Tulsa at Florida Atlantic - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (14 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
TLSA coming off BYE
FAU coming off BYE
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -5   (SP+ FAU -1)

Projected Score: TLSA: 25 - FAU: 30 (54)
FAU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TLSA Travel: 1151 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (56 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
 
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-5.059.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State-3.052.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+14.052.5L 23 - 42ON
Fri 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+13.555.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+13
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+29
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+6
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+7
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+21.5
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+0.5
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-8.5
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+14.5
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-5
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+15.5
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+9.5
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#99 (.11)41% (88)2437% (111)2.61 (103)18347% (49)2203.82 (79)#68 (.13)44% (102)23.343% (90)45% (103)3.83 (83)40.71.31.7
FAU#103 (.1)44% (62)30.347% (56)2.53 (109)13043% (72)3273.93 (69)#107 (.22)36% (49)30.336% (48)37% (46)3.08 (54)61.330.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense3241441.4%3.821.3244031832204.950%49%37%47%13%.11
FAU Defense330.31436.5%3.080.3 - - - - - 30%70%36%37%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense323.32144.3%3.831.7 - - - - - 56%43%43%45%14%.13
FAU Offense330.35644%3.933264571303274.136%64%47%43%19%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa328:5724.338%67%6.740.71.31.76.72.7026.9
Florida Atlantic328:4426.339%44%6.761.330.36.31229.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense350% (71)37% (111)37.71834.95 (62).04 (97)2.61 (103)59% (108)6% (27)1.2 (30)
FAU Defense330% (1)36% (48) - - - - .06 (66)2 (10)0% (1)8% (97)0.86 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense356% (111)43% (90) - - - - .04 (59)2.62 (51)68% (61)10% (72)0.94 (72)
FAU Offense336% (133)47% (56)32130.34.12 (109).01 (104)2.53 (109)100% (1)8% (65)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense349% (69)47% (49)23.73722069.34 (72)3 (92).2 (89)1.1 (132)32% (85)26% (105).14 (110)7% (104)2 (61)
FAU Defense370% (136)37% (46) - - - - - - 0.29 (98)1.6 (93)43% (3)28% (65).27 (69)8% (25)1.9 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense343% (25)45% (103) - - - - - - 3 (28).22 (72)1.3 (28)31% (91)36% (114).42 (102)4% (110)2 (73)
FAU Offense364% (2)43% (72)32.752.7326.76.2108 (18)9 (136).15 (102)1.5 (89)33% (99)32% (64).5 (41)11% (134)2.3 (25)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.98   Florida Atlantic: -5.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -11.1   Florida Atlantic: -9.7




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -5.965 #99
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 30
Tulsa 25


Total Points: 54

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 56
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 14

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Tulsa16Florida Atlantic63Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -2.5Florida Atlantic57.5Over
202310/07Florida Atlantic20Tulsa17Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -3Push54.5Under
201509/05Tulsa47Florida Atlantic44TulsaTulsa -21Florida Atlantic67.5Over
201409/13Florida Atlantic50Tulsa21Florida AtlanticTulsa -1.5Florida Atlantic0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic332 Overs
Tulsa101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 32 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#107) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa has lost 7 straight
Tulsa has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulsa Notes
(9/13) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs Navy (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa has a bad defense (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFAUTLSA
OverallOver#59#43
OffenseOff#76#83
DefenseDef#48#5
Special TeamsST#17#65
PassingPass#99#81
RushingRush#86#40
Run BlockRBLK#61#99
Pass BlockPBLK#21#68
Route RunningWR Rt#48#83
TacklingTkl#73#31
Run DefenseR Def#18#5
Pass Rush DefPRush#69#2
Coverage DefCov#81#63

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa last year (63-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa in 2023 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | FAU
Depth Chart: TLSA | FAU
Rosters: TLSA | FAU
(#99) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -5.965 #99
Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida Atlantic has lost 6 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida Atlantic Notes
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
(3/24) QB Veltkamp a big portal+ from WKU LY
(3/24) New HC Kittley was OC at T Tech. Likely OC
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. No portals, some depth

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic is Undefeated at Home
Florida Atlantic is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Florida Atlantic Defensive Line is very good (#10)
Florida Atlantic Secondary is very good (#25)
Florida Atlantic defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic has a bad TO Margin (#135)
Florida Atlantic throws a Lot of Interceptions (#136)
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
Florida Atlantic Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)


  
Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)365467%324226.0
Kirk Francis335461%318215.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)5329625.657
Ajay Allen (Tr)1811016.140
Braylin Presley149907.128
Baylor Hayes (Tr)122722.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Booker (Tr)2321419.336
Micah Tease (Tr)7119017.027
Mekhi Miller (Tr)95806.48
Brody Foley (Tr)352217.322

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Zach Williams200001
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)151000
Tim Hardiman (Tr)140020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)74410
Nahki Johnson (Tr)123100
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Green130002
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401

Florida Atlantic's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)9013865%880876.4
Zach Gibson (Tr)71547%82025.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands3323207.037
Xavier Terrell237003.014
Kaden Shields-Dutton116015.513
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)232110.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)2521318.530
Asaad Waseem (Tr)14163311.631
Jayshon Platt10146114.638
Dom Henry9127214.140

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Brett Dewhurst
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christopher Keys161000
Dillion Williams (Tr)140002
Khmari Johnson (Tr)122000
Zyere Horton121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)21100
Wilky Denaud92100
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)71110
Christopher Keys161000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)92003
Wendol Philord51002
Damarius McGhee (Tr)20002