Tulsa at Florida Atlantic - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (3:00 PM EST)
Florida Atlantic -4.5 (60.5) (-170)  Open: -6.5 | 65.5
Florida Atlantic 40 - Tulsa: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Rain Shower Predicted
TLSA coming off BYE
FAU coming off BYE
Our Line: Tulsa -0.5  (SP+ FAU -2)

Projected Score: TLSA: 32 - FAU: 31 (63)
FAU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TLSA Travel: 1151 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-5.059.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State-3.052.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+14.052.5L 23 - 42ON
Fri 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+10.554.5W 19 - 12UY
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+14.552.5L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+21.054.5L 7 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+16.554.5L 27 - 41OY
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple+4.552.5L 37 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+4.560.5L 21 - 40ON
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State-1.550.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+10.043.5W 26 - 25OY
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB-9.056.5L 24 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+14.062.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+4.554.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-4.566.5W 53 - 33OY
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+20.572.5L 13 - 48UN
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+14.563.5L 32 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-4.560.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+16.560.5L 24 - 35UY
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+6.064.0L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+6.566.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#104 (.11)40% (97)23.242% (86)2.87 (81)17638% (104)2233.34 (104)#61 (.15)43% (82)28.942% (64)44% (99)3.78 (77)38.21.60.9
FAU#44 (.21)42% (78)29.540% (97)2.76 (106)10543% (55)3413.49 (89)#123 (.26)45% (120)36.349% (127)42% (76)4.58 (132)562.40.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21940.4%3.341.6223991762234.451%47%42%38%17%.11
FAU Defense1236.335.545.5%4.580.7 - - - - - 54%45%49%42%14%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.742.5%3.780.9 - - - - - 56%43%42%44%13%.15
FAU Offense1229.537.241.7%3.492.4254461053413.636%62%40%43%18%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:3322.238%57%5.138.21.60.95.31.9027.4
Florida Atlantic1228:3224.837%66%6.6562.40.75.41.8230.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1251% (57)42% (86)40.41764.418 (107).05 (102)2.87 (81)60% (127)11% (112)1.03 (47)
FAU Defense1254% (112)49% (127) - - - - .25 (133)3.07 (103)86% (133)9% (89)1.09 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1256% (127)42% (64) - - - - .06 (48)2.92 (76)67% (36)9% (99)0.94 (58)
FAU Offense1236% (135)40% (97)29.5105.23.613 (99).04 (108)2.76 (106)77% (31)10% (89)1.04 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1247% (82)38% (104)20.134.1222.56.511.115 (86)10 (108).15 (114)1.5 (104)32% (79)28% (88).26 (88)6% (78)1.9 (105)
FAU Defense1245% (26)42% (76) - - - - - - 3.31 (94)1.6 (81)29% (114)29% (58).38 (110)5% (110)2.2 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1243% (14)44% (99) - - - - - - 7 (55).28 (86)1.5 (53)29% (115)31% (91).28 (67)4% (131)1.8 (15)
FAU Offense1262% (4)43% (55)3248.4340.5710.628 (22)20 (134).33 (41)1.6 (52)34% (111)31% (65).39 (35)8% (125)2.1 (25)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -5.71  #90
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 2.30  #113
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 8.01  #69
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #110
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #108
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -5.71   Florida Atlantic: -9.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -11.2   Florida Atlantic: -9.4




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -9.115  #125
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 3.50  #104
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 17.33  #122
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #65
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 32
Florida Atlantic 31


Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida Atlantic 42
Tulsa 27

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Florida Atlantic 32
Tulsa 29

Total Points: 61
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Florida Atlantic40Tulsa21Florida Atlantic -4.5Florida Atlantic60.5Over
202411/30Tulsa16Florida Atlantic63Florida Atlantic -2.5Florida Atlantic57.5Over
202310/07Florida Atlantic20Tulsa17Florida Atlantic -3Push54.5Under
201509/05Tulsa47Florida Atlantic44Tulsa -21Florida Atlantic67.5Over
201409/13Florida Atlantic50Tulsa21Tulsa -1.5Florida Atlantic0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic443 Overs
Tulsa101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 42 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#90) TLSA at (#125) FAU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAFAU
Power RatePwr #90 #125
SP+SP+ #110 #102
Perf GradeGrade #57 #104
OffenseOff #99 #83
DefenseDef #16 #108
Spec TeamsST #71 #97
TalentTal #87 #83
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Tulsa Notes
(11/22) Great fight & finish beating Oregon St & Army
(9/19) Physically dominating Ok St up front both sides
(9/19) Aggressive 4th down Off, QB2 Hayes can play
(9/19) Big program win over OK St. Lamb great job
(9/19) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs OK St (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa Injury Report
Florida Atlantic Notes
(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report
Tulsa on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffFAU Def
Perf GradePerf #99 #108
SuccessSuc #97 #120
ExplosiveExp #60 #101
PPAPPA #104 #123
PowerPwr #113 #122
SP+SP+ #108 #130
Pts POPPO #104 #132
HavocHav #104 #106
Tulsa Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #37 #80
Run SuccessRSuc #86 #127
Run ExplRExp #47 #120
PPAExp #102 #133
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #81 #103
Stuff RateStuff #125 #123
TackleTak -  #58
Tulsa Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #112 #118
Pass SuccessPSuc #104 #76
Pass ExplPExl #104 #81
PPAExp #114 #94
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #103 #61
F7 HavocF7 #112 #89
DB HavocDB #78 #110
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatFAU OffTLSA Def
Perf GradePerf #83 #16
SuccessSuc #78 #82
ExplosiveExp #7 #41
PPAPPA #44 #61
PowerPwr #104 #69
SP+SP+ #65 #107
Pts POPPO #89 #77
HavocHav #111 #121
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #127 #13
Run SuccessRSuc #97 #64
Run ExplRExp #40 #58
PPAExp #108 #48
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLY #106 #76
Stuff RateStuff #53 #79
TackleTak -  #4
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatFAU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #47 #36
Pass SuccessPSuc #55 #99
Pass ExplPExl #52 #53
PPAExp #41 #86
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #37
F7 HavocF7 #89 #99
DB HavocDB #125 #131
Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 84° - Wind: 12 mph
Rain: 0.031
Rematch from Week 11
Florida Atlantic -4.5 (60.5)
Florida Atlantic won vs Tulsa this year (40-21)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa last year (63-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa in 2023 (20-17)

  
TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)18631659%21591266.8
Kirk Francis538860%493345.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)212106555.057
Ajay Allen (Tr)9749755.140
Braylin Presley3221516.728
Baylor Hayes (Tr)9518832.024
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brody Foley (Tr)36521714.572
Zion Booker (Tr)4641829.140
Grayson Tempest22272112.451
Zion Steptoe21272013.042

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)1287242
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)792004
Zach Williams731007
William Alexander661010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)2810711
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)147511
Ty Cooper (Tr)257311
Nahki Johnson (Tr)277300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
Elijah Green592007
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)792004

FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)34551467%365224177.1
Zach Gibson (Tr)315359%323336.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands10546504.437
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
Xavier Terrell5416113.014
Easton Messer (Tr)351117.039
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)1001029610.355
Asaad Waseem (Tr)69726510.544
Jayshon Platt46720515.748
Dom Henry40575414.490

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)835201
Dillion Williams (Tr)622003
Christopher Keys471001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Cecil Doggette Jr.247320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)424008
Damarius McGhee (Tr)300004
Jayden Sweeney (Tr)412034