VMI at Navy - 2025 Matchup Preview
VMI logo VMI Keydets at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -42.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: -40.5 | 50.5
Navy 52 - VMI: 7

 
Keydets (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 52 (7 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Navy -4   (SP+ NAVY -8)
NAVY Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Midshipmen (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 44 - 18 (45 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#40)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
VMI's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 VMI at Navy+42.554.5L 7 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for VMI's Schedule
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.5
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-16.5
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-12.5
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+5.5
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+19.5
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida-0.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VMI0%70%000%000%520%0%0000
NAVY#11 (.46)60% (5)4462% (4)3.87 (7)37750% (32)1185.05 (31)#74 (.14)38% (61)1833% (23)43% (89)3.73 (73)5711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VMI Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Defense31815.538.1%3.731.7 - - - - - 43%56%33%43%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VMI Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Offense3444559.8%5.051244953771186.883%17%62%50%9%.46

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
VMI10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Navy334:1123.763%75%5.35711.75.33034.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VMI Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NAVY Defense343% (25)33% (23) - - - - .05 (64)2.44 (37)70% (71)10% (71)1.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VMI Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NAVY Offense383% (2)62% (4)55.7377.36.815 (1).45 (5)3.87 (7)86% (21)8% (47)1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VMI Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NAVY Defense356% (113)43% (89) - - - - - - 3 (28).26 (86)1.3 (31)33% (70)31% (83).11 (31)7% (41)1.5 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VMI Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NAVY Offense317% (135)50% (32)710.711811.116.93 (90)2 (60).49 (23)1.7 (24)19% (3)37% (34).47 (45)2% (4)1.9 (83)

VMI's Power Ratings
VMI's Power Rating: #NR
VMI's Offense Rating: #NR
VMI's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
VMI's 2025 Expected Record: -
VMI's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
VMI's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
VMI's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
VMI:    Navy: 4.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
VMI:    Navy: 7.8




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


VMI Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

VMI's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
VMI 27

Total Points: 57

Navy Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Navy52VMI7NavyNavy -42.5Navy54.5Over
201410/11Navy51VMI14NavyNavy -38.5VMI0
201209/22Navy41VMI3Navy
200308/30Navy37VMI10Navy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy411 Overs
VMI010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#NR) VMI Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

VMI Highlights

VMI Deficiencies
VMI has a really bad Offense
VMI Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNAVYVMI
OverallOver#27—
OffenseOff#20—
DefenseDef#44—
Special TeamsST#35—
PassingPass#72—
RushingRush#1—
Run BlockRBLK#81—
Pass BlockPBLK#14—
Route RunningWR Rt#37—
TacklingTkl#87—
Run DefenseR Def#52—
Pass Rush DefPRush#18—
Coverage DefCov#50—

Rematch from Week 1
Navy -42.5 (54.5)
Navy won vs VMI this year (52-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VMI | NAVY
Depth Chart: VMI | NAVY
Rosters: VMI | NAVY
(#90) Navy Info
Power Rating: 4.135 #90
Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9

Team Profile
Option Offense 83%, Pass: 17%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Great Run Success 62%
Good Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Navy Notes
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed

Navy Highlights
Navy in Undefeated
Navy is Undefeated at Home

Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is efficent (#5)
Navy has a top Offensive Line (#7)
Navy offense is good on 3rd downs
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)

Navy Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)


  
VMI's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Collin Shannon529058%782718.7
Chandler Wilson1520%1000.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Leo Boehling4312803.010
Noah Grevious178178.078
Aslin Shipe166113.89
Luke Schalow72403.49
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Owen Sweeney13261420.175
Noah Grevious11238121.673
Malik McNeely7107115.331
Leo Boehling660010.029

View VMI's Full Roster
VMI's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kouri Crump141000
Amaje Parker100000
Isaiah Grevious70000
Camden Clinton61000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kouri Crump141000
Jacob Moore21000
Morgan McPhaul10000
James Morris10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Powell20001
Kouri Crump141000
Jacob Moore21000

Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath182572%3283213.1
Braxton Woodson3743%26003.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza4527246.039
Blake Horvath4124536.035
Eli Heidenreich2420938.725
Braxton Woodson10194219.474
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich10126112.635
Luke Hutchison370223.363
Cody Howard165065.065
Joshua Guerin135035.035

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Landon Robinson194310
Luke Pirris192110
Griffen Willis141101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson194310
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Julian Moutome122221
Kendall Whiteside21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha70003
Justin Ross101102
Phillip Hamilton80002