Old Dominion at UL Monroe - 2025 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Old Dominion -16.5 (55.5) (-850) Open: -14.0
Old Dominion 31 - UL Monroe: 6 (Sun Belt)

Monarchs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#33)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

ULM is playing their 7th straight game
ODU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -14.5 (SP+ ODU -27)
Projected Score: ODU: 35 - ULM: 21 (56)
ODU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ODU Travel: 943 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Warhawks (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Old Dominion at Indiana	+23.5	54.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central	-22.0	50.5	W 54 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+5.5	50.5	W 45 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Old Dominion vs Liberty	-14.5	53.5	W 21 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	-18.5	53.5	W 47 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Old Dominion at Marshall	-14.5	57.5	L 24 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/18	Old Dominion at James Madison	+3.0	47.5	L 27 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/25	Old Dominion vs App State	-12.5	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/1	Old Dominion at UL Monroe	-16.5	55.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13	Old Dominion vs Troy	-9.5	53.5	W 33 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	-10.0	62.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-29.0	58.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
Wed 12/17	Old Dominion vs South Florida	+4.0	52.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)	-31.0	47.0	W 29 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/6	UL Monroe at Alabama	+34.0	50.0	L 0 - 73	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UL Monroe at UTEP	+5.5	47.5	W 31 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/27	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-1.5	55.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/4	UL Monroe at Northwestern	+12.5	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/11	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	-3.0	46.5	L 8 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/18	UL Monroe vs Troy	+4.5	45.5	L 14 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/25	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+14.0	48.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/1	UL Monroe vs Old Dominion	+16.5	55.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+4.0	49.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/22	UL Monroe at Texas State	+20.5	59.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/29	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+10.5	47.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#28 (.25)	46% (30)	32	47% (30)	3.19 (25)	239	44% (44)	216	3.94 (48)	#8 (.03)	39% (40)	18.5	45% (101)	34% (11)	3.03 (20)	53.8	1.8	2
ULM	#115 (.09)	36% (125)	16.6	36% (127)	2.7 (113)	163	38% (110)	160	3.19 (118)	#87 (.19)	41% (57)	31.9	40% (43)	42% (74)	4.21 (118)	65	1.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)		45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)		38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	13	32	31	45.9%	3.94	1.8	22	455	239	216	5.6	58%	41%	47%	44%	14%	.25
ULM Defense	12	31.9	22	40.9%	4.21	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	13	18.5	30	39.2%	3.03	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	45%	34%	19%	.03
ULM Offense	12	16.6	18.2	36.5%	3.19	1.6	17	322	163	160	4.6	54%	43%	36%	38%	21%	.09

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	13	28:29	22.5	41%	31%	6	53.8	1.8	2	6.9	3	0	30.3
UL Monroe	12	29:37	17.4	33%	38%	7.3	65	1.6	0.8	5.5	1.9	0	26.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	13	58% (16)	47% (30)	42.5	238.9	5.6	31 (49)	.14 (60)	3.19 (25)	64% (114)	10% (76)	0.96 (71)
ULM Defense	12	51% (82)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.08 (55)	2.83 (58)	74% (93)	10% (66)	1.03 (103)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	13	50% (72)	45% (101)	-	-	-	-	.01 (22)	2.91 (75)	62% (14)	12% (15)	0.78 (5)
ULM Offense	12	54% (35)	36% (127)	35.7	162.6	4.6	12 (119)	.05 (106)	2.7 (113)	78% (28)	13% (129)	1.11 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	13	41% (121)	44% (44)	14.7	25.4	216	8.5	14.7	21 (22)	10 (119)	.41 (22)	1.8 (6)	28% (17)	35% (23)	.5 (11)	4% (19)	2.3 (3)
ULM Defense	12	48% (60)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (75)	.31 (100)	1.7 (116)	31% (82)	32% (97)	.36 (104)	5% (110)	2.1 (112)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	13	47% (51)	34% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (55)	.09 (9)	1.5 (34)	30% (94)	25% (16)	.21 (33)	7% (34)	1.8 (12)
ULM Offense	12	43% (105)	38% (110)	14.3	25.2	159.6	6.3	11.2	15 (75)	12 (108)	.21 (91)	1.8 (7)	37% (134)	26% (113)	.16 (117)	8% (119)	2.3 (6)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -2.15 #76
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 7.09 #78
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.24 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 3.8
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #48
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #41
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #52

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -2.15 UL Monroe: -12.375

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: 6.4 UL Monroe: -20.7

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -12.375 #103
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 3.62 #103
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 12.67 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.7 #131
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #124

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Old Dominion 35
UL Monroe 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Old Dominion 33
UL Monroe 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Old Dominion 29
UL Monroe 21

Total Points: 50

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	UL Monroe	6	Old Dominion	31	Old Dominion -16.5	Old Dominion	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	0	0	0 Overs
Old Dominion	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#76) ODU at (#103) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	ULM
Power RatePwr	#76	#103
SP+SP+	#48	#131
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#72
OffenseOff	#50	#67
DefenseDef	#24	#43
Spec TeamsST	#112	#82
TalentTal	#130	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#56

Old Dominion Notes(12/2) QB Colton Joseph will enter portal. Huge loss
(10/21) Killed by JMU, Def dogwalked, Rush Off tanked, 3 TO
(10/12) Def torched in awful L vs Marshall. Season derailer?
(10/7) Off is dropping big time #'s, Monarchs #1 SBC team?
(10/7) QB Colton Joseph is the best QB no one has heard of
(9/15) Joseph torched VT, great W for ODU, Off good
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
Old Dominion Injury Report

UL Monroe Notes(10/24) QB1 & QB2 Armenta & Herring doubtful vs So Miss
(10/12) Off has flushed, bad L @ C Car, 15 pts last 2 games
(10/9) Lost both kickers, holding search on campus
(9/21) Run Off better vs UTEP, QB Armenta still JAG-
(9/17) Offense is awful, no expl and can't protect QB
(9/17) Best Off weapon is small body RB McReynolds
(8/28) QB1 Armenta JAG- arm, has some mobility
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
UL Monroe Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	ULM Def
Perf GradePerf	#50	#43
SuccessSuc	#30	#57
ExplosiveExp	#41	#121
PPAPPA	#28	#87
PowerPwr	#78	#100
SP+SP+	#41	#124
Pts POPPO	#48	#118
HavocHav	#44	#100

Old Dominion Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#18	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#30	#43
Run ExplRExp	#71	#103
PPAExp	#60	#55
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#23	#87
TackleTak	-	#48

Old Dominion Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#64	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	#44	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#6	#116
PPAExp	#22	#100
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#70
F7 HavocF7	#76	#66
DB HavocDB	#19	#110

UL Monroe on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	ODU Def
Perf GradePerf	#67	#24
SuccessSuc	#125	#40
ExplosiveExp	#6	#1
PPAPPA	#115	#8
PowerPwr	#103	#75
SP+SP+	#127	#52
Pts POPPO	#118	#20
HavocHav	#134	#17

UL Monroe Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#51	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#101
Run ExplRExp	#14	#5
PPAExp	#106	#22
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#130	#42
TackleTak	-	#111

UL Monroe Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	#11
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#34
PPAExp	#91	#9
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#3	#86
F7 HavocF7	#129	#15
DB HavocDB	#119	#34

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63°

Rematch from Week 10
Old Dominion 16.5 (55.5)
Old Dominion won at UL Monroe this year (31-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Colton Joseph	173	288	60%	2619	21	10	9.1
Quinn Henicle	17	40	43%	184	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colton Joseph	157	1011	13	6.4	78
Trequan Jones	105	792	6	7.5	93
Devin Roche	111	634	4	5.7	67
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)	64	268	4	4.2	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre' Brown III	38	762	4	20.1	98
Ja'Cory Thomas	41	714	5	17.4	55
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding	51	667	6	13.1	46
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)	6	192	2	32.0	80

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mario Easterly	80	2	0	3	4
Jerome Carter	76	3	0	2	2
Jeremy Mack Jr.	75	10	6	3	3
Jahleel Culbreath	71	10	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremy Mack Jr.	75	10	6	3	3
Jackson Forrest	52	7	5	1	0
Kris Trinidad	33	7	4	4	3
Javen Gibson	24	5	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brandon Crutchfield	35	0	6
Zion Frink	60	1	6
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)	46	3	5

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	147	252	58%	1619	12	8	6.4
Landon Graves	19	40	48%	185	2	2	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith	115	660	4	5.7	56
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)	124	614	3	5.0	74
Dorian Lewis	27	195	0	7.2	72
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)	35	137	0	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonathan Bibbs	26	383	3	14.7	68
Nic Trujillo (Tr)	23	368	4	16.0	52
JP Coulter	21	234	0	11.1	39
Jacob Godfrey	16	191	2	11.9	37

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Noah Flemmings	80	10	3	2	1
Jabari Tiller	46	8	3	0	1
Seidrion Langston	36	3	0	0	0
Marcus Ross (Tr)	35	6	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)	34	4	4	1	7
Dylan Howell	19	5	4	4	0
Noah Flemmings	80	10	3	2	1
Kevontay Wells	33	4	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)	34	4	4	1	7
David Godsey Jr.	26	0	0	0	5
Jyren Ester	19	3	0	0	4