UAB at Navy - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -20.5 (59.0) (-1600) Open: -21.0 | 58.5
Navy 38 - UAB: 24 (American Athletic)

Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)

Light Rain Predicted
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Navy -17 (SP+ NAVY -19)
Projected Score: UAB: 21 - NAVY: 38 (60)
NAVY Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
UAB Travel: 686 miles, 1 hrs behind

Midshipmen (10 - 2) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.2 - 2.8 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
NAVY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UAB vs Alabama State	-21.0	53.5	W 52 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	UAB at Navy	+20.5	59.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/13	UAB vs Akron	-12.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/20	UAB at Tennessee	+39.5	69.5	L 24 - 56	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UAB vs Army	+6.5	55.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	UAB at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	66.5	L 33 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/18	UAB vs Memphis	+23.5	59.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UAB at UConn	+10.0	61.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/8	UAB at Rice	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/15	UAB vs North Texas	+17.5	69.5	L 24 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/22	UAB vs South Florida	+21.5	68.5	L 18 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/29	UAB at Tulsa	+9.0	56.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Navy's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Navy vs VMI	-42.5	54.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Navy vs UAB	-20.5	59.0	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/13	Navy at Tulsa	-14.0	52.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Navy vs Rice	-14.0	45.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/4	Navy vs Air Force	-13.5	50.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/11	Navy at Temple	-10.0	52.5	W 32 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Navy vs Florida Atlantic	-14.5	63.5	W 42 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/1	Navy at North Texas	+6.5	68.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/8	Navy at Notre Dame	+30.5	54.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/15	Navy vs South Florida	+8.5	62.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27	Navy at Memphis	+3.5	57.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13	Navy vs Army	-6.0	38.0	W 17 - 16	U	N
Fri 1/2	Navy vs Cincinnati	-4.0	54.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#55 (.19)	42% (64)	26.4	44% (63)	3.12 (36)	139	42% (62)	266	3.63 (77)	#135 (.34)	49% (132)	38.3	50% (131)	48% (126)	4.71 (135)	61.2	1.8	0.8
NAVY	#16 (.31)	49% (11)	31.2	51% (5)	3.44 (5)	290	43% (57)	132	4.13 (36)	#115 (.23)	42% (71)	26	40% (45)	45% (111)	4.24 (121)	51.5	1.1	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)		47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)		52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1
NAVY	#12 (.31)	44% (51)		46% (43)	3.27 (32)	231	39% (101)	117	4.39 (26)	#28 (.1)	41% (61)		46% (95)	37% (24)	3.48 (35)	41.9	1.1	1.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	12	26.4	24.7	42.4%	3.63	1.8	22	404	139	266	4.2	45%	53%	44%	42%	15%	.19
NAVY Defense	12	26	24.2	41.9%	4.24	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	40%	45%	13%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	12	38.3	38.8	48.9%	4.71	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	61%	38%	50%	48%	12%	.34
NAVY Offense	12	31.2	38	48.8%	4.13	1.1	20	422	290	132	5.9	75%	23%	51%	43%	10%	.31

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	12	31:18	22	46%	47%	7.4	61.2	1.8	0.8	4.1	1.4	1	28.9
Navy	12	32:31	20.3	51%	67%	6	51.5	1.1	1.1	4.5	2.2	0	31.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	12	45% (110)	44% (63)	32.9	138.8	4.2	20 (49)	.17 (42)	3.12 (36)	71% (79)	9% (69)	1.09 (23)
NAVY Defense	12	51% (84)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.12 (87)	2.9 (74)	76% (102)	8% (111)	1.02 (95)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	12	61% (136)	50% (131)	-	-	-	-	.22 (127)	3.35 (131)	83% (129)	8% (115)	0.91 (42)
NAVY Offense	12	75% (3)	51% (5)	49.3	289.8	5.9	39 (4)	.3 (7)	3.44 (5)	80% (17)	7% (18)	1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	12	53% (32)	42% (62)	23.9	36.5	265.6	7.3	11.1	20 (42)	16 (88)	.27 (59)	1.5 (73)	31% (68)	33% (32)	.36 (49)	6% (68)	2.1 (39)
NAVY Defense	12	47% (49)	45% (111)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.41 (127)	1.6 (104)	31% (88)	31% (81)	.31 (73)	4% (127)	2 (52)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	12	38% (1)	48% (126)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (100)	.52 (136)	1.9 (134)	27% (131)	32% (92)	.41 (116)	4% (130)	2.1 (105)
NAVY Offense	12	23% (134)	43% (57)	8.1	13.9	131.8	9.5	16.3	10 (106)	6 (20)	.45 (13)	2 (3)	24% (2)	33% (40)	.52 (9)	2% (2)	2.4 (2)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -16.23 #130
UAB's Offense Rating: 5.78 #88
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #122
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #79
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -16.23 Navy: 1.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.1 Navy: 4.1

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 1.405 #92
Navy's Offense Rating: 12.11 #51
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 10.2 - 2.8
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #27
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Navy 38
UAB 21

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 33
UAB 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Navy 37
UAB 25

Total Points: 62

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Navy	38	UAB	24	Navy -20.5	UAB	59.0	Over
2024	09/28	UAB	18	Navy	41	Navy -4.5	Navy	56.5	Over
2023	11/11	Navy	31	UAB	6	UAB -3.5	Navy	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Navy	3	2	2 Overs
UAB	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#130) UAB at (#92) NAVY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	NAVY
Power RatePwr	#130	#92
SP+SP+	#122	#57
Perf GradeGrade	#111	#66
OffenseOff	#53	#28
DefenseDef	#132	#121
Spec TeamsST	#135	#71
TalentTal	#111	#136
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#101

UAB Notes(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report

Navy Notes(11/28) A gauntlet November ends w/ 2-2 record. Impressive
(11/28) 2 straight wins w/ impressive Def improvement.
(11/16) Run over by ND, Horvath didn't play. Def ugly
(11/16) Come back and kill USF? Mids are wild, AAC threat
(10/30) CB J Ross missed FAU game, very imp vs N Tex
(10/12) Keep eaking out close wins vs meh. But 6-0 w/ bad D
(9/24) Run Off good as ever, Horvath & Tecza good duo
(9/24) Def has been OK, good Success #'s but Expl issues
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
Navy Injury Report

UAB on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	NAVY Def
Perf GradePerf	#53	#121
SuccessSuc	#64	#71
ExplosiveExp	#31	#110
PPAPPA	#55	#115
PowerPwr	#88	#125
SP+SP+	#79	#89
Pts POPPO	#77	#121
HavocHav	#65	#125

UAB Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	#85	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#45
Run ExplRExp	#23	#95
PPAExp	#42	#87
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	#36	#74
Stuff RateStuff	#55	#83
TackleTak	-	#134

UAB Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#111
Pass ExplPExl	#73	#104
PPAExp	#59	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#44	#73
F7 HavocF7	#69	#111
DB HavocDB	#68	#127

Navy on Offense

Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat	NAVY Off	UAB Def
Perf GradePerf	#28	#132
SuccessSuc	#11	#132
ExplosiveExp	#54	#94
PPAPPA	#16	#135
PowerPwr	#51	#133
SP+SP+	#27	#132
Pts POPPO	#36	#135
HavocHav	#4	#130

Navy Run Game

Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat	NAVY Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#17	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	#131
Run ExplRExp	#24	#42
PPAExp	#7	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	#5	#131
Stuff RateStuff	#1	#130
TackleTak	-	#131

Navy Pass Game

Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat	NAVY Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	#57	#126
Pass ExplPExl	#3	#134
PPAExp	#13	#136
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#118
F7 HavocF7	#18	#115
DB HavocDB	#2	#130

Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 79° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Navy -20.5 (59.0)
Navy won vs UAB this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat UAB last year (41-18)
Navy beat UAB in 2023 (31-6)

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	223	337	66%	2462	13	11	7.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)	62	98	63%	708	7	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	167	900	5	5.4	58
Isaiah Jacobs	79	342	4	4.3	23
Solomon Beebe	56	338	6	6.0	81
Nate Rogers	13	84	2	6.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Iverson Hooks	72	927	7	12.9	51
BJ Hawkins Jr.	41	540	5	13.2	68
Corri Milliner	24	341	3	14.2	49
Solomon Beebe	31	284	0	9.2	43

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devin Hightower (Tr)	81	3	1	2	0
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)	54	1	1	0	2
AJ Brown	53	0	0	0	0
Eamon Smalls	50	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Chris Burge	32	5	4	7
Jonathan Allen	34	3	2	1
Eddy Toussom	46	7	2	3
Eli Ennis (Tr)	11	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)	18	2	0	6
Delvon Gulley (Tr)	19	1	1	3
Perry Fisher (Tr)	21	0	0	3

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Blake Horvath	88	144	61%	1472	10	6	10.2
Braxton Woodson	9	19	47%	110	0	0	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Horvath	208	1147	15	5.5	59
Alex Tecza	142	822	9	5.8	76
Eli Heidenreich	67	437	3	6.5	25
Brandon Chatman	55	415	3	7.5	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Heidenreich	46	877	5	19.1	82
Brandon Chatman	16	158	0	9.9	27
Cody Howard	4	128	1	32.0	65
Alex Tecza	12	123	1	10.3	29

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MarcAnthony Parker	93	7	2	3	0
Giuseppe Sessi	76	1	0	0	0
Luke Pirris	75	7	4	4	3
Coleman Cauley	68	3	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Robinson	58	8	6	7	0
Julian Moutome	37	5	4	2	3
Adam Klenk	30	5	4	5	1
Luke Pirris	75	7	4	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ira Oniha	24	1	0	0	7
Justin Ross	32	2	1	3	4
Luke Pirris	75	7	4	4	3