North Alabama at Western Kentucky - 2025 Matchup Preview
North Alabama logo   North Alabama Lions at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers  Western Kentucky logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -27.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: -28.5 | 60.5
Western Kentucky 55 - North Alabama: 6

 
Lions (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 55 (6 - 55 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Western Kentucky -0  (SP+ WKU -2)
WKU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
Hilltoppers (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#36)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Alabama at Western Kentucky+27.560.5L 6 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Alabama's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-9.560.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama-27.560.5W 55 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo+8.557.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada-8.554.5W 31 - 16UY
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State-3.559.5W 27 - 22UY
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware+2.562.5W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-9.555.5L 6 - 25UN
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+5.549.5W 28 - 27OY
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-7.553.5W 35 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-13.551.5W 42 - 26OY
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU+24.552.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-1.556.5L 34 - 37ON
Tue 12/23 Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss+3.059.0W 27 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOR0%60%000%000%550%0%0000
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)29.538% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)22.848% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOR Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
WKU Defense1422.818.844.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOR Defense155550%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
WKU Offense1429.53541.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Alabama10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOR Offense10%0%000000%0%0
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOR Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
WKU Offense1445% (105)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOR Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (60) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (47).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOR Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
WKU Offense1455% (26)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (91).29 (89)6% (56)1.9 (100)

North Alabama's Power Ratings
North Alabama's Power Rating: NR
North Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
North Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: -
North Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Alabama:    Western Kentucky: 0.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Alabama:    Western Kentucky: 1.6




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 0.125  #84
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.64  #104
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 13.99  #71
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #69
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #56
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


North Alabama Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 55 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

North Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Alabama 29
Western Kentucky 29


Projected Total Points: 59
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Western Kentucky55North Alabama6Western Kentucky -27.5Western Kentucky60.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky111 Overs
North Alabama000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) NOR at (#84) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNORWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #84
SP+SP+NR #69
Perf GradeGradeNR #65
OffenseOffNR #69
DefenseDefNR #71
Spec TeamsSTNR #20
TalentTalNR #89
Blue ChipsBC%NR #88
Western Kentucky Notes
(10/22) Escaped LT in OT, QB Tisdale OK but is mobile
(10/21) QB1 McIvor shoulder inj, R. Tisdale (Fr) vs La Tech
(10/15) FIU performance off a bye? Completely unprepared
(10/15) McIover last 4 games, 2 TD, 4 INT, 231 YPG.
(10/14) Shameful performance vs FIU, OG'd by 200+, Off awful
(10/4) Lucky W @ Del, OG'd by 100 yds, 2 TOs for TDs.
(10/4) QB McIvor is fun in an extremely pass heavy Off
(8/23) Likely 7-8 portal starters on both Off & Def
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
Western Kentucky Injury Report
North Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
NOR OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #71
SuccessSucNR #102
ExplosiveExpNR #36
PPAPPANR #95
PowerPwrNR #71
SP+SP+NR #78
Pts POPPONR #54
HavocHavNR #122
North Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
NOR OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNR #65
Run SuccessRSucNR #113
Run ExplRExpNR #35
PPAExpNR #103
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #116
Stuff RateStuffNR #128
TackleTak -  #119
North Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
NOR OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNR #52
Pass SuccessPSucNR #60
Pass ExplPExlNR #128
PPAExpNR #99
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #81
F7 HavocF7NR #88
DB HavocDBNR #132
Western Kentucky on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatWKU OffNOR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #69NR
SuccessSuc #83NR
ExplosiveExp #33NR
PPAPPA #66NR
PowerPwr #104NR
SP+SP+ #56NR
Pts POPPO #78NR
HavocHav #73NR
Western Kentucky Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
WKU OffNOR Def
Run GameRun #72NR
Run SuccessRSuc #117NR
Run ExplRExp #75NR
PPAExp #121NR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLY #108NR
Stuff RateStuff #103NR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatWKU OffNOR Def
Pass GamePass #57NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #33NR
Pass ExplPExl #59NR
PPAExp #28NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #48NR
F7 HavocF7 #87NR
DB HavocDB #56NR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

NOR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky -27.5 (60.5)
Western Kentucky won vs North Alabama this year (55-6)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat North Alabama last year (55-6)

  
NOR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Destin Wade (Tr)9218151%11881046.6
Ari Patu489551%517545.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayvian Allen15175095.057
Destin Wade (Tr)10446954.531
Jalyn Daniels4430927.045
LT Sanders (Tr)3817114.542
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanaka Scott30528417.691
Justin Pegues (Tr)46459410.039
KJ Fields30302210.144
Noah Gregg18246413.767

View North Alabama's Full Roster

NOR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demarcious Robinson81000
Brian Dilworth (Tr)60000
Jahbari Hill50000
Seth Hampton50001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demarcious Robinson81000
Tae Martin20000
Jyheam Ingram10000
Drake Fowler10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Vili00001
Seth Hampton50001
Walter Goggins20000

WKU's OC Will Friend (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)18327367%20621267.6
Rodney Tisdale Jr.13921266%1432976.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvis Parrish10657615.466
La'Vell Wright (Tr)85471105.539
George Hart III7030054.336
Rodney Tisdale Jr.5210822.115
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Henry (Tr)55888616.155
K.D. Hutchinson6661839.478
Moussa Barry34488114.448
Noah Meyers32357311.262

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Wester (Tr)1067232
Anthony Brackenridge745123
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)744005
Dave Herard583004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Oliver (Tr)204300
Koron Hayward194321
Jalen Emery (Tr)183213
Harper Holloman396264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nazir Ward353106
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)744005
Jai Eugene Jr.212105