Colorado State at Wyoming - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Wyoming -5.5 (46.5) (-218) Open: -3.5
Wyoming 28 - Colorado State: 0 (Mountain West)

Rams (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
CSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -6.5 (SP+ WYO -4)
Projected Score: CSU: 20 - WYO: 26 (46)
WYO Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
CSU Travel: 57 miles

Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Colorado State at Washington	+20.5	52.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-35.0	52.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Colorado State vs UTSA	+4.5	58.5	L 16 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Colorado State vs Washington State	-4.5	48.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/3	Colorado State at San Diego State	+4.5	40.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/10	Colorado State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-2.5	53.5	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/25	Colorado State at Wyoming	+5.5	46.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Colorado State vs UNLV	+5.5	60.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/15	Colorado State at New Mexico	+15.5	53.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Colorado State at Boise State	+17.5	46.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	+2.5	47.5	L 21 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Wyoming at Akron	-8.5	49.5	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Wyoming vs Northern Iowa	-14.0	47.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Wyoming vs Utah	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/20	Wyoming at Colorado	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Wyoming vs UNLV	+4.5	50.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	Wyoming vs San José State	+1.5	50.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Wyoming at Air Force	+4.0	56.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-5.5	46.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Wyoming at San Diego State	+10.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Wyoming at Fresno State	+3.0	40.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/22	Wyoming vs Nevada	-6.0	39.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/29	Wyoming at Hawai'i	+8.5	45.0	L 7 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)	18.5	43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)	30.8	42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)	16	39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)	20.5	43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	13	18.5	16.6	42.2%	3.56	1.2	16	354	162	192	4.9	55%	45%	43%	41%	15%	.16
WYO Defense	12	20.5	18.3	44%	3.97	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	43%	45%	15%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	13	30.8	36	42.4%	4	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	42%	43%	17%	.16
WYO Offense	12	16	20.7	36.4%	3.07	1.3	17	327	138	189	3.6	54%	46%	39%	34%	17%	.05

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	13	28:44	16.5	35%	64%	5.8	47.3	1.2	1.5	4.2	1.1	2	27.8
Wyoming	12	30:52	17.3	36%	60%	5.5	49.6	1.3	0.9	5	1.3	2	28

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	13	55% (30)	43% (80)	33.4	161.8	4.9	19 (73)	.03 (115)	2.88 (96)	55% (133)	9% (46)	0.92 (87)
WYO Defense	12	52% (82)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.21 (112)	3.09 (85)	62% (12)	9% (87)	1.19 (128)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	13	49% (51)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.1 (55)	3.01 (70)	69% (45)	9% (91)	1.02 (88)
WYO Offense	12	54% (40)	39% (111)	38.2	138.1	3.6	14 (98)	.02 (117)	2.64 (122)	62% (121)	11% (92)	0.94 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	13	45% (102)	41% (81)	16.2	26.4	191.8	7.3	11.8	15 (98)	8 (40)	.31 (43)	1.7 (25)	32% (75)	34% (37)	.42 (33)	7% (98)	2 (92)
WYO Defense	12	48% (55)	45% (113)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.25 (78)	1.4 (10)	31% (81)	32% (85)	.32 (73)	5% (102)	1.8 (16)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	13	51% (85)	43% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.22 (59)	1.4 (16)	30% (105)	30% (64)	.27 (49)	8% (22)	1.9 (35)
WYO Offense	12	46% (93)	34% (125)	15.1	28.9	188.6	6.5	12.5	11 (122)	11 (72)	.08 (126)	1.8 (19)	34% (110)	25% (118)	.15 (126)	6% (72)	2.1 (62)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -11.19 #105
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 11.48 #77
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.67 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #124
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #120
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -11.19 Wyoming: -6.825

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -15.6 Wyoming: -11.3

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -6.825 #86
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 8.24 #97
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 15.59 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #110
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #129
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 26
Colorado State 20

Projected Total Points: 46

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Wyoming	28	Colorado State	0	Wyoming -5.5	Wyoming	46.5	Under
2024	11/15	Colorado State	24	Wyoming	10	Colorado State -8.5	Colorado State	47.5	Under
2023	11/03	Wyoming	24	Colorado State	15	Wyoming -6	Wyoming	41.0	Under
2022	11/12	Colorado State	13	Wyoming	14	Wyoming -8.5	Colorado State	42.5	Under
2021	11/06	Wyoming	31	Colorado State	17	Colorado State -3	Wyoming	41.5	Over
2020	11/05	Colorado State	34	Wyoming	24	Wyoming -3.5	Colorado State	53.5	Over
2019	11/22	Wyoming	17	Colorado State	7	Wyoming -5.5	Wyoming	50.5	Under
2018	10/26	Colorado State	21	Wyoming	34	Wyoming -3	Wyoming	47.5	Over
2017	11/04	Wyoming	16	Colorado State	13	Colorado State -4	Wyoming	48.5	Under
2016	10/01	Colorado State	17	Wyoming	38	Colorado State -5.5	Wyoming	53.5	Over
2015	11/07	Wyoming	7	Colorado State	26	Colorado State -11.5	Colorado State	55.5	Under
2014	10/25	Colorado State	45	Wyoming	31	Colorado State -21.5	Wyoming	0
2013	10/19	Wyoming	22	Colorado State	52	Wyoming -6.5	Colorado State	0
2012	11/03	Wyoming	45	Colorado State	31
2011	12/03	Colorado State	19	Wyoming	22
2010	11/20	Wyoming	44	Colorado State	0
2009	11/27	Colorado State	16	Wyoming	17
2008	11/22	Wyoming	20	Colorado State	31
2007	11/23	Colorado State	36	Wyoming	28
2006	10/21	Wyoming	24	Colorado State	0
2005	10/22	Colorado State	39	Wyoming	31
2004	10/22	Colorado State	30	Wyoming	7
2003	11/01	Wyoming	35	Colorado State	28
2002	10/12	Colorado State	44	Wyoming	36
2001	09/29	Wyoming	14	Colorado State	42
2000	11/15	Colorado State	37	Wyoming	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	14	8	4 Overs
Colorado State	12	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 9	8 - 5	4 - 3	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 17	5 - 8	2 - 4	3 - 4

(#105) CSU at (#86) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CSU	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#105	#86
SP+SP+	#124	#110
Perf GradeGrade	#135	#109
OffenseOff	#124	#126
DefenseDef	#135	#51
Spec TeamsST	#132	#128
TalentTal	#87	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Colorado State Notes(11/26) Hiring Jim Mora (UConn). Big for move to new Pac12
(10/22) Former QB1 Fowler-Nicolosi left CSU, portal bound
(10/19) Norvell fired, DC Tyson Summers interim
(10/4) Def suddenly torched by SDSU? Team is a tire fire
(10/2) TE1 Jaxxon Warren out vs SDSU game (in boot)
(10/2) Changing playcallers, Matt Mumme (PGC) now
(9/24) QB Brousseau much better option, good vs UTSA
(9/24) Norvell lost CSU game, pass by QB3 for 2 pts?
(9/21) QB Fowler-Nicolosi cannot play, Off a CFB worst
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
Colorado State Injury Report

Wyoming Notes(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report

Colorado State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#51
SuccessSuc	#76	#96
ExplosiveExp	#85	#65
PPAPPA	#90	#102
PowerPwr	#77	#84
SP+SP+	#120	#55
Pts POPPO	#98	#86
HavocHav	#59	#92

Colorado State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#97	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	#80	#70
Run ExplRExp	#87	#128
PPAExp	#115	#112
Run BlockR Blk	#71	-
OL YdsOLY	#96	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#112	#58
TackleTak	-	#63

Colorado State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#113
Pass ExplPExl	#25	#10
PPAExp	#43	#78
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#124	#117
F7 HavocF7	#46	#87
DB HavocDB	#98	#102

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	CSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#135
SuccessSuc	#126	#78
ExplosiveExp	#60	#49
PPAPPA	#127	#61
PowerPwr	#97	#125
SP+SP+	#129	#105
Pts POPPO	#126	#88
HavocHav	#86	#59

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#96	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	#111	#59
Run ExplRExp	#83	#88
PPAExp	#117	#55
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#70
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#93
TackleTak	-	#61

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#115
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#94
Pass ExplPExl	#19	#16
PPAExp	#126	#59
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#104	#135
F7 HavocF7	#92	#91
DB HavocDB	#72	#22

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Wyoming -5.5 (46.5)
Wyoming won vs Colorado State this year (28-0)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Colorado State last year (28-0)
Colorado State beat Wyoming in 2024 (24-10)
Wyoming beat Colorado State in 2023 (24-15)

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Brousseau	128	201	64%	1354	9	3	6.7
Darius Curry	70	107	65%	740	5	7	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Dupree	102	508	2	5.0	31
Lloyd Avant (Tr)	90	417	5	4.6	23
Justin Marshall	49	260	1	5.3	73
Javion Kinnard	12	56	0	4.7	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rocky Beers (Tr)	31	388	7	12.5	48
Tommy Maher	32	358	0	11.2	35
Tay Lanier	35	315	2	9.0	39
Armani Winfield	22	276	2	12.5	49

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long	148	5	2	0	5
Jake Jarmolowich (Tr)	72	5	1	1	1
Jace Bellah	58	1	0	2	0
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	56	5	4	4	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	56	5	4	4	13
Owen Long	148	5	2	0	5
Jeremy Naborne	35	4	2	2	0
Paul Tangelo (Tr)	19	3	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	56	5	4	4	13
Jahari Rogers (Tr)	31	4	1	1	8
Owen Long	148	5	2	0	5

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaden Anderson	189	336	56%	1971	12	10	5.9
Mason Drube	20	38	53%	187	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samuel Harris	100	552	1	5.5	50
Sam Scott	89	408	2	4.6	37
Terron Kellman (Tr)	65	331	4	5.1	33
Landon Sims	15	97	1	6.5	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Durr Jr.	46	513	4	11.2	49
Jaylen Sargent	20	240	0	12.0	29
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)	16	228	3	14.3	35
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	24	217	1	9.0	24

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)	74	5	0	1	3
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1
Jones Thomas	46	1	0	0	4
Tyce Westland	43	8	2	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Florentine	33	6	4	1	3
Brayden Wilson (Tr)	22	4	2	1	0
Tyce Westland	43	8	2	4	2
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Desman Hearns (Tr)	28	3	5
Tyrese Boss	36	0	5
Dainsus Miller	25	3	5