Kennesaw State at Liberty - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kennesaw State logo Kennesaw State Owls at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Williams Stadium - Lynchburg, VA  (Conference USA)

 
Owls (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (9 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
LIB is playing their 5th straight game
KENN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -19   (SP+ LIB -11)

Projected Score: KENN: 11 - LIB: 30 (40)
LIB Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
KENN Travel: 380 miles
Flames (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (28 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kennesaw State at Wake Forest+17.551.5L 9 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Kennesaw State at Indiana+35.551.5L 9 - 56ON
Sat 9/13 Kennesaw State vs Merrimack-17.544.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/20 Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State+6.056.5
Sat 9/27 Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee-5.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech+9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+13.5
Tue 10/28 Kennesaw State vs UTEP+9
Sat 11/8 Kennesaw State at New Mexico State+7.5
Sat 11/15 Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State+8.5
Sat 11/22 Kennesaw State vs Missouri State-1.5
Sat 11/29 Kennesaw State at Liberty+19

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Liberty vs Maine-25.551.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-6.050.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-6.051.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison+9.548.5
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion+4
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-2.5
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-8.5
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-18.5
Sat 11/15 Liberty vs Florida International-3
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-2.5
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State-19

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#110 (.08)30% (133)1531% (130)2.34 (121)14029% (131)1762.71 (122)#114 (.25)49% (123)26.344% (95)55% (131)4.21 (95)6810
LIB#52 (.25)46% (55)21.747% (50)3.16 (49)17744% (66)2423.44 (98)#97 (.19)36% (42)21.341% (78)28% (13)3.73 (73)39.320.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)31% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)45% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Offense315930.2%2.711163161401763.953%47%31%29%21%.08
LIB Defense321.3735.8%3.730.7 - - - - - 64%35%41%28%10%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Defense326.33348.7%4.210 - - - - - 57%43%44%55%11%.25
LIB Offense321.72845.7%3.442194191772424.653%47%47%44%16%.25

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kennesaw State326:0516.336%50%868108.73024.3
Liberty330:4019.349%29%4.739.320.73.71.3028.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Offense353% (57)31% (130)35.71403.93 (95).02 (103)2.34 (121)50% (124)15% (131)1.22 (26)
LIB Defense364% (131)41% (78) - - - - .27 (122)3.05 (98)75% (80)7% (118)1.49 (131)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Defense357% (116)44% (95) - - - - .26 (121)3.04 (96)75% (80)7% (110)1.22 (115)
LIB Offense353% (55)47% (50)38.31774.63 (95).14 (67)3.16 (49)64% (98)7% (40)0.99 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Offense347% (78)29% (131)15.328.3175.76.211.51 (123)2 (60).15 (101)2 (8)49% (136)33% (54).49 (42)6% (79)2.1 (56)
LIB Defense335% (5)28% (13) - - - - - - 1 (87).06 (30)2 (128)37% (35)29% (69).29 (75)3% (118)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Defense343% (23)55% (131) - - - - - - 0.24 (76)1.2 (8)22% (134)19% (23)-.15 (6)4% (113)1.9 (56)
LIB Offense347% (80)44% (66)17292428.314.26 (34)3 (92).36 (58)1.8 (19)29% (57)37% (36).46 (48)9% (130)2 (66)

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -21.40 #134
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: -0.78 #136
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 21.37 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 358.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.5 #123
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #135
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #85

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -21.40   Liberty: 0.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -16.5   Liberty: -5.4




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.145 #78
Liberty's Offense Rating: 10.53 #79
Liberty's Defense Rating: 9.85 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #88
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 30
Kennesaw State 11


Total Points: 40

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/23Kennesaw State27Liberty24Kennesaw StateLiberty -27.0Kennesaw State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty001 Overs
Kennesaw State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#134) Kennesaw State Info
Power Rating: -21.40 #134
Offense Rating: -0.78 #136
Defense Rating: 21.37 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.5 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #135
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #85
Talent Rating: 358.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kennesaw State has lost 8 straight
Kennesaw State has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Kennesaw State Notes
(8/16) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
(4/7) WR Benyard best on team. Rest are JAG-
(4/7) RB Bennett (Rice) looks good, big FCS RB '23
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals, meh
(3/24) OL 2/5 back, awful LY. 2 exp'd portals.
(3/24) Def awful, return a lot. 6 portal adds, 4 DBs
(3/24) HC Mack was Tenn RB coach, NFL exp
(3/24) Year 2 in FBS will be rough, upset Liberty LY.

Kennesaw State Highlights
Kennesaw State offense is explosive (#5)
Kennesaw State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kennesaw State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Kennesaw State Deficiencies
Kennesaw State has a really bad Offense
Kennesaw State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Kennesaw State offense is really bad (#133)
Kennesaw State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#134)
Kennesaw State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#122)
Kennesaw State run game is really bad (#130)
Kennesaw State pass game is really bad (#131)
Kennesaw State has a bad defense (#123)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLIBKENN
OverallOver#73#108
OffenseOff#58#109
DefenseDef#81#92
Special TeamsST#80#95
PassingPass#65#105
RushingRush#49#79
Run BlockRBLK#71#115
Pass BlockPBLK#100#110
Route RunningWR Rt#34#93
TacklingTkl#98#96
Run DefenseR Def#103#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#76#83
Coverage DefCov#26#102

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat Liberty last year (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENN | LIB
Depth Chart: KENN | LIB
Rosters: KENN | LIB
(#78) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 0.145 #78
Offense Rating: 10.53 #79
Defense Rating: 9.85 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Liberty has lost 10 straight
Liberty has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Liberty Notes
(9/7) Run Def awful, gave up 370+ in L to Jax St
(7/11) Losing DE Bush in spring a blow, Bazile good
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
(3/22) WR bad LY, 2 portal adds. Lots of Sr's
(3/22) OL decent LY, 3/5 back. 3 portals. Looks good
(3/22) Def best in CUSA, returns a ton. 5 portals.
(3/22) Chadwell good coach, LY went south though
(3/22) 3rd year staff, schedule is a joke

Liberty Highlights
Liberty is Undefeated at Home

Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty has a good pass defense (#13)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#132)


  
Kennesaw State's OC Mitch Militello
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dexter Williams II (Tr)225242%236014.5
Amari Odom223073%284119.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Bennett (Tr)3213914.326
Alexander Diggs2711804.425
Dexter Williams II (Tr)208614.316
Amari Odom172711.612
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gabriel Benyard12208117.347
Christian Moss11122011.125
Lyndon Ravare (Tr)7106015.138
Tykeem Wallace333011.019

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster
Kennesaw State's DC Marc Mattioli
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Baron Hopson223000
Caleb Offord (Tr)162003
Milon Jones162010
Garland Benyard141010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Hill42210
Roderick Daniels (Tr)51101
JeRico Washington Jr.92101
Kody Jones (Tr)61101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Offord (Tr)162003
Roderick Daniels (Tr)51101
JeRico Washington Jr.92101

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)518659%726638.4
Michael Merdinger (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)3723026.252
Caden Williams2011705.925
Ethan Vasko (Tr)409012.324
Julian Gray106506.513
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donte Lee Jr8187323.462
Reese Smith1211819.818
Jamari Person (Tr)9106011.820
Julian Gray688114.772

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrell Farrar (Tr)151110
Joseph Carter141000
Brylan Green131002
Brenton Williams102110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Bazile Jr.92200
Derrell Farrar (Tr)151110
Brenton Williams102110
Damond Harmon71101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brylan Green131002
Eli Hall00001
Kam Cullins20001