Navy at Tulsa Game Matchup
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
at H. A. Chapman Stadium - Tulsa, OK  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Navy -10.5   (SP+ NAVY -14.5)
Projected Score: NAVY: 35 - TLSA: 25 (61)
NAVY Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NAVY Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
 
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Navy vs VMI-19
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-12.5
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.5
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-9.5
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-11
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-11.5
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas-0.5
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+33
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida+3
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-6
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State+1.5
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+10.5
Sat 9/20 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+19.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+18.5
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+22
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+12.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+6.5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+12
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+17
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)31.346% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)22.246% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)2535% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)42.538% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.329.444.2%4.391.1163472311175.574%26%46%39%11%.31
TLSA Defense1242.544.742.2%4.71.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%46%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1322.215.241.2%3.481.8 - - - - - 51%48%46%37%14%.1
TLSA Offense122528.734.1%3.541.920390151239447%53%35%33%18%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1327:4716.239%64%4.841.91.11.84.21.8331.6
Tulsa1229:4420.437%32%5.9511.91.36.61.5328.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1374% (3)46% (43)42.3230.75.535 (8).29 (10)3.27 (32)82% (15)8% (28)1.2 (7)
TLSA Defense1248% (40)38% (23) - - - - .11 (65)2.82 (40)69% (42)11% (42)1.2 (130)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1351% (77)46% (95) - - - - .16 (89)3.27 (107)77% (89)9% (101)0.92 (39)
TLSA Offense1247% (93)35% (128)37.5151.4411 (116)-.03 (125)2.88 (97)74% (65)12% (110)0.9 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1326% (132)39% (101)7.112.8116.79.116.515 (98)6 (10).39 (15)2 (3)29% (26)27% (110).4 (37)3% (4)2.5 (2)
TLSA Defense1252% (97)46% (115) - - - - - - 9 (76).51 (131)1.9 (133)32% (64)33% (100).45 (118)4% (130)2.3 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1348% (57)37% (24) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (8)1.5 (51)31% (85)25% (8).2 (30)5% (89)2.2 (112)
TLSA Offense1253% (43)33% (126)20.736.4238.66.611.523 (41)12 (85).16 (104)1.8 (21)34% (116)22% (131).17 (118)6% (77)2.2 (16)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -8.38 #89
Navy's Offense Rating: 12.66 #78
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.04 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 108.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.38   Tulsa: -15.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -1.0   Tulsa: -15.6




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -15.125 #122
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 3.21 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 35
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 61
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21NavyTulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20NavyTulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19TulsaTulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45NavyTulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29NavyNavy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31NavyNavy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40NavyNavy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44NavyNavy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24Tulsa
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29Navy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa215 Overs
Navy873 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 73 - 52 - 21 - 3
Road Teams7 - 35 - 33 - 12 - 2

(#89) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.38 #89
Offense Rating: 12.66 #78
Defense Rating: 21.04 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #71
Talent Rating: 108.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Navy Notes
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed
Navy     Ratings Matchup     Tulsa
Power #89
#122
Off #78
#125
Def #104
#108
Talent #136
#91
SP+ #68
#120
SP+ Off #58
#103
SP+ Def #71
#124

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa in 2022 (53-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | TLSA
Depth Chart: NAVY | TLSA
Rosters: NAVY | TLSA
(#122) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.125 #122
Offense Rating: 3.21 #125
Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 558.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulsa Notes
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation


  
Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8013958%13531349.7
Braxton Woodson183650%243226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath1761254177.195
Alex Tecza12355684.565
Eli Heidenreich6544436.860
Brandon Chatman4825035.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich39671617.274
Brandon Chatman18257414.346
Alex Tecza12229219.146
Nathan Kent10222222.277

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Pirris686351
Landon Robinson616570
Jaxson Campbell585324
Kenneth McShan341030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson616570
Luke Pirris686351
Jaxson Campbell585324
MarcAnthony Parker82200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxson Campbell585324
Andrew Duhart292004
Ira Oniha121003

Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Stephen Kittleman33100%510017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Ajay Allen (Tr)2418327.656
Sevion Morrison (Tr)2716426.138
Dominic Richardson (Tr)3110903.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Steptoe15203013.534
Grayson Tempest1613808.643
CJ Johnson II11121011.023
Viron Ellison Jr.149016.423

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Drew451002
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
Buddha Garrett381003
Nunu Campbell381002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)213321
Joah Cash (Tr)163211
Ashton Williams192100
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Buddha Garrett381003
Jordan Drew451002