BYU at Iowa State - 2025 Matchup Preview
BYU logo (#11)BYU Cougars at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -2.5 (48.5) (-142)  Open: -1.5
BYU 41 - Iowa State: 27  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.7 - 2.3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
ISU coming off BYE
BYU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: BYU -5.5  (SP+ BYU -9)

Projected Score: BYU: 28 - ISU: 22 (50)
ISU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 944 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cyclones (8 - 4) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-43.561.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-20.544.5W 27 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-6.549.5W 34 - 13UY
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-6.548.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-19.546.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-2.546.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+4.049.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+2.548.5W 41 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+13.550.5L 7 - 29UN
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU-3.051.5W 44 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati-2.556.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-17.546.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 12/6 BYU vs Texas Tech+12.550.5L 7 - 34UN
Sat 12/27 BYU vs Georgia Tech-3.555.0W 25 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Iowa State vs Kansas State+2.551.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/30 Iowa State vs South Dakota-16.547.5W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-3.043.0W 16 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-21.055.5W 24 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-4.048.5W 39 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati+1.555.5L 30 - 38ON
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-3.052.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-2.548.5L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State-7.548.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+7.558.5W 20 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-3.055.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-13.547.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#36 (.22)46% (33)31.447% (33)3 (56)17244% (48)1984.03 (39)#31 (.09)39% (38)19.139% (30)41% (61)3.29 (37)41.911.6
ISU#61 (.19)45% (44)27.446% (47)3 (57)17444% (42)2213.54 (83)#36 (.09)39% (43)20.240% (40)40% (53)3.06 (23)401.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1431.427.545.5%4.031203701721984.853%45%47%44%14%.22
ISU Defense1220.218.839.4%3.061.5 - - - - - 47%50%40%40%17%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1419.121.839.1%3.291.6 - - - - - 47%52%39%41%16%.09
ISU Offense1227.432.344.7%3.541.2213961742214.454%45%46%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1430:282041%60%5.141.911.65.12.1428.8
Iowa State1231:3421.140%68%4.6401.21.551.1129.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1453% (37)47% (33)361724.831 (16).2 (30)3 (56)82% (7)8% (27)0.95 (77)
ISU Defense1247% (43)40% (40) - - - - .01 (20)2.79 (51)70% (55)10% (65)0.83 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1447% (35)39% (30) - - - - .05 (39)2.76 (49)75% (98)10% (68)0.97 (71)
ISU Offense1254% (36)46% (47)39.8174.24.423 (30).15 (50)3 (57)69% (89)8% (38)0.93 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1445% (101)44% (48)16.426197.97.612.114 (86)6 (20).28 (53)1.5 (93)30% (42)30% (76).34 (54)6% (68)2.1 (47)
ISU Defense1250% (91)40% (53) - - - - - - 11 (38).24 (67)1.6 (74)33% (44)29% (60).23 (48)7% (30)1.7 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1452% (104)41% (61) - - - - - - 16 (12).18 (41)1.5 (25)34% (35)26% (22).15 (14)6% (54)1.9 (24)
ISU Offense1245% (100)44% (42)17.528.8221.47.712.716 (86)9 (20).29 (51)1.6 (56)30% (48)31% (69).21 (100)6% (81)2.1 (42)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 18.53  #21
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.49  #43
BYU's Defense Rating: -4.04  #19
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 11.7 - 2.3
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.2  #14
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #20
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0  #20

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 18.53   Iowa State: 13.055

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 18.2   Iowa State: 9.4




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.055  #36
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.61  #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.90  #35
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #62
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 28
Iowa State 22


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 28
BYU 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
BYU 25
Iowa State 25

Total Points: 50
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Iowa State27BYU41Iowa State -2.5BYU48.5Over
202311/11BYU13Iowa State45Iowa State -7.5Iowa State40.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State112 Overs
BYU110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#21) BYU at (#36) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUISU
Power RatePwr #21 #36
SP+SP+ #14 #35
Perf GradeGrade #20 #61
OffenseOff #24 #49
DefenseDef #47 #91
Spec TeamsST #4 #105
TalentTal #79 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #65
BYU Notes
(11/16) Have taken advantage of bad B12 mids. Def good
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team
BYU Injury Report
Iowa State Notes
(12/7) Declined bowl game. 2025 season is over.
(12/5) HC Matt Campbell going to Penn State
(12/5) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers, Wazzu HC (S Dak St too)
(10/25) DT D Orange will play vs BYU, big add
(10/4) Def torched by Cincy, Becht was tough but Def sucks
(10/3) CB2 J. Cooper out for the season (knee). Down top 2
(10/1) CB1 J Williams out for the season (ACL) - big loss
(10/1) Backup kicker J Gilbert also hurt, Fr kicking now
(9/26) Kicker K. Konrardy is hurt, Fr C. Smith kicking
(9/15) Keep winning 1 score games, Run Succ ?
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
Iowa State Injury Report
BYU on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BYU OffISU Def
Perf GradePerf #24 #91
SuccessSuc #33 #43
ExplosiveExp #107 #51
PPAPPA #36 #36
PowerPwr #43 #35
SP+SP+ #20 #27
Pts POPPO #39 #23
HavocHav #41 #48
BYU Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BYU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #43 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #33 #40
Run ExplRExp #77 #13
PPAExp #30 #20
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLY #56 #51
Stuff RateStuff #38 #37
TackleTak -  #124
BYU Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BYU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #39 #53
Pass SuccessPSuc #48 #53
Pass ExplPExl #93 #74
PPAExp #53 #67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #39 #114
F7 HavocF7 #27 #65
DB HavocDB #68 #30
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffBYU Def
Perf GradePerf #49 #47
SuccessSuc #44 #38
ExplosiveExp #91 #54
PPAPPA #61 #31
PowerPwr #42 #19
SP+SP+ #62 #20
Pts POPPO #83 #37
HavocHav #55 #63
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #59 #71
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #30
Run ExplRExp #82 #71
PPAExp #50 #39
Run BlockR Blk #66 -
OL YdsOLY #57 #49
Stuff RateStuff #58 #36
TackleTak -  #99
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #26 #44
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #61
Pass ExplPExl #56 #25
PPAExp #51 #41
Pass Block/RushP Blk #94 #74
F7 HavocF7 #38 #68
DB HavocDB #81 #54
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Iowa State -2.5 (48.5)
BYU won at Iowa State this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat BYU in 2023 (45-13)

  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)25138765%30331577.8
Parker Kingston1617%22003.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin2361305125.549
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)147527113.622
Parker Kingston2612334.720
Jovesa Damuni1911115.819
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Kingston66924514.075
Chase Roberts54802614.985
Carsen Ryan (Tr)45620313.843
LJ Martin3625507.126

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Faletau Satuala798114
Tanner Wall641000
Isaiah Glasker639391
Jack Kelly52141071
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly52141071
Isaiah Glasker639391
Bodie Schoonover335333
Anisi Purcell (Tr)112200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Evan Johnson422107
Logan Lutui505045
Therrian Alexander313125

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht20433761%25651697.6
Alex Manske4580%28005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen18795065.165
Abu Sama III14173255.244
Dylan Lee2511714.728
Rocco Becht8711181.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brett Eskildsen30526517.575
Chase Sowell (Tr)32500215.652
Benjamin Brahmer37446612.127
Gabe Burkle26302111.644

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel778153
Marcus Neal7711133
Caleb Bacon6810343
Jamison Patton481003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Bacon6810343
Tamatoa McDonough (Tr)264240
Will McLaughlin132201
Jace J. Gilbert183110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ta'Shawn James330005
Quentin Taylor Jr.272005
Kooper Ebel778153