Liberty at Louisiana Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Joe Aillet Stadium - Ruston, LA  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
LIB 2nd straight Road Game
LT is playing their 5th straight game
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -2.5   (SP+ LIB -0.5)

Projected Score: LIB: 23 - LT: 20 (43)
LIB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 832 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 12 (37 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Liberty vs Maine-25.551.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-6.050.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-6.051.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison+9.548.5
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion+4
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-2.5
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-8.5
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-18.5
Sat 11/15 Liberty vs Florida International-3
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-2.5
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State-19

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-14.550.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+36.549.5L 7 - 23UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-10.042.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-3.051.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+1
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-14
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+1.5
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+2
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+2.5
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#52 (.25)46% (55)21.747% (50)3.16 (49)17744% (66)2423.44 (98)#97 (.19)36% (42)21.341% (78)28% (13)3.73 (73)39.320.7
LT#129 (-.01)38% (109)26.745% (66)2.18 (127)18130% (128)1493.43 (99)#24 (-.01)39% (67)12.336% (48)43% (93)1.45 (6)93.70.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense321.718.545.7%3.442194191772424.653%47%47%44%16%.25
LT Defense312.3739.1%1.452.3 - - - - - 50%49%36%43%25%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense321.328.535.8%3.730.7 - - - - - 64%35%41%28%10%.19
LT Offense326.736.537.6%3.430.3183301811494.451%49%45%30%19%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty330:4019.349%29%4.739.320.73.71.3028.7
Louisiana Tech330:151840%50%9.393.70.32.38.33029.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense353% (55)47% (50)38.31774.63 (95).14 (67)3.16 (49)64% (98)7% (40)0.99 (60)
LT Defense350% (65)36% (48) - - - - -.07 (30)2.71 (62)63% (43)15% (16)1.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense364% (131)41% (78) - - - - .27 (122)3.05 (98)75% (80)7% (118)1.49 (131)
LT Offense351% (70)45% (66)41.3181.34.44 (79)-.03 (113)2.18 (127)100% (1)12% (117)0.75 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense347% (80)44% (66)17292428.314.26 (34)3 (92).36 (58)1.8 (19)29% (57)37% (36).46 (48)9% (130)2 (66)
LT Defense349% (63)43% (93) - - - - - - 5 (6).13 (48)1.2 (18)35% (52)33% (93).31 (82)10% (11)2 (71)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense335% (5)28% (13) - - - - - - 1 (87).06 (30)2 (128)37% (35)29% (69).29 (75)3% (118)2.2 (104)
LT Offense349% (66)30% (128)13.321.71496.911.24 (72)1 (23).02 (127)1.2 (125)34% (107)16% (131)- (123)7% (104)2 (72)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.69 #78
Liberty's Offense Rating: 10.53 #79
Liberty's Defense Rating: 9.85 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #88
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.69   Louisiana Tech: -4.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -5.4   Louisiana Tech: -6.1




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -4.785 #103
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 23
Louisiana Tech 20


Total Points: 43

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Liberty56Louisiana Tech30LibertyLiberty -16.5Liberty58.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech001 Overs
Liberty110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#78) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 0.69 #78
Offense Rating: 10.53 #79
Defense Rating: 9.85 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Liberty has lost 9 straight
Liberty has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Liberty Notes
(9/7) Run Def awful, gave up 370+ in L to Jax St
(7/11) Losing DE Bush in spring a blow, Bazile good
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
(3/22) WR bad LY, 2 portal adds. Lots of Sr's
(3/22) OL decent LY, 3/5 back. 3 portals. Looks good
(3/22) Def best in CUSA, returns a ton. 5 portals.
(3/22) Chadwell good coach, LY went south though
(3/22) 3rd year staff, schedule is a joke

Liberty Highlights
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty has a good pass defense (#13)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLTLIB
OverallOver#41#73
OffenseOff#46#58
DefenseDef#48#81
Special TeamsST#28#80
PassingPass#91#65
RushingRush#5#49
Run BlockRBLK#25#71
Pass BlockPBLK#98#100
Route RunningWR Rt#85#34
TacklingTkl#38#98
Run DefenseR Def#44#103
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#76
Coverage DefCov#32#26

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | LT
Depth Chart: LIB | LT
Rosters: LIB | LT
(#103) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -4.785 #103
Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 1.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Tech has lost 7 straight
Louisiana Tech has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated at Home
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Louisiana Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisiana Tech defense is really good in red zone (#6)
Louisiana Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#16)
Louisiana Tech Secondary is very good (#11)
Louisiana Tech has a great TO Margin (#11)
Louisiana Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#131)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)518659%726638.4
Michael Merdinger (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)3723026.252
Caden Williams2011705.925
Ethan Vasko (Tr)409012.324
Julian Gray106506.513
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donte Lee Jr8187323.462
Reese Smith1211819.818
Jamari Person (Tr)9106011.820
Julian Gray688114.772

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrell Farrar (Tr)151110
Joseph Carter141000
Brylan Green131002
Brenton Williams102110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Bazile Jr.92200
Derrell Farrar (Tr)151110
Brenton Williams102110
Damond Harmon71101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brylan Green131002
Eli Hall00001
Kam Cullins20001

Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trey Kukuk284070%224215.6
Blake Baker112446%228209.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Clay Thevenin2415116.333
Blake Baker2111615.538
Trey Kukuk2510404.224
Omiri Wiggins227213.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Gandy (Tr)378126.033
Eli Finley87709.623
David Pierro364021.356
Marques Singleton Jr.95806.413

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields292100
Mekhi Mason237301
Sifa Leota174022
Jacob Fields161003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mekhi Mason237301
Jadon Mayfield93200
Kameron Carter41100
Christian Davis41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.101005
Jacob Fields161003
Sifa Leota174022