SMU at Boston College - 2025 Matchup Preview
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SMU Mustangs at Boston College Eagles

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Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
SMU -10.5 (54.5) (-425)  Open: -12.5 | 51.5
SMU 45 - Boston College: 13  (ACC)

 
Mustangs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (29 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#36)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
BC 2nd straight Home Game
BC is playing their 7th straight game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: SMU -13.5  (SP+ SMU -22)

Projected Score: SMU: 34 - BC: 21 (55)
SMU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
SMU Travel: 1541 miles, 1 hrs behind
Eagles (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
SMU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 SMU vs East Texas A&M-51.065.0W 42 - 13UN
Sat 9/6 SMU vs Baylor-3.065.5L 45 - 48ON
Sat 9/13 SMU at Missouri State-29.560.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 SMU at TCU+6.563.5L 24 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 SMU vs Syracuse-17.556.5W 31 - 18UN
Sat 10/11 SMU vs Stanford-19.555.5W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 SMU at Clemson+3.549.5W 35 - 24OY
Sat 10/25 SMU at Wake Forest-6.553.5L 12 - 13UN
Sat 11/1 SMU vs Miami+8.550.5W 26 - 20UY
Sat 11/8 SMU at Boston College-10.554.5W 45 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 SMU vs Louisville-4.049.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 11/29 SMU at California-13.553.5L 35 - 38ON
Fri 1/2 SMU vs Arizona-2.555.5W 24 - 19UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn+2.558.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+25.554.5L 24 - 38OY
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+31.555.5L 10 - 25UY
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+10.554.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+16.561.5L 34 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse-2.554.5W 34 - 12UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)32.244% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)20.539% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)25.441% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)32.840% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1432.229.844.1%4.411.7234321692634.451%49%44%44%15%.24
BC Defense1332.831.942.2%3.641.8 - - - - - 45%55%40%44%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1420.522.236.7%3.091.6 - - - - - 44%55%39%35%18%.03
BC Offense1325.425.740.9%41.2183401641764.356%44%41%41%13%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1428:2822.644%50%8.177.71.71.66.63.1331.1
Boston College1329:2517.843%50%4.2401.21.84.72330.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1451% (65)44% (62)38.3168.94.429 (18).12 (77)2.97 (83)70% (90)9% (49)0.93 (86)
BC Defense1345% (12)40% (40) - - - - .05 (33)2.84 (43)82% (120)9% (96)0.92 (40)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1444% (9)39% (35) - - - - -.05 (2)2.72 (25)60% (10)11% (36)0.81 (6)
BC Offense1356% (26)41% (96)38.2164.24.322 (55).01 (120)2.87 (99)72% (79)9% (53)0.86 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1449% (70)44% (45)19.931.2262.98.413.228 (15)12 (85).37 (19)1.8 (11)33% (94)34% (34).47 (17)6% (69)2.3 (13)
BC Defense1355% (123)44% (104) - - - - - - 16 (10).23 (67)1.4 (12)32% (71)29% (43).2 (26)7% (36)1.8 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1455% (124)35% (10) - - - - - - 16 (10).11 (17)1.7 (107)37% (7)27% (21).16 (12)7% (30)2.1 (96)
BC Offense1344% (108)41% (78)13.922.2176.27.912.724 (38)7 (26).34 (29)1.9 (7)30% (50)32% (68).34 (68)4% (12)2.3 (11)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 13.45  #29
SMU's Offense Rating: 19.12  #33
SMU's Defense Rating: 5.67  #26
2025 Talent Rating: 756.00  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #42
SMU's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
SMU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 13.45   Boston College: 0.11

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 13.4   Boston College: -8.5




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 0.11  #54
Boston College's Offense Rating: 15.50  #54
Boston College's Defense Rating: 11.78  #55
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5  #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 34
Boston College 21


Projected Total Points: 55
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Boston College13SMU45SMU -10.5SMU54.5Over
202411/16SMU38Boston College28SMU -19Boston College54.5Over
202312/28Boston College23SMU14SMU -13.5Boston College49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College122 Overs
SMU211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#29) SMU at (#54) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUBC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #29 #54
SP+SP+ #23 #97
Perf GradeGrade #20 #103
OffenseOff #36 #74
DefenseDef #20 #125
Spec TeamsST #60 #41
TalentTal #64 #56
Blue ChipsBC% #42 #101
SMU Notes
(10/31) Lashlee extended, will remain at SMU
(10/23) SMU has won 20 straight conference games (Wk 9)
(10/19) Big W @ Clemson, Run Def great, Jennings good
(10/19) SMU has not lost a reg season ACC game, 11-0
(9/20) Run Off bad, Jennings TOs & Def are major issues
(9/20) Def allowing 41.5 pts vs real competition, woof
(7/27) S Isaiah Nwokobia & Ahmaad Moses great duo
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(5/28) OT PJ Williams a future star, 900+ snaps of A ball
(5/28) Def good LY, must replace a lot, 13 portal adds
(5/20) DL added 10 portals (7 from P4), both DEs back
(5/20) LB replaces most, 2 productive G5 portal adds
SMU Injury Report
Boston College Notes
(11/16) 500+ yds in L vs GT. Rough, lost season for BC
(10/31) Sounds like Dylan Lonergan is QB1 vs ND
(10/22) Defense near worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) LT Bowry, LG Daugherty both out vs UConn
(10/18) L to UConn at home ugly, Pass Def torched, Off OK
(10/18) QB James in for Lonergan (benched). Run Off awful
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
Boston College Injury Report
SMU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffBC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #125
SuccessSuc #53 #74
ExplosiveExp #21 #30
PPAPPA #38 #56
PowerPwr #33 #55
SP+SP+ #22 #107
Pts POPPO #25 #51
HavocHav #46 #72
SMU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffBC Def
Run GameRun #88 #124
Run SuccessRSuc #62 #40
Run ExplRExp #86 #40
PPAExp #77 #33
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLY #83 #43
Stuff RateStuff #57 #67
TackleTak -  #48
SMU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #32 #102
Pass SuccessPSuc #45 #104
Pass ExplPExl #11 #12
PPAExp #19 #67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #121
F7 HavocF7 #49 #96
DB HavocDB #69 #36
Boston College on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #20
SuccessSuc #93 #9
ExplosiveExp #42 #69
PPAPPA #89 #5
PowerPwr #54 #26
SP+SP+ #97 #25
Pts POPPO #58 #13
HavocHav #24 #29
Boston College Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #120 #13
Run SuccessRSuc #96 #35
Run ExplRExp #120 #6
PPAExp #120 #2
Run BlockR Blk #33 -
OL YdsOLY #99 #25
Stuff RateStuff #64 #27
TackleTak -  #14
Boston College Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #79 #29
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #10
Pass ExplPExl #7 #107
PPAExp #29 #17
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #26
F7 HavocF7 #53 #36
DB HavocDB #12 #30
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
SMU 10.5 (54.5)
SMU won at Boston College this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Boston College last year (45-13)
SMU beat Boston College in 2024 (38-28)
Boston College beat SMU in 2023 (23-14)

  
SMU's OC Casey Woods (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings30045466%364126138.0
Charlie Fiser44100%30007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Harden (Tr)17178794.653
Chris Johnson Jr. (Tr)6747947.187
Derrick McFall3518945.448
Dramekco Green259013.615
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Hudson61766612.670
Romello Brinson43638314.875
Yamir Knight (Tr)54637511.861
Matthew Hibner31436414.180

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmaad Moses1046103
Isaiah Nwokobia802007
Brandon Booker693142
Alex Kilgore604002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Smith5318941
Terry Webb (Tr)467624
Jeffrey M'Ba (Tr)428600
Cam Robertson5210543
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Miyazono445208
Isaiah Nwokobia802007
Deuce Harmon341017

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)19028467%20251257.1
Grayson James8715158%1196757.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard14574995.271
Jordan Mcdonald9439744.217
Grayson James546501.220
Bo MacCormack III154312.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond891010111.354
Reed Harris39673517.357
Jeremiah Franklin48489210.232
Kaelan Chudzinski24313413.045

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price933030
Omar Thornton828211
Carter Davis592102
Owen McGowan545113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sedarius McConnell318300
Omar Thornton828211
Quintayvious Hutchins364271
Favor Bate (Tr)141122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Farris280006
Amari Jackson70004
Syair Torrence50003