Illinois at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo (#9)Illinois Fighting Illini at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Camp Randall Stadium - Madison, WI  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 45 - 7 (45 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Illinois -9   (SP+ ILL -11)
Projected Score: ILL: 29 - WIS: 20 (48)
ILL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ILL Travel: 214 miles
Badgers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 24 - 16 (30 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+4.052.5
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+2.5
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-22.5
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington-1.5
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-12.5
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-9
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-23.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-9.543.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+16
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+2.5
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+18
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+5
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+14
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+9
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota+6.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#25 (.37)50% (30)4551% (34)3.13 (55)16549% (36)2415.76 (5)#35 (.03)38% (56)7.332% (21)42% (80)2.09 (16)52.302
WIS#66 (.21)46% (51)24.343% (81)3.6 (22)14351% (30)1963.17 (112)#101 (.2)43% (97)1638% (60)48% (115)1.82 (11)351.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense3454550.3%5.760224061652414.351%49%51%49%13%.37
WIS Defense316543.2%1.821 - - - - - 43%55%38%48%11%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense37.31937.6%2.092 - - - - - 42%58%32%42%18%.03
WIS Offense324.329.546.2%3.171.3193391431964.153%46%43%51%14%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois333:292247%100%5.752.3026.33137.3
Wisconsin333:4419.350%80%3.7351.314.33127.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense351% (66)51% (34)38.7164.74.39 (17).18 (50)3.13 (55)69% (83)11% (103)0.91 (80)
WIS Defense343% (21)38% (60) - - - - -.1 (18)2.8 (72)57% (28)7% (110)0.86 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense342% (19)32% (21) - - - - -.24 (4)2.56 (49)43% (10)14% (22)0.43 (1)
WIS Offense353% (53)43% (81)35.3143.34.14 (79).25 (40)3.6 (22)79% (40)8% (58)1 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense349% (68)49% (36)1926.32419.212.78 (18)0 (1).57 (17)1.8 (22)31% (78)48% (7).82 (8)3% (16)2 (68)
WIS Defense355% (106)48% (115) - - - - - - 3 (28).48 (118)1.7 (97)30% (95)37% (119).66 (129)4% (108)2.3 (115)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense358% (121)42% (80) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (73)1.6 (88)34% (59)33% (95).14 (40)4% (104)1.6 (34)
WIS Offense346% (85)51% (30)17.325.31967.711.35 (54)4 (121).23 (79)1.4 (91)32% (89)33% (54).48 (44)6% (89)2 (59)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Illinois's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 23.63   Wisconsin: 11.68

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 17.7   Wisconsin: 6.8




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.68 #49
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense on Road: 45
Defense: 7.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 29
Wisconsin 20


Total Points: 48

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense at Home: 5

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Illinois21Wisconsin25WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin40.5Over
202210/01Wisconsin10Illinois34IllinoisWisconsin -6.5Illinois43.0Over
202110/09Illinois0Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Wisconsin42.0Under
202010/23Wisconsin45Illinois7WisconsinWisconsin -20.5Wisconsin51.5Over
201910/19Illinois24Wisconsin23IllinoisWisconsin -28.5Illinois52.0Under
201810/20Wisconsin49Illinois20WisconsinWisconsin -24Wisconsin53.5Over
201710/28Illinois10Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -28.5Illinois51.0Under
201611/12Wisconsin48Illinois3WisconsinWisconsin -26.5Wisconsin42.0Over
201510/24Illinois13Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -7Wisconsin46.5Under
201410/11Wisconsin38Illinois28WisconsinWisconsin -24Illinois0
201310/19Illinois32Wisconsin56WisconsinWisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201210/06Wisconsin31Illinois14Wisconsin
201111/19Illinois17Wisconsin28Wisconsin
200810/25Wisconsin27Illinois17Wisconsin
200710/06Illinois31Wisconsin26Illinois
200610/28Wisconsin30Illinois24Wisconsin
200510/29Illinois24Wisconsin41Wisconsin
200410/02Wisconsin24Illinois7Wisconsin
200309/27Illinois20Wisconsin38Wisconsin
200211/09Wisconsin20Illinois37Illinois
200110/20Illinois42Wisconsin35Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1675 Overs
Illinois544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 105 - 63 - 22 - 4
Road Teams10 - 116 - 54 - 22 - 3

(#19) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.76 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Illinois has lost 7 straight
Illinois has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Illinois Notes
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?

Illinois Highlights
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread
Illinois in Undefeated

Illinois offense is efficent (#30)
Illinois offense is good in red zone (#5)
Illinois offense is good on 3rd downs
Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Illinois has a good run defense (#21)
Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#6)
Illinois Front 7 is disruptive (#22)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)

Illinois Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWISILL
OverallOver#40#15
OffenseOff#53#14
DefenseDef#31#23
Special TeamsST#22#45
PassingPass#100#29
RushingRush#69#17
Run BlockRBLK#54#21
Pass BlockPBLK#65#81
Route RunningWR Rt#11#24
TacklingTkl#45#32
Run DefenseR Def#12#19
Pass Rush DefPRush#20#16
Coverage DefCov#77#59

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Illinois in 2023 (25-21)
Illinois beat Wisconsin in 2022 (34-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | WIS
Depth Chart: ILL | WIS
Rosters: ILL | WIS
(#49) Wisconsin Info
Power Rating: 11.68 #49
Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26
Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #24
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 1.82 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wisconsin has lost 8 straight
Wisconsin has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Wisconsin Notes
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
(4/4) OT Riley Mahlman a top OT via PFF past 2 yrs
(3/31) QB portals Edwards (MD)/O'Neil (SDSU) meh
(3/31) Def was decent, return a lot. 13 portals, 7 DL
(3/31) 0-5 finish LY, scored over 13 pts only once.
(3/24) Portal WR Hamper (Idaho) great find/weapon

Wisconsin Highlights
Wisconsin is Undefeated at Home

Wisconsin has a top Offensive Line (#22)
Wisconsin offense is good on 3rd downs
Wisconsin does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#20)

Wisconsin Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Wisconsin defense is really good in red zone (#11)
Wisconsin Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#27)
Wisconsin commits very few Penalties (#16)
Wisconsin defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Wisconsin Deficiencies
Wisconsin throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Wisconsin offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#112)


  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer567872%709809.1
Ethan Hampton (Tr)11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaden Feagin5022234.426
Ca'Lil Valentine2515826.323
Aidan Laughery1510627.157
Hank Beatty125125.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty19289115.259
Justin Bowick (Tr)886310.821
Hudson Clement (Tr)575015.027
Malik Elzy571014.225

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Hood140000
Miles Scott141000
Matthew Bailey130010
Leon Lowery92100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas84421
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)51120
Tanner Heckel41101
Leon Lowery92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Barna30002
Xavier Scott62002
Torrie Cox Jr.80001

Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil (Tr)466373%520548.3
Billy Edwards61346%68005.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dilin Jones2913414.613
Darrion Dupree219204.414
Trech Kekahuna572114.461
Cade Yacamelli145604.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Ballard (Tr)6141223.558
Lance Mason (Tr)9132114.734
Vinny Anthony9115112.831
Trech Kekahuna64607.722

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Tackett Curtis101101
Mason Reiger (Tr)81120
Sebastian Cheeks72100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Brandon Lane32200
Sebastian Cheeks72100
Darryl Peterson41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman40002
Austin Brown30001
Tackett Curtis101101