Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Tuesday, October 21st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Joe Aillet Stadium - Ruston, LA  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (21 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
LT coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Kentucky -1   (SP+ WKU -3.5)

Projected Score: WKU: 27 - LT: 26 (53)
WKU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 467 miles
Bulldogs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 12 (37 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-9.560.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama-27.560.5W 55 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo+8.557.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada-10.554.5
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State-12
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware-2
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-6.5
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech-1
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-20.5
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU+29.5
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-14.550.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+36.549.5L 7 - 23UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-10.042.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-3.051.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+1
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-14
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+1.5
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+2
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+2.5
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#80 (.16)42% (83)3937% (112)2.71 (96)11045% (59)3585 (32)#91 (.18)35% (37)2539% (67)32% (30)3.08 (53)641.31
LT#129 (-.01)38% (109)26.745% (66)2.18 (127)18130% (128)1493.43 (99)#24 (-.01)39% (67)12.336% (48)43% (93)1.45 (6)93.70.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense3392142.1%51.3234681103583.534%66%37%45%12%.16
LT Defense312.3739.1%1.452.3 - - - - - 50%49%36%43%25%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense3254535.2%3.081 - - - - - 51%49%39%32%17%.18
LT Offense326.736.537.6%3.430.3183301811494.451%49%45%30%19%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky329:5423.349%20%6641.315.71.3029.5
Louisiana Tech330:151840%50%9.393.70.32.38.33029.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense334% (136)37% (112)31.7109.73.54 (79)-.16 (131)2.71 (96)60% (103)7% (44)0.8 (107)
LT Defense350% (65)36% (48) - - - - -.07 (30)2.71 (62)63% (43)15% (16)1.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense351% (77)39% (67) - - - - .19 (108)3.03 (94)71% (72)10% (76)1.27 (121)
LT Offense351% (70)45% (66)41.3181.34.44 (79)-.03 (113)2.18 (127)100% (1)12% (117)0.75 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense366% (1)45% (59)29433588.312.311 (5)1 (23).32 (63)1.7 (28)34% (105)37% (35).1 (117)5% (63)1.7 (108)
LT Defense349% (63)43% (93) - - - - - - 5 (6).13 (48)1.2 (18)35% (52)33% (93).31 (82)10% (11)2 (71)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense349% (58)32% (30) - - - - - - 2 (56).19 (61)1.6 (77)37% (28)15% (12)-.01 (20)7% (44)1.8 (51)
LT Offense349% (66)30% (128)13.321.71496.911.24 (72)1 (23).02 (127)1.2 (125)34% (107)16% (131)- (123)7% (104)2 (72)

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -5.06 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -5.06   Louisiana Tech: -4.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.5   Louisiana Tech: -6.1




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -4.785 #103
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 27
Louisiana Tech 26


Total Points: 53

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Western Kentucky7Louisiana Tech12Louisiana TechWestern Kentucky -11.5Louisiana Tech52.5Under
202310/05Louisiana Tech28Western Kentucky35Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -6Western Kentucky59.0Over
201811/24Louisiana Tech15Western Kentucky30Western KentuckyLouisiana Tech -10.5Western Kentucky49.0Under
201709/16Western Kentucky22Louisiana Tech23Louisiana TechWestern Kentucky -4.5Louisiana Tech62.0Under
201610/06Louisiana Tech55Western Kentucky52Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -1Louisiana Tech69.0Over
201612/03Western Kentucky58Louisiana Tech44Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky78.5Over
201509/10Western Kentucky41Louisiana Tech38Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -3Push62.5Over
201411/01Louisiana Tech59Western Kentucky10Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -3Louisiana Tech0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech444 Overs
Western Kentucky433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 43 - 43 - 30 - 1
Road Teams4 - 44 - 31 - 03 - 3

(#91) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -5.06 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Western Kentucky has lost 5 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor

Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)

Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLTWKU
OverallOver#41#47
OffenseOff#46#60
DefenseDef#48#67
Special TeamsST#28#4
PassingPass#91#44
RushingRush#5#64
Run BlockRBLK#25#109
Pass BlockPBLK#98#73
Route RunningWR Rt#85#23
TacklingTkl#38#94
Run DefenseR Def#44#91
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#22
Coverage DefCov#32#57

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Western Kentucky last year (12-7)
Western Kentucky beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | LT
Depth Chart: WKU | LT
Rosters: WKU | LT
(#103) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -4.785 #103
Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 1.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Tech has lost 3 straight
Louisiana Tech has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated at Home
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Louisiana Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisiana Tech defense is really good in red zone (#6)
Louisiana Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#16)
Louisiana Tech Secondary is very good (#11)
Louisiana Tech has a great TO Margin (#11)
Louisiana Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#131)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)


  
Western Kentucky's OC Rick Bowie
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)8012067%9411017.8
Rodney Tisdale Jr.6875%941011.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvis Parrish239304.022
Jaden McGill (Tr)166313.915
George Hart III175913.512
La'Vell Wright (Tr)113913.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Moussa Barry11210019.148
Matthew Henry (Tr)11198318.055
K.D. Hutchinson12184315.378
Marvis Parrish1410017.122

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster
Western Kentucky's DC DaVon Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dave Herard140000
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)130001
Jaylen Wester (Tr)131010
Dylan Flowers101001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harper Holloman73103
Dominic Oliver (Tr)102100
Jayden Gray (Tr)72120
Jaden Hardy (Tr)102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harper Holloman73103
Al-Ma'Hi Ali (Tr)80002
Lataj Wright00001

Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trey Kukuk284070%224215.6
Blake Baker112446%228209.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Clay Thevenin2415116.333
Blake Baker2111615.538
Trey Kukuk2510404.224
Omiri Wiggins227213.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Gandy (Tr)378126.033
Eli Finley87709.623
David Pierro364021.356
Marques Singleton Jr.95806.413

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields292100
Mekhi Mason237301
Sifa Leota174022
Jacob Fields161003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mekhi Mason237301
Jadon Mayfield93200
Kameron Carter41100
Christian Davis41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.101005
Jacob Fields161003
Sifa Leota174022