Illinois at Purdue Game Matchup
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Ross-Ade Stadium - West Lafayette, IN  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
PUR coming off BYE
ILL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -24   (SP+ ILL -24.5)
Projected Score: ILL: 38 - PUR: 14 (53)
ILL Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
ILL Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#135)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-37.5
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-5.5
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-34
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+1.5
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC-5.5
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-24
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington-3
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-19.5
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-4
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Purdue vs Ball State-16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-11
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+21
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+40.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+24
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+24.5
Sat 10/18 Purdue vs Northwestern+13
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers+16.5
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+36.5
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+41.5
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Purdue vs Indiana+22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)28.345% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)21.750% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)15.842% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)39.949% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1328.321.344.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25
PUR Defense1239.93449.3%4.820.4 - - - - - 53%47%49%50%12%.39
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1321.728.546.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
PUR Offense1215.81640.8%3.341.615299116184446%53%42%40%22%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Purdue1226:5014.631%28%5.551.81.60.45.21.8026.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)
PUR Defense1253% (96)49% (120) - - - - .32 (134)3.39 (120)76% (79)8% (109)1.15 (124)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
PUR Offense1246% (94)42% (90)28.8115.549 (125).04 (108)3.04 (65)59% (126)14% (128)0.8 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)
PUR Defense1247% (40)50% (129) - - - - - - 4 (125).48 (130)1.6 (88)28% (115)41% (134).63 (134)4% (125)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
PUR Offense1253% (40)40% (93)15.827.4183.96.711.713 (116)9 (48).16 (103)1.5 (92)32% (78)31% (72).49 (14)8% (118)2.1 (29)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 13.63 #23
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.24 #14
Illinois's Defense Rating: 10.61 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #28
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 13.63   Purdue: -9.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 14.3   Purdue: -10.0




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -9.955 #105
Purdue's Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 38
Purdue 14

Projected Total Points: 53
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49IllinoisIllinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19PurduePurdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31PurdueIllinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9PurduePurdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31PurduePurdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24IllinoisPurdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46PurduePurdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10PurduePurdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34PurdueIllinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48IllinoisIllinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38PurdueIllinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20IllinoisIllinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20Purdue
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14Purdue
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10Illinois
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14Purdue
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42Purdue
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3Purdue
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38Purdue
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10Purdue
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31Illinois
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1585 Overs
Illinois734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 123 - 82 - 61 - 2
Road Teams12 - 108 - 32 - 16 - 2

(#23) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.63 #23
Offense Rating: 24.24 #14
Defense Rating: 10.61 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #20
Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Illinois Notes
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/15) RBs Laughery/Feegan good, McCray portaled
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/5) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big year?
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 5 portal DL added
(3/20) TE Rusk hurt LY, could be big target TY
(3/18) WRs lost top 2, need portals to step up
(3/18) OL has 4/5 back, must improve in '25
Illinois     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #23
#105
Off #14
#106
Def #42
#107
Talent #41
#61
SP+ #19
#101
SP+ Off #28
#110
SP+ Def #20
#90

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2022 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | PUR
Depth Chart: ILL | PUR
Rosters: ILL | PUR
(#105) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.955 #105
Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90
Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Purdue Notes
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(5/7) QB Ryan Browne (NC) starter out of spring
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom
(3/20) Odom is a great HC, but this is a rough job


  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Ethan Hampton (Tr)14324558%16081266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Ca'Lil Valentine5321214.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement (Tr)51741514.544
Justin Bowick (Tr)20383319.257
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
Miles Scott540004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Alec Bryant222212
Malachi Hood142201
Kenenna Odeluga72200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015

Purdue's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)437657%532427.0
Malachi Singleton (Tr)212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Malachi Thomas (Tr)4316513.820
Ryan Browne (Tr)5015503.123
Jaheim Merriweather157715.135
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Smith (Tr)12179214.938
Devin Mockobee17170110.021
De'Nylon Morrissette1110629.619
Chauncey Magwood (Tr)5102020.434

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Hershey McLaurin (Tr)508113
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Breylon Charles (Tr)296531
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Ian Jeffries (Tr)215450
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104