Liberty at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Joe Aillet Stadium - Ruston, LA  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
LIB 2nd straight Road Game
LT is playing their 5th straight game
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -14   (SP+ LIB -11)

Projected Score: LIB: 32 - LT: 18 (47)
LIB Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
LIB Travel: 832 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Liberty vs Maine-23.5
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-16.5
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-11
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison-0.5
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion-8
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-11.5
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-19
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-21
Sat 11/15 Liberty vs Florida International-12.5
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-14
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State-23.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-7.5
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+44.5
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-5
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss+5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-2
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+2
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-3.5
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+2
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+8.5
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+14
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)28.854% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)23.539% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)20.937% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)2139% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1228.828.849.9%4.211.3224002381615.763%36%54%43%14%.26
LT Defense132119.237.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1223.524.439.4%3.681.3 - - - - - 55%45%39%40%16%.1
LT Offense1320.929.537.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1228:4222.145%50%6.764.41.31.351.6028.5
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1263% (5)54% (2)41.8238.35.728 (25).25 (16)3.56 (7)76% (47)9% (43)0.91 (94)
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1255% (115)39% (30) - - - - .02 (20)2.68 (21)73% (62)10% (59)0.99 (68)
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1236% (130)43% (60)12.622.3161.27.212.815 (98)6 (10).27 (56)1.5 (104)24% (2)36% (23).43 (26)5% (36)1.9 (107)
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1245% (19)40% (66) - - - - - - 8 (93).21 (51)1.6 (77)32% (73)31% (81).18 (17)6% (82)1.8 (9)
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Liberty's Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Liberty's Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 1.17   Louisiana Tech: -13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.1   Louisiana Tech: -11.9




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -13.725 #127
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 426.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 32
Louisiana Tech 18


Projected Total Points: 47
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Liberty56Louisiana Tech30LibertyLiberty -16.5Liberty58.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech001 Overs
Liberty110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#63) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69
Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Liberty Notes
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
(3/22) WR bad LY, 2 portal adds. Lots of Sr's
(3/22) OL decent LY, 3/5 back. 3 portals. Looks good
(3/22) Def best in CUSA, returns a ton. 5 portals.
(3/22) Chadwell good coach, LY went south though
(3/22) 3rd year staff, schedule is a joke
Liberty     Ratings Matchup     Louisiana Tech
Power #63
#127
Off #66
#135
Def #61
#102
Talent #84
#123
SP+ #69
#109
SP+ Off #61
#126
SP+ Def #69
#80

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | LT
Depth Chart: LIB | LT
Rosters: LIB | LT
(#127) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.725 #127
Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80
Talent Rating: 426.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)14827155%21201487.8
Ryan Burger81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ethan Vasko (Tr)10744754.229
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Ryan Burger177014.157
Julian Gray106216.241
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Person (Tr)35373110.760
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
A'Khori Jones535003
Dexter Ricks Jr.392002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Joseph Carter885203
Derrell Farrar (Tr)122110
Donovan Dozier31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003
Amarian Williams140002

Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Blake Baker183453%314139.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Fred Robertson3312603.820
Patrick Rea126026.026
Dakota Williams32107.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255
Marlion Jackson14222115.939
Omiri Wiggins2012626.316

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields719231
Jacob Fields546004
Sifa Leota426411
Jakari Foster330001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sifa Leota426411
Kolbe Fields719231
Mekhi Mason284111
Jacob Bradford20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Jhamal Shelby Jr.130004
Jacob Fields546004