UL Monroe at Louisiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (3:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -10.5 (47.5) (-500)  Open: -13.5 | 48.5
Louisiana 30 - UL Monroe: 27  (Sun Belt)

 
Warhawks (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ULM 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Louisiana -7  (SP+ ULL -12)

Projected Score: ULM: 23 - ULL: 30 (53)
ULL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ULM Travel: 160 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5W 31 - 25OY
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State-1.555.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe at Northwestern+12.543.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina-3.046.5L 8 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+4.545.5L 14 - 37ON
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+14.048.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+16.555.5L 6 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+4.049.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+20.559.5L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+10.547.5L 27 - 30OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 3

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana vs Rice-14.549.5L 12 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-19.050.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+27.547.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-2.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall+2.547.5W 54 - 51OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+18.544.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss+4.554.5L 10 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+7.047.5L 23 - 35ON
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+3.552.5W 31 - 22OY
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State+3.562.5W 42 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State+2.554.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-10.547.5W 30 - 27ON
Wed 12/17 Louisiana vs Delaware-1.560.5L 13 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#115 (.09)36% (125)16.636% (127)2.7 (113)16338% (110)1603.19 (118)#87 (.19)41% (57)31.940% (43)42% (74)4.21 (118)651.60.8
ULL#101 (.12)39% (109)2642% (84)2.9 (76)18335% (128)1613.45 (93)#90 (.19)46% (124)29.248% (126)45% (109)3.33 (39)46.51.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense1216.615.436.5%3.191.6173221631604.654%43%36%38%21%.09
ULL Defense1329.227.246.1%3.331.4 - - - - - 53%45%48%45%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1231.93940.9%4.210.8 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%14%.19
ULL Offense132630.338.7%3.451.5193441831614.657%41%42%35%16%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1229:3717.433%38%7.3651.60.85.51.9026.8
Louisiana1329:5818.941%55%5.946.51.51.44.51.7227.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1254% (35)36% (127)35.7162.64.612 (119).05 (106)2.7 (113)78% (28)13% (129)1.11 (14)
ULL Defense1353% (109)48% (126) - - - - .18 (115)3.29 (126)73% (80)9% (103)0.99 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1251% (82)40% (43) - - - - .08 (55)2.83 (58)74% (93)10% (66)1.03 (103)
ULL Offense1357% (22)42% (84)39.6182.94.626 (40).13 (62)2.9 (76)71% (75)11% (110)0.99 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1243% (105)38% (110)14.325.2159.66.311.215 (75)12 (108).21 (91)1.8 (7)37% (134)26% (113).16 (117)8% (119)2.3 (6)
ULL Defense1345% (29)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (55).27 (81)1.5 (32)26% (133)28% (44).31 (75)5% (104)2.3 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1248% (60)42% (74) - - - - - - 5 (75).31 (100)1.7 (116)31% (82)32% (97).36 (104)5% (110)2.1 (112)
ULL Offense1341% (120)35% (128)14.426.2161.26.111.212 (121)14 (119).15 (115)1.6 (45)33% (108)26% (110).21 (102)5% (44)1.9 (108)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -9.05  #103
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 3.62  #103
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 12.67  #100
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.7  #131
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #127
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #124

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -9.05   Louisiana: -7.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.7   Louisiana: -8.7




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -7.85  #120
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 2.57  #110
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.57  #109
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #100
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #75
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 30
UL Monroe 23


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana 37
UL Monroe 25

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana 32
UL Monroe 22

Total Points: 54
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Louisiana30UL Monroe27Louisiana -10.5UL Monroe47.5Over
202411/30UL Monroe23Louisiana37Louisiana -8.5Louisiana50.5Over
202311/25Louisiana52UL Monroe21Louisiana -12.5Louisiana53.0Over
202209/24UL Monroe21Louisiana17Louisiana -9.5UL Monroe51.0Under
202111/27Louisiana21UL Monroe16Louisiana -21.5UL Monroe56.0Under
202011/28UL Monroe20Louisiana70Louisiana -29.5Louisiana58.0Over
201911/30Louisiana31UL Monroe30Louisiana -19.5UL Monroe71.0Under
201811/24UL Monroe28Louisiana31Louisiana Monroe -1.5Louisiana71.0Under
201709/23Louisiana50UL Monroe56Louisiana -4UL Monroe60.0Over
201612/03UL Monroe3Louisiana30Louisiana -9.5Louisiana53.0Under
201510/31Louisiana30UL Monroe24Louisiana -9UL Monroe52.5Over
201411/15UL Monroe27Louisiana34Louisiana -7NA51.5Over
201311/30Louisiana28UL Monroe31Louisiana -13UL Monroe0
201211/03UL Monroe24Louisiana40
201111/05Louisiana36UL Monroe35
201011/27UL Monroe22Louisiana23
200911/21Louisiana21UL Monroe17
200810/04UL Monroe35Louisiana44
200711/24Louisiana11UL Monroe17
200612/02Louisiana20UL Monroe39
200511/26UL Monroe21Louisiana54
200411/20UL Monroe13Louisiana10
200310/11Louisiana42UL Monroe45
200110/27Louisiana17UL Monroe12
200011/03UL Monroe18Louisiana21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana1857 Overs
UL Monroe775 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 152 - 101 - 71 - 3
Road Teams15 - 1010 - 23 - 17 - 1

(#103) ULM at (#120) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULMULL
Power RatePwr #103 #120
SP+SP+ #131 #100
Perf GradeGrade #72 #121
OffenseOff #67 #120
DefenseDef #43 #113
Spec TeamsST #82 #116
TalentTal #126 #102
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #88
UL Monroe Notes
(10/24) QB1 & QB2 Armenta & Herring doubtful vs So Miss
(10/12) Off has flushed, bad L @ C Car, 15 pts last 2 games
(10/9) Lost both kickers, holding search on campus
(9/21) Run Off better vs UTEP, QB Armenta still JAG-
(9/17) Offense is awful, no expl and can't protect QB
(9/17) Best Off weapon is small body RB McReynolds
(8/28) QB1 Armenta JAG- arm, has some mobility
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
UL Monroe Injury Report
Louisiana Notes
(11/21) Was 2-6, won 3 straight to stay in bowl fight
(11/20) QB Lunch Winfield a find. Program changer?
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
Louisiana Injury Report
UL Monroe on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffULL Def
Perf GradePerf #67 #113
SuccessSuc #125 #124
ExplosiveExp #6 #37
PPAPPA #115 #90
PowerPwr #103 #109
SP+SP+ #127 #116
Pts POPPO #118 #39
HavocHav #134 #111
UL Monroe Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffULL Def
Run GameRun #51 #111
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #126
Run ExplRExp #14 #89
PPAExp #106 #115
Run BlockR Blk #59 -
OL YdsOLY #113 #126
Stuff RateStuff #130 #106
TackleTak -  #90
UL Monroe Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #113 #85
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #109
Pass ExplPExl #7 #32
PPAExp #91 #81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #112
F7 HavocF7 #129 #103
DB HavocDB #119 #104
Louisiana on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatULL OffULM Def
Perf GradePerf #120 #43
SuccessSuc #109 #57
ExplosiveExp #93 #121
PPAPPA #101 #87
PowerPwr #110 #100
SP+SP+ #75 #124
Pts POPPO #93 #118
HavocHav #79 #100
Louisiana Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ULL OffULM Def
Run GameRun #70 #34
Run SuccessRSuc #84 #43
Run ExplRExp #58 #103
PPAExp #62 #55
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #76 #58
Stuff RateStuff #108 #87
TackleTak -  #48
Louisiana Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatULL OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #126 #59
Pass SuccessPSuc #128 #74
Pass ExplPExl #45 #116
PPAExp #115 #100
Pass Block/RushP Blk #92 #70
F7 HavocF7 #110 #66
DB HavocDB #44 #110
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Louisiana -10.5 (47.5)
Louisiana won vs UL Monroe this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat UL Monroe last year (37-23)
Louisiana beat UL Monroe in 2023 (52-21)
UL Monroe beat Louisiana in 2022 (21-17)

  
ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta14725258%16191286.4
Landon Graves194048%185224.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith11566045.756
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Dorian Lewis2719507.272
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)3513703.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Bibbs26383314.768
Nic Trujillo (Tr)23368416.052
JP Coulter21234011.139
Jacob Godfrey16191211.937

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Flemmings8010321
Jabari Tiller468301
Seidrion Langston363000
Marcus Ross (Tr)356220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
Dylan Howell195440
Noah Flemmings8010321
Kevontay Wells334340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
David Godsey Jr.260005
Jyren Ester193004

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D'Wayne' Winfield12721559%15551177.2
Daniel Beale428450%385144.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis15876364.876
Zylan Perry13868985.084
D'Wayne' Winfield15266794.442
Steven Blanco3015625.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)32537616.845
Robert Williams25309012.444
Charles Robertson15250116.745
Caden Jensen2923118.040

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger12413413
Terrence Williams953100
Brent Gordon Jr.6210111
Tyree Skipper551102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Lawson5215591
Jaden Dugger12413413
Jaelen Crider254311
Cameron Whitfield302130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Gordon Jr.6210111
Courtline Flowers483104
Jaden Dugger12413413