North Alabama at Western Kentucky - 2025 Matchup Preview

North Alabama Lions at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -27.5 (60.5) (0) Open: -28.5 | 60.5
Western Kentucky 55 - North Alabama: 6

Lions (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 55 (6 - 55 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ WKU -3)
WKU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Hilltoppers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (48 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
NOR Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Alabama's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	North Alabama at Western Kentucky	+27.5	60.5	L 6 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Alabama's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-9.5	60.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 8/30	Western Kentucky vs North Alabama	-27.5	60.5	W 55 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Western Kentucky at Toledo	+8.5	57.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Western Kentucky vs Nevada	-10.5	54.5
Sat 9/27	Western Kentucky at Missouri State	-12
Fri 10/3	Western Kentucky at Delaware	-2
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-6.5
Tue 10/21	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-1
Sat 11/1	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-20.5
Sat 11/22	Western Kentucky at LSU	+29.5
Sat 11/29	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOR		0%	6	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	55	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU	#80 (.16)	42% (83)	39	37% (112)	2.71 (96)	110	45% (59)	358	5 (32)	#91 (.18)	35% (37)	25	39% (67)	32% (30)	3.08 (53)	64	1.3	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOR Offense	1	6	6	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Defense	3	25	15	35.2%	3.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	39%	32%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOR Defense	1	55	55	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Offense	3	39	48	42.1%	5	1.3	23	468	110	358	3.5	34%	66%	37%	45%	12%	.16

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Alabama	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Western Kentucky	3	29:54	23.3	49%	20%	6	64	1.3	1	5.7	1.3	0	29.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Defense	3	51% (77)	39% (67)	-	-	-	-	.19 (108)	3.03 (94)	71% (72)	10% (76)	1.27 (121)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Offense	3	34% (136)	37% (112)	31.7	109.7	3.5	4 (79)	-.16 (131)	2.71 (96)	60% (103)	7% (44)	0.8 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Defense	3	49% (58)	32% (30)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (56)	.19 (61)	1.6 (77)	37% (28)	15% (12)	-.01 (20)	7% (44)	1.8 (51)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Offense	3	66% (1)	45% (59)	29	43	358	8.3	12.3	11 (5)	1 (23)	.32 (63)	1.7 (28)	34% (105)	37% (35)	.1 (117)	5% (63)	1.7 (108)

North Alabama's Power Ratings
North Alabama's Power Rating: #NR
North Alabama's Offense Rating: #NR
North Alabama's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
North Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: -
North Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
North Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
North Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
North Alabama: Western Kentucky: -1.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Alabama: Western Kentucky: -2.5

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

North Alabama Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 55 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

North Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 49
North Alabama 13

Total Points: 62

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Western Kentucky	55	North Alabama	6	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -27.5	Western Kentucky	60.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	1	1	1 Overs
North Alabama	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) North Alabama Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

North Alabama Highlights

North Alabama Deficiencies
North Alabama has a really bad Offense
North Alabama Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	WKU	NOR
OverallOver	#47	—
OffenseOff	#60	—
DefenseDef	#67	—
Special TeamsST	#4	—
PassingPass	#44	—
RushingRush	#64	—
Run BlockRBLK	#109	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#73	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#23	—
TacklingTkl	#94	—
Run DefenseR Def	#91	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#22	—
Coverage DefCov	#57	—

Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky -27.5 (60.5)
Western Kentucky won vs North Alabama this year (55-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NOR | WKU
Depth Chart: NOR | WKU
Rosters: NOR | WKU

(#91) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor

Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky is Undefeated at Home
Western Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)

Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)

North Alabama's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Destin Wade (Tr)	24	46	52%	283	3	0	6.2
Ari Patu	16	38	42%	143	0	1	3.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayvian Allen	27	165	2	6.1	57
Jalyn Daniels	13	154	1	11.8	45
Destin Wade (Tr)	26	144	0	5.5	22
LT Sanders (Tr)	11	90	1	8.2	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Pegues (Tr)	12	143	1	11.9	27
Kaleb Heatherly	8	106	0	13.3	43
Tanaka Scott	5	75	0	15.0	44
Jayvian Allen	3	37	0	12.3	13

View North Alabama's Full Roster

North Alabama's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Demarcious Robinson	8	1
Brian Dilworth (Tr)	6	0
Mike Jordan	5	0
Jahbari Hill	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PRESS
Demarcious Robinson	8	1	0
Lonell Cunningham	2	0	1
Jyheam Ingram	1	0	0
Drake Fowler	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Fred Vili	0	1
Seth Hampton	5	1
Cameron Jamar	2	0

Western Kentucky's OC Rick Bowie

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)	80	120	67%	941	10	1	7.8
Rodney Tisdale Jr.	6	8	75%	94	1	0	11.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marvis Parrish	23	93	0	4.0	22
Jaden McGill (Tr)	16	63	1	3.9	15
George Hart III	17	59	1	3.5	12
La'Vell Wright (Tr)	11	39	1	3.5	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Moussa Barry	11	210	0	19.1	48
Matthew Henry (Tr)	11	198	3	18.0	55
K.D. Hutchinson	12	184	3	15.3	78
Marvis Parrish	14	100	1	7.1	22

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

Western Kentucky's DC DaVon Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dave Herard	14	0	0	0
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	13	0	0	1
Jaylen Wester (Tr)	13	1	1	0
Dylan Flowers	10	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Harper Holloman	7	3	1	0	3
Dominic Oliver (Tr)	10	2	1	0	0
Jayden Gray (Tr)	7	2	1	2	0
Jaden Hardy (Tr)	10	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Harper Holloman	7	3	1	3
Al-Ma'Hi Ali (Tr)	8	0	0	2
Lataj Wright	0	0	0	1