UL Monroe at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northwestern -12.5 (43.5) (-440)  Open: -9.5
Northwestern 42 - UL Monroe: 7

 
Warhawks (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
NW 4th straight Home Game
Our Line: Northwestern -23  (SP+ NW -27)

Projected Score: ULM: 11 - NW: 34 (45)
NW Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
ULM Travel: 701 miles
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5W 31 - 25OY
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State-1.555.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe at Northwestern+12.543.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina-3.046.5L 8 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+4.545.5L 14 - 37ON
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+14.048.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+16.555.5L 6 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+4.049.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+20.559.5L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+10.547.5L 27 - 30OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-6.045.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-12.543.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+20.546.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-3.047.5W 19 - 0UY
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+7.544.5L 21 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/7 Northwestern at USC+14.554.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+10.041.5L 22 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota-4.041.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+7.044.5L 13 - 20UY
Fri 12/26 Northwestern vs Central Michigan-13.543.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)16.640% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)31.953% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)23.439% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)19.844% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense1216.615.437.4%3.331.3153081731354.662%37%40%33%15%.15
NW Defense1219.812.445%3.741.3 - - - - - 47%53%44%46%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1231.93946.9%4.121.1 - - - - - 57%42%53%39%13%.2
NW Offense1223.426.837.1%3.021.516285991863.445%54%39%36%19%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1230:4615.333%67%5.943.31.31.14.21.5130.3
Northwestern1229:491633%50%4.838.81.51.34.81.9328
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1262% (6)40% (102)37.8172.84.617 (84).16 (54)2.93 (87)74% (64)10% (75)1.12 (15)
NW Defense1247% (26)44% (80) - - - - .07 (42)2.99 (63)69% (47)8% (107)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1257% (127)53% (134) - - - - .24 (122)3.48 (129)89% (133)8% (117)0.89 (26)
NW Offense1245% (106)39% (113)29.398.63.412 (114).07 (102)2.63 (124)66% (112)11% (98)1.1 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1237% (128)33% (128)11.220.5134.86.612.111 (122)12 (85).14 (110)1.9 (8)34% (118)28% (106).27 (92)5% (26)2 (87)
NW Defense1253% (110)46% (117) - - - - - - 10 (66).25 (77)1.4 (13)27% (128)35% (116).28 (55)7% (33)1.8 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1242% (6)39% (53) - - - - - - 6 (109).17 (38)1.5 (20)29% (110)30% (53).27 (50)5% (111)1.8 (17)
NW Offense1254% (31)36% (116)17.632.7186.15.710.67 (130)11 (72).02 (132)1.3 (134)35% (119)31% (79).2 (109)8% (121)1.8 (119)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -11.68  #107
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.64  #115
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 17.32  #95
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6  #131
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #127
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -11.68   Northwestern: 6.415

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -21.6   Northwestern: 5.8




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 6.415  #56
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 12.77  #70
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 10.74  #49
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.8  #51
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 34
UL Monroe 11


Projected Total Points: 45
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Northwestern42UL Monroe7Northwestern -12.5Northwestern43.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern111 Overs
UL Monroe000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#107) ULM at (#56) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULMNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #107 #56
SP+SP+ #131 #51
Perf GradeGrade #93 #44
OffenseOff #71 #31
DefenseDef #70 #73
Spec TeamsST #99 #97
TalentTal #126 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #65
UL Monroe Notes
(10/24) QB1 & QB2 Armenta & Herring doubtful vs So Miss
(10/12) Off has flushed, bad L @ C Car, 15 pts last 2 games
(10/9) Lost both kickers, holding search on campus
(9/21) Run Off better vs UTEP, QB Armenta still JAG-
(9/17) Offense is awful, no expl and can't protect QB
(9/17) Best Off weapon is small body RB McReynolds
(8/28) QB1 Armenta JAG- arm, has some mobility
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
UL Monroe Injury Report
Northwestern Notes
(11/22) Braun gets NW back to bowl. Great job & rebound
(11/16) Lost 3 straight but competitive in most. Improving
(10/19) Have now won 4 straight, 3 in B1G play. Improving
(10/19) Def shut out Purdue, Run Off great, Run Def good
(10/19) QB Stone has been JAG- though, must game control
(9/14) Good fight w/ Ducks but Off has zero expl
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
Northwestern Injury Report
UL Monroe on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #71 #73
SuccessSuc #121 #106
ExplosiveExp #15 #16
PPAPPA #94 #57
PowerPwr #115 #49
SP+SP+ #127 #30
Pts POPPO #117 #64
HavocHav #48 #77
UL Monroe Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffNW Def
Run GameRun #56 #94
Run SuccessRSuc #102 #80
Run ExplRExp #15 #15
PPAExp #54 #42
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #63
Stuff RateStuff #63 #40
TackleTak -  #100
UL Monroe Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #107 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #128 #117
Pass ExplPExl #8 #13
PPAExp #110 #77
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #4 #39
F7 HavocF7 #75 #107
DB HavocDB #26 #33
Northwestern on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffULM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #31 #70
SuccessSuc #123 #120
ExplosiveExp #101 #6
PPAPPA #129 #89
PowerPwr #70 #95
SP+SP+ #90 #123
Pts POPPO #127 #99
HavocHav #118 #120
Northwestern Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
NW OffULM Def
Run GameRun #53 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #134
Run ExplRExp #20 #26
PPAExp #102 #122
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLY #124 #129
Stuff RateStuff #129 #127
TackleTak -  #48
Northwestern Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #67 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #116 #53
Pass ExplPExl #134 #20
PPAExp #132 #38
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #65
F7 HavocF7 #98 #117
DB HavocDB #121 #111
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Northwestern -12.5 (43.5)
Northwestern won vs UL Monroe this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat UL Monroe last year (42-7)

  
ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta14725258%16191286.4
Landon Graves194048%185224.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith11566045.756
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Dorian Lewis2719507.272
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)3513703.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Bibbs26383314.768
Nic Trujillo (Tr)23368416.052
JP Coulter21234011.139
Jacob Godfrey16191211.937

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Flemmings8010321
Jabari Tiller468301
Seidrion Langston363000
Marcus Ross (Tr)356220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
Dylan Howell195440
Noah Flemmings8010321
Kevontay Wells334340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
David Godsey Jr.260005
Jyren Ester193004

NW's OC Zach Lujan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)22237060%240017126.5
Ryan Boe2729%17012.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe190941115.056
Joseph Himon II9948614.937
Dashun Reeder22222110.179
Robby Preckel4214903.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)71880812.449
Hayden Eligon Ii37521314.138
Hunter Welcing28296210.636
Ricky Ahumaraeze10200020.035

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Tim McGarigle (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald1066014
Mac Uihlein894000
Braydon Brus815344
Braden Turner522012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard2610850
Michael Kilbane428481
Anto Saka134320
Braydon Brus815344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell291009
Fred Davis II (Tr)221006
Ore Adeyi201005