Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Tuesday, October 21st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Joe Aillet Stadium - Ruston, LA  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
LT coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Kentucky -2   (SP+ WKU -6)
Projected Score: WKU: 26 - LT: 24 (46)
WKU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
WKU Travel: 467 miles
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-7.50.0
Fri 8/29 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama-11.5
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo+13
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada-8
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State-4
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware-2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-5.5
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech-2
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-8.5
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU+40
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-7.5
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+44.5
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-5
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss+5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-2
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+2
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-3.5
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+2
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+8.5
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+14
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)24.938% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)24.648% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)20.937% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)2139% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1424.924.941.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19
LT Defense132119.237.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1424.633.944.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
LT Offense1320.929.537.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1445% (105)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (75)
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1455% (26)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (91).29 (89)6% (56)1.9 (100)
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (60) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (47).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -17.79 #116
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 23.70 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.8 #85
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #68

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -17.79   Louisiana Tech: -13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -5.8   Louisiana Tech: -11.9




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -13.725 #127
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 426.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 26
Louisiana Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 46
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Western Kentucky7Louisiana Tech12Louisiana TechWestern Kentucky -11.5Louisiana Tech52.5Under
202310/05Louisiana Tech28Western Kentucky35Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -6Western Kentucky59.0Over
201811/24Louisiana Tech15Western Kentucky30Western KentuckyLouisiana Tech -10.5Western Kentucky49.0Under
201709/16Western Kentucky22Louisiana Tech23Louisiana TechWestern Kentucky -4.5Louisiana Tech62.0Under
201610/06Louisiana Tech55Western Kentucky52Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -1Louisiana Tech69.0Over
201612/03Western Kentucky58Louisiana Tech44Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky78.5Over
201509/10Western Kentucky41Louisiana Tech38Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -3Push62.5Over
201411/01Louisiana Tech59Western Kentucky10Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -3Louisiana Tech0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech444 Overs
Western Kentucky433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 43 - 43 - 30 - 1
Road Teams4 - 44 - 31 - 03 - 3

(#116) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -17.79 #116
Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Defense Rating: 23.70 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #68
Talent Rating: 504.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Western Kentucky Notes
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Def portals 7 DL, 1 LB, 5 DBs.
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
(3/22) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) a big find for '25
(3/22) RB rebuild. Hart has exp, Hampton some
(3/22) WR complete rebuild. Took 5 portals + 2 TEs
(3/22) OL rebuild. 5 portal adds. Very ?
Western Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Louisiana Tech
Power #116
#127
Off #119
#135
Def #114
#102
Talent #105
#123
SP+ #85
#109
SP+ Off #102
#126
SP+ Def #68
#80

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Western Kentucky last year (12-7)
Western Kentucky beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | LT
Depth Chart: WKU | LT
Rosters: WKU | LT
(#127) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.725 #127
Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80
Talent Rating: 426.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.


  
Western Kentucky's OC Rick Bowie
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)31249663%38473077.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Hart III4420424.630
Jalen Hampton115705.214
K.D. Hutchinson85106.442
John Cannon (Tr)117017.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack (Tr)19418022.059
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174
Isaiah Myers (Tr)13237318.237
Noah Meyers7123117.624

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster
Western Kentucky's DC DaVon Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)432005
Demarko Williams372001
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers (Tr)312002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kent Robinson334204
Jayden Gray (Tr)143211
Dominic Oliver (Tr)152110
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)432005
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)432005
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers (Tr)312002

Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Blake Baker183453%314139.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Fred Robertson3312603.820
Patrick Rea126026.026
Dakota Williams32107.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255
Marlion Jackson14222115.939
Omiri Wiggins2012626.316

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields719231
Jacob Fields546004
Sifa Leota426411
Jakari Foster330001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sifa Leota426411
Kolbe Fields719231
Mekhi Mason284111
Jacob Bradford20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Jhamal Shelby Jr.130004
Jacob Fields546004