Florida Atlantic at Navy - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
FAU 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Navy -12.5   (SP+ NAVY -18)

Projected Score: FAU: 23 - NAVY: 36 (59)
NAVY Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
FAU Travel: 896 miles
Midshipmen (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 44 - 18 (45 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#40)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+21.5
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+0.5
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-8.5
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+14.5
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-5
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+15.5
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+9.5
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.5
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-16.5
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-12.5
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+5.5
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+19.5
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida-0.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#103 (.1)44% (62)30.347% (56)2.53 (109)13043% (72)3273.93 (69)#107 (.22)36% (49)30.336% (48)37% (46)3.08 (54)61.330.3
NAVY#11 (.46)60% (5)4462% (4)3.87 (7)37750% (32)1185.05 (31)#74 (.14)38% (61)1833% (23)43% (89)3.73 (73)5711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense330.317.544%3.933264571303274.136%64%47%43%19%.1
NAVY Defense31815.538.1%3.731.7 - - - - - 43%56%33%43%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense330.338.536.5%3.080.3 - - - - - 30%70%36%37%16%.22
NAVY Offense3444559.8%5.051244953771186.883%17%62%50%9%.46

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic328:4426.339%44%6.761.330.36.31229.6
Navy334:1123.763%75%5.35711.75.33034.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense336% (133)47% (56)32130.34.12 (109).01 (104)2.53 (109)100% (1)8% (65)0.98 (63)
NAVY Defense343% (25)33% (23) - - - - .05 (64)2.44 (37)70% (71)10% (71)1.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense330% (1)36% (48) - - - - .06 (66)2 (10)0% (1)8% (97)0.86 (51)
NAVY Offense383% (2)62% (4)55.7377.36.815 (1).45 (5)3.87 (7)86% (21)8% (47)1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense364% (2)43% (72)32.752.7326.76.2108 (18)9 (136).15 (102)1.5 (89)33% (99)32% (64).5 (41)11% (134)2.3 (25)
NAVY Defense356% (113)43% (89) - - - - - - 3 (28).26 (86)1.3 (31)33% (70)31% (83).11 (31)7% (41)1.5 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense370% (136)37% (46) - - - - - - 0.29 (98)1.6 (93)43% (3)28% (65).27 (69)8% (25)1.9 (55)
NAVY Offense317% (135)50% (32)710.711811.116.93 (90)2 (60).49 (23)1.7 (24)19% (3)37% (34).47 (45)2% (4)1.9 (83)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -7.23 #99
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -7.23   Navy: 4.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.7   Navy: 7.8




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.5

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 36
Florida Atlantic 23


Total Points: 59

Navy Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/01Florida Atlantic19Navy42NavyNavy -9Navy64.0Under
201211/03Navy24Florida Atlantic17Navy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy210 Overs
Florida Atlantic001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#99) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -7.23 #99
Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida Atlantic has lost 5 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida Atlantic Notes
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
(3/24) QB Veltkamp a big portal+ from WKU LY
(3/24) New HC Kittley was OC at T Tech. Likely OC
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. No portals, some depth

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic Defensive Line is very good (#10)
Florida Atlantic Secondary is very good (#25)
Florida Atlantic defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic has a bad TO Margin (#135)
Florida Atlantic throws a Lot of Interceptions (#136)
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
Florida Atlantic Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNAVYFAU
OverallOver#27#59
OffenseOff#20#76
DefenseDef#44#48
Special TeamsST#35#17
PassingPass#72#99
RushingRush#1#86
Run BlockRBLK#81#61
Pass BlockPBLK#14#21
Route RunningWR Rt#37#48
TacklingTkl#87#73
Run DefenseR Def#52#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#18#69
Coverage DefCov#50#81

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FAU | NAVY
Depth Chart: FAU | NAVY
Rosters: FAU | NAVY
(#90) Navy Info
Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9

Team Profile
Option Offense 83%, Pass: 17%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Great Run Success 62%
Good Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Navy has lost 3 straight
Navy has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Navy Notes
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed

Navy Highlights
Navy in Undefeated
Navy is Undefeated at Home

Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is efficent (#5)
Navy has a top Offensive Line (#7)
Navy offense is good on 3rd downs
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)

Navy Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)


  
Florida Atlantic's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)9013865%880876.4
Zach Gibson (Tr)71547%82025.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands3323207.037
Xavier Terrell237003.014
Kaden Shields-Dutton116015.513
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)232110.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)2521318.530
Asaad Waseem (Tr)14163311.631
Jayshon Platt10146114.638
Dom Henry9127214.140

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Brett Dewhurst
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christopher Keys161000
Dillion Williams (Tr)140002
Khmari Johnson (Tr)122000
Zyere Horton121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)21100
Wilky Denaud92100
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)71110
Christopher Keys161000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)92003
Wendol Philord51002
Damarius McGhee (Tr)20002

Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath182572%3283213.1
Braxton Woodson3743%26003.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza4527246.039
Blake Horvath4124536.035
Eli Heidenreich2420938.725
Braxton Woodson10194219.474
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich10126112.635
Luke Hutchison370223.363
Cody Howard165065.065
Joshua Guerin135035.035

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Landon Robinson194310
Luke Pirris192110
Griffen Willis141101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson194310
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Julian Moutome122221
Kendall Whiteside21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha70003
Justin Ross101102
Phillip Hamilton80002