Iowa at Iowa State Game Matchup
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Jack Trice Stadium - Ames, IA

 
Hawkeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (21 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 7) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
ISU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Iowa State -2   (SP+ IOWA -0.5)
Projected Score: IOWA: 24 - ISU: 26 (50)
ISU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
IOWA Travel: 110 miles
Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Iowa vs UAlbany-35
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+2
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-36.5
Sat 9/20 Iowa at Rutgers-2.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-1.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+15
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+2
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-11
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+3

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Iowa State vs Kansas State+3.549.5
Fri 8/29 Iowa State vs South Dakota-34.5
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-2
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-15.5
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati-4
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-3
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State+1.5
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-10
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)27.744% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)17.846% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1327.720.842.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14
ISU Defense1422.918.142.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1317.822.842%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
ISU Offense1431.134.140.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 11.46 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Iowa's Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.46   Iowa State: 13.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.4   Iowa State: 11.0




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.465 #33
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.84 #17
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 11.91 #52
2025 Talent Rating: 732.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #33
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 26
Iowa 24

Projected Total Points: 50
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Iowa19Iowa State20Iowa StateIowa -3Iowa State35.0Over
202309/09Iowa State13Iowa20IowaIowa -3.5Iowa35.5Under
202209/10Iowa7Iowa State10Iowa StateIowa -3.5Iowa State39.0Under
202109/11Iowa State17Iowa27IowaIowa State -4Iowa45.0Under
201909/14Iowa State17Iowa18IowaIowa -1.5Iowa State42.5Under
201809/08Iowa13Iowa State3IowaIowa -3.5Iowa47.0Under
201709/09Iowa State41Iowa44IowaIowa -3.5Iowa State48.5Over
201609/10Iowa42Iowa State3IowaIowa -18Iowa49.0Under
201509/12Iowa State17Iowa31IowaIowa -4Iowa48.0Push
201409/13Iowa17Iowa State20Iowa StateIowa -15.5Iowa State0
201309/14Iowa State21Iowa27IowaIowa -3Iowa0
201209/08Iowa6Iowa State9Iowa State
201109/10Iowa State44Iowa41Iowa State
201009/11Iowa35Iowa State7Iowa
200909/12Iowa State3Iowa35Iowa
200809/13Iowa17Iowa State5Iowa
200709/15Iowa State15Iowa13Iowa State
200609/16Iowa27Iowa State17Iowa
200509/10Iowa State23Iowa3Iowa State
200409/11Iowa17Iowa State10Iowa
200309/13Iowa State21Iowa40Iowa
200209/14Iowa31Iowa State36Iowa State
200111/24Iowa State17Iowa14Iowa State
200009/15Iowa14Iowa State24Iowa State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State1052 Overs
Iowa1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 144 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams14 - 107 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.46 #31
Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10
Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Iowa Notes
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL 3/5 back. Good not great LY, have options
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s
(3/31) TE Ostrenga was hurt LY, but staff high, jump TY?
(3/19) RB replacing Johnson (1.5k), who's next?
(3/19) Def always good, but new LB's needed
(3/19) Talent #'s higher than exp. Ferentz HOF HC
Iowa     Ratings Matchup     Iowa State
Power #31
#33
Off #44
#17
Def #25
#52
Talent #36
#66
SP+ #28
#30
SP+ Off #68
#33
SP+ Def #10
#28

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Iowa last year (20-19)
Iowa beat Iowa State in 2023 (20-13)
Iowa State beat Iowa in 2022 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | ISU
Depth Chart: IOWA | ISU
Rosters: IOWA | ISU
(#33) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.465 #33
Offense Rating: 22.84 #17
Defense Rating: 11.91 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 732.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Iowa State Notes
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more
(3/20) Campbell a great coach, but not many portals?
(3/20) DE Cannon Butler (N Iowa) poss huge find


  
Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)19432260%25702178.0
Hank Brown (Tr)274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Mark Gronowski (Tr)9337684.020
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Terrell Washington Jr.123402.89
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619
Zach Ortwerth11133012.152
Addison Ostrenga1511417.629

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Deshaun Lee421004
Xavier Nwankpa410001
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Lee421004
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673

Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Xavier Townsend (Tr)128807.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)34678319.956
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939
Carson Brown11141112.844

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Ta'Shawn James410001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vontroy Malone (Tr)255210
Kooper Ebel696110
Marcus Neal181100
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Beau Goodwin243012