Liberty at Bowling Green Game Matchup

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Doyt Perry Stadium - Bowling Green, OH

Flames (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)

LIB 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Liberty -11 (SP+ LIB -12.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 30 - BGSU: 19 (50)
LIB Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 366 miles

Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Liberty vs Maine	-23.5
Sat 9/6	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-16.5
Sat 9/13	Liberty at Bowling Green	-11
Sat 9/20	Liberty vs James Madison	-0.5
Sat 9/27	Liberty at Old Dominion	-8
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Liberty at UTEP	-11.5
Tue 10/14	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-21.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Liberty vs Delaware	-19
Sat 11/8	Liberty vs Missouri State	-21
Sat 11/15	Liberty vs Florida International	-12.5
Sat 11/22	Liberty at Louisiana Tech	-14
Sat 11/29	Liberty vs Kennesaw State	-23.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	Bowling Green vs Lafayette	-10
Sat 9/6	Bowling Green at Cincinnati	+20.5
Sat 9/13	Bowling Green vs Liberty	+11
Sat 9/20	Bowling Green at Louisville	+28
Sat 9/27	Bowling Green at Ohio	+12
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5
Sat 10/18	Bowling Green vs Central Michigan	-2.5
Sat 10/25	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10
Sat 11/1	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+3.5
Sat 11/8	Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18	Bowling Green vs Akron	-8.5
Tue 11/25	Bowling Green at Massachusetts	-6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	#24 (.26)	50% (7)	28.8	54% (2)	3.56 (7)	238	43% (60)	161	4.21 (43)	#24 (.1)	39% (39)	23.5	39% (30)	40% (66)	3.68 (58)	64.4	1.3	1.3
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)	27.1	41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)	21.6	39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	12	28.8	28.8	49.9%	4.21	1.3	22	400	238	161	5.7	63%	36%	54%	43%	14%	.26
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	18.5	37.6%	3.47	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	39%	37%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	12	23.5	24.4	39.4%	3.68	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	39%	40%	16%	.1
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	24.2	42.6%	3.84	0.8	18	341	134	207	4.4	47%	53%	41%	44%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	12	28:42	22.1	45%	50%	6.7	64.4	1.3	1.3	5	1.6	0	28.5
Bowling Green	13	29:21	18.2	37%	59%	4.8	41.1	0.8	1	4.9	2.2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	12	63% (5)	54% (2)	41.8	238.3	5.7	28 (25)	.25 (16)	3.56 (7)	76% (47)	9% (43)	0.91 (94)
BGSU Defense	13	50% (66)	39% (29)	-	-	-	-	.17 (94)	3.28 (109)	80% (113)	10% (75)	1.1 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	12	55% (115)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	.02 (20)	2.68 (21)	73% (62)	10% (59)	0.99 (68)
BGSU Offense	13	47% (92)	41% (99)	30.6	133.5	4.4	20 (67)	.14 (64)	3.01 (74)	78% (34)	12% (118)	1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	12	36% (130)	43% (60)	12.6	22.3	161.2	7.2	12.8	15 (98)	6 (10)	.27 (56)	1.5 (104)	24% (2)	36% (23)	.43 (26)	5% (36)	1.9 (107)
BGSU Defense	13	49% (66)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.11 (19)	1.6 (65)	34% (31)	24% (3)	.15 (9)	6% (69)	2 (46)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	12	45% (19)	40% (66)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.21 (51)	1.6 (77)	32% (73)	31% (81)	.18 (17)	6% (82)	1.8 (9)
BGSU Offense	13	53% (42)	44% (38)	18.7	28.4	207.3	7.3	11.1	16 (87)	6 (10)	.28 (53)	1.4 (127)	32% (86)	32% (67)	.29 (85)	5% (53)	1.8 (128)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Liberty's Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Liberty's Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 1.17 Bowling Green: -11.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.1 Bowling Green: -13.7

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -11.115 #102
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 30
Bowling Green 19

Projected Total Points: 50

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Liberty	34	Bowling Green	24	Liberty	Liberty -8.5	Liberty	48.5	Over
2003	09/13	Bowling Green	62	Liberty	3	Bowling Green

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	1	0	1 Overs
Liberty	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#63) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69
Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Liberty Notes
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
(3/22) WR bad LY, 2 portal adds. Lots of Sr's
(3/22) OL decent LY, 3/5 back. 3 portals. Looks good
(3/22) Def best in CUSA, returns a ton. 5 portals.
(3/22) Chadwell good coach, LY went south though
(3/22) 3rd year staff, schedule is a joke

Liberty Ratings Matchup Bowling Green

Power #63

#102

Off #66

#109

Def #61

#103

Talent #84

#108

SP+ #69

#111

SP+ Off #61

#98

SP+ Def #69

#121

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Bowling Green in 2023 (34-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | BGSU
Depth Chart: LIB | BGSU
Rosters: LIB | BGSU

(#102) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.115 #102
Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121
Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Bowling Green Notes
(4/7) QB Drew Pyne added (Mizzu), likely QB1
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) OL was bad LY, 3/5 back. 2 portals
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	148	271	55%	2120	14	8	7.8
Ryan Burger	8	19	42%	88	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	107	447	5	4.2	29
Vaughn Blue	35	207	1	5.9	45
Ryan Burger	17	70	1	4.1	57
Julian Gray	10	62	1	6.2	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamari Person (Tr)	35	373	1	10.7	60
Elijah Canion	25	354	3	14.2	50
Reese Smith	18	277	4	15.4	44
Tyson Mobley	29	276	1	9.5	25

View Liberty's Full Roster

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Carter	88	5	2	0	3
CJ Bazile Jr.	54	5	2	2	0
A'Khori Jones	53	5	0	0	3
Dexter Ricks Jr.	39	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
CJ Bazile Jr.	54	5	2	2	0
Joseph Carter	88	5	2	0	3
Derrell Farrar (Tr)	12	2	1	1	0
Donovan Dozier	3	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Joseph Carter	88	5	2	3
A'Khori Jones	53	5	0	3
Amarian Williams	14	0	0	2

Bowling Green's OC Travis Partridge

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)	49	82	60%	391	3	3	4.8
Lucian Anderson III	5	12	42%	32	1	1	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lucian Anderson III	19	67	2	3.5	19
John Henderson	4	50	0	12.5	29
Drew Pyne (Tr)	15	21	0	1.4	10
Mar'Kel Porter	4	11	0	2.8	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Finn Hogan	17	175	0	10.3	33
Arlis Boardingham (Tr)	18	128	2	7.1	20
Jared Merk	1	15	0	15.0	15
Donovan Stephens	1	12	0	12.0	12

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

Bowling Green's DC Brandon Fisher

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Bradley	22	3	2	2	0
Darius Lorfils	22	1	0	0	1
Evan Branch-Haynes	19	2	0	1	0
Kal-El Pascal	17	1	0	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Myles Bradley	22	3	2	2
Malik Moses	1	0	0	0
Josira Andrews	1	0	0	0
Isaac Hill	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Lorfils	22	1	0	0	1
Myles Bradley	22	3	2	2	0
Josira Andrews	1	0	0	0	0