Delaware at Liberty - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Liberty -3.5 (52.5) (-170) Open: -2.5
Liberty 59 - Delaware: 30 (Conference USA)

Blue Hens (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Carty (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (23 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -2 (SP+ LIB -2)
Projected Score: DEL: 27 - LIB: 29 (56)
LIB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DEL Travel: 244 miles

Flames (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
DEL Players
LIB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Delaware's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Delaware vs Delaware State	-30.5	55.5	W 35 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	Delaware at Colorado	+23.5	49.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/13	Delaware vs UConn	+8.5	52.5	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Delaware at Florida International	+4.0	54.5	W 38 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3	Delaware vs Western Kentucky	-2.5	62.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/15	Delaware at Jacksonville State	-3.0	55.5	L 25 - 38	O	N
Wed 10/22	Delaware vs Middle Tennessee	-9.5	55.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/1	Delaware at Liberty	+3.5	52.5	L 30 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/8	Delaware vs Louisiana Tech	+5.5	57.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Delaware vs Sam Houston	-11.5	56.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/22	Delaware at Wake Forest	+17.5	49.5	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/29	Delaware vs UTEP	-4.5	55.5	W 61 - 31	O	Y
Wed 12/17	Delaware vs Louisiana	+1.5	60.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Delaware's Schedule

Liberty's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Liberty vs Maine	-25.5	51.0	W 28 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-6.0	50.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/13	Liberty at Bowling Green	-6.0	51.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/20	Liberty vs James Madison	+7.5	46.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/27	Liberty at Old Dominion	+14.5	53.5	L 7 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Liberty at UTEP	-1.5	46.5	W 19 - 8	U	Y
Tue 10/14	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	48.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Liberty vs Delaware	-3.5	52.5	W 59 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Liberty vs Missouri State	-7.5	51.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/15	Liberty at Florida International	-2.5	51.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/22	Liberty at Louisiana Tech	-1.5	45.5	L 28 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/29	Liberty vs Kennesaw State	+2.5	55.5	L 42 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DEL		0%	29	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	31	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB	#24 (.26)	50% (7)	25.6	54% (2)	3.56 (7)	238	43% (60)	161	4.21 (43)	#24 (.1)	39% (39)	26.5	39% (30)	40% (66)	3.68 (58)	64.4	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DEL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DEL Offense	0	29	22.8	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
LIB Defense	12	26.5	27.3	39.4%	3.68	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	39%	40%	16%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DEL Defense	0	31	39.2	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
LIB Offense	12	25.6	31.5	49.9%	4.21	1.3	22	400	238	161	5.7	63%	36%	54%	43%	14%	.26

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Delaware	0	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Liberty	12	28:42	22.1	45%	50%	6.7	64.4	1.3	1.3	5	1.6	0	28.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DEL Offense	0	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
LIB Defense	12	55% (115)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	.02 (20)	2.68 (21)	73% (62)	10% (59)	0.99 (68)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DEL Defense	0	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
LIB Offense	12	63% (5)	54% (2)	41.8	238.3	5.7	28 (25)	.25 (16)	3.56 (7)	76% (47)	9% (43)	0.91 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DEL Offense	0	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
LIB Defense	12	45% (19)	40% (66)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.21 (51)	1.6 (77)	32% (73)	31% (81)	.18 (17)	6% (82)	1.8 (9)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DEL Defense	0	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
LIB Offense	12	36% (130)	43% (60)	12.6	22.3	161.2	7.2	12.8	15 (98)	6 (10)	.27 (56)	1.5 (104)	24% (2)	36% (23)	.43 (26)	5% (36)	1.9 (107)

Delaware's Power Ratings
Delaware's Power Rating: -3.56 #77
Delaware's Offense Rating: 11.65 #76
Delaware's Defense Rating: 15.21 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 282.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Delaware's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Delaware's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #109
Delaware's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #73
Delaware's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Delaware: -3.56 Liberty: -5.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Delaware: -10.9 Liberty: -9.0

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: -5.07 #82
Liberty's Offense Rating: 9.75 #88
Liberty's Defense Rating: 15.89 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0 #102
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #86
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Delaware Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Delaware's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 29
Delaware 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Liberty	59	Delaware	30	Liberty -3.5	Liberty	52.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	1	1	1 Overs
Delaware	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#77) DEL at (#82) LIB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	DEL	LIB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#77	#82
SP+SP+	#109	#102
Perf GradeGrade	#68	#69
OffenseOff	#66	#58
DefenseDef	#56	#79
Spec TeamsST	#81	#104
TalentTal	#133	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#88

Delaware Notes(10/22) QB Nick Minicucci knocked out of MTSU game
(10/4) Blew WKU game w/ 2 awful TOs, missed 4th & FG
(9/20) Killed FIU on road, Minicucci good, Def enough
(9/17) Have real issues at kicker, likely 4th down atts
(9/9) QB Minicucci 18/36 for 312 yds at Colorado
(8/29) QB Minicucci v good vs Del St, run def awful
(7/15) WR has some pieces, need to see how they fit
(7/12) Could be successful in 1st year w/ return prod
(7/11) OL has good size, impressive for FBS jump
(7/11) Def has a lot back, good production.
(3/24) QBs Marker/Minicucci both played a lot LY
(3/24) RB Silver/St. Fleur exp'd. Depth?
Delaware Injury Report

Liberty Notes(11/22) Allowed 300+ rush yds vs La Tech, will miss bowl
(10/14) Lucky W vs NMSU, OG'd, only 3-10 on 3rd, KR TD
(10/14) QB Ethan Vasko JAG-, even rushing has regressed
(9/25) QB Vasko ? for ODU game, inj vs JMU
(9/20) QUIT WATCH. 1-3, QBs are awful, Off sucks
(9/20) Team this talented should not be this bad
(9/14) Awful situational team. TO's, FP, RZ issues
(9/7) Run Def awful, gave up 370+ in L to Jax St
(7/11) Losing DE Bush in spring a blow, Bazile good
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
Liberty Injury Report

Delaware on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	DEL Off	LIB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	#39
ExplosiveExp	NR	#67
PPAPPA	NR	#24
PowerPwr	#76	#88
SP+SP+	#73	#103
Pts POPPO	NR	#58
HavocHav	NR	#71

Delaware Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	DEL Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#117	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#30
Run ExplRExp	NR	#68
PPAExp	NR	#20
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#21
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#28
TackleTak	-	#76

Delaware Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	DEL Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#66
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#77
PPAExp	NR	#51
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	#59
DB HavocDB	NR	#82

Liberty on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LIB Off	DEL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#56
SuccessSuc	#7	NR
ExplosiveExp	#131	NR
PPAPPA	#24	NR
PowerPwr	#88	#81
SP+SP+	#86	#126
Pts POPPO	#43	NR
HavocHav	#33	NR

Liberty Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LIB Off	DEL Def
Run GameRun	#75	#45
Run SuccessRSuc	#2	NR
Run ExplRExp	#94	NR
PPAExp	#16	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#9	NR
TackleTak	-	#57

Liberty Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LIB Off	DEL Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	#60	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#104	NR
PPAExp	#56	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#95	#107
F7 HavocF7	#43	NR
DB HavocDB	#36	NR

Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

DEL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Liberty -3.5 (52.5)
Liberty won vs Delaware this year (59-30)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Delaware last year (59-30)

DEL's OC Terence Archer (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Minicucci	322	514	63%	3671	23	7	7.1
Braden Streeter	12	19	63%	98	1	1	5.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jo'Nathan Silver	119	652	5	5.5	70
Viron Ellison Jr.	117	462	4	3.9	20
Nick Minicucci	112	235	10	2.1	29
Greg Spiller	22	110	1	5.0	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyre Duplessis	63	863	5	13.7	68
Sean Wilson	66	850	3	12.9	51
Jake Thaw	31	359	3	11.6	51
Ja'Carree Kelly	32	304	1	9.5	67

View Delaware's Full Roster

DEL's DC Manny Rojas (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Moul	112	7	2	2	3
KT Seay	91	6	0	0	1
Mysonne Pollard	66	3	0	0	1
Blake Matthews	54	4	0	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Keyshawn Hunter	29	7	4	2
Trace Scott	19	4	3	2
James Yelbert Jr.	21	4	3	8
Dillon Trainer	30	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamarion Kolagbodi	28	1	0	0	6
Nate Evans	37	1	1	0	6
Gavin Moul	112	7	2	2	3

LIB's OC Newland Isaac (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	151	266	57%	1961	10	12	7.4
Michael Merdinger (Tr)	21	41	51%	350	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)	228	1325	16	5.8	95
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	100	258	5	2.6	24
Caden Williams	56	243	0	4.3	25
Vaughn Blue	47	234	2	5.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donte Lee Jr	32	589	5	18.4	62
Jamari Person (Tr)	28	315	0	11.3	20
Julian Gray	18	218	1	12.1	72
Reese Smith	23	209	1	9.1	23

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Skylor Magee (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Derrell Farrar (Tr)	71	4	1	2	2
Joseph Carter	53	4	0	1	0
Damond Harmon	48	3	1	1	6
Christian Bodnar	44	2	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eli Hall	11	5	4	1	3
Brenton Williams	27	4	3	3	0
Christian Bodnar	44	2	2	1	2
CJ Bazile Jr.	27	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damond Harmon	48	3	1	1	6
Brylan Green	39	1	0	0	5
Amarian Williams	29	1	0	1	5