UAB at Navy Game Matchup
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD  (American Athletic)

 
Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Navy -12.5   (SP+ NAVY -13)

Projected Score: UAB: 23 - NAVY: 36 (57)
NAVY Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
UAB Travel: 686 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UAB vs Alabama State-9
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+12.5
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-7.5
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+34
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+8.5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+3.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+13
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+0.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+4
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+12.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Navy vs VMI-19
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-12.5
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.5
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-9.5
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-11
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-11.5
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas-0.5
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+33
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida+3
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.247% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)34.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)31.346% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)22.246% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.218.844.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16
NAVY Defense1322.225.641.2%3.481.8 - - - - - 51%48%46%37%14%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1234.338.344.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
NAVY Offense1331.338.844.2%4.391.1163472311175.574%26%46%39%11%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Navy1327:4716.239%64%4.841.91.11.84.21.8331.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)
NAVY Defense1351% (77)46% (95) - - - - .16 (89)3.27 (107)77% (89)9% (101)0.92 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
NAVY Offense1374% (3)46% (43)42.3230.75.535 (8).29 (10)3.27 (32)82% (15)8% (28)1.2 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)
NAVY Defense1348% (57)37% (24) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (8)1.5 (51)31% (85)25% (8).2 (30)5% (89)2.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
NAVY Offense1326% (132)39% (101)7.112.8116.79.116.515 (98)6 (10).39 (15)2 (3)29% (26)27% (110).4 (37)3% (4)2.5 (2)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -15.09 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.09   Navy: -2.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -13.8   Navy: -1.0




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -2.19 #89
Navy's Offense Rating: 12.66 #78
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.04 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 108.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 36
UAB 23


Projected Total Points: 57
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28UAB18Navy41NavyNavy -4.5Navy56.5Over
202311/11Navy31UAB6NavyUAB -3.5Navy52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy221 Overs
UAB001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0

(#107) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.09 #107
Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130
Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UAB Notes
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long
UAB     Ratings Matchup     Navy
Power #107
#89
Off #105
#78
Def #109
#104
Talent #115
#136
SP+ #112
#68
SP+ Off #84
#58
SP+ Def #130
#71

Previous Matchups
Navy beat UAB last year (41-18)
Navy beat UAB in 2023 (31-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | NAVY
Depth Chart: UAB | NAVY
Rosters: UAB | NAVY
(#89) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.19 #89
Offense Rating: 12.66 #78
Defense Rating: 21.04 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #71
Talent Rating: 108.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Navy Notes
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed


  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna19631662%220917117.0
Harrison Barker33100%491016.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Isaiah Jacobs4116204.012
Solomon Beebe228113.716
Harrison Barker53306.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner24416317.345
Iverson Hooks14179112.839
Jevon Jackson (Tr)169926.222
Antonio Ferguson (Tr)790112.939

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Sirad Bryant591000
AJ Brown312121
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Denver Warren (Tr)213311
James Smyre92200
Amorie Morrison (Tr)194250
AJ Brown312121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Donald Lee201023
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002

Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8013958%13531349.7
Braxton Woodson183650%243226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath1761254177.195
Alex Tecza12355684.565
Eli Heidenreich6544436.860
Brandon Chatman4825035.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich39671617.274
Brandon Chatman18257414.346
Alex Tecza12229219.146
Nathan Kent10222222.277

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Pirris686351
Landon Robinson616570
Jaxson Campbell585324
Kenneth McShan341030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson616570
Luke Pirris686351
Jaxson Campbell585324
MarcAnthony Parker82200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxson Campbell585324
Andrew Duhart292004
Ira Oniha121003