UAB at Navy - 2025 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -20.5 (59.0) (-1600)  Open: -21.0 | 58.5
Navy 38 - UAB: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Blazers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 36 - 36 (24 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Navy -18.5   (SP+ NAVY -20)

Projected Score: UAB: 22 - NAVY: 40 (62)
NAVY Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
UAB Travel: 686 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 44 - 18 (45 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#40)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+8.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+20.5
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+6.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+16.5
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+15.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.5
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-16.5
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-12.5
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+5.5
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+19.5
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida-0.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#13 (.45)55% (16)35.755% (20)3.53 (25)14956% (15)3034.58 (43)#136 (.56)58% (135)3659% (134)56% (132)4.92 (120)33.71.30.3
NAVY#11 (.46)60% (5)4462% (4)3.87 (7)37750% (32)1185.05 (31)#74 (.14)38% (61)1833% (23)43% (89)3.73 (73)5711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense335.72454.7%4.581.3244521493034.853%46%55%56%10%.45
NAVY Defense31815.538.1%3.731.7 - - - - - 43%56%33%43%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense3363858.2%4.920.3 - - - - - 72%28%59%56%12%.56
NAVY Offense3444559.8%5.051244953771186.883%17%62%50%9%.46

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB327:4824.341%43%4.333.71.30.362.3130.6
Navy334:1123.763%75%5.35711.75.33034.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense353% (54)55% (20)31148.74.87 (38).32 (29)3.53 (25)67% (86)5% (13)1.06 (48)
NAVY Defense343% (25)33% (23) - - - - .05 (64)2.44 (37)70% (71)10% (71)1.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense372% (136)59% (134) - - - - .35 (129)3.49 (128)89% (119)11% (56)0.95 (73)
NAVY Offense383% (2)62% (4)55.7377.36.815 (1).45 (5)3.87 (7)86% (21)8% (47)1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense346% (86)56% (15)23.733.7303912.86 (34)3 (92).68 (9)1.5 (64)21% (8)50% (4).83 (7)5% (68)2.3 (31)
NAVY Defense356% (113)43% (89) - - - - - - 3 (28).26 (86)1.3 (31)33% (70)31% (83).11 (31)7% (41)1.5 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense328% (1)56% (132) - - - - - - 01.11 (136)2.5 (136)25% (127)52% (135).93 (135)2% (134)2.1 (93)
NAVY Offense317% (135)50% (32)710.711811.116.93 (90)2 (60).49 (23)1.7 (24)19% (3)37% (34).47 (45)2% (4)1.9 (83)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -15.85 #118
UAB's Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.85   Navy: 4.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -12.6   Navy: 7.8




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UAB Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 40
UAB 22


Total Points: 62

Navy Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Navy38UAB24NavyNavy -20.5UAB59.0Over
202409/28UAB18Navy41NavyNavy -4.5Navy56.5Over
202311/11Navy31UAB6NavyUAB -3.5Navy52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy322 Overs
UAB011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#118) UAB Info
Power Rating: -15.85 #118
Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131
Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 58%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.92 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 59%
Awful Pass Def Success 56%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UAB Notes
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
(6/14) OL 2/5 back, looks bad. 4 portals w/ no exp
(6/14) Both OL & DL look weak & lack playmakers
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long

UAB Highlights
UAB offense is efficent (#16)
UAB has a top Offensive Line (#25)
UAB commits very few Penalties (#30)
UAB defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNAVYUAB
OverallOver#27#47
OffenseOff#20#22
DefenseDef#44#83
Special TeamsST#35#51
PassingPass#72#31
RushingRush#1#32
Run BlockRBLK#81#37
Pass BlockPBLK#14#32
Route RunningWR Rt#37#30
TacklingTkl#87#35
Run DefenseR Def#52#46
Pass Rush DefPRush#18#85
Coverage DefCov#50#108

Rematch from Week 2
Navy -20.5 (59.0)
Navy won vs UAB this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat UAB last year (41-18)
Navy beat UAB in 2023 (31-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | NAVY
Depth Chart: UAB | NAVY
Rosters: UAB | NAVY
(#90) Navy Info
Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9

Team Profile
Option Offense 83%, Pass: 17%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Great Run Success 62%
Good Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Navy has won 1 straight
Navy has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Navy Notes
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed

Navy Highlights
Navy in Undefeated
Navy is Undefeated at Home

Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is efficent (#5)
Navy has a top Offensive Line (#7)
Navy offense is good on 3rd downs
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)

Navy Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)


  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna7010070%892638.9
Iverson Hooks11100%170017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)4627736.048
Isaiah Jacobs199515.021
Solomon Beebe187224.012
Nate Rogers1818.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner17268315.849
Iverson Hooks16229214.351
Solomon Beebe10121012.136
BJ Hawkins Jr.10120012.041

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pierre Royster (Tr)230000
Devin Hightower (Tr)211000
Chris Burge163310
Eamon Smalls151010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge163310
Kyle Mosley31100
J'Quan Mason11100
Eli Ennis (Tr)72100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)81004
Perry Fisher (Tr)30002
Sirad Bryant131002

Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath182572%3283213.1
Braxton Woodson3743%26003.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza4527246.039
Blake Horvath4124536.035
Eli Heidenreich2420938.725
Braxton Woodson10194219.474
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich10126112.635
Luke Hutchison370223.363
Cody Howard165065.065
Joshua Guerin135035.035

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Landon Robinson194310
Luke Pirris192110
Griffen Willis141101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson194310
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Julian Moutome122221
Kendall Whiteside21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha70003
Justin Ross101102
Phillip Hamilton80002