Kennesaw State at Liberty - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kennesaw State logo Kennesaw State Owls at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Kennesaw State -2.5 (55.5) (-145)  Open: -2.5 | 54.5
Kennesaw State 48 - Liberty: 42  (Conference USA)

 
Owls (10 - 4) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (26 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
LIB is playing their 5th straight game
KENN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Kennesaw State -1.5  (SP+ KENN -7)

Projected Score: KENN: 29 - LIB: 27 (56)
KENN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KENN Travel: 380 miles
Flames (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kennesaw State at Wake Forest+17.551.5L 9 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Kennesaw State at Indiana+35.551.5L 9 - 56ON
Sat 9/13 Kennesaw State vs Merrimack-17.544.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/20 Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State+4.557.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 9/27 Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee-7.054.5W 24 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech+4.546.5W 35 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Kennesaw State at Florida International-3.048.5W 45 - 26OY
Tue 10/28 Kennesaw State vs UTEP-12.553.5W 33 - 20UY
Sat 11/8 Kennesaw State at New Mexico State-11.552.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State-3.556.5L 26 - 35ON
Sat 11/22 Kennesaw State vs Missouri State-6.554.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 11/29 Kennesaw State at Liberty-2.555.5W 48 - 42OY
Fri 12/5 Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State-3.062.5W 19 - 15UY
Fri 12/19 Kennesaw State vs Western Michigan+3.047.0L 6 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Liberty vs Maine-25.551.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-6.050.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-6.051.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison+7.546.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion+14.553.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-1.546.5W 19 - 8UY
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.548.5W 30 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-3.552.5W 59 - 30OY
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-7.551.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Liberty at Florida International-2.551.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-1.545.5L 28 - 34ON
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State+2.555.5L 42 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#72 (.17)41% (86)26.742% (88)2.82 (93)16042% (66)2432.95 (126)#66 (.16)42% (74)25.544% (86)41% (65)3.57 (61)66.81.31.1
LIB#73 (.17)44% (50)25.647% (39)2.91 (74)19340% (86)1963.68 (73)#101 (.21)42% (69)26.545% (95)39% (41)3.55 (58)55.61.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)31% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)45% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Offense1426.725.741.3%2.951.3224031602434.253%45%42%42%15%.17
LIB Defense1226.527.341.7%3.551.2 - - - - - 54%44%45%39%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Defense1425.529.342.1%3.571.1 - - - - - 53%46%44%41%17%.16
LIB Offense1225.631.543.9%3.681.8203891931964.658%40%47%40%16%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kennesaw State1428:0621.540%59%7.566.81.31.16.42.2129
Liberty1230:3920.340%52%6.255.61.81.24.11.3129.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Offense1453% (43)42% (88)38.6160.14.220 (107).11 (73)2.82 (93)80% (18)10% (77)1.03 (45)
LIB Defense1254% (114)45% (95) - - - - .19 (117)3.18 (115)72% (75)8% (123)1.01 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Defense1453% (104)44% (86) - - - - .16 (100)2.97 (83)69% (52)11% (43)1.03 (104)
LIB Offense1258% (13)47% (39)41.71934.625 (99).18 (37)2.91 (74)73% (62)9% (54)0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Offense1445% (98)42% (66)18.630.2243.1813.126 (86)11 (7).33 (43)1.7 (18)33% (103)32% (54).39 (38)6% (50)2.2 (21)
LIB Defense1244% (22)39% (41) - - - - - - 7 (55).25 (68)1.6 (106)31% (80)32% (102).5 (133)6% (76)2.3 (134)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Defense1446% (41)41% (65) - - - - - - 9 (100).19 (48)1.4 (21)30% (89)25% (14).19 (28)6% (59)2.2 (127)
LIB Offense1240% (123)40% (86)14.526.3195.57.413.511 (114)13 (88).21 (87)1.5 (69)29% (26)31% (67).27 (82)7% (106)2 (83)

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -6.96  #95
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 6.77  #81
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 13.73  #103
2025 Talent Rating: 358.00  #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #78
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #64
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -6.96   Liberty: -5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -1.2   Liberty: -8.4




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: -5.5  #97
Liberty's Offense Rating: 4.58  #93
Liberty's Defense Rating: 12.18  #96
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.4  #98
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #86
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.7
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kennesaw State 29
Liberty 27


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 32
Kennesaw State 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 28
Kennesaw State 27

Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Liberty42Kennesaw State48Kennesaw State -2.5Kennesaw State55.5Over
202410/23Kennesaw State27Liberty24Liberty -27.0Kennesaw State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty002 Overs
Kennesaw State220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0

(#95) KENN at (#97) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKENNLIB
Power RatePwr #95 #97
SP+SP+ #78 #98
Perf GradeGrade #94 #67
OffenseOff #85 #60
DefenseDef #77 #83
Spec TeamsST #123 #103
TalentTal #129 #93
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Kennesaw State Notes
(12/6) CUSA champs, cannot overstate job Mack did
(12/3) Owls have major injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat Liberty in 2 OT. Owls will play Jax St in CUSA Title
(10/29) Even game vs UTEP, Off awful, Def & STs saved
(10/29) 300 yds and 3-14 on 3rd down vs UTEP? Still W
(10/22) HC Mack & staff incredible job. Current CUSA fav
(10/22) QB Amari Odom went down vs FIU, monitor
(10/21) RB Coleman Bennett has real speed, good weapon
(10/9) So QB Amari Odom taken QB1 job, been much better
(9/24) Run Def held Ark St to 92 yds, Pass Def was OK
(9/20) Huge W vs Ark St, QB Odom a revelation 300+
(8/16) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
Kennesaw State Injury Report
Liberty Notes
(11/22) Allowed 300+ rush yds vs La Tech, will miss bowl
(10/14) Lucky W vs NMSU, OG'd, only 3-10 on 3rd, KR TD
(10/14) QB Ethan Vasko JAG-, even rushing has regressed
(9/25) QB Vasko ? for ODU game, inj vs JMU
(9/20) QUIT WATCH. 1-3, QBs are awful, Off sucks
(9/20) Team this talented should not be this bad
(9/14) Awful situational team. TO's, FP, RZ issues
(9/7) Run Def awful, gave up 370+ in L to Jax St
(7/11) Losing DE Bush in spring a blow, Bazile good
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
Liberty Injury Report
Kennesaw State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENN OffLIB Def
Perf GradePerf #85 #83
SuccessSuc #86 #69
ExplosiveExp #23 #98
PPAPPA #72 #101
PowerPwr #81 #96
SP+SP+ #64 #103
Pts POPPO #126 #58
HavocHav #61 #116
Kennesaw State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENN OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #83 #99
Run SuccessRSuc #88 #95
Run ExplRExp #45 #93
PPAExp #73 #117
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLY #93 #115
Stuff RateStuff #105 #89
TackleTak -  #66
Kennesaw State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENN OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #49 #35
Pass SuccessPSuc #66 #41
Pass ExplPExl #18 #106
PPAExp #43 #68
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #92 #93
F7 HavocF7 #77 #123
DB HavocDB #50 #76
Liberty on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatLIB OffKENN Def
Perf GradePerf #60 #77
SuccessSuc #50 #74
ExplosiveExp #101 #50
PPAPPA #73 #66
PowerPwr #93 #103
SP+SP+ #86 #82
Pts POPPO #73 #61
HavocHav #76 #45
Liberty Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LIB OffKENN Def
Run GameRun #55 #73
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #86
Run ExplRExp #62 #104
PPAExp #37 #100
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLY #74 #83
Stuff RateStuff #42 #68
TackleTak -  #85
Liberty Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatLIB OffKENN Def
Pass GamePass #114 #76
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #65
Pass ExplPExl #69 #21
PPAExp #87 #48
Pass Block/RushP Blk #95 #51
F7 HavocF7 #54 #43
DB HavocDB #106 #59
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

KENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 38°
Rematch from Week 14
Kennesaw State 2.5 (55.5)
Kennesaw State won at Liberty this year (48-42)

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat Liberty last year (27-24)

  
KENN's OC Mitch Militello (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Amari Odom18929165%25941988.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)6712554%787636.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Bennett (Tr)15776444.930
Chase Belcher (Tr)10756625.346
Amari Odom12034772.924
Alexander Diggs7228123.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gabriel Benyard60949915.854
Christian Moss44682215.570
Coleman Bennett (Tr)27314311.676
Clayton Coppock28311511.155

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

KENN's DC Marc Mattioli (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Baron Hopson13910126
Tywon Christopher815212
Isaac Paul570002
Milon Jones533011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Hill2212960
Tylon Dunlap4011511
Donovan Westmoreland356411
Kody Jones (Tr)297243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Offord (Tr)4770012
JeRico Washington Jr.4321010
Baron Hopson13910126

LIB's OC Newland Isaac (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)15126657%196110127.4
Michael Merdinger (Tr)214151%350108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)2281325165.895
Ethan Vasko (Tr)10025852.624
Caden Williams5624304.325
Vaughn Blue4723425.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donte Lee Jr32589518.462
Jamari Person (Tr)28315011.320
Julian Gray18218112.172
Reese Smith2320919.123

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrell Farrar (Tr)714122
Joseph Carter534010
Damond Harmon483116
Christian Bodnar442212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Hall115413
Brenton Williams274330
Christian Bodnar442212
CJ Bazile Jr.276210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damond Harmon483116
Brylan Green391005
Amarian Williams291015