Navy at Notre Dame - 2025 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#10)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame -30.5 (54.5) (-6500)  Open: -24.5
Notre Dame 49 - Navy: 10

 
Midshipmen (10 - 2) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (26 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.2 - 2.8 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Light Rain Predicted
NAVY 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Notre Dame -30  (SP+ ND -20)

Projected Score: NAVY: 13 - ND: 43 (55)
ND Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
NAVY Travel: 545 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs VMI-42.554.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-20.559.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-14.052.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.045.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-13.550.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-10.052.5W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-14.563.5W 42 - 32ON
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas+6.568.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+30.554.5L 10 - 49ON
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida+8.562.5W 41 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+3.557.5W 28 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-6.038.0W 17 - 16UN
Fri 1/2 Navy vs Cincinnati-4.054.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.5W 34 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-31.555.5W 25 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-30.554.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-12.555.5W 37 - 15UY
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-36.551.5W 70 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-32.550.5W 49 - 20ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#16 (.31)49% (11)31.251% (5)3.44 (5)29043% (57)1324.13 (36)#115 (.23)42% (71)2640% (45)45% (111)4.24 (121)51.51.11.1
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (27)3.05 (48)20451% (6)2554.79 (7)#13 (.04)36% (14)17.638% (23)36% (17)2.58 (7)53.10.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.225.848.8%4.131.1204222901325.975%23%51%43%10%.31
ND Defense1217.61836.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense122630.241.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 51%47%40%45%13%.23
ND Offense124244.749%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1232:3120.351%67%651.51.11.14.52.2031.4
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1275% (3)51% (5)49.3289.85.939 (4).3 (7)3.44 (5)80% (17)7% (18)1.09 (24)
ND Defense1243% (5)38% (23) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (63)9% (75)0.89 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1251% (84)40% (45) - - - - .12 (87)2.9 (74)76% (102)8% (111)1.02 (95)
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (27)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (12)3.05 (48)62% (122)8% (38)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1223% (134)43% (57)8.113.9131.89.516.310 (106)6 (20).45 (13)2 (3)24% (2)33% (40).52 (9)2% (2)2.4 (2)
ND Defense1256% (133)36% (17) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (94)36% (12)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1247% (49)45% (111) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (127)1.6 (104)31% (88)31% (81).31 (73)4% (127)2 (52)
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (12)1.7 (24)29% (37)44% (2).65 (2)5% (33)2 (68)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -6.29  #92
Navy's Offense Rating: 12.11  #51
Navy's Defense Rating: 18.40  #125
2025 Talent Rating: 116.00  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 10.2 - 2.8
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #27
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -6.29   Notre Dame: 28.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 4.1   Notre Dame: 24.3




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 28.675  #3
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 27.33  #7
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -10.54  #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.1  #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 43
Navy 13


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 31
Navy 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 36
Navy 23

Total Points: 59
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Notre Dame49Navy10Notre Dame -30.5Notre Dame54.5Over
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27Navy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame2186 Overs
Navy444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#92) NAVY at (#3) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYND
Power RatePwr #92 #3
SP+SP+ #57 #5
Perf GradeGrade #66 #5
OffenseOff #28 #5
DefenseDef #121 #7
Spec TeamsST #71 #17
TalentTal #136 #7
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #8
Navy Notes
(11/28) A gauntlet November ends w/ 2-2 record. Impressive
(11/28) 2 straight wins w/ impressive Def improvement.
(11/16) Run over by ND, Horvath didn't play. Def ugly
(11/16) Come back and kill USF? Mids are wild, AAC threat
(10/30) CB J Ross missed FAU game, very imp vs N Tex
(10/12) Keep eaking out close wins vs meh. But 6-0 w/ bad D
(9/24) Run Off good as ever, Horvath & Tecza good duo
(9/24) Def has been OK, good Success #'s but Expl issues
(7/28) Fav'd in 1st 8 games, but final four are rough
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
Navy Injury Report
Notre Dame Notes
(11/16) Killed Pitt, 10-2 finish likely. Get healthy for CFP?
(11/4) Huge issues at K, missed 2 XP, short FG vs BC
(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
Notre Dame Injury Report
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #28 #7
SuccessSuc #11 #14
ExplosiveExp #54 #89
PPAPPA #16 #13
PowerPwr #51 #5
SP+SP+ #27 #11
Pts POPPO #36 #7
HavocHav #4 #20
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Run GameRun #17 #12
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #23
Run ExplRExp #24 #34
PPAExp #7 #37
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLY #5 #39
Stuff RateStuff #1 #76
TackleTak -  #14
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 76%, Pass: 23%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Pass GamePass #33 #9
Pass SuccessPSuc #57 #17
Pass ExplPExl #3 #94
PPAExp #13 #8
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #113 #18
F7 HavocF7 #18 #75
DB HavocDB #2 #3
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
Perf GradePerf #5 #121
SuccessSuc #10 #71
ExplosiveExp #3 #110
PPAPPA #4 #115
PowerPwr #7 #125
SP+SP+ #7 #89
Pts POPPO #7 #121
HavocHav #36 #125
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #3 #119
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #45
Run ExplRExp #8 #95
PPAExp #12 #87
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLY #48 #74
Stuff RateStuff #100 #83
TackleTak -  #134
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #13 #124
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #111
Pass ExplPExl #24 #104
PPAExp #12 #127
Pass Block/RushP Blk #64 #73
F7 HavocF7 #38 #111
DB HavocDB #33 #127
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 39° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Notre Dame -30.5 (54.5)
Notre Dame won vs Navy this year (49-10)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2022 (35-32)

  
NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8814461%147210610.2
Braxton Woodson91947%110005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath2081147155.559
Alex Tecza14282295.876
Eli Heidenreich6743736.525
Brandon Chatman5541537.536
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich46877519.182
Brandon Chatman1615809.927
Cody Howard4128132.065
Alex Tecza12123110.329

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MarcAnthony Parker937230
Giuseppe Sessi761000
Luke Pirris757443
Coleman Cauley683020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson588670
Julian Moutome375423
Adam Klenk305451
Luke Pirris757443
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ira Oniha241007
Justin Ross322134
Luke Pirris757443

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Kenny Minchey202677%196007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1991372186.994
Jadarian Price113674116.058
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Kenny Minchey784112.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Malachi Fields (Tr)36630517.566
Eli Raridon32482015.165
Will Pauling (Tr)26381614.744

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Tae Johnson481003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
Joshua Burnham166321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125