Northern Colorado at Colorado State

Northern Colorado at Colorado State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Northern Colorado Bears at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -35.0 (52.5) (0) Open: -35.0 | 52.5
Colorado State 21 - Northern Colorado: 17

Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 21 (17 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -11 (SP+ CSU -16)
CSU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%

Rams (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tyson Summers (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
UNCO Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Colorado's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	Northern Colorado at Colorado State	+35.0	52.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Colorado's Schedule

Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Colorado State at Washington	+20.5	52.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-35.0	52.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Colorado State vs UTSA	+4.5	58.5	L 16 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Colorado State vs Washington State	-4.5	48.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/3	Colorado State at San Diego State	+4.5	40.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/10	Colorado State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-2.5	53.5	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/25	Colorado State at Wyoming	+5.5	46.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Colorado State vs UNLV	+5.5	60.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/15	Colorado State at New Mexico	+15.5	53.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Colorado State at Boise State	+17.5	46.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	+2.5	47.5	L 21 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNCO		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	21	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU	#94 (.13)	40% (97)	18.5	44% (66)	2.97 (64)	108	38% (110)	216	3.52 (89)	#113 (.24)	45% (118)	30.8	46% (108)	46% (116)	4.03 (101)	56.3	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNCO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNCO Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
CSU Defense	12	30.8	27.1	45.3%	4.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	46%	46%	13%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNCO Defense	1	21	21	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
CSU Offense	12	18.5	19.9	40.3%	3.52	1.7	18	324	108	216	3.6	45%	54%	44%	38%	19%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Colorado	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Colorado State	12	26:50	18.3	33%	47%	5.8	56.3	1.7	1.3	3.8	1.3	1	26

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNCO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
CSU Defense	12	57% (131)	46% (108)	-	-	-	-	.17 (104)	3.26 (123)	77% (108)	7% (128)	0.94 (61)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNCO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
CSU Offense	12	45% (107)	44% (66)	30.3	108.3	3.6	13 (70)	.09 (77)	2.97 (64)	59% (131)	12% (122)	0.9 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNCO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
CSU Defense	12	42% (7)	46% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (31)	.38 (119)	1.7 (123)	27% (129)	35% (125)	.34 (92)	6% (60)	1.9 (30)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNCO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
CSU Offense	12	54% (29)	38% (110)	20.3	32.8	215.9	6.6	10.7	15 (103)	12 (7)	.2 (96)	1.5 (90)	35% (128)	28% (88)	.25 (91)	7% (111)	2 (86)

Northern Colorado's Power Ratings
Northern Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: -
Northern Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -10.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -15.6

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.84 #113
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 5.98 #85
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #125
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #121
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #106

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Northern Colorado Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Northern Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 28
Northern Colorado 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado State 36
Northern Colorado 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Northern Colorado 23
Colorado State 20

Total Points: 43

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Colorado State	21	Northern Colorado	17	Colorado State -35.0	Northern Colorado	52.5	Under
2024	09/07	Colorado State	38	Northern Colorado	17	Colorado State -31	Northern Colorado	52.5	Over
2016	09/17	Colorado State	47	Northern Colorado	21	Colorado State -22	Colorado State	0
2011	09/10	Colorado State	33	Northern Colorado	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	4	1	1 Overs
Northern Colorado	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#NR) UNCO at (#113) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNCO	CSU
Power RatePwr	NR	#113
SP+SP+	NR	#125
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#135
OffenseOff	NR	#124
DefenseDef	NR	#136
Spec TeamsST	NR	#130
TalentTal	NR	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#101

Northern Colorado Injury Report

Colorado State Notes(11/26) Hiring Jim Mora (UConn). Big for move to new Pac12
(10/22) Former QB1 Fowler-Nicolosi left CSU, portal bound
(10/19) Norvell fired, DC Tyson Summers interim
(10/4) Def suddenly torched by SDSU? Team is a tire fire
(10/2) TE1 Jaxxon Warren out vs SDSU game (in boot)
(10/2) Changing playcallers, Matt Mumme (PGC) now
(9/24) QB Brousseau much better option, good vs UTSA
(9/24) Norvell lost CSU game, pass by QB3 for 2 pts?
(9/21) QB Fowler-Nicolosi cannot play, Off a CFB worst
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
Colorado State Injury Report

Northern Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	UNCO Off	CSU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	#118
ExplosiveExp	NR	#78
PPAPPA	NR	#113
PowerPwr	NR	#118
SP+SP+	NR	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	#101
HavocHav	NR	#114

Northern Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	UNCO Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#108
Run ExplRExp	NR	#61
PPAExp	NR	#104
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#123
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#121
TackleTak	-	#66

Northern Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNCO Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#116
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#116
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#123
PPAExp	NR	#119
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	#128
DB HavocDB	NR	#60

Colorado State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNCO Def
Perf GradePerf	#124	NR
SuccessSuc	#97	NR
ExplosiveExp	#98	NR
PPAPPA	#94	NR
PowerPwr	#85	NR
SP+SP+	#121	NR
Pts POPPO	#89	NR
HavocHav	#125	NR

Colorado State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNCO Def
Run GameRun	#89	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#66	NR
Run ExplRExp	#91	NR
PPAExp	#77	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#78	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#76	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	UNCO Def
Pass GamePass	#124	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#90	NR
PPAExp	#96	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#118	NR
F7 HavocF7	#122	NR
DB HavocDB	#111	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

UNCO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Colorado State -35.0 (52.5)
Colorado State won vs Northern Colorado this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Northern Colorado last year (38-17)

UNCO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eric Gibson Jr.	232	355	65%	2502	11	11	7.0
Peter Costelli	22	41	54%	272	1	4	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mathias Price	110	483	3	4.4	28
Brandon Johnson (Tr)	80	319	6	4.0	30
Justin Guin	53	284	1	5.4	59
Kieryus Boone	29	128	2	4.4	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carver Cheeks	71	929	6	13.1	75
Brayden Munroe	46	696	3	15.1	60
Charles Garrison	27	329	2	12.2	36
Dawson Menegatti	17	190	0	11.2	37

View Northern Colorado's Full Roster

UNCO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zach Nowatzke	10	0	0	0
Ezra Ekuban	9	2	1	0
Cam Chapa	8	0	0	0
Darrell Bryant Jr.	8	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ezra Ekuban	9	2	1	0
Zach Nowatzke	10	0	0	0
Nathaniel Gillis	1	0	0	0
Mekhi Toms	1	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	PD
Alfred Smith	0	1
Darrell Bryant Jr.	8	1
Mekhi Toms	1	1

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Brousseau	128	201	64%	1354	9	3	6.7
Darius Curry	70	107	65%	740	5	7	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Dupree	102	508	2	5.0	31
Lloyd Avant (Tr)	90	417	5	4.6	23
Justin Marshall	49	260	1	5.3	73
Javion Kinnard	12	56	0	4.7	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rocky Beers (Tr)	31	388	7	12.5	48
Tommy Maher	32	358	0	11.2	35
Tay Lanier	35	315	2	9.0	39
Armani Winfield	22	276	2	12.5	49

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long	148	5	2	0	5
Jake Jarmolowich (Tr)	72	5	1	1	1
Jace Bellah	58	1	0	2	0
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	56	5	4	4	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	56	5	4	4	13
Owen Long	148	5	2	0	5
Jeremy Naborne	35	4	2	2	0
Paul Tangelo (Tr)	19	3	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	56	5	4	4	13
Jahari Rogers (Tr)	31	4	1	1	8
Owen Long	148	5	2	0	5