VMI at Navy - 2025 Matchup Preview
VMI logo   VMI Keydets at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -42.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: -40.5 | 50.5
Navy 52 - VMI: 7

 
Keydets (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 52 (7 - 52 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Navy -2  (SP+ NAVY -6)
NAVY Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.2 - 2.8 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
VMI's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 VMI at Navy+42.554.5L 7 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for VMI's Schedule
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.045.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-13.550.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-10.052.5W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-14.563.5W 42 - 32ON
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+6.568.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+30.554.5L 10 - 49ON
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida+8.562.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+3.557.5W 28 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-6.038.0W 17 - 16UN
Fri 1/2 Navy vs Cincinnati-7.557.5W 35 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VMI0%70%000%000%520%0%0000
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)31.546% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)2546% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VMI Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Defense132524.241.2%3.481.8 - - - - - 51%48%46%37%14%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VMI Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Offense1331.53844.2%4.391.1163472311175.574%26%46%39%11%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
VMI10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Navy1327:4716.239%64%4.841.91.11.84.21.8331.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VMI Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NAVY Defense1351% (77)46% (95) - - - - .16 (89)3.27 (107)77% (89)9% (101)0.92 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VMI Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NAVY Offense1374% (3)46% (43)42.3230.75.535 (8).29 (10)3.27 (32)82% (15)8% (28)1.2 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VMI Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NAVY Defense1348% (57)37% (24) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (8)1.5 (51)31% (85)25% (8).2 (30)5% (89)2.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VMI Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NAVY Offense1326% (132)39% (101)7.112.8116.79.116.515 (98)6 (10).39 (15)2 (3)29% (26)27% (110).4 (37)3% (4)2.5 (2)

VMI's Power Ratings
VMI's Power Rating: NR
VMI's Offense Rating: NR
VMI's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
VMI's 2025 Expected Record: -
VMI's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
VMI's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
VMI's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
VMI:    Navy: 2.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
VMI:    Navy: 6.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.125  #86
Navy's Offense Rating: 13.60  #64
Navy's Defense Rating: 20.55  #113
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 10.2 - 2.8
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #46
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #26
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


VMI Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

VMI's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 30
VMI 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Navy52VMI7Navy -42.5Navy54.5Over
201410/11Navy51VMI14Navy -38.5VMI0
201209/22Navy41VMI3
200308/30Navy37VMI10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy411 Overs
VMI010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) VMI at (#86) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVMINAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #86
SP+SP+NR #46
Perf GradeGradeNR #62
OffenseOffNR #29
DefenseDefNR #111
Spec TeamsSTNR #82
TalentTalNR #136
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
Navy Notes
(11/28) A gauntlet November ends w/ 2-2 record. Impressive
(11/28) 2 straight wins w/ impressive Def improvement.
(11/16) Run over by ND, Horvath didn't play. Def ugly
(11/16) Come back and kill USF? Mids are wild, AAC threat
(10/30) CB J Ross missed FAU game, very imp vs N Tex
(10/12) Keep eaking out close wins vs meh. But 6-0 w/ bad D
(9/24) Run Off good as ever, Horvath & Tecza good duo
(9/24) Def has been OK, good Success #'s but Expl issues
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
Navy Injury Report
VMI on Offense
CategoryCat
VMI OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #111
SuccessSucNR #61
ExplosiveExpNR #28
PPAPPANR #28
PowerPwrNR #113
SP+SP+NR #72
Pts POPPONR #35
HavocHavNR #104
VMI Run Game
CategoryCat
VMI OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNR #107
Run SuccessRSucNR #95
Run ExplRExpNR #39
PPAExpNR #89
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #107
Stuff RateStuffNR #122
TackleTak -  #133
VMI Pass Game
CategoryCat
VMI OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNR #120
Pass SuccessPSucNR #24
Pass ExplPExlNR #51
PPAExpNR #8
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #55
F7 HavocF7NR #101
DB HavocDBNR #89
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffVMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29NR
SuccessSuc #51NR
ExplosiveExp #11NR
PPAPPA #12NR
PowerPwr #64NR
SP+SP+ #26NR
Pts POPPO #26NR
HavocHav #6NR
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffVMI Def
Run GameRun #25NR
Run SuccessRSuc #43NR
Run ExplRExp #7NR
PPAExp #10NR
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLY #32NR
Stuff RateStuff #14NR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffVMI Def
Pass GamePass #34NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #101NR
Pass ExplPExl #3NR
PPAExp #15NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #115NR
F7 HavocF7 #28NR
DB HavocDB #4NR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

VMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Navy -42.5 (54.5)
Navy won vs VMI this year (52-7)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat VMI last year (52-7)

  
VMI's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Collin Shannon14726855%19821357.4
Chandler Wilson265448%197113.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Leo Boehling12853424.270
Aslin Shipe6727014.033
Nana Utsey5719733.518
Luke Schalow4212002.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Grevious52731314.173
Owen Sweeney44723816.475
Malik McNeely24331213.851
Morgan McPhaul15174111.673

View VMI's Full Roster

VMI's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kouri Crump141000
Amaje Parker100000
Isaiah Grevious70000
Camden Clinton61000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kouri Crump141000
Owen Ham20000
Ayden Babich11000
James Morris10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Powell20001
Kouri Crump141000
Owen Ham20000

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath9715961%15801269.9
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath2241200165.459
Alex Tecza158902105.776
Eli Heidenreich7749936.525
Brandon Chatman5743137.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich51941618.582
Brandon Chatman1715909.427
Luke Hutchison5134326.863
Cody Howard4128132.065

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker977240
Giuseppe Sessi811000
Luke Pirris787443
Coleman Cauley783030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson648670
Julian Moutome428423
Adam Klenk335451
Luke Pirris787443
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Justin Ross322134
Luke Pirris787443