Iowa Hawkeyes at Iowa State Cyclones(#16)
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -3.0 (43.0) (-150) Open: -3.0 | 43.0
Iowa State 16 - Iowa: 13
Hawkeyes (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 31 - 10 (13 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 31 - 10 (13 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
ISU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Iowa State -3.5 (SP+ ISU -3)
Projected Score: IOWA: 19 - ISU: 23 (42)
ISU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
IOWA Travel: 110 miles
Our Line: Iowa State -3.5 (SP+ ISU -3)
Projected Score: IOWA: 19 - ISU: 23 (42)
ISU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
IOWA Travel: 110 miles
Cyclones (4 - 0) (2 - 1 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 30 - 14 (36 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 30 - 14 (36 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
| Iowa's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Iowa vs UAlbany | -39.5 | 48.5 | W 34 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Iowa at Iowa State | +3.0 | 43.0 | L 13 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Iowa vs Massachusetts | -35.5 | 44.5 | W 47 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/19 | Iowa at Rutgers | -2.5 | 45.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Iowa vs Indiana | +4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Iowa at Wisconsin | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Iowa vs Penn State | +14 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Iowa vs Minnesota | -3 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Iowa vs Oregon | +13.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Iowa at USC | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Iowa vs Michigan State | -8 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Iowa at Nebraska | +6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Iowa State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Iowa State vs Kansas State | +2.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Iowa State vs South Dakota | -16.5 | 47.5 | W 55 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Iowa State vs Iowa | -3.0 | 43.0 | W 16 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Iowa State at Arkansas State | -21.0 | 55.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Iowa State vs Arizona | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Iowa State at Cincinnati | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Iowa State at Colorado | -8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Iowa State vs BYU | -4 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Iowa State vs Arizona State | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Iowa State at TCU | +6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Iowa State vs Kansas | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Iowa State at Oklahoma State | -17.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | #61 (.22) | 47% (45) | 31.3 | 54% (23) | 3.82 (8) | 214 | 34% (114) | 122 | 4.89 (35) | #34 (.03) | 34% (30) | 10 | 34% (31) | 34% (40) | 3.75 (76) | 21 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| ISU | #45 (.29) | 45% (56) | 29.8 | 40% (94) | 2.87 (82) | 161 | 51% (28) | 222 | 4.14 (63) | #41 (.05) | 36% (48) | 14.3 | 40% (75) | 33% (35) | 3 (50) | 27 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | #100 (.14) | 42% (72) | 44% (63) | 2.92 (89) | 185 | 40% (94) | 121 | 3.77 (84) | #30 (.11) | 42% (72) | 46% (97) | 39% (51) | 3.37 (27) | 26.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | ||
| ISU | #62 (.2) | 40% (99) | 40% (106) | 2.83 (102) | 150 | 41% (77) | 236 | 4.23 (37) | #79 (.18) | 43% (81) | 46% (101) | 38% (41) | 3.44 (29) | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA Offense | 3 | 31.3 | 13 | 46.7% | 4.89 | 0.7 | 19 | 336 | 214 | 122 | 4.9 | 61% | 39% | 54% | 34% | 10% | .22 |
| ISU Defense | 4 | 14.3 | 10 | 36.4% | 3 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 19% | .05 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA Defense | 3 | 10 | 16 | 34.1% | 3.75 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 34% | 34% | 18% | .03 |
| ISU Offense | 4 | 29.8 | 35.5 | 45.5% | 4.14 | 1 | 20 | 383 | 161 | 222 | 4.2 | 54% | 46% | 40% | 51% | 14% | .29 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 3 | 33:16 | 19.3 | 54% | 67% | 2.3 | 21 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 33.2 |
| Iowa State | 4 | 30:50 | 20.3 | 50% | 100% | 3 | 27 | 1 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.8 | 0 | 31.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA Offense | 3 | 61% (15) | 54% (23) | 44 | 214 | 4.9 | 6 (49) | .26 (37) | 3.82 (8) | 85% (27) | 7% (46) | 0.79 (114) |
| ISU Defense | 4 | 50% (67) | 40% (75) | - | - | - | - | -.03 (39) | 2.75 (66) | 69% (63) | 12% (44) | 0.7 (15) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA Defense | 3 | 47% (46) | 34% (31) | - | - | - | - | (48) | 2.81 (74) | 100% (127) | 14% (26) | 0.82 (42) |
| ISU Offense | 4 | 54% (50) | 40% (94) | 38 | 161 | 4.2 | 7 (38) | .12 (76) | 2.87 (82) | 71% (67) | 8% (53) | 0.95 (70) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA Offense | 3 | 39% (121) | 34% (114) | 14.3 | 23.7 | 121.7 | 5.1 | 8.5 | 4 (72) | 1 (23) | .17 (98) | 1.5 (88) | 21% (9) | 21% (122) | .03 (122) | 3% (14) | 1 (135) |
| ISU Defense | 4 | 50% (71) | 33% (35) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .12 (42) | 1.8 (116) | 35% (43) | 27% (50) | .12 (36) | 7% (38) | 1.7 (36) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA Defense | 3 | 53% (93) | 34% (40) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .05 (28) | 1 (5) | 37% (36) | 15% (13) | -.02 (19) | 5% (99) | 1.2 (2) |
| ISU Offense | 4 | 46% (84) | 51% (28) | 17.3 | 26.3 | 222 | 8.5 | 12.9 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .48 (26) | 1.4 (93) | 29% (51) | 30% (77) | .35 (63) | 6% (95) | 1.9 (87) |
Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.93 #37
Iowa's Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.93 #37
Iowa's Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 16.93 Iowa State: 17.46
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.0 Iowa State: 14.3
Iowa: 16.93 Iowa State: 17.46
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.0 Iowa State: 14.3
Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 17.46 #38
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Iowa State's Power Rating: 17.46 #38
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 16
Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 16
Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 23
Iowa 19
Total Points: 42
Iowa State 23
Iowa 19
Total Points: 42
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 14.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 14.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Iowa State | 16 | Iowa | 13 | Iowa State | Iowa State -3.0 | Push | 43.0 | Under |
| 2024 | 09/07 | Iowa | 19 | Iowa State | 20 | Iowa State | Iowa -3 | Iowa State | 35.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/09 | Iowa State | 13 | Iowa | 20 | Iowa | Iowa -3.5 | Iowa | 35.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 09/10 | Iowa | 7 | Iowa State | 10 | Iowa State | Iowa -3.5 | Iowa State | 39.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/11 | Iowa State | 17 | Iowa | 27 | Iowa | Iowa State -4 | Iowa | 45.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 09/14 | Iowa State | 17 | Iowa | 18 | Iowa | Iowa -1.5 | Iowa State | 42.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 09/08 | Iowa | 13 | Iowa State | 3 | Iowa | Iowa -3.5 | Iowa | 47.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/09 | Iowa State | 41 | Iowa | 44 | Iowa | Iowa -3.5 | Iowa State | 48.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 09/10 | Iowa | 42 | Iowa State | 3 | Iowa | Iowa -18 | Iowa | 49.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/12 | Iowa State | 17 | Iowa | 31 | Iowa | Iowa -4 | Iowa | 48.0 | Push |
| 2014 | 09/13 | Iowa | 17 | Iowa State | 20 | Iowa State | Iowa -15.5 | Iowa State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/14 | Iowa State | 21 | Iowa | 27 | Iowa | Iowa -3 | Iowa | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/08 | Iowa | 6 | Iowa State | 9 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2011 | 09/10 | Iowa State | 44 | Iowa | 41 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2010 | 09/11 | Iowa | 35 | Iowa State | 7 | Iowa | ||||
| 2009 | 09/12 | Iowa State | 3 | Iowa | 35 | Iowa | ||||
| 2008 | 09/13 | Iowa | 17 | Iowa State | 5 | Iowa | ||||
| 2007 | 09/15 | Iowa State | 15 | Iowa | 13 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2006 | 09/16 | Iowa | 27 | Iowa State | 17 | Iowa | ||||
| 2005 | 09/10 | Iowa State | 23 | Iowa | 3 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2004 | 09/11 | Iowa | 17 | Iowa State | 10 | Iowa | ||||
| 2003 | 09/13 | Iowa State | 21 | Iowa | 40 | Iowa | ||||
| 2002 | 09/14 | Iowa | 31 | Iowa State | 36 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | Iowa State | 17 | Iowa | 14 | Iowa State | ||||
| 2000 | 09/15 | Iowa | 14 | Iowa State | 24 | Iowa State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 11 | 5 | 2 Overs |
| Iowa | 14 | 6 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 14 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 4 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 11 | 7 - 4 | 3 - 2 | 4 - 2 |
(#37) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 16.93 #37
Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Iowa has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 0 - 1 vs Spread )
Iowa Notes
(9/6) QB Gronowski is shockingly awful. WR are trash
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
(5/27) Warren Ruggiero (Wake OC) is Sr Off Analyst
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s
Iowa Highlights
Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa has a top Offensive Line (#8)
Iowa offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#1)
Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)
Power Rating: 16.93 #37
Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Iowa has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 0 - 1 vs Spread )
Iowa Notes
(9/6) QB Gronowski is shockingly awful. WR are trash
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
(5/27) Warren Ruggiero (Wake OC) is Sr Off Analyst
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s
Iowa Highlights
Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa has a top Offensive Line (#8)
Iowa offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#1)
Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ISU | IOWA |
| OverallOver | #19 | #16 |
| OffenseOff | #19 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #53 | #13 |
| Special TeamsST | #14 | #77 |
| PassingPass | #10 | #73 |
| RushingRush | #48 | #46 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #32 | #1 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #58 | #28 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #31 | #91 |
| TacklingTkl | #72 | #37 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #43 | #30 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #91 | #4 |
| Coverage DefCov | #42 | #46 |
Rematch from Week 2
Iowa State -3.0 (43.0)
Iowa State won vs Iowa this year (16-13)
Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Iowa last year (20-19)
Iowa beat Iowa State in 2023 (20-13)
Iowa State beat Iowa in 2022 (10-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | ISU
Depth Chart: IOWA | ISU
Rosters: IOWA | ISU
(#38) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 17.46 #38
Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Iowa State has won 2 straight
Iowa State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 0 - 1 vs Spread)
Iowa State Notes
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State in Undefeated
Iowa State is Undefeated at Home
Iowa State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Iowa State has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Iowa State offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Power Rating: 17.46 #38
Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Iowa State has won 2 straight
Iowa State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 0 - 1 vs Spread)
Iowa State Notes
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State in Undefeated
Iowa State is Undefeated at Home
Iowa State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Iowa State has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Iowa State offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Gronowski (Tr) | 37 | 63 | 59% | 306 | 3 | 1 | 4.9 |
| Hank Brown (Tr) | 6 | 8 | 75% | 59 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Williams | 26 | 186 | 1 | 7.2 | 43 |
| Jaziun Patterson | 28 | 161 | 0 | 5.8 | 17 |
| Terrell Washington Jr. | 23 | 95 | 0 | 4.1 | 13 |
| Mark Gronowski (Tr) | 33 | 88 | 3 | 2.7 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Phillips (Tr) | 4 | 90 | 0 | 22.5 | 45 |
| Jacob Gill | 7 | 80 | 0 | 11.4 | 22 |
| Seth Anderson | 6 | 40 | 2 | 6.7 | 20 |
| Nathan Mcneil | 1 | 32 | 0 | 32.0 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Harrell | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Karson Sharar | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Lutmer | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Xavier Nwankpa | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Llewellyn | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Harrell | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Zach Lutmer | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Aaron Graves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hall | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Luke Gaffney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Deshaun Lee | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Becht | 65 | 100 | 65% | 860 | 7 | 1 | 8.6 |
| Alex Manske | 4 | 5 | 80% | 28 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Hansen | 54 | 252 | 0 | 4.7 | 38 |
| Abu Sama III | 38 | 182 | 2 | 4.8 | 44 |
| Dylan Lee | 13 | 81 | 1 | 6.2 | 28 |
| Rocco Becht | 27 | 48 | 2 | 1.8 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Eskildsen | 7 | 162 | 1 | 23.1 | 66 |
| Gabe Burkle | 10 | 149 | 1 | 14.9 | 44 |
| Xavier Townsend (Tr) | 7 | 132 | 0 | 18.9 | 44 |
| Benjamin Brahmer | 14 | 109 | 3 | 7.8 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Neal | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamison Patton | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Caleb Bacon | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kooper Ebel | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamatoa McDonough (Tr) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Marcus Neal | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kooper Ebel | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ikenna Ezeogu | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Cooper | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ta'Shawn James | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jontez Williams | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |