Florida Atlantic at Navy - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -14.5 (63.5) (-675)  Open: -14.5
Navy 42 - Florida Atlantic: 32  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
FAU 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Navy -13  (SP+ NAVY -14)

Projected Score: FAU: 24 - NAVY: 37 (62)
NAVY Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
FAU Travel: 896 miles
Midshipmen (10 - 2) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.2 - 2.8 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+14.062.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+4.554.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-4.566.5W 53 - 33OY
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+20.572.5L 13 - 48UN
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+14.563.5L 32 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-4.560.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+16.560.5L 24 - 35UY
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+6.064.0L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+6.566.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.045.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-13.550.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-10.052.5W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-14.563.5W 42 - 32ON
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+6.568.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+30.554.5L 10 - 49ON
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida+8.562.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+3.557.5W 28 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-6.038.0W 17 - 16UN
Fri 1/2 Navy vs Cincinnati-4.054.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#44 (.21)42% (78)29.540% (97)2.76 (106)10543% (55)3413.49 (89)#123 (.26)45% (120)36.349% (127)42% (76)4.58 (132)562.40.7
NAVY#16 (.31)49% (11)31.251% (5)3.44 (5)29043% (57)1324.13 (36)#115 (.23)42% (71)2640% (45)45% (111)4.24 (121)51.51.11.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1229.521.841.7%3.492.4254461053413.636%62%40%43%18%.21
NAVY Defense122624.241.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 51%47%40%45%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1236.337.245.5%4.580.7 - - - - - 54%45%49%42%14%.26
NAVY Offense1231.23848.8%4.131.1204222901325.975%23%51%43%10%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1228:3224.837%66%6.6562.40.75.41.8230.5
Navy1232:3120.351%67%651.51.11.14.52.2031.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1236% (135)40% (97)29.5105.23.613 (99).04 (108)2.76 (106)77% (31)10% (89)1.04 (40)
NAVY Defense1251% (84)40% (45) - - - - .12 (87)2.9 (74)76% (102)8% (111)1.02 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1254% (112)49% (127) - - - - .25 (133)3.07 (103)86% (133)9% (89)1.09 (120)
NAVY Offense1275% (3)51% (5)49.3289.85.939 (4).3 (7)3.44 (5)80% (17)7% (18)1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1262% (4)43% (55)3248.4340.5710.628 (22)20 (134).33 (41)1.6 (52)34% (111)31% (65).39 (35)8% (125)2.1 (25)
NAVY Defense1247% (49)45% (111) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (127)1.6 (104)31% (88)31% (81).31 (73)4% (127)2 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1245% (26)42% (76) - - - - - - 3.31 (94)1.6 (81)29% (114)29% (58).38 (110)5% (110)2.2 (114)
NAVY Offense1223% (134)43% (57)8.113.9131.89.516.310 (106)6 (20).45 (13)2 (3)24% (2)33% (40).52 (9)2% (2)2.4 (2)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -13.83  #125
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 3.50  #104
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 17.33  #122
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #65
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -13.83   Navy: 1.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.4   Navy: 4.1




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 1.405  #92
Navy's Offense Rating: 12.11  #51
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40  #125
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 10.2 - 2.8
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #27
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 37
Florida Atlantic 24


Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 33
Florida Atlantic 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Navy 36
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 62
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Navy42Florida Atlantic32Navy -14.5Florida Atlantic63.5Over
201709/01Florida Atlantic19Navy42Navy -9Navy64.0Under
201211/03Navy24Florida Atlantic17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy311 Overs
Florida Atlantic011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#125) FAU at (#92) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFAUNAVY
Power RatePwr #125 #92
SP+SP+ #102 #57
Perf GradeGrade #104 #66
OffenseOff #83 #28
DefenseDef #108 #121
Spec TeamsST #97 #71
TalentTal #83 #136
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
Florida Atlantic Notes
(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report
Navy Notes
(11/28) A gauntlet November ends w/ 2-2 record. Impressive
(11/28) 2 straight wins w/ impressive Def improvement.
(11/16) Run over by ND, Horvath didn't play. Def ugly
(11/16) Come back and kill USF? Mids are wild, AAC threat
(10/30) CB J Ross missed FAU game, very imp vs N Tex
(10/12) Keep eaking out close wins vs meh. But 6-0 w/ bad D
(9/24) Run Off good as ever, Horvath & Tecza good duo
(9/24) Def has been OK, good Success #'s but Expl issues
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
Navy Injury Report
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffNAVY Def
Perf GradePerf #83 #121
SuccessSuc #78 #71
ExplosiveExp #7 #110
PPAPPA #44 #115
PowerPwr #104 #125
SP+SP+ #65 #89
Pts POPPO #89 #121
HavocHav #111 #125
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #127 #119
Run SuccessRSuc #97 #45
Run ExplRExp #40 #95
PPAExp #108 #87
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLY #106 #74
Stuff RateStuff #53 #83
TackleTak -  #134
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #47 #124
Pass SuccessPSuc #55 #111
Pass ExplPExl #52 #104
PPAExp #41 #127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #73
F7 HavocF7 #89 #111
DB HavocDB #125 #127
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffFAU Def
Perf GradePerf #28 #108
SuccessSuc #11 #120
ExplosiveExp #54 #101
PPAPPA #16 #123
PowerPwr #51 #122
SP+SP+ #27 #130
Pts POPPO #36 #132
HavocHav #4 #106
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #17 #80
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #127
Run ExplRExp #24 #120
PPAExp #7 #133
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLY #5 #103
Stuff RateStuff #1 #123
TackleTak -  #58
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #33 #118
Pass SuccessPSuc #57 #76
Pass ExplPExl #3 #81
PPAExp #13 #94
Pass Block/RushP Blk #113 #61
F7 HavocF7 #18 #89
DB HavocDB #2 #110
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57°
Rematch from Week 9
Navy -14.5 (63.5)
Navy won vs Florida Atlantic this year (42-32)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)34551467%365224177.1
Zach Gibson (Tr)315359%323336.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands10546504.437
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
Xavier Terrell5416113.014
Easton Messer (Tr)351117.039
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)1001029610.355
Asaad Waseem (Tr)69726510.544
Jayshon Platt46720515.748
Dom Henry40575414.490

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)835201
Dillion Williams (Tr)622003
Christopher Keys471001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Cecil Doggette Jr.247320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)424008
Damarius McGhee (Tr)300004
Jayden Sweeney (Tr)412034

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8814461%147210610.2
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath2081147155.559
Alex Tecza14282295.876
Eli Heidenreich6743736.525
Brandon Chatman5541537.536
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich46877519.182
Brandon Chatman1615809.927
Cody Howard4128132.065
Alex Tecza12123110.329

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker937230
Giuseppe Sessi761000
Luke Pirris757443
Coleman Cauley683020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson588670
Julian Moutome375423
Adam Klenk305451
Luke Pirris757443
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Justin Ross322134
Luke Pirris757443