UL Monroe at UTEP - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
UTEP -5.5 (47.5) (-218) Open: -1.5
UL Monroe 31 - UTEP: 25

Warhawks (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)

Heavy Rain Shower Predicted
ULM coming off BYE
UTEP is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -6 (SP+ UTEP -4)
Projected Score: ULM: 23 - UTEP: 29 (51)
UTEP Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ULM Travel: 846 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Miners (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
UTEP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)	-31.0	47.0	W 29 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/6	UL Monroe at Alabama	+34.0	50.0	L 0 - 73	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UL Monroe at UTEP	+5.5	47.5	W 31 - 25	O	Y
Sat 9/27	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-1.5	55.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/4	UL Monroe at Northwestern	+12.5	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/11	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	-3.0	46.5	L 8 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/18	UL Monroe vs Troy	+4.5	45.5	L 14 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/25	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+14.0	48.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/1	UL Monroe vs Old Dominion	+16.5	55.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+4.0	49.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/22	UL Monroe at Texas State	+20.5	59.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/29	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+10.5	47.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

UTEP's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UTEP at Utah State	+3.5	59.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/6	UTEP vs UT Martin	-7.5	49.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/13	UTEP at Texas	+39.5	52.5	L 10 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/20	UTEP vs UL Monroe	-5.5	47.5	L 25 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/27	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+3.5	48.5	L 11 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	UTEP vs Liberty	+1.5	46.5	L 8 - 19	U	N
Wed 10/15	UTEP vs Sam Houston	-3.5	46.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28	UTEP at Kennesaw State	+12.5	53.5	L 20 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/8	UTEP vs Jacksonville State	+1.5	46.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/15	UTEP at Missouri State	+6.5	47.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/22	UTEP vs New Mexico State	-4.0	44.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/29	UTEP at Delaware	+4.5	55.5	L 31 - 61	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#115 (.09)	36% (125)	16.6	36% (127)	2.7 (113)	163	38% (110)	160	3.19 (118)	#87 (.19)	41% (57)	31.9	40% (43)	42% (74)	4.21 (118)	65	1.6	0.8
UTEP	#130 (.02)	33% (135)	23.3	36% (129)	2.14 (133)	116	31% (135)	216	3.42 (95)	#45 (.11)	39% (42)	30.4	37% (14)	42% (75)	3.85 (88)	57.1	2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
UTEP	#121 (.07)	37% (124)		38% (118)	2.8 (106)	121	36% (117)	200	2.81 (132)	#46 (.13)	40% (42)		40% (42)	39% (46)	3.85 (78)	50.9	1.6	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	16.6	15.4	36.5%	3.19	1.6	17	322	163	160	4.6	54%	43%	36%	38%	21%	.09
UTEP Defense	12	30.4	26.8	39.3%	3.85	1	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	37%	42%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.9	39	40.9%	4.21	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	14%	.19
UTEP Offense	12	23.3	24	33%	3.42	2	17	332	116	216	3.7	44%	54%	36%	31%	19%	.02

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	29:37	17.4	33%	38%	7.3	65	1.6	0.8	5.5	1.9	0	26.8
UTEP	12	25:38	16.8	30%	54%	5.9	57.1	2	1	6.8	2.3	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	54% (35)	36% (127)	35.7	162.6	4.6	12 (119)	.05 (106)	2.7 (113)	78% (28)	13% (129)	1.11 (14)
UTEP Defense	12	54% (113)	37% (14)	-	-	-	-	.02 (24)	2.63 (22)	64% (22)	11% (33)	0.98 (79)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	51% (82)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.08 (55)	2.83 (58)	74% (93)	10% (66)	1.03 (103)
UTEP Offense	12	44% (113)	36% (129)	31.3	115.6	3.7	14 (99)	.05 (105)	2.14 (133)	60% (127)	11% (106)	1.17 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	43% (105)	38% (110)	14.3	25.2	159.6	6.3	11.2	15 (75)	12 (108)	.21 (91)	1.8 (7)	37% (134)	26% (113)	.16 (117)	8% (119)	2.3 (6)
UTEP Defense	12	45% (25)	42% (75)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (123)	.24 (64)	1.4 (22)	32% (51)	27% (36)	.12 (10)	5% (110)	1.5 (1)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	48% (60)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (75)	.31 (100)	1.7 (116)	31% (82)	32% (97)	.36 (104)	5% (110)	2.1 (112)
UTEP Offense	12	54% (27)	31% (135)	18.7	34.2	216.3	6.3	11.6	21 (61)	20 (136)	.03 (130)	1.7 (17)	34% (116)	24% (125)	.21 (103)	8% (128)	2.1 (31)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -9.05 #103
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 3.62 #103
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 12.67 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.7 #131
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #124

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -9.05 UTEP: -8.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.7 UTEP: -16.6

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -8.91 #91
UTEP's Offense Rating: 0.12 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 6.34 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6 #129
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #112
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #125

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UTEP 29
UL Monroe 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
UTEP 39
UL Monroe 18

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
UTEP 30
UL Monroe 23

Total Points: 53

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	UTEP	25	UL Monroe	31	UTEP -5.5	UL Monroe	47.5	Over
2020	09/26	UL Monroe	6	UTEP	31	Louisiana Monroe -9.5	UTEP	49.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	1	1	1 Overs
UL Monroe	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#103) ULM at (#91) UTEP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	UTEP
Power RatePwr	#103	#91
SP+SP+	#131	#129
Perf GradeGrade	#72	#126
OffenseOff	#67	#131
DefenseDef	#43	#106
Spec TeamsST	#82	#110
TalentTal	#126	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	#56	#88

UL Monroe Notes(10/24) QB1 & QB2 Armenta & Herring doubtful vs So Miss
(10/12) Off has flushed, bad L @ C Car, 15 pts last 2 games
(10/9) Lost both kickers, holding search on campus
(9/21) Run Off better vs UTEP, QB Armenta still JAG-
(9/17) Offense is awful, no expl and can't protect QB
(9/17) Best Off weapon is small body RB McReynolds
(8/28) QB1 Armenta JAG- arm, has some mobility
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
UL Monroe Injury Report

UTEP Notes(10/29) Even game w/ Kenn St, St's & 2-16 3rd down killed
(10/8) This offense is pathetic. New OC Mark Cala a disaster
(9/29) QB Nelson benched, Skyler Locklear will take over
(9/28) Off is near worst in CFB. QB Nelson a disaster so far
(9/25) 20 1st Half points in 3 games vs FBS teams
(9/21) Ugly L vs ULM, Run Def mauled, Run Off shit
(9/17) Patchwork OL might be OK once in CUSA play
(9/13) Great fight at Tex, Def played hard, QB OK
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
UTEP Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	UTEP Def
Perf GradePerf	#67	#106
SuccessSuc	#125	#42
ExplosiveExp	#6	#47
PPAPPA	#115	#45
PowerPwr	#103	#55
SP+SP+	#127	#125
Pts POPPO	#118	#88
HavocHav	#134	#67

UL Monroe Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#51	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#14
Run ExplRExp	#14	#79
PPAExp	#106	#24
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#130	#20
TackleTak	-	#30

UL Monroe Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	#75
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#22
PPAExp	#91	#64
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#3	#97
F7 HavocF7	#129	#33
DB HavocDB	#119	#110

UTEP on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	ULM Def
Perf GradePerf	#131	#43
SuccessSuc	#135	#57
ExplosiveExp	#2	#121
PPAPPA	#130	#87
PowerPwr	#128	#100
SP+SP+	#112	#124
Pts POPPO	#95	#118
HavocHav	#123	#100

UTEP Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#96	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#129	#43
Run ExplRExp	#5	#103
PPAExp	#105	#55
Run BlockR Blk	#120	-
OL YdsOLY	#133	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#124	#87
TackleTak	-	#48

UTEP Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	#135	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#17	#116
PPAExp	#130	#100
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#88	#70
F7 HavocF7	#106	#66
DB HavocDB	#128	#110

Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 85° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
UTEP -5.5 (47.5)
UL Monroe won at UTEP this year (31-25)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	147	252	58%	1619	12	8	6.4
Landon Graves	19	40	48%	185	2	2	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith	115	660	4	5.7	56
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)	124	614	3	5.0	74
Dorian Lewis	27	195	0	7.2	72
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)	35	137	0	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonathan Bibbs	26	383	3	14.7	68
Nic Trujillo (Tr)	23	368	4	16.0	52
JP Coulter	21	234	0	11.1	39
Jacob Godfrey	16	191	2	11.9	37

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Noah Flemmings	80	10	3	2	1
Jabari Tiller	46	8	3	0	1
Seidrion Langston	36	3	0	0	0
Marcus Ross (Tr)	35	6	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)	34	4	4	1	7
Dylan Howell	19	5	4	4	0
Noah Flemmings	80	10	3	2	1
Kevontay Wells	33	4	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)	34	4	4	1	7
David Godsey Jr.	26	0	0	0	5
Jyren Ester	19	3	0	0	4

UTEP's OC Mark Cala (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Skyler Locklear	117	211	56%	1418	13	11	6.7
Malachi Nelson (Tr)	104	190	55%	1163	8	9	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashten Emory	119	569	4	4.8	56
Skyler Locklear	103	396	8	3.8	63
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)	46	225	1	4.9	94
Kenny Odom	13	57	0	4.4	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wondame Davis Jr.	25	604	6	24.2	75
Kenny Odom	62	582	6	9.4	74
Eric Willis III	27	290	2	10.7	43
Josh Schuchts	21	232	3	11.0	64

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bobby Daly (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Micah Davey (Tr)	114	8	1	3	0
Jayden Wilson (Tr)	92	8	1	6	0
Xavier Smith	60	2	0	1	4
Solo Barnes (Tr)	59	2	1	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)	41	10	5	3	1
Kadarion Johnson	55	10	4	5	1
Elijah Baldwin	23	6	4	4	4
Ashaad Hall (Tr)	24	4	3	7	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Content	58	6	0	1	6
Xavier Smith	60	2	0	1	4
Solo Barnes (Tr)	59	2	1	1	4