Navy at North Texas Game Matchup
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Navy -0.5   (SP+ NAVY -6)
Projected Score: NAVY: 28 - UNT: 28 (61)
NAVY Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 1217 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
 
Navy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Navy vs VMI-19
Sat 9/6 Navy vs UAB-12.5
Sat 9/13 Navy at Tulsa-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Rice-14.5
Sat 10/4 Navy vs Air Force-9.5
Sat 10/11 Navy at Temple-11
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs Florida Atlantic-11.5
Sat 11/1 Navy at North Texas-0.5
Sat 11/8 Navy at Notre Dame+33
Sat 11/15 Navy vs South Florida+3
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Navy at Memphis+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 North Texas vs Lamar-15.5
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-7
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-4.5
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army+7
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida+6
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA+6
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-10
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-4
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-6.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)31.346% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)22.246% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.329.444.2%4.391.1163472311175.574%26%46%39%11%.31
UNT Defense1334.22644.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1322.215.241.2%3.481.8 - - - - - 51%48%46%37%14%.1
UNT Offense1333.533.242.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1327:4716.239%64%4.841.91.11.84.21.8331.6
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1374% (3)46% (43)42.3230.75.535 (8).29 (10)3.27 (32)82% (15)8% (28)1.2 (7)
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1351% (77)46% (95) - - - - .16 (89)3.27 (107)77% (89)9% (101)0.92 (39)
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1326% (132)39% (101)7.112.8116.79.116.515 (98)6 (10).39 (15)2 (3)29% (26)27% (110).4 (37)3% (4)2.5 (2)
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1348% (57)37% (24) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (8)1.5 (51)31% (85)25% (8).2 (30)5% (89)2.2 (112)
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -8.38 #89
Navy's Offense Rating: 12.66 #78
Navy's Defense Rating: 21.04 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 108.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Navy's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Navy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.38   North Texas: -5.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -1.0   North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.4 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
North Texas's Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2

Navy's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 28
North Texas 28

Projected Total Points: 61
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Navy27North Texas24NavyNavy -6.5North Texas60.5Under
200711/10North Texas62Navy74Navy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas010 Overs
Navy201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#89) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.38 #89
Offense Rating: 12.66 #78
Defense Rating: 21.04 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #71
Talent Rating: 108.00 #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Navy Notes
(5/25) QB Horvath back, 30 TDs LY, Woodson #2 some exp
(5/25) FB Tecza back, WB Heidenreich/Chatman back
(5/25) IOL back, need new OT's. Check fall roster
(5/25) DL very light, overall D very light (usual for Navy)
(5/25) DBs return 1 CB, rest have <150 snaps. Unclear
(5/25) OC Cronic was a revelation LY, has Horvath back
(5/25) Newberry incredible job, near top AAC LY
(5/25) ND game cost them Rice game, check USF TY
(3/24) Def some exp, always play tough, but size/speed
Navy     Ratings Matchup     North Texas
Power #89
#90
Off #78
#98
Def #104
#87
Talent #136
#85
SP+ #68
#92
SP+ Off #58
#37
SP+ Def #71
#127

Previous Matchups
Navy beat North Texas in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | UNT
Depth Chart: NAVY | UNT
Rosters: NAVY | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.4 #90
Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127
Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Texas Notes
(3/23) QB Mestemaker/Poffenbarger(UM)/Jimerson(Fr)
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC


  
Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8013958%13531349.7
Braxton Woodson183650%243226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath1761254177.195
Alex Tecza12355684.565
Eli Heidenreich6544436.860
Brandon Chatman4825035.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich39671617.274
Brandon Chatman18257414.346
Alex Tecza12229219.146
Nathan Kent10222222.277

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Pirris686351
Landon Robinson616570
Jaxson Campbell585324
Kenneth McShan341030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Robinson616570
Luke Pirris686351
Jaxson Campbell585324
MarcAnthony Parker82200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxson Campbell585324
Andrew Duhart292004
Ira Oniha121003

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)6786%20002.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Drew Mestemaker148716.270
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Evans (Tr)43474511.064
Miles Coleman36378210.549
Dalton Carnes29371212.834
Wyatt Young18295216.475

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Fields (Tr)726121
Ethan Wesloski575321
Quinton Hammonds522011
Shane Whitter492023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Briceon Hayes (Tr)267532
Richard Outland155330
Ethan Wesloski575321
Fatafehi Vailea344320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)332006
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)262004
Taylor Starling202004