UL Monroe at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
L&S Martin Stadium (Temp) - Evanston, IL

 
Warhawks (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (15 - 73 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
NW 4th straight Home Game
Our Line: Northwestern -20   (SP+ NW -16)

Projected Score: ULM: 19 - NW: 39 (57)
NW Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
ULM Travel: 701 miles
Wildcats (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (28 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe vs Northwestern+22.5
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+9
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+10.5
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+18
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+12
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+21
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-8.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-22.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-6.5
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+28.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+20.5
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+23.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#46 (.29)35% (127)14.538% (105)3.14 (52)20232% (121)893.88 (75)#127 (.37)51% (130)36.553% (128)50% (120)6.6 (136)4320.5
NW#124 (.03)44% (69)19.747% (53)2.79 (88)17844% (70)1800.3 (135)#53 (.08)38% (55)21.347% (103)28% (15)2 (15)33.32.70.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense214.514.534.7%3.88216291202895.456%41%38%32%26%.29
NW Defense321.320.537.5%20.7 - - - - - 52%47%47%28%15%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense236.57350.7%6.60.5 - - - - - 44%55%53%50%9%.37
NW Offense319.72843.7%0.32.7193591781805.143%54%47%44%19%.03

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe228:1715.542%67%4.54320.53.51.5028
Northwestern331:3719.341%43%4.733.32.70.73.31026.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense256% (39)38% (105)37.52025.42 (109).38 (14)3.14 (52)100% (1)20% (135)1.49 (8)
NW Defense352% (89)47% (103) - - - - .28 (123)3.6 (133)75% (80)5% (131)1.1 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense244% (28)53% (128) - - - - .19 (107)3.64 (134)100% (127)6% (125)0.71 (17)
NW Offense343% (109)47% (53)35178.35.14 (79).06 (92)2.79 (88)71% (67)10% (88)0.87 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense241% (112)32% (121)1222894.17.42 (102)2 (60).2 (90)1.8 (16)41% (134)35% (43).64 (24)6% (89)2.3 (27)
NW Defense347% (46)28% (15) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.03 (18)1.4 (42)33% (66)32% (91).33 (85)11% (6)1.9 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense255% (103)50% (120) - - - - - - 1 (87).54 (125)1.5 (60)23% (132)35% (108).65 (126)3% (128)2.1 (82)
NW Offense354% (41)44% (70)1729180.36.210.63 (90)6 (132).14 (104)1.2 (120)25% (26)20% (124).12 (113)9% (131)1.6 (116)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -20.30 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.30   Northwestern: -0.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.2   Northwestern: -4.3




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -0.27 #69
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Northwestern's Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.5
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 73

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 39
UL Monroe 19


Total Points: 57

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.5

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern000 Overs
UL Monroe000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#129) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -20.30 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UL Monroe has lost 3 straight
UL Monroe has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense Away from Home
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNWULM
OverallOver#72#68
OffenseOff#45#48
DefenseDef#97#77
Special TeamsST#98#97
PassingPass#111#47
RushingRush#29#47
Run BlockRBLK#2#32
Pass BlockPBLK#62#33
Route RunningWR Rt#84#90
TacklingTkl#115#60
Run DefenseR Def#101#86
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#65
Coverage DefCov#82#83

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULM | NW
Depth Chart: ULM | NW
Rosters: ULM | NW
(#69) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: -0.27 #69
Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 0.3 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Northwestern has lost 2 straight
Northwestern has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Northwestern Notes
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds

Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense is really good in red zone (#15)
Northwestern has a good pass defense (#15)
Northwestern Secondary is very good (#6)

Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Northwestern throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern does not Sack the QB (#112)
Northwestern Does Not Stuff Runs (#130)
Northwestern has a bad defensive line (#133)


  
UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta203754%123123.3
Landon Graves4757%55107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)1813707.674
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)135304.119
Dorian Lewis95205.821
Aidan Armenta74316.132
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Griffin554110.819
JP Coulter43007.511
Rico Powers Jr.32809.318
Jacob Godfrey32107.025

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Korian Wilson111000
Noah Flemmings101001
Kam Canterbury100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Dylan Howell31110
Davin Anderson20000
Julian Nixon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen20001
Noah Flemmings101001
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)518659%541366.3
Frank Covey IV010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe3615014.224
Joseph Himon II2813704.916
Cam Porter1813717.643
Dashun Reeder492123.079
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)15213014.246
Ricky Ahumaraeze473018.321
Joseph Himon II75908.414
Hunter Welcing555111.028

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Mac Uihlein212000
Braydon Brus120002
Garner Wallace90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmine Bastone92201
Aidan Hubbard92120
Michael Kilbane72110
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell40004
Fred Davis II (Tr)60003
Braydon Brus120002