East Texas A&M at SMU - 2025 Matchup Preview

East Texas A&M Lions at SMU Mustangs(#16)

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
SMU -51.0 (65.0) (0) Open: -50.5 | 63.5
SMU 42 - East Texas A&M: 13

Lions (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 0 (0 - 0 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: SMU -19 (SP+ SMU -9)
SMU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 67%

Mustangs (4 - 2) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (29 - 12)
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
TXA Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UTSA at Texas A&M	+21.5	56.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	Utah State at Texas A&M	+34.5	57.5	L 22 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/13	Texas A&M at Notre Dame	+7.5	48.5	W 41 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Auburn at Texas A&M	+6.5	51.5	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/4	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+17.5	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	Florida at Texas A&M	+7.0	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/18	Texas A&M at Arkansas	-7.5	58.5
Sat 10/25	Texas A&M at LSU	+25
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Texas A&M at Missouri	+29
Sat 11/15	South Carolina at Texas A&M	+29.5
Sat 11/22	Samford at Texas A&M	+29.5
Fri 11/28	Texas A&M at Texas	+27

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Texas A&M's Schedule

SMU's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	SMU vs East Texas A&M	-51.0	65.0	W 42 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/6	SMU vs Baylor	-3.0	65.5	L 45 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/13	SMU at Missouri State	-29.5	60.5	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/20	SMU at TCU	+6.5	63.5	L 24 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	SMU vs Syracuse	-17.5	56.5	W 31 - 18	U	N
Sat 10/11	SMU vs Stanford	-19.5	55.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/18	SMU at Clemson	+5.5	50.5
Sat 10/25	SMU at Wake Forest	-5.5
Sat 11/1	SMU vs Miami	+8
Sat 11/8	SMU at Boston College	-16.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	SMU vs Louisville	+0.5
Sat 11/29	SMU at California	-13

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for SMU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXA		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	0	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU	#36 (.27)	44% (58)	34	41% (94)	3.03 (61)	127	47% (30)	278	4.32 (49)	#18 (.04)	41% (59)	22.3	38% (32)	43% (83)	2.38 (3)	67.8	1.5	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU	#38 (.24)	44% (53)		44% (62)	2.97 (83)	169	44% (45)	263	4.41 (25)	#5 (.03)	37% (9)		39% (35)	35% (10)	3.09 (13)	77.7	1.7	1.6

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXA Offense	2	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SMU Defense	6	22.3	22.3	40.6%	2.38	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	38%	43%	21%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXA Defense	2	0	0	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SMU Offense	6	34	38	44.1%	4.32	1.5	22	405	127	278	4	46%	53%	41%	47%	17%	.27

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Texas A&M	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
SMU	6	26:19	21.5	38%	75%	7	67.8	1.5	2.3	6.7	3.2	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXA Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
SMU Defense	6	41% (7)	38% (32)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (12)	2.58 (29)	59% (15)	11% (51)	0.86 (28)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXA Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
SMU Offense	6	46% (101)	41% (94)	31.5	127.2	4	9 (77)	.12 (72)	3.03 (61)	84% (13)	10% (98)	1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXA Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SMU Defense	6	58% (130)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (5)	.11 (30)	1.5 (52)	35% (28)	32% (98)	.23 (48)	11% (2)	2 (64)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXA Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SMU Offense	6	53% (41)	47% (30)	23	32	277.8	8.7	12.1	15 (13)	6 (102)	.46 (23)	1.6 (49)	31% (72)	28% (96)	.35 (59)	6% (93)	2.2 (23)

East Texas A&M's Power Ratings
East Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: -
East Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
East Texas A&M: SMU: 18.805

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Texas A&M: SMU: 8.8

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 18.805 #22
SMU's Offense Rating: 20.49 #30
SMU's Defense Rating: -3.32 #20
2025 Talent Rating: 756.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #42
SMU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
SMU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.8 #44
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #59

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

East Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 0 PPG
Defense on Road: 0

East Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 35
East Texas A&M 16

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 32
East Texas A&M 15

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
SMU 18
East Texas A&M 11

Total Points: 29

SMU Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

SMU's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	SMU	42	East Texas A&M	13	SMU -51.0	East Texas A&M	65.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	1	0	0 Overs
East Texas A&M	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) TXA at (#22) SMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXA	SMU
Power RatePwr	NR	#22
SP+SP+	NR	#44
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#35
OffenseOff	NR	#35
DefenseDef	NR	#21
Spec TeamsST	NR	#78
TalentTal	NR	#64
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#42

SMU Notes
(9/20) Run Off bad, Jennings TOs & Def are major issues
(9/20) Def allowing 41.5 pts vs real competition, woof
(7/27) S Isaiah Nwokobia & Ahmaad Moses great duo
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(5/28) OT PJ Williams a future star, 900+ snaps of A ball
(5/28) Def good LY, must replace a lot, 13 portal adds
(5/20) DL added 10 portals (7 from P4), both DEs back
(5/20) LB replaces most, 2 productive G5 portal adds
(5/20) OL decent LY, 4 exp'd starters, 3 P4 portal adds
(5/20) Pass D really good LY, have #1 CB, good at S
(5/3) RBs rebuild. Soph McFall #1, good depth/potential

East Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TXA Off	SMU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	#59
ExplosiveExp	NR	#58
PPAPPA	NR	#18
PowerPwr	NR	#20
SP+SP+	NR	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	#3
HavocHav	NR	#11

East Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TXA Off	SMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#16
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#32
Run ExplRExp	NR	#28
PPAExp	NR	#12
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#29
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#8
TackleTak	-	#23

East Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXA Off	SMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#47
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#83
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#52
PPAExp	NR	#30
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	#51
DB HavocDB	NR	#2

SMU on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	SMU Off	TXA Def
Perf GradePerf	#35	NR
SuccessSuc	#58	NR
ExplosiveExp	#15	NR
PPAPPA	#36	NR
PowerPwr	#30	NR
SP+SP+	#29	NR
Pts POPPO	#49	NR
HavocHav	#99	NR

SMU Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	SMU Off	TXA Def
Run GameRun	#124	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	NR
Run ExplRExp	#43	NR
PPAExp	#72	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#61	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#71	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

SMU Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	SMU Off	TXA Def
Pass GamePass	#35	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#49	NR
PPAExp	#23	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#1	NR
F7 HavocF7	#98	NR
DB HavocDB	#93	NR

Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TXA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 89° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 1
SMU -51.0 (65.0)
SMU won vs East Texas A&M this year (42-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ron Peace	53	89	60%	838	3	2	9.4
Eric Rodriguez	48	82	59%	555	4	3	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelen Shankle	54	290	1	5.4	24
EJ Oakmon	52	206	5	4.0	14
JaiSean McMillian	18	101	1	5.6	32
Hymond Drinkard	16	70	0	4.4	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Matthews	16	369	2	23.1	59
Christian Jourdain	30	358	2	11.9	46
Tanner Harrison	4	121	1	30.3	73
Jaden Proctor	11	119	1	10.8	26

View East Texas A&M's Full Roster

TXA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Koby King	19	4	1	0
Tramar Gilbert	16	1	0	0
Kaleb Miles	15	1	1	0
Lavon Williams	13	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Koby King	19	4	1
Kaleb Miles	15	1	1
Micah Owens	5	2	1
Jacory Brown	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Javon Gillespie	7	0	1
Lavon Williams	13	1	1
Kyree Anderson	4	1	1

SMU's OC Casey Woods (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kevin Jennings	137	191	72%	1658	15	6	8.7
Ty Hawkins	1	1	100%	9	0	0	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Harden (Tr)	85	415	5	4.9	40
Chris Johnson Jr. (Tr)	28	226	2	8.1	87
Dramekco Green	18	55	1	3.1	13
Derrick McFall	12	30	0	2.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Romello Brinson	32	484	3	15.1	75
Jalen Cooper	15	271	2	18.1	75
Jordan Hudson	15	203	2	13.5	37
Yamir Knight (Tr)	21	190	2	9.0	34

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Nwokobia	48	2	0	0	6
Ahmaad Moses	44	4	1	0	0
Brandon Booker	33	1	1	3	0
Cam Robertson	31	8	5	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Robertson	31	8	5	3	2
Jeffrey M'Ba (Tr)	22	5	4	0	0
Terry Webb (Tr)	20	3	3	0	1
Isaiah Smith	22	7	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Isaiah Nwokobia	48	2	0	6
Brandon Miyazono	21	2	1	5
Deuce Harmon	19	0	0	4