Western Michigan at Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Illinois Fighting Illini(#9)Illinois logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Illinois -27.5 (50.5) (-5000)  Open: 0.0
Illinois 38 - Western Michigan: 0

 
Broncos (0 - 3) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (3 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Illinois -41   (SP+ ILL -34)
Projected Score: WMU: 3 - ILL: 44 (47)
ILL Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
WMU Travel: 204 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 45 - 7 (45 - 2 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+18.549.5L 6 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+12.056.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+27.550.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+14.051.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-4
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+7.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-6.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+9
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+13.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+4.052.5
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+2.5
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-22.5
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington-1.5
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-12.5
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-9
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-23.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#134 (-.08)31% (132)1233% (123)2.48 (113)11928% (132)1221.31 (133)#105 (.21)48% (120)31.354% (130)43% (96)4.89 (119)550.30.7
ILL#25 (.37)50% (30)4551% (34)3.13 (55)16549% (36)2415.76 (5)#35 (.03)38% (56)7.332% (21)42% (80)2.09 (16)52.302
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense312331.1%1.310.3132411191223.162%37%33%28%19%-.08
ILL Defense37.31.537.6%2.092 - - - - - 42%58%32%42%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense331.330.548.4%4.890.7 - - - - - 51%48%54%43%14%.21
ILL Offense3454550.3%5.760224061652414.351%49%51%49%13%.37

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan328:5513.335%17%6.7550.30.76.33126.5
Illinois333:292247%100%5.752.3026.33137.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense362% (12)33% (123)38.3119.33.12 (109)-.04 (118)2.48 (113)58% (109)15% (129)1.09 (42)
ILL Defense342% (19)32% (21) - - - - -.24 (4)2.56 (49)43% (10)14% (22)0.43 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense351% (76)54% (130) - - - - .25 (117)3.32 (124)75% (80)10% (72)1.04 (88)
ILL Offense351% (66)51% (34)38.7164.74.39 (17).18 (50)3.13 (55)69% (83)11% (103)0.91 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense337% (124)28% (132)1223.71225.210.21 (123)1 (23)-.11 (133)1.4 (92)39% (128)27% (101).19 (102)4% (51)1.9 (77)
ILL Defense358% (121)42% (80) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (73)1.6 (88)34% (59)33% (95).14 (40)4% (104)1.6 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense348% (55)43% (96) - - - - - - 1 (87).2 (63)1.2 (17)28% (120)40% (125).44 (107)4% (108)1.5 (21)
ILL Offense349% (68)49% (36)1926.32419.212.78 (18)0 (1).57 (17)1.8 (22)31% (78)48% (7).82 (8)3% (16)2 (68)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -18.86   Illinois: 23.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -16.4   Illinois: 17.7




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 23.165 #19
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Illinois's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 44
Western Michigan 3


Total Points: 47

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 7.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 1.5

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Illinois38Western Michigan0IllinoisIllinois -27.5Illinois50.5Under
201609/17Illinois10Western Michigan34Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1.5Western Michigan56.0Under
201209/01Illinois24Western Michigan7Illinois
201109/24Illinois23Western Michigan20Illinois
200811/08Western Michigan23Illinois17Western Michigan
200409/18Illinois30Western Michigan27Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois410 Overs
Western Michigan212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 51 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#126) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Michigan has lost 2 straight
Western Michigan has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND

Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)

Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatILLWMU
OverallOver#15#111
OffenseOff#14#109
DefenseDef#23#109
Special TeamsST#45#42
PassingPass#29#110
RushingRush#17#83
Run BlockRBLK#21#108
Pass BlockPBLK#81#92
Route RunningWR Rt#24#101
TacklingTkl#32#84
Run DefenseR Def#19#112
Pass Rush DefPRush#16#55
Coverage DefCov#59#112

Rematch from Week 3
Illinois -27.5 (50.5)
Illinois won vs Western Michigan this year (38-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | ILL
Depth Chart: WMU | ILL
Rosters: WMU | ILL
(#19) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 23.165 #19
Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.76 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Illinois has won 2 straight
Illinois has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Illinois Notes
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?

Illinois Highlights
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread
Illinois in Undefeated
Illinois is Undefeated at Home
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Illinois offense is efficent (#30)
Illinois offense is good in red zone (#5)
Illinois offense is good on 3rd downs
Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Illinois has a good run defense (#21)
Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#6)
Illinois Front 7 is disruptive (#22)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)

Illinois Deficiencies


  
Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry203656%244106.8
Brady Jones163546%122013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley4514603.226
Broc Lowry2312525.425
Devin Miles195602.98
Ofa Mataele84605.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Baylin Brooks (Tr)7114016.342
Tailique Williams (Tr)674012.335
Jalen Buckley65819.734
Blake Bosma64908.215

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock181000
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Micah Davis (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)105310
Rodney McGraw83300
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin50002
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Kershawn Fisher (Tr)71022

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer567872%709809.1
Ethan Hampton (Tr)11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaden Feagin5022234.426
Ca'Lil Valentine2515826.323
Aidan Laughery1510627.157
Hank Beatty125125.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty19289115.259
Justin Bowick (Tr)886310.821
Hudson Clement (Tr)575015.027
Malik Elzy571014.225

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Hood140000
Miles Scott141000
Matthew Bailey130010
Leon Lowery92100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas84421
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)51120
Tanner Heckel41101
Leon Lowery92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Barna30002
Xavier Scott62002
Torrie Cox Jr.80001