.5	49.5	W 14 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Rice vs Houston	+13.5	38.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/13	Rice vs Prairie View A&M	-29.5	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Thu 9/18	Rice at Charlotte	-1.5	41.5	W 28 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Rice at Navy	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-4.5	54.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	Rice at UTSA	+8.5	48.5	L 13 - 61	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Rice vs UConn	+10.5	48.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/31	Rice vs Memphis	+13.5	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/8	Rice vs UAB	+1.5	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Rice vs North Texas	+18.5	57.0	L 24 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/29	Rice at South Florida	+28.5	57.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Fri 1/2	Rice vs Texas State	+16.5	55.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Louisiana vs Rice	-14.5	49.5	L 12 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/6	Louisiana vs McNeese	-19.0	50.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Louisiana at Missouri	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/20	Louisiana at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/27	Louisiana vs Marshall	+2.5	47.5	W 54 - 51	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Louisiana at James Madison	+18.5	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+4.5	54.5	L 10 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/25	Louisiana at Troy	+7.0	47.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/1	Louisiana at South Alabama	+3.5	52.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Louisiana vs Texas State	+3.5	62.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20	Louisiana at Arkansas State	+2.5	54.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-10.5	47.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Wed 12/17	Louisiana vs Delaware	-1.5	60.5	L 13 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#114 (.09)	38% (113)	19.8	40% (101)	2.84 (86)	213	34% (132)	98	3.33 (106)	#119 (.25)	40% (52)	32.3	41% (55)	40% (48)	3.8 (82)	48.9	0.7	0.5
ULL	#101 (.12)	39% (109)	26	42% (84)	2.9 (76)	183	35% (128)	161	3.45 (93)	#90 (.19)	46% (124)	29.2	48% (126)	45% (109)	3.33 (39)	46.5	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	12	19.8	14.2	38.3%	3.33	0.7	18	311	213	98	4.3	71%	28%	40%	34%	17%	.09
ULL Defense	13	29.2	27.2	46.1%	3.33	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	45%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	12	32.3	32.6	40%	3.8	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	41%	40%	13%	.25
ULL Offense	13	26	30.3	38.7%	3.45	1.5	19	344	183	161	4.6	57%	41%	42%	35%	16%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	12	32:54	17.5	36%	55%	4.8	48.9	0.7	0.5	4.8	1.8	0	26.6
Louisiana	13	29:58	18.9	41%	55%	5.9	46.5	1.5	1.4	4.5	1.7	2	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	12	71% (4)	40% (101)	50.3	213.3	4.3	20 (60)	.08 (84)	2.84 (86)	75% (55)	13% (131)	1 (57)
ULL Defense	13	53% (109)	48% (126)	-	-	-	-	.18 (115)	3.29 (126)	73% (80)	9% (103)	0.99 (89)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	12	48% (49)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.15 (94)	2.96 (79)	64% (19)	8% (115)	1.15 (132)
ULL Offense	13	57% (22)	42% (84)	39.6	182.9	4.6	26 (40)	.13 (62)	2.9 (76)	71% (75)	11% (110)	0.99 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	12	28% (133)	34% (132)	11.3	16.9	97.9	5.8	8.7	10 (121)	3 (7)	.12 (121)	1.6 (37)	31% (62)	22% (134)	.09 (130)	3% (9)	2.1 (41)
ULL Defense	13	45% (29)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.27 (81)	1.5 (32)	26% (133)	28% (44)	.31 (75)	5% (104)	2.3 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	12	50% (92)	40% (48)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (100)	.38 (118)	1.9 (135)	33% (49)	31% (84)	.44 (128)	5% (90)	2.5 (135)
ULL Offense	13	41% (120)	35% (128)	14.4	26.2	161.2	6.1	11.2	12 (121)	14 (119)	.15 (115)	1.6 (45)	33% (108)	26% (110)	.21 (102)	5% (44)	1.9 (108)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -13.50 #124
Rice's Offense Rating: 0.57 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 14.07 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 7.9
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #119
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -13.50 Louisiana: -7.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -14.3 Louisiana: -8.7

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -7.85 #120
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 2.57 #110
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.57 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #100
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #75
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.6

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 28
Rice 22

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana 28
Rice 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana 30
Rice 23

Total Points: 53

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Louisiana	12	Rice	14	Louisiana -14.5	Rice	49.5	Under
2022	09/17	Rice	33	Louisiana	21	Louisiana -11.5	Rice	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	0	0	1 Overs
Rice	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#124) RICE at (#120) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RICE	ULL
Power RatePwr	#124	#120
SP+SP+	#119	#100
Perf GradeGrade	#124	#121
OffenseOff	#100	#120
DefenseDef	#128	#113
Spec TeamsST	#94	#116
TalentTal	#107	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#88

Rice Notes(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report

Louisiana Notes(11/21) Was 2-6, won 3 straight to stay in bowl fight
(11/20) QB Lunch Winfield a find. Program changer?
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
Louisiana Injury Report

Rice on Offense

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	ULL Def
Perf GradePerf	#100	#113
SuccessSuc	#113	#124
ExplosiveExp	#127	#37
PPAPPA	#114	#90
PowerPwr	#123	#109
SP+SP+	#119	#116
Pts POPPO	#106	#39
HavocHav	#92	#111

Rice Run Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#112	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#101	#126
Run ExplRExp	#57	#89
PPAExp	#84	#115
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	#86	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#106
TackleTak	-	#90

Rice Pass Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#132	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#32
PPAExp	#121	#81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#112
F7 HavocF7	#131	#103
DB HavocDB	#9	#104

Louisiana on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	RICE Def
Perf GradePerf	#120	#128
SuccessSuc	#109	#52
ExplosiveExp	#93	#136
PPAPPA	#101	#119
PowerPwr	#110	#106
SP+SP+	#75	#104
Pts POPPO	#93	#82
HavocHav	#79	#113

Louisiana Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#70	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#55
Run ExplRExp	#58	#132
PPAExp	#62	#94
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#79
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#84
TackleTak	-	#77

Louisiana Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#48
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#135
PPAExp	#115	#118
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#92	#66
F7 HavocF7	#110	#115
DB HavocDB	#44	#90

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86°

Rematch from Week 1
Louisiana -14.5 (49.5)
Rice won at Louisiana this year (14-12)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat Louisiana in 2022 (33-21)

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chase Jenkins	119	172	69%	1025	9	2	6.0
Drew Devillier	10	21	48%	123	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Jackson	164	811	6	4.9	73
Chase Jenkins	151	531	5	3.5	34
Daelen Alexander	74	392	3	5.3	57
DAndre Hardeman Jr.	72	296	2	4.1	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Turner	53	374	3	7.1	55
Drayden Dickmann	37	323	3	8.7	46
Tyson Thompson	8	105	2	13.1	37
Quinton Jackson	4	74	1	18.5	75

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Awe	88	7	3	2	2
Ty Anthony Morris	73	8	3	3	2
Marcus Williams	61	4	0	1	5
Tony Anyanwu	52	7	5	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tony Anyanwu	52	7	5	3	1
Michael Daley	15	5	5	2	2
Andrew Awe	88	7	3	2	2
Ty Anthony Morris	73	8	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Omari Porter	30	1	1	8
Khary Crump	14	0	0	6
Marcus Williams	61	4	1	5

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D'Wayne' Winfield	127	215	59%	1555	11	7	7.2
Daniel Beale	42	84	50%	385	1	4	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	158	763	6	4.8	76
Zylan Perry	138	689	8	5.0	84
D'Wayne' Winfield	152	667	9	4.4	42
Steven Blanco	30	156	2	5.2	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)	32	537	6	16.8	45
Robert Williams	25	309	0	12.4	44
Charles Robertson	15	250	1	16.7	45
Caden Jensen	29	231	1	8.0	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Terrence Williams	95	3	1	0	0
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Tyree Skipper	55	1	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Lawson	52	15	5	9	1
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Jaelen Crider	25	4	3	1	1
Cameron Whitfield	30	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Courtline Flowers	48	3	1	0	4
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3