UAB at Florida Atlantic - 2025 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -4.5 (66.5) (-205)  Open: -4.5
Florida Atlantic 53 - UAB: 33  (American Athletic)

 
Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Rain Predicted
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -7  (SP+ FAU -7)

Projected Score: UAB: 30 - FAU: 37 (67)
FAU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UAB Travel: 636 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5L 24 - 56OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+6.555.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+4.566.5L 33 - 53ON
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+23.559.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+10.061.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice-1.551.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+17.569.5L 24 - 53ON
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+21.568.5L 18 - 48UN
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+9.056.5W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+14.062.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+4.554.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-4.566.5W 53 - 33OY
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+20.572.5L 13 - 48UN
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+14.563.5L 32 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-4.560.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+16.560.5L 24 - 35UY
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+6.064.0L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+6.566.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.447% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)38.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)29.540% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)36.343% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.424.744.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16
FAU Defense1236.335.540.6%3.721.6 - - - - - 52%47%43%38%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1238.338.844.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
FAU Offense1229.537.239.2%3.191.520398189209554%45%40%39%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Florida Atlantic1230:2219.535%47%6.651.61.51.65.71.4128.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)
FAU Defense1252% (86)43% (72) - - - - .16 (87)3.09 (86)83% (124)10% (65)1.05 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
FAU Offense1254% (41)40% (107)38189.2524 (45).2 (34)3.15 (48)64% (118)12% (113)1.28 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)
FAU Defense1247% (45)38% (39) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (94)1.8 (129)34% (33)32% (88).35 (91)6% (52)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
FAU Offense1245% (98)39% (99)17.129.2208.67.212.214 (108)11 (72).19 (96)1.6 (51)33% (105)32% (65).39 (46)5% (37)2.1 (43)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -16.94  #124
UAB's Offense Rating: 8.41  #96
UAB's Defense Rating: 25.35  #132
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8  #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -16.94   Florida Atlantic: -9.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.8   Florida Atlantic: -8.7




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -9.46  #120
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 7.75  #101
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 22.97  #126
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #98
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 37
UAB 30


Projected Total Points: 67
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Florida Atlantic53UAB33Florida Atlantic -4.5Florida Atlantic66.5Over
202311/04UAB45Florida Atlantic42UAB -1UAB59.5Over
202210/29Florida Atlantic24UAB17UAB -5Florida Atlantic45.0Under
202110/09UAB31Florida Atlantic14UAB -3.5UAB48.5Under
201912/07Florida Atlantic49UAB6Florida Atlantic -8.0Florida Atlantic49.5Over
201411/01Florida Atlantic28UAB31Florida Atlantic -4.5UAB0
201310/05UAB23Florida Atlantic37UAB -7Florida Atlantic0
201111/26Florida Atlantic38UAB35
201009/02UAB31Florida Atlantic32
200911/07UAB56Florida Atlantic29
200809/06Florida Atlantic49UAB34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic743 Overs
UAB432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 35 - 24 - 21 - 0
Road Teams3 - 82 - 50 - 12 - 4

(#124) UAB at (#120) FAU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUABFAU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #124 #120
SP+SP+ #125 #98
Perf GradeGrade #121 #106
OffenseOff #56 #87
DefenseDef #136 #114
Spec TeamsST #134 #73
TalentTal #111 #83
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #88
UAB Notes
(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report
Florida Atlantic Notes
(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report
UAB on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffFAU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #114
SuccessSuc #42 #54
ExplosiveExp #126 #117
PPAPPA #85 #90
PowerPwr #96 #126
SP+SP+ #80 #131
Pts POPPO #109 #62
HavocHav #106 #61
UAB Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #83 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #72
Run ExplRExp #132 #97
PPAExp #85 #87
Run BlockR Blk #50 -
OL YdsOLY #42 #86
Stuff RateStuff #26 #79
TackleTak -  #69
UAB Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #79 #118
Pass SuccessPSuc #48 #39
Pass ExplPExl #94 #129
PPAExp #71 #94
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #50 #72
F7 HavocF7 #111 #65
DB HavocDB #79 #52
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatFAU OffUAB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #136
SuccessSuc #108 #104
ExplosiveExp #5 #21
PPAPPA #80 #101
PowerPwr #101 #132
SP+SP+ #64 #132
Pts POPPO #122 #110
HavocHav #89 #118
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffUAB Def
Run GameRun #125 #129
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #132
Run ExplRExp #2 #17
PPAExp #34 #127
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLY #48 #134
Stuff RateStuff #66 #130
TackleTak -  #130
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatFAU OffUAB Def
Pass GamePass #46 #136
Pass SuccessPSuc #99 #12
Pass ExplPExl #51 #121
PPAExp #96 #43
Pass Block/RushP Blk #41 #104
F7 HavocF7 #113 #132
DB HavocDB #37 #62
Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 82° - Wind: 12 mph
Rain: 0.016
Rematch from Week 7
Florida Atlantic -4.5 (66.5)
Florida Atlantic won vs UAB this year (53-33)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat UAB last year (53-33)
UAB beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (45-42)

  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna22333766%246213117.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)629863%708757.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)16790055.458
Isaiah Jacobs7934244.323
Solomon Beebe5633866.081
Nate Rogers138426.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks72927712.951
BJ Hawkins Jr.41540513.268
Corri Milliner24341314.249
Solomon Beebe3128409.243

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Hightower (Tr)813120
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)541102
AJ Brown530000
Eamon Smalls504110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge325470
Jonathan Allen343210
Eddy Toussom467230
Eli Ennis (Tr)112200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)182006
Delvon Gulley (Tr)191013
Perry Fisher (Tr)210003

FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)34551467%365224177.1
Zach Gibson (Tr)315359%323336.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands10546504.437
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
Xavier Terrell5416113.014
Easton Messer (Tr)351117.039
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)1001029610.355
Asaad Waseem (Tr)69726510.544
Jayshon Platt46720515.748
Dom Henry40575414.490

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)835201
Dillion Williams (Tr)622003
Christopher Keys471001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Cecil Doggette Jr.247320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)424008
Damarius McGhee (Tr)300004
Jayden Sweeney (Tr)412034