VMI at Navy - 2025 Matchup Preview
VMI logo VMI Keydets at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -42.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: -40.5 | 50.5
Navy 52 - VMI: 7

 
Keydets (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 52 (7 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Navy -1.5  (SP+ NAVY -4)
NAVY Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Midshipmen (10 - 2) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.2 - 2.8 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
VMI's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 VMI at Navy+42.554.5L 7 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for VMI's Schedule
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.045.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-13.550.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-10.052.5W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-14.563.5W 42 - 32ON
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+6.568.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+30.554.5L 10 - 49ON
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida+8.562.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+3.557.5W 28 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-6.038.0W 17 - 16UN
Fri 1/2 Navy vs Cincinnati-4.054.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VMI0%70%000%000%520%0%0000
NAVY#16 (.31)49% (11)31.251% (5)3.44 (5)29043% (57)1324.13 (36)#115 (.23)42% (71)2640% (45)45% (111)4.24 (121)51.51.11.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VMI Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Defense122624.241.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 51%47%40%45%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VMI Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Offense1231.23848.8%4.131.1204222901325.975%23%51%43%10%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
VMI10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Navy1232:3120.351%67%651.51.11.14.52.2031.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VMI Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NAVY Defense1251% (84)40% (45) - - - - .12 (87)2.9 (74)76% (102)8% (111)1.02 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VMI Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NAVY Offense1275% (3)51% (5)49.3289.85.939 (4).3 (7)3.44 (5)80% (17)7% (18)1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VMI Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NAVY Defense1247% (49)45% (111) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (127)1.6 (104)31% (88)31% (81).31 (73)4% (127)2 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VMI Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NAVY Offense1223% (134)43% (57)8.113.9131.89.516.310 (106)6 (20).45 (13)2 (3)24% (2)33% (40).52 (9)2% (2)2.4 (2)

VMI's Power Ratings
VMI's Power Rating: NR
VMI's Offense Rating: NR
VMI's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
VMI's 2025 Expected Record: -
VMI's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
VMI's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
VMI's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
VMI:    Navy: 1.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
VMI:    Navy: 4.1




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 1.405  #92
Navy's Offense Rating: 12.11  #51
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40  #125
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 10.2 - 2.8
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #27
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


VMI Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

VMI's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 28
VMI 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 32
VMI 18

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Navy 44
VMI 16

Total Points: 60
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Navy52VMI7Navy -42.5Navy54.5Over
201410/11Navy51VMI14Navy -38.5VMI0
201209/22Navy41VMI3
200308/30Navy37VMI10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy411 Overs
VMI010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#NR) VMI at (#92) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVMINAVY
Power RatePwrNR #92
SP+SP+NR #57
Perf GradeGradeNR #66
OffenseOffNR #28
DefenseDefNR #121
Spec TeamsSTNR #71
TalentTalNR #136
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
Navy Notes
(11/28) A gauntlet November ends w/ 2-2 record. Impressive
(11/28) 2 straight wins w/ impressive Def improvement.
(11/16) Run over by ND, Horvath didn't play. Def ugly
(11/16) Come back and kill USF? Mids are wild, AAC threat
(10/30) CB J Ross missed FAU game, very imp vs N Tex
(10/12) Keep eaking out close wins vs meh. But 6-0 w/ bad D
(9/24) Run Off good as ever, Horvath & Tecza good duo
(9/24) Def has been OK, good Success #'s but Expl issues
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
Navy Injury Report
VMI on Offense
CategoryCat
VMI OffNAVY Def
Perf GradePerfNR #121
SuccessSucNR #71
ExplosiveExpNR #110
PPAPPANR #115
PowerPwrNR #125
SP+SP+NR #89
Pts POPPONR #121
HavocHavNR #125
VMI Run Game
CategoryCat
VMI OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNR #119
Run SuccessRSucNR #45
Run ExplRExpNR #95
PPAExpNR #87
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #74
Stuff RateStuffNR #83
TackleTak -  #134
VMI Pass Game
CategoryCat
VMI OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNR #124
Pass SuccessPSucNR #111
Pass ExplPExlNR #104
PPAExpNR #127
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #73
F7 HavocF7NR #111
DB HavocDBNR #127
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffVMI Def
Perf GradePerf #28NR
SuccessSuc #11NR
ExplosiveExp #54NR
PPAPPA #16NR
PowerPwr #51NR
SP+SP+ #27NR
Pts POPPO #36NR
HavocHav #4NR
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffVMI Def
Run GameRun #17NR
Run SuccessRSuc #5NR
Run ExplRExp #24NR
PPAExp #7NR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLY #5NR
Stuff RateStuff #1NR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCatNAVY OffVMI Def
Pass GamePass #33NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #57NR
Pass ExplPExl #3NR
PPAExp #13NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #113NR
F7 HavocF7 #18NR
DB HavocDB #2NR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

VMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Navy -42.5 (54.5)
Navy won vs VMI this year (52-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
VMI's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Collin Shannon14726855%19821357.4
Chandler Wilson265448%197113.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Leo Boehling12853424.270
Aslin Shipe6727014.033
Nana Utsey5719733.518
Luke Schalow4212002.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Grevious52731314.173
Owen Sweeney44723816.475
Malik McNeely24331213.851
Morgan McPhaul15174111.673

View VMI's Full Roster

VMI's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kouri Crump141000
Amaje Parker100000
Isaiah Grevious70000
Stephen Dean60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kouri Crump141000
Jacob Moore21000
Louis English10000
Ayden Babich11000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Powell20001
Kouri Crump141000
Jacob Moore21000

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8814461%147210610.2
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath2081147155.559
Alex Tecza14282295.876
Eli Heidenreich6743736.525
Brandon Chatman5541537.536
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich46877519.182
Brandon Chatman1615809.927
Cody Howard4128132.065
Alex Tecza12123110.329

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker937230
Giuseppe Sessi761000
Luke Pirris757443
Coleman Cauley683020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson588670
Julian Moutome375423
Adam Klenk305451
Luke Pirris757443
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Justin Ross322134
Luke Pirris757443