SMU at Boston College - 2025 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Alumni Stadium - Chestnut Hill, MA  (ACC)

 
Mustangs (4 - 2) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (29 - 12)
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
BC 2nd straight Home Game
BC is playing their 7th straight game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: SMU -16.5  (SP+ SMU -16.5)

Projected Score: SMU: 35 - BC: 18 (53)
SMU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
SMU Travel: 1541 miles, 1 hrs behind
Eagles (1 - 5) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 33 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#131)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
SMU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 SMU vs East Texas A&M-51.065.0W 42 - 13UN
Sat 9/6 SMU vs Baylor-3.065.5L 45 - 48ON
Sat 9/13 SMU at Missouri State-29.560.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 SMU at TCU+6.563.5L 24 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 SMU vs Syracuse-17.556.5W 31 - 18UN
Sat 10/11 SMU vs Stanford-19.555.5W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 SMU at Clemson+9.555.5
Sat 10/25 SMU at Wake Forest-5.5
Sat 11/1 SMU vs Miami+8
Sat 11/8 SMU at Boston College-16.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 SMU vs Louisville+0.5
Sat 11/29 SMU at California-13

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn-1.559.5
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+24.5
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+26.5
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+16.5
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#36 (.27)44% (58)3441% (94)3.03 (61)12747% (30)2784.32 (49)#18 (.04)41% (59)22.338% (32)43% (83)2.38 (3)67.81.52.3
BC#74 (.18)43% (74)27.838% (113)2.41 (128)8545% (47)2843.52 (106)#90 (.2)41% (65)33.241% (58)42% (76)4.61 (123)51.71.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense6342644.1%4.321.522405127278446%53%41%47%17%.27
BC Defense633.226.341.2%4.611 - - - - - 52%47%41%42%14%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense622.322.540.6%2.382.3 - - - - - 41%58%38%43%21%.04
BC Offense627.833.342.9%3.521.819369852843.136%63%38%45%15%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU626:1921.538%75%767.81.52.36.73.2328.2
Boston College626:4819.343%44%6.251.71.814.81.8128.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense646% (101)41% (94)31.5127.249 (77).12 (72)3.03 (61)84% (13)10% (98)1.04 (43)
BC Defense652% (93)41% (58) - - - - .08 (62)2.55 (27)63% (31)8% (113)0.99 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense641% (7)38% (32) - - - - -.06 (12)2.58 (29)59% (15)11% (51)0.86 (28)
BC Offense636% (135)38% (113)27.285.23.19 (77) (122)2.41 (128)100% (1)9% (53)0.89 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense653% (41)47% (30)2332277.88.712.115 (13)6 (102).46 (23)1.6 (49)31% (72)28% (96).35 (59)6% (93)2.2 (23)
BC Defense647% (42)42% (76) - - - - - - 4 (62).33 (106)1.6 (87)27% (128)36% (125).37 (97)6% (63)1.8 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense658% (130)43% (83) - - - - - - 10 (5).11 (30)1.5 (52)35% (28)32% (98).23 (48)11% (2)2 (64)
BC Offense663% (2)45% (47)24.237.3283.87.611.711 (49)5 (77).28 (70)1.3 (131)33% (106)32% (62).32 (73)7% (101)1.9 (97)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 23.81  #22
SMU's Offense Rating: 20.49  #30
SMU's Defense Rating: -3.32  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 756.00  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #42
SMU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
SMU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.8  #44
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #29
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #59

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 23.81   Boston College: -0.18

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 8.8   Boston College: -7.8




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -0.18  #69
Boston College's Offense Rating: 11.98  #64
Boston College's Defense Rating: 9.54  #76
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #91
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


SMU Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

SMU's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 35
Boston College 18


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 32
Boston College 18

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
SMU 30
Boston College 26

Total Points: 56
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.3
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16SMU38Boston College28SMU -19Boston College54.5Over
202312/28Boston College23SMU14SMU -13.5Boston College49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College121 Overs
SMU101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#22) SMU at (#69) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUBC
Power RatePwr #22 #69
SP+SP+ #44 #97
Perf GradeGrade #35 #77
OffenseOff #35 #64
DefenseDef #21 #99
Spec TeamsST #78 #49
TalentTal #64 #56
Blue ChipsBC% #42 #101

SMU Notes
(9/20) Run Off bad, Jennings TOs & Def are major issues
(9/20) Def allowing 41.5 pts vs real competition, woof
(7/27) S Isaiah Nwokobia & Ahmaad Moses great duo
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(5/28) OT PJ Williams a future star, 900+ snaps of A ball
(5/28) Def good LY, must replace a lot, 13 portal adds
(5/20) DL added 10 portals (7 from P4), both DEs back
(5/20) LB replaces most, 2 productive G5 portal adds
(5/20) OL decent LY, 4 exp'd starters, 3 P4 portal adds
(5/20) Pass D really good LY, have #1 CB, good at S
(5/3) RBs rebuild. Soph McFall #1, good depth/potential

Boston College Notes
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
SMU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
SMU OffBC Def
Perf GradePerf #35 #99
SuccessSuc #58 #65
ExplosiveExp #15 #83
PPAPPA #36 #90
PowerPwr #30 #76
SP+SP+ #29 #98
Pts POPPO #49 #123
HavocHav #99 #112
SMU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
SMU OffBC Def
Run GameRun #124 #86
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #58
Run ExplRExp #43 #83
PPAExp #72 #62
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #27
Stuff RateStuff #71 #17
TackleTak -  #40
SMU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
SMU OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #35 #93
Pass SuccessPSuc #30 #76
Pass ExplPExl #49 #87
PPAExp #23 #106
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #76
F7 HavocF7 #98 #113
DB HavocDB #93 #63
Boston College on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatBC OffSMU Def
Perf GradePerf #64 #21
SuccessSuc #74 #59
ExplosiveExp #111 #58
PPAPPA #74 #18
PowerPwr #64 #20
SP+SP+ #91 #59
Pts POPPO #106 #3
HavocHav #74 #11
Boston College Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
BC OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #123 #16
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #32
Run ExplRExp #104 #28
PPAExp #122 #12
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #128 #29
Stuff RateStuff #74 #8
TackleTak -  #23
Boston College Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatBC OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #71 #47
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #83
Pass ExplPExl #131 #52
PPAExp #70 #30
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #60
F7 HavocF7 #53 #51
DB HavocDB #101 #2
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
SMU beat Boston College last year (38-28)
Boston College beat SMU in 2023 (23-14)

  
SMU's OC Casey Woods (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings13719172%16581568.7
Ty Hawkins11100%9009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Harden (Tr)8541554.940
Chris Johnson Jr. (Tr)2822628.187
Dramekco Green185513.113
Derrick McFall123002.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Romello Brinson32484315.175
Jalen Cooper15271218.175
Jordan Hudson15203213.537
Yamir Knight (Tr)2119029.034

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nwokobia482006
Ahmaad Moses444100
Brandon Booker331130
Cam Robertson318532
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Robertson318532
Jeffrey M'Ba (Tr)225400
Terry Webb (Tr)203301
Isaiah Smith227321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nwokobia482006
Brandon Miyazono212105
Deuce Harmon190004

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)13219767%1394937.1
Grayson James71450%2201115.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard8240655.071
Jordan Mcdonald269813.810
Bo MacCormack III132612.07
Anthony Ferrucci41403.55
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond4543609.732
Reed Harris17285216.846
Jeremiah Franklin24240110.032
Turbo Richard1817129.549

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price503010
Omar Thornton356111
Carter Davis341101
Owen McGowan334111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quintayvious Hutchins163241
Sedarius McConnell146200
Daveon Crouch112111
Carter Davis341101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Cunningham120003
Syair Torrence40003
Favor Bate (Tr)81122