UConn at Florida Atlantic - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (3:00 PM EST)
UConn -6.0 (64.0) (-270) Open: -7.0 | 67.5
UConn 48 - Florida Atlantic: 45

Huskies (9 - 4) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

CONN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UConn -12.5 (SP+ CONN -16)
Projected Score: CONN: 39 - FAU: 26 (65)
CONN Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
CONN Travel: 1145 miles

Owls (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-29.5	51.5	W 59 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UConn at Syracuse	+7.0	57.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/13	UConn at Delaware	-8.5	52.5	L 41 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/20	UConn vs Ball State	-21.0	53.5	W 31 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/27	UConn at Buffalo	-3.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/4	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	52.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	UConn at Boston College	-2.5	58.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/25	UConn at Rice	-10.5	48.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/1	UConn vs UAB	-10.0	61.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/8	UConn vs Duke	+7.5	63.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/15	UConn vs Air Force	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/22	UConn at Florida Atlantic	-6.0	64.0	W 48 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/27	UConn vs Army	+5.5	41.5	L 16 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Florida Atlantic at Maryland	+16.5	57.5	L 7 - 39	U	N
Sat 9/6	Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M	-21.0	51.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	+2.0	56.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Florida Atlantic vs Memphis	+14.0	62.5	L 26 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/4	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+4.5	54.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Florida Atlantic vs UAB	-4.5	66.5	W 53 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+20.5	72.5	L 13 - 48	U	N
Sat 10/25	Florida Atlantic at Navy	+14.5	63.5	L 32 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-4.5	60.5	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Florida Atlantic at Tulane	+16.5	60.5	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Florida Atlantic vs UConn	+6.0	64.0	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	+6.5	66.5	L 3 - 42	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#13 (.31)	46% (29)	35.3	46% (46)	2.93 (70)	151	47% (25)	277	4.58 (16)	#112 (.22)	47% (126)	27	50% (133)	43% (89)	3.8 (81)	45.5	0.2	1.2
FAU	#44 (.21)	42% (78)	29.5	40% (97)	2.76 (106)	105	43% (55)	341	3.49 (89)	#123 (.26)	45% (120)	36.3	49% (127)	42% (76)	4.58 (132)	56	2.4	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	35.3	33.5	46%	4.58	0.2	20	428	151	277	5.3	45%	54%	46%	47%	12%	.31
FAU Defense	12	36.3	35.5	45.5%	4.58	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	49%	42%	14%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	27	32.2	46.6%	3.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	50%	43%	15%	.22
FAU Offense	12	29.5	37.2	41.7%	3.49	2.4	25	446	105	341	3.6	36%	62%	40%	43%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	27:00	20.1	42%	72%	4.5	45.5	0.2	1.2	5.8	2.6	0	30.4
Florida Atlantic	12	28:32	24.8	37%	66%	6.6	56	2.4	0.7	5.4	1.8	2	30.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	45% (111)	46% (46)	28.6	150.6	5.3	24 (36)	.21 (28)	2.93 (70)	82% (9)	6% (3)	1.04 (39)
FAU Defense	12	54% (112)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	.25 (133)	3.07 (103)	86% (133)	9% (89)	1.09 (120)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	55% (121)	50% (133)	-	-	-	-	.21 (123)	3.37 (132)	67% (33)	10% (68)	0.95 (68)
FAU Offense	12	36% (135)	40% (97)	29.5	105.2	3.6	13 (99)	.04 (108)	2.76 (106)	77% (31)	10% (89)	1.04 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	54% (25)	47% (25)	22.8	33.4	277.4	8.3	12.2	30 (14)	1 (1)	.44 (14)	1.6 (51)	32% (74)	29% (84)	.48 (14)	6% (59)	2.5 (1)
FAU Defense	12	45% (26)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.31 (94)	1.6 (81)	29% (114)	29% (58)	.38 (110)	5% (110)	2.2 (114)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	44% (18)	43% (89)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (55)	.28 (85)	1.6 (69)	26% (132)	33% (116)	.4 (115)	5% (95)	2 (80)
FAU Offense	12	62% (4)	43% (55)	32	48.4	340.5	7	10.6	28 (22)	20 (134)	.33 (41)	1.6 (52)	34% (111)	31% (65)	.39 (35)	8% (125)	2.1 (25)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 0.38 #70
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.68 #25
UConn's Defense Rating: 17.30 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7 #45
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #31
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #71

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: 0.38 Florida Atlantic: -9.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 6.7 Florida Atlantic: -9.4

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -9.115 #125
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 3.50 #104
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 17.33 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 39
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida Atlantic 33
UConn 31

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
UConn 35
Florida Atlantic 31

Total Points: 66

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Florida Atlantic	45	UConn	48	UConn -6.0	Florida Atlantic	64.0	Over
2024	09/21	UConn	48	Florida Atlantic	14	UConn -1.0	UConn	46.0	Over
2002	11/02	UConn	61	Florida Atlantic	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	0	1	2 Overs
UConn	3	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#70) CONN at (#125) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	FAU
Power RatePwr	#70	#125
SP+SP+	#45	#102
Perf GradeGrade	#33	#104
OffenseOff	#12	#83
DefenseDef	#98	#108
Spec TeamsST	#84	#97
TalentTal	#95	#83
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#88

UConn Notes(12/6) Hires Jason Candle (Toledo HC), Mora to Col St
(10/25) Bad L vs Rice, Def mauled for 300 yds rushing
(10/18) Great W at BC, QB Fagano balled out, 5-2 and rolling
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Notes(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report

UConn on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	FAU Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#108
SuccessSuc	#29	#120
ExplosiveExp	#27	#101
PPAPPA	#13	#123
PowerPwr	#25	#122
SP+SP+	#31	#130
Pts POPPO	#16	#132
HavocHav	#13	#106

UConn Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#45	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#127
Run ExplRExp	#39	#120
PPAExp	#28	#133
Run BlockR Blk	#5	-
OL YdsOLY	#70	#103
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#123
TackleTak	-	#58

UConn Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#81
PPAExp	#14	#94
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#61
F7 HavocF7	#3	#89
DB HavocDB	#59	#110

Florida Atlantic on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	CONN Def
Perf GradePerf	#83	#98
SuccessSuc	#78	#126
ExplosiveExp	#7	#40
PPAPPA	#44	#112
PowerPwr	#104	#120
SP+SP+	#65	#71
Pts POPPO	#89	#81
HavocHav	#111	#89

Florida Atlantic Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#127	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#133
Run ExplRExp	#40	#68
PPAExp	#108	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#127	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#135
TackleTak	-	#109

Florida Atlantic Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#47	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#89
Pass ExplPExl	#52	#69
PPAExp	#41	#85
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#14	#87
F7 HavocF7	#89	#68
DB HavocDB	#125	#95

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 13
UConn 6.0 (64.0)
UConn won at Florida Atlantic this year (48-45)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Florida Atlantic last year (48-14)

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	284	412	69%	3441	28	1	8.4
Ksaan Farrar	11	18	61%	84	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camryn Edwards	210	1240	15	5.9	73
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Victor Rosa	30	155	2	5.2	31
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman	23	138	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell	101	1276	13	12.6	80
Reymello Murphy (Tr)	39	446	3	11.4	61
John Neider	27	422	2	15.6	45
Javonte Vereen (Tr)	21	305	5	14.5	50

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Malachi McLean	79	2	1	1	2
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Donovan Branch	30	5	4	7	1
Tyquan King (Tr)	41	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Mon Brinson	59	7	0	0	6
Tyrece Mills (Tr)	25	2	0	1	5
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)	345	514	67%	3652	24	17	7.1
Zach Gibson (Tr)	31	53	59%	323	3	3	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gemari Sands	105	465	0	4.4	37
Kaden Shields-Dutton	83	460	6	5.5	50
Xavier Terrell	54	161	1	3.0	14
Easton Messer (Tr)	3	51	1	17.0	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Easton Messer (Tr)	100	1029	6	10.3	55
Asaad Waseem (Tr)	69	726	5	10.5	44
Jayshon Platt	46	720	5	15.7	48
Dom Henry	40	575	4	14.4	90

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)	86	2	1	1	2
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)	83	5	2	0	1
Dillion Williams (Tr)	62	2	0	0	3
Christopher Keys	47	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)	23	4	4	3
Josh Roberts	22	5	3	2
Wilky Denaud	29	5	3	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	24	7	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Terez Reid (Tr)	42	4	0	8
Damarius McGhee (Tr)	30	0	0	4
Jayden Sweeney (Tr)	41	2	3	4