UL Monroe at UTEP - 2025 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
UTEP -5.5 (47.5) (-225)  Open: -1.5
Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TX

 
Warhawks (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (15 - 73 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
ULM coming off BYE
UTEP is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -15.5   (SP+ UTEP -6)

Projected Score: ULM: 19 - UTEP: 35 (54)
UTEP Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ULM Travel: 846 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Miners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (42 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe vs Northwestern+22.5
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+9
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+10.5
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+18
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+12
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+21
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTEP at Utah State+3.559.5L 16 - 28UN
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-7.549.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+39.552.5L 10 - 27UY
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-5.547.5
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech-2.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+2.5
Wed 10/15 UTEP at Sam Houston-9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State-9
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State-8.5
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State-8.5
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-9.5
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware+1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#46 (.29)35% (127)14.538% (105)3.14 (52)20232% (121)893.88 (75)#127 (.37)51% (130)36.553% (128)50% (120)6.6 (136)4320.5
UTEP#88 (.14)37% (115)22.740% (100)1.86 (134)11635% (112)2234.36 (49)#39 (.04)40% (71)2438% (63)42% (85)3.35 (61)45.31.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense214.514.534.7%3.88216291202895.456%41%38%32%26%.29
UTEP Defense3241739.8%3.350.7 - - - - - 57%43%38%42%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense236.57350.7%6.60.5 - - - - - 44%55%53%50%9%.37
UTEP Offense322.74236.9%4.361.3153381162234.243%57%40%35%16%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe228:1715.542%67%4.54320.53.51.5028
UTEP324:0515.330%40%5.745.31.30.79.33.3026.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense256% (39)38% (105)37.52025.42 (109).38 (14)3.14 (52)100% (1)20% (135)1.49 (8)
UTEP Defense357% (112)38% (63) - - - - -.02 (43)2.5 (42)47% (18)13% (32)0.92 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense244% (28)53% (128) - - - - .19 (107)3.64 (134)100% (127)6% (125)0.71 (17)
UTEP Offense343% (114)40% (100)27.7115.74.24 (79).08 (88)1.86 (134)67% (86)11% (100)1.13 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense241% (112)32% (121)1222894.17.42 (102)2 (60).2 (90)1.8 (16)41% (134)35% (43).64 (24)6% (89)2.3 (27)
UTEP Defense343% (26)42% (85) - - - - - - 1 (87).13 (44)1.4 (38)30% (101)28% (64).11 (32)5% (88)1.4 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense255% (103)50% (120) - - - - - - 1 (87).54 (125)1.5 (60)23% (132)35% (108).65 (126)3% (128)2.1 (82)
UTEP Offense357% (27)35% (112)20.733.7222.76.610.85 (54)3 (92).21 (87)1.5 (71)28% (46)24% (110).4 (54)5% (60)2.6 (9)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -20.30 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.30   UTEP: -4.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.2   UTEP: -14.0




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -4.785 #81
UTEP's Offense Rating: 4.82 #107
UTEP's Defense Rating: 5.38 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #119
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #117
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.5
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 73

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 35
UL Monroe 19


Total Points: 54

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202009/26UL Monroe6UTEP31UTEPLouisiana Monroe -9.5UTEP49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP110 Overs
UL Monroe001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#129) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -20.30 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UL Monroe has lost 1 straight
UL Monroe has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTEPULM
OverallOver#86#68
OffenseOff#101#48
DefenseDef#74#77
Special TeamsST#73#97
PassingPass#107#47
RushingRush#41#47
Run BlockRBLK#88#32
Pass BlockPBLK#91#33
Route RunningWR Rt#96#90
TacklingTkl#1#60
Run DefenseR Def#76#86
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#65
Coverage DefCov#92#83

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULM | UTEP
Depth Chart: ULM | UTEP
Rosters: ULM | UTEP
(#81) UTEP Info
Power Rating: -4.785 #81
Offense Rating: 4.82 #107
Defense Rating: 5.38 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102
Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.36 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UTEP has lost 1 straight
UTEP has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

UTEP Notes
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
(7/24) WR #1 Odom back, depth a ? 6 portals (3 FCS)
(7/24) K Thomas all purpose weapon, All CUSA as PR
(7/12) Last year in CUSA, join MWC in '26
(6/22) Proj #1 CB J Shelton arrested/left UTEP in June
(3/24) RB rebuild. Wilson (Char) a good add
(3/24) OL bad LY, 2/5 back, 2 more with a lot of exp

UTEP Highlights
UTEP is Undefeated at Home
UTEP is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

UTEP Defense Sacks the QB a lot


UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP Can Not Run the Ball (#112)
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#123)
UTEP run game is really bad (#100)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta203754%123123.3
Landon Graves4757%55107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)1813707.674
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)135304.119
Dorian Lewis95205.821
Aidan Armenta74316.132
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Griffin554110.819
JP Coulter43007.511
Rico Powers Jr.32809.318
Jacob Godfrey32107.025

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Korian Wilson111000
Noah Flemmings101001
Kam Canterbury100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Dylan Howell31110
Davin Anderson20000
Julian Nixon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen20001
Noah Flemmings101001
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200

UTEP's OC Mark Cala
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malachi Nelson (Tr)609663%665536.9
Skyler Locklear1333%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)14156111.194
Ashten Emory277222.712
Skyler Locklear337012.363
Kam Thomas163602.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom19236212.474
Toric Goins Jr.9170118.949
Trevon Tate (Tr)97408.243
Eric Willis III96407.114

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bobby Daly
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Davey (Tr)312110
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)196221
Xavier Smith190010
Joshua Rudolph (Tr)181100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)196221
Ashaad Hall (Tr)82221
Elijah Baldwin123201
Micah Davey (Tr)312110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Neil Campbell (Tr)143102
Donte Thompson (Tr)111011
Ashaad Hall (Tr)82221