Liberty at Old Dominion - 2025 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Foreman Field - Norfolk, VA

 
Flames (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
ODU coming off BYE
LIB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -4   (SP+ ODU -2)

Projected Score: LIB: 25 - ODU: 29 (53)
ODU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 161 miles
Monarchs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (54 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Liberty vs Maine-25.551.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-6.050.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-6.051.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison+9.548.5
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion+4
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-2.5
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-8.5
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-18.5
Sat 11/15 Liberty vs Florida International-3
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-2.5
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State-19

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Old Dominion at Indiana+23.554.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/6 Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central-22.050.5W 54 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+5.550.5W 45 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Old Dominion vs Liberty-4
Sat 10/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina-15.5
Sat 10/11 Old Dominion at Marshall-10.5
Sat 10/18 Old Dominion at James Madison+6.5
Sat 10/25 Old Dominion vs App State-11.5
Sat 11/1 Old Dominion at UL Monroe-17
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Old Dominion vs Troy-9
Sat 11/22 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern-14.5
Sat 11/29 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-22.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#52 (.25)46% (55)21.747% (50)3.16 (49)17744% (66)2423.44 (98)#97 (.19)36% (42)21.341% (78)28% (13)3.73 (73)39.320.7
ODU#9 (.49)51% (29)37.751% (38)3.57 (23)24652% (27)2166.43 (1)#36 (.03)45% (107)19.755% (132)32% (32)2.84 (45)74.71.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense321.718.545.7%3.442194191772424.653%47%47%44%16%.25
ODU Defense319.7645%2.842 - - - - - 57%43%55%32%21%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense321.328.535.8%3.730.7 - - - - - 64%35%41%28%10%.19
ODU Offense337.75450.7%6.431.7224622462167.653%46%51%52%13%.49

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty330:4019.349%29%4.739.320.73.71.3028.7
Old Dominion325:3721.738%100%7.774.71.7282.3026
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense353% (55)47% (50)38.31774.63 (95).14 (67)3.16 (49)64% (98)7% (40)0.99 (60)
ODU Defense357% (114)55% (132) - - - - .13 (97)3.26 (116)56% (26)13% (30)0.78 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense364% (131)41% (78) - - - - .27 (122)3.05 (98)75% (80)7% (118)1.49 (131)
ODU Offense353% (56)51% (38)32.3245.77.610 (10).42 (7)3.57 (23)71% (67)8% (62)1.42 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense347% (80)44% (66)17292428.314.26 (34)3 (92).36 (58)1.8 (19)29% (57)37% (36).46 (48)9% (130)2 (66)
ODU Defense343% (22)32% (32) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (14)1.2 (21)23% (131)31% (81).33 (87)8% (26)1.6 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense335% (5)28% (13) - - - - - - 1 (87).06 (30)2 (128)37% (35)29% (69).29 (75)3% (118)2.2 (104)
ODU Offense346% (83)52% (27)16.324.3216.38.913.25 (54)3 (92).57 (16)1.6 (44)27% (39)44% (19).67 (21)5% (56)2.2 (37)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.69 #78
Liberty's Offense Rating: 10.53 #79
Liberty's Defense Rating: 9.85 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #88
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.69   Old Dominion: 1.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -5.4   Old Dominion: -3.5




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 29
Liberty 25


Total Points: 53

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 37.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 6

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Liberty38Old Dominion10LibertyLiberty -13.5Liberty58.5Under
202210/01Old Dominion24Liberty38LibertyLiberty -3.5Liberty48.0Over
202109/18Liberty45Old Dominion17LibertyLiberty -26.5Liberty53.5Over
201809/01Liberty52Old Dominion10LibertyOld Dominion -5Liberty59.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion003 Overs
Liberty441 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 13 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 31 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#78) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 0.69 #78
Offense Rating: 10.53 #79
Defense Rating: 9.85 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Liberty has lost 3 straight
Liberty has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Liberty Notes
(9/7) Run Def awful, gave up 370+ in L to Jax St
(7/11) Losing DE Bush in spring a blow, Bazile good
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
(3/22) WR bad LY, 2 portal adds. Lots of Sr's
(3/22) OL decent LY, 3/5 back. 3 portals. Looks good
(3/22) Def best in CUSA, returns a ton. 5 portals.
(3/22) Chadwell good coach, LY went south though
(3/22) 3rd year staff, schedule is a joke

Liberty Highlights
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty has a good pass defense (#13)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatODULIB
OverallOver#34#73
OffenseOff#23#58
DefenseDef#62#81
Special TeamsST#66#80
PassingPass#14#65
RushingRush#32#49
Run BlockRBLK#93#71
Pass BlockPBLK#34#100
Route RunningWR Rt#9#34
TacklingTkl#86#98
Run DefenseR Def#89#103
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#76
Coverage DefCov#17#26

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2023 (38-10)
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2022 (38-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | ODU
Depth Chart: LIB | ODU
Rosters: LIB | ODU
(#75) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94
Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.43 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.84 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has won 2 straight
Old Dominion has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Old Dominion Notes
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
(8/1) QB Joseph, like all ODU, must limit TOs
(5/23) ODU was 3-6 in 1 score games LY
(5/16) Best G5 LB core w/ Henderson back from inj?
(3/24) RB rebuild, Duke/Roche have exp. Little depth

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread
Old Dominion is Undefeated at Home
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is efficent (#29)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion has a top Offensive Line (#23)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion defense does not give up big plays (#4)
Old Dominion Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
Old Dominion Secondary is very good (#26)
Old Dominion defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Old Dominion Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Old Dominion has a bad defense (#107)
Old Dominion has a bad defensive line (#116)


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)518659%726638.4
Michael Merdinger (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)3723026.252
Caden Williams2011705.925
Ethan Vasko (Tr)409012.324
Julian Gray106506.513
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donte Lee Jr8187323.462
Reese Smith1211819.818
Jamari Person (Tr)9106011.820
Julian Gray688114.772

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrell Farrar (Tr)151110
Joseph Carter141000
Brylan Green131002
Brenton Williams102110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Bazile Jr.92200
Derrell Farrar (Tr)151110
Brenton Williams102110
Damond Harmon71101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brylan Green131002
Eli Hall00001
Kam Cullins20001

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph466868%629539.3
Quinn Henicle3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph29294410.178
Trequan Jones18264414.793
Maurki James237913.410
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)156804.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Cory Thomas11193117.538
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding10140214.044
Tre' Brown III10136113.645
TJ Lott454113.534

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly261011
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Jerome Carter200001
Jahleel Culbreath162110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Javen Gibson62210
Jahleel Culbreath162110
Cole Daniels72101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Botros Alisandro (Tr)160004
Zion Frink90003
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)161002