Western Michigan at Illinois Game Matchup

Western Michigan Broncos at Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Champaign, IL

Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Our Line: Illinois -34 (SP+ ILL -29)
Projected Score: WMU: 10 - ILL: 44 (55)
ILL Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
WMU Travel: 204 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Western Michigan at Michigan State	+17.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Western Michigan vs North Texas	+7
Sat 9/13	Western Michigan at Illinois	+34
Sat 9/20	Western Michigan vs Toledo	+13.5
Sat 9/27	Western Michigan vs Rhode Island	-6
Sat 10/4	Western Michigan at Massachusetts	-2.5
Sat 10/11	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Western Michigan at Miami (OH)	+8.5
Sat 11/1	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11	Western Michigan vs Ohio	+11
Tue 11/18	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+9.5
Tue 11/25	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Illinois's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Illinois vs Western Illinois	-37.5
Sat 9/6	Illinois at Duke	-5.5
Sat 9/13	Illinois vs Western Michigan	-34
Sat 9/20	Illinois at Indiana	+1.5
Sat 9/27	Illinois vs USC	-5.5
Sat 10/4	Illinois at Purdue	-24
Sat 10/11	Illinois vs Ohio State	+15
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Illinois at Washington	-3
Sat 11/1	Illinois vs Rutgers	-10
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Illinois vs Maryland	-19.5
Sat 11/22	Illinois at Wisconsin	-4
Sat 11/29	Illinois vs Northwestern	-18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)	28.9	45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)	31.3	48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)	28.3	45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)	21.7	50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	13	28.9	22	45.2%	4.11	1	19	371	184	187	5	55%	45%	45%	46%	15%	.24
ILL Defense	13	21.7	17.6	46.3%	3.48	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	50%	43%	13%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	13	31.3	34.4	49.1%	4.38	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	48%	51%	18%	.29
ILL Offense	13	28.3	32	44.6%	4.23	0.9	19	338	140	198	4.4	53%	47%	45%	44%	18%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	13	29:58	19.5	35%	59%	4.1	39.2	1	1.6	4.2	1.5	1	31.3
Illinois	13	26:52	18.7	44%	50%	5.1	39	0.9	1.5	3.8	2.2	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	13	55% (35)	45% (59)	36.8	184.2	5	28 (25)	.18 (43)	3.05 (62)	75% (53)	10% (64)	1.07 (33)
ILL Defense	13	48% (37)	50% (127)	-	-	-	-	.19 (108)	3.57 (132)	75% (75)	8% (120)	0.8 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	13	56% (123)	48% (115)	-	-	-	-	.19 (105)	3.18 (96)	76% (84)	10% (66)	1.01 (81)
ILL Offense	13	53% (50)	45% (51)	31.8	140	4.4	20 (67)	.13 (67)	3.14 (49)	81% (17)	11% (107)	0.91 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	13	45% (100)	46% (27)	16.3	24.9	187	7.5	11.5	18 (68)	9 (48)	.32 (40)	1.5 (98)	28% (16)	31% (71)	.27 (91)	6% (59)	1.9 (108)
ILL Defense	13	52% (95)	43% (90)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.19 (44)	1.4 (17)	28% (117)	34% (111)	.37 (97)	6% (84)	1.9 (40)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	13	44% (12)	51% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.44 (127)	1.5 (31)	27% (125)	33% (103)	.33 (81)	8% (19)	1.9 (39)
ILL Offense	13	47% (83)	44% (44)	15.4	25.5	197.8	7.8	12.9	21 (51)	5 (6)	.38 (16)	1.8 (15)	31% (62)	31% (81)	.42 (31)	6% (82)	2.3 (5)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -20.33 #127
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -20.33 Illinois: 16.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -14.8 Illinois: 14.3

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 16.465 #23
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.24 #14
Illinois's Defense Rating: 10.61 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #40
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #28
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 44
Western Michigan 10

Projected Total Points: 55

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/17	Illinois	10	Western Michigan	34	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -1.5	Western Michigan	56.0	Under
2012	09/01	Illinois	24	Western Michigan	7	Illinois
2011	09/24	Illinois	23	Western Michigan	20	Illinois
2008	11/08	Western Michigan	23	Illinois	17	Western Michigan
2004	09/18	Illinois	30	Western Michigan	27	Illinois

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	3	0	0 Overs
Western Michigan	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 4	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#127) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.33 #127
Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116
Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND

Western Michigan Ratings Matchup Illinois

Power #127

#23

Off #111

#14

Def #131

#42

Talent #100

#41

SP+ #117

#19

SP+ Off #112

#28

SP+ Def #116

#20

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | ILL
Depth Chart: WMU | ILL
Rosters: WMU | ILL

(#23) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.465 #23
Offense Rating: 24.24 #14
Defense Rating: 10.61 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #20
Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #40
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Illinois Notes
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/15) RBs Laughery/Feegan good, McCray portaled
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/5) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big year?
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 5 portal DL added
(3/20) TE Rusk hurt LY, could be big target TY
(3/18) WRs lost top 2, need portals to step up
(3/18) OL has 4/5 back, must improve in '25

Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Broc Lowry	4	8	50%	21	0	0	2.6
Ryan Millmore	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Buckley	120	657	8	5.5	61
Broc Lowry	22	123	3	5.6	40
Palmer Domschke	1	26	0	26.0	26
Tre' Hartwell	3	4	0	1.3	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malique Dieudonne	12	209	2	17.4	43
Tailique Williams (Tr)	16	165	0	10.3	24
Jalen Buckley	12	98	0	8.2	24
Mareyohn Hrabowski	3	39	1	13.0	15

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tate Hallock	84	5	0	0	5
Aaron Wofford	64	2	1	1	4
Tyson Lee	26	3	1	3	5
Rodney McGraw	22	3	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Lee	26	3	1	3	5
Rodney McGraw	22	3	1	1	0
Popeye Williams	19	2	1	5	0
Aaron Wofford	64	2	1	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tate Hallock	84	5	0	0	5
Tyson Lee	26	3	1	3	5
Aaron Wofford	64	2	1	1	4

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Luke Altmyer	211	347	61%	2717	22	6	7.8
Ethan Hampton (Tr)	143	245	58%	1608	12	6	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aidan Laughery	97	589	4	6.1	64
Kaden Feagin	67	306	3	4.6	34
Luke Altmyer	99	217	4	2.2	37
Ca'Lil Valentine	53	212	1	4.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hudson Clement (Tr)	51	741	5	14.5	44
Justin Bowick (Tr)	20	383	3	19.2	57
Hank Beatty	20	294	1	14.7	59
Collin Dixon	18	264	0	14.7	41

View Illinois's Full Roster

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Dylan Rosiek	61	3	2	0	1
Miles Scott	54	0	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Alec Bryant	22	2	2	1	2
Malachi Hood	14	2	2	0	1
Kenenna Odeluga	7	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Scott	49	2	1	0	6
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Jaheim Clarke	34	1	0	1	5