Liberty at UTEP Game Matchup
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Wednesday, October 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TX  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
LIB coming off BYE
UTEP coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -11.5   (SP+ LIB -15)

Projected Score: LIB: 33 - UTEP: 21 (53)
LIB Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
LIB Travel: 1596 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Miners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Liberty vs Maine-23.5
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-16.5
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-11
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison-0.5
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion-8
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-11.5
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-19
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-21
Sat 11/15 Liberty vs Florida International-12.5
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-14
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State-23.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UTEP at Utah State+3.50.0
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-9.5
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+45
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-3.5
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech-5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+11.5
Wed 10/15 UTEP at Sam Houston-1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State-4.5
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State-7.5
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State-2
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-7.5
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)28.854% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)23.539% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)19.538% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)32.340% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1228.828.849.9%4.211.3224002381615.763%36%54%43%14%.26
UTEP Defense1232.328.839.7%3.851.5 - - - - - 54%46%40%39%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1223.524.439.4%3.681.3 - - - - - 55%45%39%40%16%.1
UTEP Offense1219.526.237%2.811.6173211212003.352%47%38%36%20%.07

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1228:4222.145%50%6.764.41.31.351.6028.5
UTEP1227:5716.733%30%5.750.91.61.57.12.9227.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1263% (5)54% (2)41.8238.35.728 (25).25 (16)3.56 (7)76% (47)9% (43)0.91 (94)
UTEP Defense1254% (103)40% (42) - - - - .07 (40)2.85 (44)59% (7)12% (18)1.07 (102)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1255% (115)39% (30) - - - - .02 (20)2.68 (21)73% (62)10% (59)0.99 (68)
UTEP Offense1252% (56)38% (118)36.4120.83.39 (125).02 (118)2.8 (106)59% (127)13% (125)0.88 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1236% (130)43% (60)12.622.3161.27.212.815 (98)6 (10).27 (56)1.5 (104)24% (2)36% (23).43 (26)5% (36)1.9 (107)
UTEP Defense1246% (36)39% (46) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (54)1.7 (115)34% (34)30% (56).28 (59)6% (66)2.1 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1245% (19)40% (66) - - - - - - 8 (93).21 (51)1.6 (77)32% (73)31% (81).18 (17)6% (82)1.8 (9)
UTEP Offense1247% (81)36% (117)18.630.42006.610.815 (98)12 (85).15 (108)1.5 (112)34% (111)23% (128).23 (104)7% (110)2.2 (20)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Liberty's Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Liberty's Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 1.17   UTEP: -11.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.1   UTEP: -16.1




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.335 #97
UTEP's Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
UTEP's Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 33
UTEP 21


Projected Total Points: 53
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Liberty28UTEP10LibertyLiberty -23.5UTEP57.5Under
202311/25UTEP28Liberty42LibertyLiberty -18.0UTEP54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP021 Overs
Liberty201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#63) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69
Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Liberty Notes
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
(3/22) WR bad LY, 2 portal adds. Lots of Sr's
(3/22) OL decent LY, 3/5 back. 3 portals. Looks good
(3/22) Def best in CUSA, returns a ton. 5 portals.
(3/22) Chadwell good coach, LY went south though
(3/22) 3rd year staff, schedule is a joke
Liberty     Ratings Matchup     UTEP
Power #63
#97
Off #66
#119
Def #61
#85
Talent #84
#88
SP+ #69
#123
SP+ Off #61
#122
SP+ Def #69
#113

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat UTEP last year (28-10)
Liberty beat UTEP in 2023 (42-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | UTEP
Depth Chart: LIB | UTEP
Rosters: LIB | UTEP
(#97) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.335 #97
Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113
Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UTEP Notes
(3/24) RB rebuild. Wilson (Char) a good add
(3/24) WR #1 Odom back, little depth. 2 portals
(3/24) OL bad LY, 2/5 back, 2 more with a lot of exp
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/24) HC Walden fun, really great crootin
(3/24) New OC Cala was TCU QB coach past 2 yrs
(3/24) New DC Daly was Mont St DC past 6 yrs
(3/19) QB Locklear back, 5* Nelson DNP @ USC/Boise


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)14827155%21201487.8
Ryan Burger81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ethan Vasko (Tr)10744754.229
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Ryan Burger177014.157
Julian Gray106216.241
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Person (Tr)35373110.760
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
A'Khori Jones535003
Dexter Ricks Jr.392002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Joseph Carter885203
Derrell Farrar (Tr)122110
Donovan Dozier31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003
Amarian Williams140002

UTEP's OC Mark Cala
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Porter9764856.779
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)9155976.165
Skyler Locklear8023723.018
Kam Thomas132702.111
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom47761816.276
Kam Thomas46512211.169
Jaden Smith2117708.441
Shane Porter169105.713

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bobby Daly
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith781005
Lantz Russell545202
Kadarion Johnson398411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadarion Johnson398411
Lantz Russell545202
Jayden Wilson (Tr)323220
Nate Dyman8410234
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith781005
Nate Dyman8410234
Jaylon Shelton260003