Illinois at Wisconsin Game Matchup
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Camp Randall Stadium - Madison, WI  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Illinois -4   (SP+ ILL -7)
Projected Score: ILL: 26 - WIS: 22 (48)
ILL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 214 miles
Badgers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-37.5
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-5.5
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-34
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+1.5
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC-5.5
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-24
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington-3
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-19.5
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-4
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-27.5
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+24.5
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+16
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+1.5
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+21
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+22
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington-2
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+7.5
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+4
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota+4.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)28.345% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)21.750% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)22.646% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)23.145% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1328.321.344.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25
WIS Defense1223.120.443.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1321.728.546.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
WIS Offense1222.621.442.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (86) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (36)7% (130)0.97 (60)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (75)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (76)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (32).24 (42)5% (92)1.8 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 13.63 #23
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.24 #14
Illinois's Defense Rating: 10.61 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #28
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 13.63   Wisconsin: 10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 14.3   Wisconsin: 7.2




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 18.51 #42
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 10.50 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #24

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 26
Wisconsin 22


Projected Total Points: 48
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Illinois21Wisconsin25WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin40.5Over
202210/01Wisconsin10Illinois34IllinoisWisconsin -6.5Illinois43.0Over
202110/09Illinois0Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Wisconsin42.0Under
202010/23Wisconsin45Illinois7WisconsinWisconsin -20.5Wisconsin51.5Over
201910/19Illinois24Wisconsin23IllinoisWisconsin -28.5Illinois52.0Under
201810/20Wisconsin49Illinois20WisconsinWisconsin -24Wisconsin53.5Over
201710/28Illinois10Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -28.5Illinois51.0Under
201611/12Wisconsin48Illinois3WisconsinWisconsin -26.5Wisconsin42.0Over
201510/24Illinois13Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -7Wisconsin46.5Under
201410/11Wisconsin38Illinois28WisconsinWisconsin -24Illinois0
201310/19Illinois32Wisconsin56WisconsinWisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201210/06Wisconsin31Illinois14Wisconsin
201111/19Illinois17Wisconsin28Wisconsin
200810/25Wisconsin27Illinois17Wisconsin
200710/06Illinois31Wisconsin26Illinois
200610/28Wisconsin30Illinois24Wisconsin
200510/29Illinois24Wisconsin41Wisconsin
200410/02Wisconsin24Illinois7Wisconsin
200309/27Illinois20Wisconsin38Wisconsin
200211/09Wisconsin20Illinois37Illinois
200110/20Illinois42Wisconsin35Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1675 Overs
Illinois544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 105 - 63 - 22 - 4
Road Teams10 - 116 - 54 - 22 - 3

(#23) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.63 #23
Offense Rating: 24.24 #14
Defense Rating: 10.61 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #20
Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Illinois Notes
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/15) RBs Laughery/Feegan good, McCray portaled
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/5) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big year?
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 5 portal DL added
(3/20) TE Rusk hurt LY, could be big target TY
(3/18) WRs lost top 2, need portals to step up
(3/18) OL has 4/5 back, must improve in '25
Illinois     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #23
#44
Off #14
#42
Def #42
#40
Talent #41
#37
SP+ #19
#36
SP+ Off #28
#72
SP+ Def #20
#24

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Illinois in 2023 (25-21)
Illinois beat Wisconsin in 2022 (34-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | WIS
Depth Chart: ILL | WIS
Rosters: ILL | WIS
(#44) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Offense Rating: 18.51 #42
Defense Rating: 10.50 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #24
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #24
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wisconsin Notes
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
(4/4) OT Riley Mahlman a top OT via PFF past 2 yrs
(3/31) QB portals Edwards (MD)/O'Neil (SDSU) meh
(3/31) Def was decent, return a lot. 13 portals, 7 DL
(3/31) 0-5 finish LY, scored over 13 pts only once.
(3/24) Portal WR Hamper (Idaho) great find/weapon
(3/19) WR meh LY, Anthony back, #2? Depth?
(3/19) OL 3/5 back. Lots of depth, should be good


  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Ethan Hampton (Tr)14324558%16081266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Ca'Lil Valentine5321214.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement (Tr)51741514.544
Justin Bowick (Tr)20383319.257
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
Miles Scott540004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Alec Bryant222212
Malachi Hood142201
Kenenna Odeluga72200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015

Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
Danny O'Neil (Tr)20933063%21811266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree7931714.032
Cade Yacamelli3327428.345
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Danny O'Neil (Tr)748911.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vinny Anthony39672417.263
Lance Mason (Tr)32569617.882
Dekel Crowdus (Tr)16402425.174
Trech Kekahuna25339213.669

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Preston Zachman583004
Austin Brown512103
Geimere Latimer (Tr)460005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker (Tr)387635
Christian Alliegro665301
Parker Peterson215320
Jay'Viar Suggs (Tr)104322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Geimere Latimer (Tr)460005
Corey Walker (Tr)387635
Ben Barten220015