Kansas at Iowa State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Iowa State -3 (55.5) (-162)  Open: -4.5
Iowa State 38 - Kansas: 14  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 17.4 MPH
KU coming off BYE
ISU coming off BYE
Our Line: Iowa State -8  (SP+ ISU -6)
Projected Score: KU: 23 - ISU: 31 (54)
ISU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
KU Travel: 227 miles
Cyclones (8 - 4) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-12.554.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-5.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-4.053.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+13.558.5L 17 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-3.555.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-24.554.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+5.556.5L 20 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+3.055.5L 14 - 38UN
Fri 11/28 Kansas vs Utah+10.559.5L 21 - 31UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Iowa State vs Kansas State+2.551.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/30 Iowa State vs South Dakota-16.547.5W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-3.043.0W 16 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-21.055.5W 24 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-4.048.5W 39 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati+1.555.5L 30 - 38ON
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-3.052.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-2.548.5L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State-7.548.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+7.558.5W 20 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-3.055.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-13.547.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#27 (.25)48% (15)28.151% (6)3.53 (4)17046% (31)2203.94 (47)#121 (.25)42% (68)26.841% (62)42% (71)4.24 (120)39.81.10.8
ISU#61 (.19)45% (44)27.446% (47)3 (57)17444% (42)2213.54 (83)#36 (.09)39% (43)20.240% (40)40% (53)3.06 (23)401.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1228.121.848.4%3.941.1213901702204.851%47%51%46%14%.25
ISU Defense1220.218.839.4%3.061.5 - - - - - 47%50%40%40%17%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1226.833.241.7%4.240.8 - - - - - 51%48%41%42%18%.25
ISU Offense1227.432.344.7%3.541.2213961742214.454%45%46%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1230:4020.639%57%539.81.10.86.32129.1
Iowa State1231:3421.140%68%4.6401.21.551.1129.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1251% (54)51% (6)35.5169.84.817 (99).22 (19)3.53 (4)84% (4)9% (46)0.87 (109)
ISU Defense1247% (43)40% (40) - - - - .01 (20)2.79 (51)70% (55)10% (65)0.83 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1251% (79)41% (62) - - - - .13 (88)2.84 (59)77% (109)11% (26)1.1 (124)
ISU Offense1254% (36)46% (47)39.8174.24.423 (30).15 (50)3 (57)69% (89)8% (38)0.93 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1247% (87)46% (31)17.628.82207.712.523 (8)8 (7).32 (45)1.5 (76)28% (19)32% (42).27 (81)6% (59)1.8 (117)
ISU Defense1250% (91)40% (53) - - - - - - 11 (38).24 (67)1.6 (74)33% (44)29% (60).23 (48)7% (30)1.7 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1248% (65)42% (71) - - - - - - 4 (75).39 (121)1.7 (126)34% (34)33% (105).43 (125)7% (41)2.2 (125)
ISU Offense1245% (100)44% (42)17.528.8221.47.712.716 (86)9 (20).29 (51)1.6 (56)30% (48)31% (69).21 (100)6% (81)2.1 (42)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.76  #52
Kansas's Offense Rating: 17.92  #23
Kansas's Defense Rating: 11.16  #86
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2  #59
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #46
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #78

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 6.76   Iowa State: 13.055

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 3.2   Iowa State: 9.4




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.055  #36
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.61  #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.90  #35
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #62
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 31
Kansas 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 27
Kansas 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 30
Kansas 22

Total Points: 52
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Iowa State38Kansas14Iowa State -3Iowa State55.5Under
202411/09Kansas45Iowa State36Iowa State -2.5Kansas50.5Over
202311/04Iowa State21Kansas28Iowa State -2.5Kansas53.0Under
202210/01Kansas14Iowa State11Iowa State -3.5Kansas59.0Under
202110/02Iowa State59Kansas7Iowa State -34.5Iowa State57.5Over
202010/31Kansas22Iowa State52Iowa State -28.5Iowa State0
201911/23Iowa State41Kansas31Iowa State -26.5Kansas58.0Over
201811/03Kansas3Iowa State27Iowa State -18.5Iowa State46.0Under
201710/14Iowa State45Kansas0Iowa State -22.5Iowa State63.0Under
201611/12Kansas24Iowa State31Iowa State -11.5Kansas54.5Over
201510/03Iowa State38Kansas13Iowa State -14.5Iowa State59.5Under
201411/08Kansas34Iowa State14Iowa State -4Kansas0
201311/23Iowa State34Kansas0Iowa State -5Iowa State0
201211/17Kansas23Iowa State51
201111/05Iowa State13Kansas10
201010/30Iowa State28Kansas16
200910/10Kansas41Iowa State36
200810/04Iowa State33Kansas35
200711/17Kansas45Iowa State7
200611/04Iowa State10Kansas41
200511/26Kansas24Iowa State21
200410/30Iowa State13Kansas7
200311/22Kansas36Iowa State7
200208/31Iowa State45Kansas3
200111/17Kansas7Iowa State49
200011/17Iowa State38Kansas17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State1674 Overs
Kansas1066 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams18 - 89 - 45 - 24 - 2
Road Teams8 - 184 - 92 - 42 - 5

(#52) KU at (#36) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUISU
Power RatePwr #52 #36
SP+SP+ #59 #35
Perf GradeGrade #42 #61
OffenseOff #38 #49
DefenseDef #66 #91
Spec TeamsST #26 #105
TalentTal #62 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #65
Kansas Notes
(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report
Iowa State Notes
(12/7) Declined bowl game. 2025 season is over.
(12/5) HC Matt Campbell going to Penn State
(12/5) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers, Wazzu HC (S Dak St too)
(10/25) DT D Orange will play vs BYU, big add
(10/4) Def torched by Cincy, Becht was tough but Def sucks
(10/3) CB2 J. Cooper out for the season (knee). Down top 2
(10/1) CB1 J Williams out for the season (ACL) - big loss
(10/1) Backup kicker J Gilbert also hurt, Fr kicking now
(9/26) Kicker K. Konrardy is hurt, Fr C. Smith kicking
(9/15) Keep winning 1 score games, Run Succ ?
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
Iowa State Injury Report
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffISU Def
Perf GradePerf #38 #91
SuccessSuc #15 #43
ExplosiveExp #112 #51
PPAPPA #27 #36
PowerPwr #23 #35
SP+SP+ #46 #27
Pts POPPO #47 #23
HavocHav #53 #48
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #37 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #40
Run ExplRExp #109 #13
PPAExp #19 #20
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLY #4 #51
Stuff RateStuff #10 #37
TackleTak -  #124
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #67 #53
Pass SuccessPSuc #31 #53
Pass ExplPExl #76 #74
PPAExp #45 #67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #96 #114
F7 HavocF7 #46 #65
DB HavocDB #59 #30
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffKU Def
Perf GradePerf #49 #66
SuccessSuc #44 #68
ExplosiveExp #91 #131
PPAPPA #61 #121
PowerPwr #42 #86
SP+SP+ #62 #78
Pts POPPO #83 #120
HavocHav #55 #28
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #59 #95
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #62
Run ExplRExp #82 #124
PPAExp #50 #88
Run BlockR Blk #66 -
OL YdsOLY #57 #59
Stuff RateStuff #58 #33
TackleTak -  #99
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #26 #55
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #71
Pass ExplPExl #56 #126
PPAExp #51 #121
Pass Block/RushP Blk #94 #41
F7 HavocF7 #38 #26
DB HavocDB #81 #41
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 56° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Iowa State -3.0 (55.5)
Iowa State won vs Kansas this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Iowa State last year (45-36)
Kansas beat Iowa State in 2023 (28-21)
Kansas beat Iowa State in 2022 (14-11)

  
KU's OC Jim Zebrowski (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels19831962%25042277.8
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12458754.722
Leshon Williams (Tr)9756575.862
Jalon Daniels11742343.638
Isaiah Marshall15160010.743
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)45766517.093
Boden Groen (Tr)36450512.546
Cam Pickett (Tr)45449310.038
Levi Wentz16258216.150

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Bangally Kamara (Tr)549114
Austin Alexander464002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
Tommy Dunn264321
D.J. Withers165310
Jalen Todd442214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht20433761%25651697.6
Alex Manske4580%28005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen18795065.165
Abu Sama III14173255.244
Dylan Lee2511714.728
Rocco Becht8711181.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brett Eskildsen30526517.575
Chase Sowell (Tr)32500215.652
Benjamin Brahmer37446612.127
Gabe Burkle26302111.644

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel778153
Marcus Neal7711133
Caleb Bacon6810343
Jamison Patton481003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Bacon6810343
Tamatoa McDonough (Tr)264240
Will McLaughlin132201
Jace J. Gilbert183110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ta'Shawn James330005
Quentin Taylor Jr.272005
Kooper Ebel778153