North Alabama at Western Kentucky - 2025 Matchup Preview

North Alabama Lions at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -27.5 (60.5) (0) Open: -28.5 | 60.5
Western Kentucky 55 - North Alabama: 6

Lions (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 55 (6 - 55 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Western Kentucky -4.5 (SP+ WKU -0)
WKU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Hilltoppers (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
NOR Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Alabama's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	North Alabama at Western Kentucky	+27.5	60.5	L 6 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Alabama's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-9.5	60.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 8/30	Western Kentucky vs North Alabama	-27.5	60.5	W 55 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Western Kentucky at Toledo	+8.5	57.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Western Kentucky vs Nevada	-8.5	54.5	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Western Kentucky at Missouri State	-3.5	59.5	W 27 - 22	U	Y
Fri 10/3	Western Kentucky at Delaware	+2.5	62.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-9.5	55.5	L 6 - 25	U	N
Tue 10/21	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	+5.5	49.5	W 28 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-7.5	53.5	W 35 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-13.5	51.5	W 42 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Western Kentucky at LSU	+24.5	52.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-1.5	56.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Tue 12/23	Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss	+3.0	59.0	W 27 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOR		0%	6	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	55	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU	#74 (.17)	43% (58)	29.5	45% (52)	2.97 (62)	123	42% (64)	252	4.21 (30)	#42 (.11)	37% (19)	22.8	39% (26)	36% (18)	2.72 (11)	55.6	1.4	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOR Offense	1	6	6	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Defense	13	22.8	18.8	37%	2.72	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	39%	36%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOR Defense	1	55	55	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Offense	13	29.5	35	43.2%	4.21	1.4	20	374	123	252	4.2	42%	57%	45%	42%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Alabama	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Western Kentucky	13	27:10	20	45%	33%	5.6	55.6	1.4	1	4.9	1.2	2	28.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Defense	13	46% (22)	39% (26)	-	-	-	-	.09 (61)	2.79 (52)	55% (3)	9% (94)	1.13 (130)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Offense	13	42% (125)	45% (52)	29.2	122.7	4.2	20 (78)	.09 (81)	2.97 (62)	81% (12)	9% (49)	0.92 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Defense	13	52% (109)	36% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.16 (33)	1.5 (62)	34% (32)	27% (31)	.23 (43)	7% (17)	2 (69)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Offense	13	57% (12)	42% (64)	23.3	35	251.6	7.2	10.8	21 (42)	11 (60)	.24 (72)	1.5 (89)	33% (100)	34% (24)	.36 (45)	6% (89)	1.9 (104)

North Alabama's Power Ratings
North Alabama's Power Rating: NR
North Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
North Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: -
North Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Alabama: Western Kentucky: 4.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Alabama: Western Kentucky: 0.4

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 4.47 #57
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.30 #77
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 3.76 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #60
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #80

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Alabama Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 55 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

North Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
North Alabama 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 35
North Alabama 14

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 44
North Alabama 13

Total Points: 57

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Western Kentucky	55	North Alabama	6	Western Kentucky -27.5	Western Kentucky	60.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	1	1	1 Overs
North Alabama	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) NOR at (#57) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NOR	WKU
Power RatePwr	NR	#57
SP+SP+	NR	#70
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#55
OffenseOff	NR	#64
DefenseDef	NR	#54
Spec TeamsST	NR	#28
TalentTal	NR	#89
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#88

North Alabama Injury Report

Western Kentucky Notes(10/22) Escaped LT in OT, QB Tisdale OK but is mobile
(10/21) QB1 McIvor shoulder inj, R. Tisdale (Fr) vs La Tech
(10/15) FIU performance off a bye? Completely unprepared
(10/15) McIover last 4 games, 2 TD, 4 INT, 231 YPG.
(10/14) Shameful performance vs FIU, OG'd by 200+, Off awful
(10/4) Lucky W @ Del, OG'd by 100 yds, 2 TOs for TDs.
(10/4) QB McIvor is fun in an extremely pass heavy Off
(8/23) Likely 7-8 portal starters on both Off & Def
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
Western Kentucky Injury Report

North Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	NOR Off	WKU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	#19
ExplosiveExp	NR	#116
PPAPPA	NR	#42
PowerPwr	NR	#39
SP+SP+	NR	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	#11
HavocHav	NR	#58

North Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	NOR Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#26
Run ExplRExp	NR	#130
PPAExp	NR	#61
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#52
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#31
TackleTak	-	#118

North Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	NOR Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#18
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#62
PPAExp	NR	#33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#70
F7 HavocF7	NR	#94
DB HavocDB	NR	#17

Western Kentucky on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	WKU Off	NOR Def
Perf GradePerf	#64	NR
SuccessSuc	#58	NR
ExplosiveExp	#70	NR
PPAPPA	#74	NR
PowerPwr	#77	NR
SP+SP+	#60	NR
Pts POPPO	#30	NR
HavocHav	#61	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	WKU Off	NOR Def
Run GameRun	#74	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	NR
Run ExplRExp	#84	NR
PPAExp	#81	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#91	-
OL YdsOLY	#62	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#99	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	WKU Off	NOR Def
Pass GamePass	#47	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#89	NR
PPAExp	#72	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	NR
F7 HavocF7	#49	NR
DB HavocDB	#89	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

NOR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky -27.5 (60.5)
Western Kentucky won vs North Alabama this year (55-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NOR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Destin Wade (Tr)	92	181	51%	1188	10	4	6.6
Ari Patu	48	95	51%	517	5	4	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayvian Allen	151	750	9	5.0	57
Destin Wade (Tr)	104	469	5	4.5	31
Jalyn Daniels	44	309	2	7.0	45
LT Sanders (Tr)	38	171	1	4.5	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanaka Scott	30	528	4	17.6	91
Justin Pegues (Tr)	46	459	4	10.0	39
KJ Fields	30	302	2	10.1	44
Noah Gregg	18	246	4	13.7	67

View North Alabama's Full Roster

NOR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Demarcious Robinson	8	1	0
Brian Dilworth (Tr)	6	0	0
Jahbari Hill	5	0	0
Seth Hampton	5	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL
Demarcious Robinson	8	1
Cameron Jamar	2	0
Drake Fowler	1	0
Kingston Lowe	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Fred Vili	0	1
Seth Hampton	5	1
BJ Diakite	2	0

WKU's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)	183	273	67%	2062	12	6	7.6
Rodney Tisdale Jr.	139	212	66%	1432	9	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marvis Parrish	106	576	1	5.4	66
La'Vell Wright (Tr)	85	471	10	5.5	39
George Hart III	70	300	5	4.3	36
Rodney Tisdale Jr.	52	108	2	2.1	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Henry (Tr)	55	888	6	16.1	55
K.D. Hutchinson	66	618	3	9.4	78
Moussa Barry	34	488	1	14.4	48
Noah Meyers	32	357	3	11.2	62

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC DaVon Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Wester (Tr)	106	7	2	3	2
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	74	4	0	0	5
Anthony Brackenridge	74	5	1	2	3
Dave Herard	58	3	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominic Oliver (Tr)	20	4	3	0	0
Koron Hayward	19	4	3	2	1
Jalen Emery (Tr)	18	3	2	1	3
Harper Holloman	39	6	2	6	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Nazir Ward	35	3	1	6
Jai Eugene Jr.	21	2	1	5
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	74	4	0	5