Navy at Notre Dame - 2025 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#24)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (6:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame Stadium - Notre Dame, IN

 
Midshipmen (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 44 - 18 (42 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#40)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
NAVY 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Notre Dame -19.5   (SP+ ND -7)

Projected Score: NAVY: 24 - ND: 44 (68)
ND Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
NAVY Travel: 545 miles
Fighting Irish (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 34 (40 - 41 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.5
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-16.5
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-12.5
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+5.5
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+19.5
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida-0.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-26.554.5
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-0
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-16.5
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-12.5
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-8.5
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-19.5
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-5.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-15
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-17.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#11 (.46)60% (5)4462% (4)3.87 (7)37750% (32)1185.05 (31)#74 (.14)38% (61)1833% (23)43% (89)3.73 (73)5711.7
ND#74 (.19)43% (75)3241% (87)2.42 (115)11544% (66)2575.27 (22)#117 (.27)45% (104)3442% (85)47% (110)4.69 (113)30.51.50.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense3444259.8%5.051244953771186.883%17%62%50%9%.46
ND Defense2344144.5%4.690.5 - - - - - 50%50%42%47%5%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense3182338.1%3.731.7 - - - - - 43%56%33%43%17%.14
ND Offense2324042.6%5.271.5213721152573.549%51%41%44%12%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy334:1123.763%75%5.35711.75.33034.2
Notre Dame229:3620.546%50%530.51.50.510.5129.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense383% (2)62% (4)55.7377.36.815 (1).45 (5)3.87 (7)86% (21)8% (47)1.03 (50)
ND Defense250% (73)42% (85) - - - - .04 (61)2.97 (88)67% (53)2% (136)0.7 (14)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense343% (25)33% (23) - - - - .05 (64)2.44 (37)70% (71)10% (71)1.3 (123)
ND Offense249% (81)41% (87)331153.54 (79).15 (65)2.42 (115)45% (132)8% (53)1.19 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense317% (135)50% (32)710.711811.116.93 (90)2 (60).49 (23)1.7 (24)19% (3)37% (34).47 (45)2% (4)1.9 (83)
ND Defense250% (70)47% (110) - - - - - - 1 (87).51 (121)1.7 (100)33% (71)27% (51).25 (66)4% (113)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense356% (113)43% (89) - - - - - - 3 (28).26 (86)1.3 (31)33% (70)31% (83).11 (31)7% (41)1.5 (18)
ND Offense251% (55)44% (66)19.531256.58.313.23 (90)2 (60).24 (78)1.5 (66)32% (84)44% (18).54 (35)5% (57)1.7 (103)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -4.53 #90
Navy's Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -4.53   Notre Dame: 21.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 7.8   Notre Dame: 14.6




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.075 #24
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.26 #20
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.71 #34
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.6 #22
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #28

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Navy Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 44
Navy 24


Total Points: 68

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 40
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 41

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre DameNotre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre DameNotre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre DameNotre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre DameNotre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre DameNotre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre DameNotre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre DameNotre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27NavyNavy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre DameNotre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre DameNotre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre DameNotre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50Notre Dame
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14Notre Dame
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17Navy
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23Navy
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27Notre Dame
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46Navy
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38Notre Dame
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21Notre Dame
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27Notre Dame
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24Notre Dame
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30Notre Dame
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16Notre Dame
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14Notre Dame
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame2075 Overs
Navy444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 135 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#90) Navy Info
Power Rating: -4.53 #90
Offense Rating: 13.87 #62
Defense Rating: 18.40 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57
Talent Rating: 116.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9

Team Profile
Option Offense 83%, Pass: 17%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Great Run Success 62%
Good Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Navy has lost 5 straight
Navy has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Navy Notes
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed

Navy Highlights
Navy in Undefeated

Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is efficent (#5)
Navy has a top Offensive Line (#7)
Navy offense is good on 3rd downs
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)

Navy Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNDNAVY
OverallOver#89#27
OffenseOff#81#20
DefenseDef#95#44
Special TeamsST#99#35
PassingPass#55#72
RushingRush#91#1
Run BlockRBLK#90#81
Pass BlockPBLK#111#14
Route RunningWR Rt#49#37
TacklingTkl#89#87
Run DefenseR Def#67#52
Pass Rush DefPRush#94#18
Coverage DefCov#110#50

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2022 (35-32)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | ND
Depth Chart: NAVY | ND
Rosters: NAVY | ND
(#24) Notre Dame Info
Power Rating: 21.075 #24
Offense Rating: 24.26 #20
Defense Rating: 1.71 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.6 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #28
Talent Rating: 1072.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #8
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.27 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Notre Dame has lost 8 straight
Notre Dame has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Notre Dame Notes
(9/15) DL a big issue, no pass rush w/ all these DEs?
(8/31) Carr is a baller, but OL is not good. Def leaked
(8/19) QB1 will be CJ Carr, beat Kenny Minchey
(6/10) TE Rairdon pot. breakout, but TE position thin
(5/23) Secondary top 5 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(4/4) CB Moore (So)/LB Bowen (Jr) top 10 via PFF
(3/21) New DC Ash big shoes to fill (Golden-NFL)
(3/18) RBs Love/Price/Williams best in CFB?
(3/18) WR, Greathouse CFP star, Faison shifty
(3/18) WR, can portals Fields/Pauling be weapons?

Notre Dame Highlights
Notre Dame offense is explosive (#28)
Notre Dame offense is good in red zone (#22)
Notre Dame offense is good on 3rd downs
Notre Dame commits very few Penalties (#13)

Notre Dame Deficiencies
Notre Dame Can Not Run the Ball (#126)
Notre Dame Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Notre Dame Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Notre Dame Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Notre Dame does not Sack the QB (#130)
Notre Dame has a bad defense (#104)
Notre Dame Does Not Stuff Runs (#114)
Notre Dame has a bad red zone defense (#113)


  
Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath182572%3283213.1
Braxton Woodson3743%26003.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza4527246.039
Blake Horvath4124536.035
Eli Heidenreich2420938.725
Braxton Woodson10194219.474
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich10126112.635
Luke Hutchison370223.363
Cody Howard165065.065
Joshua Guerin135035.035

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Landon Robinson194310
Luke Pirris192110
Griffen Willis141101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson194310
MarcAnthony Parker204200
Julian Moutome122221
Kendall Whiteside21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha70003
Justin Ross101102
Phillip Hamilton80002

Notre Dame's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr396263%514328.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love3312713.816
Jadarian Price1811326.330
C.J. Carr14110.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Raridon9182020.265
Malachi Fields (Tr)8125015.627
Jeremiyah Love87919.936
Jordan Faison75017.115

View Notre Dame's Full Roster
Notre Dame's DC Chris Ash
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen140000
Adon Shuler90000
Jalen Stroman (Tr)90000
Jaiden Ausberry80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore71110
Drayk Bowen140000
Karson Hobbs40000
DeVonta Smith (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore30002
Christian Gray50002
Gabriel Rubio50011