Iowa State at Kansas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, August 23rd 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -2.5 (51.5) (-145)  Open: -3.0 | 49.5
Iowa State 24 - Kansas State: 21  (Aer Lingus College Football Classic)

 
Cyclones (8 - 4) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Iowa State -3.5  (SP+ ISU -3)
Projected Score: ISU: 28 - KSU: 24 (52)
KSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 249 miles
Wildcats (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#82)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Iowa State vs Kansas State+2.551.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/30 Iowa State vs South Dakota-16.547.5W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-3.043.0W 16 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-21.055.5W 24 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-4.048.5W 39 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati+1.555.5L 30 - 38ON
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-3.052.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-2.548.5L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State-7.548.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+7.558.5W 20 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-3.055.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-13.547.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-5.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+4.559.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+3.054.5W 41 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+3.555.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+7.551.5L 20 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-19.550.5W 14 - 6UN
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+18.552.5L 47 - 51OY
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-16.550.5W 24 - 14UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#61 (.19)45% (44)27.446% (47)3 (57)17444% (42)2213.54 (83)#36 (.09)39% (43)20.240% (40)40% (53)3.06 (23)401.21.5
KSU#46 (.2)41% (92)29.441% (94)2.82 (96)17241% (82)1984.15 (33)#57 (.13)39% (44)26.741% (61)38% (35)3.45 (52)38.31.32.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1227.422.244.7%3.541.2213961742214.454%45%46%44%15%.19
KSU Defense1226.727.339.5%3.452.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1220.221.639.4%3.061.5 - - - - - 47%50%40%40%17%.09
KSU Offense1229.429.740.8%4.151.3173711721985.251%47%41%41%18%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1231:3421.140%68%4.6401.21.551.1129.9
Kansas State1229:0017.237%56%4.138.31.32.262.3230.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1254% (36)46% (47)39.8174.24.423 (30).15 (50)3 (57)69% (89)8% (38)0.93 (82)
KSU Defense1252% (94)41% (61) - - - - .12 (79)2.73 (38)70% (55)10% (49)1.12 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1247% (43)40% (40) - - - - .01 (20)2.79 (51)70% (55)10% (65)0.83 (13)
KSU Offense1251% (51)41% (94)33.2172.35.223 (88).18 (41)2.82 (96)67% (101)11% (115)1.2 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1245% (100)44% (42)17.528.8221.47.712.716 (86)9 (20).29 (51)1.6 (56)30% (48)31% (69).21 (100)6% (81)2.1 (42)
KSU Defense1247% (53)38% (35) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (31)1.6 (87)33% (38)28% (52).24 (51)7% (37)2.1 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1250% (91)40% (53) - - - - - - 11 (38).24 (67)1.6 (74)33% (44)29% (60).23 (48)7% (30)1.7 (3)
KSU Offense1247% (86)41% (82)1728.5198.3711.718 (42)7 (20).25 (66)1.6 (39)34% (120)31% (66).28 (79)7% (91)1.8 (118)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 11.71  #36
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.61  #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.90  #35
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #62
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 11.71   Kansas State: 7.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 9.4   Kansas State: 6.5




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 7.295  #49
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 11.85  #52
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.76  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #47
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #45
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 28
Kansas State 24


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 27
Iowa State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 26
Kansas State 25

Total Points: 51
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/23Kansas State21Iowa State24Kansas State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202411/30Iowa State29Kansas State21Iowa State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202311/25Kansas State35Iowa State42Kansas State -9.5Iowa State46.0Over
202210/08Iowa State9Kansas State10Kansas State -1NA45.0Under
202110/16Kansas State20Iowa State33Iowa State -6.5Iowa State51.0Over
202011/21Iowa State45Kansas State0Iowa State -13.5Iowa State48.0Under
201911/30Kansas State27Iowa State17Iowa State -5.5Kansas State45.0Under
201811/24Iowa State42Kansas State38Iowa State -10Kansas State41.0Over
201711/25Kansas State20Iowa State19Kansas State -2.5Iowa State50.0Under
201610/29Iowa State26Kansas State31Kansas State -6Iowa State50.5Over
201511/21Kansas State38Iowa State35Kansas State -7Iowa State50.5Over
201409/06Iowa State28Kansas State32Kansas State -15.5Iowa State0
201311/02Kansas State41Iowa State7Kansas State -14.5Kansas State0
201210/13Iowa State21Kansas State27
201112/03Kansas State30Iowa State23
201009/18Kansas State27Iowa State20
200910/03Iowa State23Kansas State24
200811/22Kansas State38Iowa State30
200711/03Iowa State31Kansas State20
200610/28Kansas State31Iowa State10
200511/05Iowa State45Kansas State17
200411/20Kansas State23Iowa State37
200311/08Iowa State0Kansas State45
200211/09Kansas State58Iowa State7
200111/03Iowa State3Kansas State42
200011/03Kansas State56Iowa State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State1735 Overs
Iowa State996 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#36) ISU at (#49) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatISUKSU
Power RatePwr #36 #49
SP+SP+ #35 #47
Perf GradeGrade #61 #67
OffenseOff #49 #67
DefenseDef #91 #84
Spec TeamsST #105 #14
TalentTal #66 #46
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #56
Iowa State Notes
(12/7) Declined bowl game. 2025 season is over.
(12/5) HC Matt Campbell going to Penn State
(12/5) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers, Wazzu HC (S Dak St too)
(10/25) DT D Orange will play vs BYU, big add
(10/4) Def torched by Cincy, Becht was tough but Def sucks
(10/3) CB2 J. Cooper out for the season (knee). Down top 2
(10/1) CB1 J Williams out for the season (ACL) - big loss
(10/1) Backup kicker J Gilbert also hurt, Fr kicking now
(9/26) Kicker K. Konrardy is hurt, Fr C. Smith kicking
(9/15) Keep winning 1 score games, Run Succ ?
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
Iowa State Injury Report
Kansas State Notes
(12/11) OC Matt Wells was a disaster hire for K St
(12/3) HC Klieman retiring. A&M OC Colin Klen new HC
(11/24) RB Joe Jackson torched Utah for 293 yds, still lost
(10/22) RB Dylan Edwards out again vs Kansas, shocker...
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
Kansas State Injury Report
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #49 #84
SuccessSuc #44 #44
ExplosiveExp #91 #113
PPAPPA #61 #57
PowerPwr #42 #39
SP+SP+ #62 #58
Pts POPPO #83 #52
HavocHav #55 #48
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #59 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #61
Run ExplRExp #82 #127
PPAExp #50 #79
Run BlockR Blk #66 -
OL YdsOLY #57 #38
Stuff RateStuff #58 #56
TackleTak -  #103
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #26 #76
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #35
Pass ExplPExl #56 #87
PPAExp #51 #31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #94 #100
F7 HavocF7 #38 #49
DB HavocDB #81 #37
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKSU OffISU Def
Perf GradePerf #67 #91
SuccessSuc #92 #43
ExplosiveExp #8 #51
PPAPPA #46 #36
PowerPwr #52 #35
SP+SP+ #45 #27
Pts POPPO #33 #23
HavocHav #109 #48
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #102 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #40
Run ExplRExp #3 #13
PPAExp #41 #20
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #96 #51
Stuff RateStuff #118 #37
TackleTak -  #124
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKSU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #62 #53
Pass SuccessPSuc #82 #53
Pass ExplPExl #39 #74
PPAExp #66 #67
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #114
F7 HavocF7 #115 #65
DB HavocDB #91 #30
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aviva Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 68°
Rematch from Week 1
Kansas State -2.5 (51.5)
Iowa State won at Kansas State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Kansas State last year (29-21)
Iowa State beat Kansas State in 2023 (42-35)
Kansas State beat Iowa State in 2022 (10-9)

  
ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht20433761%25651697.6
Alex Manske4580%28005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen18795065.165
Abu Sama III14173255.244
Dylan Lee2511714.728
Rocco Becht8711181.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brett Eskildsen30526517.575
Chase Sowell (Tr)32500215.652
Benjamin Brahmer37446612.127
Gabe Burkle26302111.644

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel778153
Marcus Neal7711133
Caleb Bacon6810343
Jamison Patton481003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Bacon6810343
Tamatoa McDonough (Tr)264240
Will McLaughlin132201
Jace J. Gilbert183110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ta'Shawn James330005
Quentin Taylor Jr.272005
Kooper Ebel778153

KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson20434160%23801867.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson16991185.480
Avery Johnson10947784.458
Dylan Edwards3420526.075
Antonio Martin1912916.837
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown41712517.478
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)47595312.738
Garrett Oakley38389610.235
Jerand Bradley (Tr)13184214.265

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Purnell729464
Austin Romaine667172
VJ Payne593003
Zashon Rich5731010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Stufflebean225550
Ryan Davis146414
Tobi Osunsanmi206420
Desmond Purnell729464
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich5731010
Desmond Purnell729464
Donovan McIntosh330004