Illinois at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo   Illinois Fighting Illini at Wisconsin Badgers  Wisconsin logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Illinois -8.5 (42.5) (-345)  Open: -9.5
Wisconsin 27 - Illinois: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Illinois -13.5  (SP+ ILL -17.5)
Projected Score: ILL: 29 - WIS: 15 (44)
ILL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ILL Travel: 214 miles
Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+7.051.5L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+6.562.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-7.555.5W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+15.551.5L 16 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington+3.554.5L 25 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.563.5W 35 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-15.551.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-8.542.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-7.044.5W 20 - 13UN
Tue 12/30 Illinois vs Tennessee+3.062.5W 30 - 28UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-10.544.5L 10 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+17.542.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+5.537.5L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+24.541.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+31.544.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+10.544.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+28.543.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+8.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota-2.538.5L 7 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)29.445% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)23.650% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)12.846% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)21.645% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1329.426.644.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25
WIS Defense1221.618.343.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1323.635.646.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
WIS Offense1212.815.642.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (86) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (36)7% (130)0.97 (60)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (75)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (76)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (32).24 (42)5% (92)1.8 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 17.62  #15
Illinois's Offense Rating: 26.51  #8
Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.89  #37
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 17.62   Wisconsin: 1.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 12.9   Wisconsin: -4.4




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 1.745  #55
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 10.00  #87
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 7.11  #31
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24  #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #85
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 29
Wisconsin 15


Projected Total Points: 44
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Wisconsin27Illinois10Illinois -8.5Wisconsin42.5Under
202310/21Illinois21Wisconsin25Wisconsin -3Wisconsin40.5Over
202210/01Wisconsin10Illinois34Wisconsin -6.5Illinois43.0Over
202110/09Illinois0Wisconsin24Wisconsin -12.5Wisconsin42.0Under
202010/23Wisconsin45Illinois7Wisconsin -20.5Wisconsin51.5Over
201910/19Illinois24Wisconsin23Wisconsin -28.5Illinois52.0Under
201810/20Wisconsin49Illinois20Wisconsin -24Wisconsin53.5Over
201710/28Illinois10Wisconsin24Wisconsin -28.5Illinois51.0Under
201611/12Wisconsin48Illinois3Wisconsin -26.5Wisconsin42.0Over
201510/24Illinois13Wisconsin24Wisconsin -7Wisconsin46.5Under
201410/11Wisconsin38Illinois28Wisconsin -24Illinois0
201310/19Illinois32Wisconsin56Wisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201210/06Wisconsin31Illinois14
201111/19Illinois17Wisconsin28
200810/25Wisconsin27Illinois17
200710/06Illinois31Wisconsin26
200610/28Wisconsin30Illinois24
200510/29Illinois24Wisconsin41
200410/02Wisconsin24Illinois7
200309/27Illinois20Wisconsin38
200211/09Wisconsin20Illinois37
200110/20Illinois42Wisconsin35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1785 Overs
Illinois545 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 106 - 63 - 23 - 4
Road Teams10 - 126 - 64 - 32 - 3

(#15) ILL at (#55) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #15 #55
SP+SP+ #24 #85
Perf GradeGrade #24 #101
OffenseOff #12 #125
DefenseDef #69 #43
Spec TeamsST #91 #22
TalentTal #37 #35
Blue ChipsBC% #39 #24
Illinois Notes
(11/22) Finishes 2-3 on road after awful L @ Wisconsin
(10/10) 1st in P4 at +42 Pts off TOs w/ a TO margin +7
(9/20) Destroyed by IU, outrushed 267 to 2! Off awful
(8/15) OL banged up in fall camp, not major
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
Illinois Injury Report
Wisconsin Notes
(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #43
SuccessSuc #45 #88
ExplosiveExp #44 #11
PPAPPA #31 #80
PowerPwr #8 #31
SP+SP+ #27 #34
Pts POPPO #39 #105
HavocHav #103 #124
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #54 #38
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #86
Run ExplRExp #95 #60
PPAExp #67 #81
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #105
Stuff RateStuff #20 #86
TackleTak -  #66
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #35 #100
Pass SuccessPSuc #44 #81
Pass ExplPExl #15 #5
PPAExp #16 #76
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #36
F7 HavocF7 #107 #130
DB HavocDB #82 #92
Wisconsin on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #125 #69
SuccessSuc #73 #115
ExplosiveExp #130 #8
PPAPPA #97 #76
PowerPwr #87 #37
SP+SP+ #122 #41
Pts POPPO #57 #37
HavocHav #90 #117
Wisconsin Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffILL Def
Run GameRun #122 #51
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #127
Run ExplRExp #129 #5
PPAExp #75 #108
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #132
Stuff RateStuff #43 #134
TackleTak -  #33
Wisconsin Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #135 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #90
Pass ExplPExl #100 #17
PPAExp #102 #44
Pass Block/RushP Blk #84 #47
F7 HavocF7 #37 #120
DB HavocDB #132 #84
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 47° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Illinois 8.5 (42.5)
Wisconsin won vs Illinois this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Illinois last year (27-10)
Wisconsin beat Illinois in 2023 (25-21)

  
ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer24636567%30072258.2
Ethan Hampton (Tr)3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ca'Lil Valentine13161444.725
Kaden Feagin12250774.226
Aidan Laughery7538235.157
Luke Altmyer10024252.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty70864312.362
Collin Dixon35548515.761
Hudson Clement (Tr)36454312.627
Justin Bowick (Tr)22265512.025

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey764012
Miles Scott644104
Dylan Rosiek534013
Torrie Cox Jr.501003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas44141161
Leon Lowery203240
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)165231
Joe Barna202212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Clarke301007
Miles Scott644104
James Kreutz304003

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Simmons6211853%664275.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)619068%635557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree8336324.484
Dilin Jones7630023.916
Gideon Ituka6025504.318
Trech Kekahuna1412919.261
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance Mason (Tr)30398413.345
Vinny Anthony31391112.667
Trech Kekahuna2621108.145
Jayden Ballard (Tr)7150221.458

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Cooper Catalano565111
Matthew Jung491000
Christian Alliegro488401
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson3312733
Mason Reiger (Tr)326541
Mason Posa574424
Christian Alliegro488401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman271005
Mason Posa574424
Austin Brown410003