(#9)Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue Boilermakers
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Ross-Ade Stadium - West Lafayette, IN (Big Ten)
Fighting Illini (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 45 - 7 (45 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 45 - 7 (45 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
PUR coming off BYE
ILL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -22.5 (SP+ ILL -21)
Projected Score: ILL: 37 - PUR: 14 (51)
ILL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
ILL Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs behind
ILL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -22.5 (SP+ ILL -21)
Projected Score: ILL: 37 - PUR: 14 (51)
ILL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
ILL Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 17 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 17 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Illinois's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Illinois vs Western Illinois | -48.5 | 62.5 | W 52 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Illinois at Duke | -2.5 | 49.0 | W 45 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Illinois vs Western Michigan | -27.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Illinois at Indiana | +4.5 | 52.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Illinois vs USC | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Illinois at Purdue | -22.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Illinois vs Ohio State | +6.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Illinois at Washington | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Illinois vs Rutgers | -13.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Illinois vs Maryland | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Illinois at Wisconsin | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Illinois vs Northwestern | -23.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Purdue's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Purdue vs Ball State | -16.5 | 50.5 | W 31 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Purdue vs Southern Illinois | -19.5 | 52.0 | W 34 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Purdue vs USC | +20.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 33 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Purdue at Notre Dame | +26.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Purdue vs Illinois | +22.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Purdue at Minnesota | +20 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Purdue vs Northwestern | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Purdue vs Rutgers | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Purdue at Michigan | +29.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Purdue vs Ohio State | +31.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Purdue at Washington | +23.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Purdue vs Indiana | +22.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | #25 (.37) | 50% (30) | 45 | 51% (34) | 3.13 (55) | 165 | 49% (36) | 241 | 5.76 (5) | #35 (.03) | 38% (56) | 7.3 | 32% (21) | 42% (80) | 2.09 (16) | 52.3 | 0 | 2 |
| PUR | #78 (.17) | 49% (34) | 27.3 | 49% (43) | 2.69 (99) | 120 | 50% (32) | 272 | 3.58 (90) | #90 (.18) | 43% (95) | 16.7 | 44% (92) | 43% (88) | 3.31 (60) | 38.3 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | #31 (.25) | 45% (45) | 45% (51) | 3.14 (49) | 140 | 44% (44) | 198 | 4.23 (39) | #76 (.18) | 46% (115) | 50% (127) | 43% (90) | 3.48 (37) | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 | ||
| PUR | #112 (.11) | 41% (96) | 42% (90) | 3.04 (65) | 116 | 40% (93) | 184 | 3.34 (115) | #134 (.39) | 49% (129) | 49% (120) | 50% (129) | 4.82 (134) | 51.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Offense | 3 | 45 | 45 | 50.3% | 5.76 | 0 | 22 | 406 | 165 | 241 | 4.3 | 51% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 13% | .37 |
| PUR Defense | 3 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 43.2% | 3.31 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Defense | 3 | 7.3 | 19 | 37.6% | 2.09 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 58% | 32% | 42% | 18% | .03 |
| PUR Offense | 3 | 27.3 | 27.3 | 49.2% | 3.58 | 1.3 | 25 | 391 | 120 | 272 | 3.2 | 52% | 47% | 49% | 50% | 18% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | 3 | 33:29 | 22 | 47% | 100% | 5.7 | 52.3 | 0 | 2 | 6.3 | 3 | 1 | 37.3 |
| Purdue | 3 | 29:39 | 25 | 51% | 83% | 3.3 | 38.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 7 | 2.7 | 0 | 28.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Offense | 3 | 51% (66) | 51% (34) | 38.7 | 164.7 | 4.3 | 9 (17) | .18 (50) | 3.13 (55) | 69% (83) | 11% (103) | 0.91 (80) |
| PUR Defense | 3 | 53% (94) | 44% (92) | - | - | - | - | .11 (92) | 3.16 (109) | 69% (66) | 12% (42) | 0.79 (34) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Defense | 3 | 42% (19) | 32% (21) | - | - | - | - | -.24 (4) | 2.56 (49) | 43% (10) | 14% (22) | 0.43 (1) |
| PUR Offense | 3 | 52% (61) | 49% (43) | 37 | 119.7 | 3.2 | 5 (62) | .14 (68) | 2.69 (99) | 65% (95) | 13% (121) | 0.91 (83) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Offense | 3 | 49% (68) | 49% (36) | 19 | 26.3 | 241 | 9.2 | 12.7 | 8 (18) | 0 (1) | .57 (17) | 1.8 (22) | 31% (78) | 48% (7) | .82 (8) | 3% (16) | 2 (68) |
| PUR Defense | 3 | 47% (47) | 43% (88) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .26 (85) | 1.7 (96) | 32% (81) | 26% (45) | .22 (59) | 4% (106) | 2.2 (102) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Defense | 3 | 58% (121) | 42% (80) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .22 (73) | 1.6 (88) | 34% (59) | 33% (95) | .14 (40) | 4% (104) | 1.6 (34) |
| PUR Offense | 3 | 47% (77) | 50% (32) | 19.3 | 30.3 | 271.7 | 9 | 14.1 | 5 (54) | 4 (121) | .24 (77) | 1.6 (43) | 31% (66) | 41% (26) | .3 (78) | 5% (65) | 1.9 (82) |
Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Illinois's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Illinois's Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Illinois's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 23.63 Purdue: -1.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 17.7 Purdue: -3.2
Illinois: 23.63 Purdue: -1.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 17.7 Purdue: -3.2
Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -1.72 #92
Purdue's Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Purdue's Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Purdue's Power Rating: -1.72 #92
Purdue's Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Purdue's Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense on Road: 45
Defense: 7.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 19
Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense on Road: 45
Defense: 7.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 19
Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 37
Purdue 14
Total Points: 51
Illinois 37
Purdue 14
Total Points: 51
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7
Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7
Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/12 | Illinois | 50 | Purdue | 49 | Illinois | Illinois -22.5 | Purdue | 47.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Purdue | 44 | Illinois | 19 | Purdue | Purdue -1.0 | Purdue | 54.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Illinois | 24 | Purdue | 31 | Purdue | Illinois -6.0 | Purdue | 44.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 09/25 | Purdue | 13 | Illinois | 9 | Purdue | Purdue -10.5 | Illinois | 53.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Illinois | 24 | Purdue | 31 | Purdue | Purdue -7.0 | NA | 0 | |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Purdue | 6 | Illinois | 24 | Illinois | Purdue -9 | Illinois | 54.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Illinois | 7 | Purdue | 46 | Purdue | Purdue -10.5 | Purdue | 62.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Purdue | 29 | Illinois | 10 | Purdue | Purdue -14 | Purdue | 50.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Illinois | 31 | Purdue | 34 | Purdue | Illinois -9 | Purdue | 49.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/07 | Purdue | 14 | Illinois | 48 | Illinois | Illinois -1.5 | Illinois | 50.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Illinois | 27 | Purdue | 38 | Purdue | Illinois -10.5 | Purdue | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Purdue | 16 | Illinois | 20 | Illinois | Illinois -6.5 | Purdue | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/17 | Illinois | 17 | Purdue | 20 | Purdue | ||||
| 2011 | 10/22 | Purdue | 21 | Illinois | 14 | Purdue | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Illinois | 44 | Purdue | 10 | Illinois | ||||
| 2009 | 10/24 | Purdue | 24 | Illinois | 14 | Purdue | ||||
| 2006 | 11/11 | Illinois | 31 | Purdue | 42 | Purdue | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Purdue | 37 | Illinois | 3 | Purdue | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | Illinois | 30 | Purdue | 38 | Purdue | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | Purdue | 43 | Illinois | 10 | Purdue | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Illinois | 38 | Purdue | 31 | Illinois | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Purdue | 13 | Illinois | 38 | Illinois |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | 15 | 8 | 5 Overs |
| Illinois | 7 | 3 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 12 | 3 - 8 | 2 - 6 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 10 | 8 - 3 | 2 - 1 | 6 - 2 |
(#19) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.76 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Illinois has lost 2 straight
Illinois has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Illinois Notes
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?
Illinois Highlights
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread
Illinois in Undefeated
Illinois offense is efficent (#30)
Illinois offense is good in red zone (#5)
Illinois offense is good on 3rd downs
Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Illinois has a good run defense (#21)
Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#6)
Illinois Front 7 is disruptive (#22)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
Power Rating: 23.63 #19
Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.76 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Illinois has lost 2 straight
Illinois has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Illinois Notes
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?
Illinois Highlights
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread
Illinois in Undefeated
Illinois offense is efficent (#30)
Illinois offense is good in red zone (#5)
Illinois offense is good on 3rd downs
Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Illinois has a good run defense (#21)
Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#6)
Illinois Front 7 is disruptive (#22)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | PUR | ILL |
| OverallOver | #58 | #15 |
| OffenseOff | #48 | #14 |
| DefenseDef | #75 | #23 |
| Special TeamsST | #29 | #45 |
| PassingPass | #32 | #29 |
| RushingRush | #55 | #17 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #74 | #21 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #103 | #81 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #37 | #24 |
| TacklingTkl | #69 | #32 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #75 | #19 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #100 | #16 |
| Coverage DefCov | #59 | #59 |
(#92) Purdue Info
Power Rating: -1.72 #92
Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Purdue has lost 2 straight
Purdue has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Purdue Notes
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom
Purdue Highlights
Purdue is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Purdue offense is good on 3rd downs
Purdue commits very few Penalties (#13)
Purdue defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue Can Not Run the Ball (#107)
Purdue throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Purdue Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Purdue has a bad defensive line (#109)
Power Rating: -1.72 #92
Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Purdue has lost 2 straight
Purdue has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Purdue Notes
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom
Purdue Highlights
Purdue is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Purdue offense is good on 3rd downs
Purdue commits very few Penalties (#13)
Purdue defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue Can Not Run the Ball (#107)
Purdue throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Purdue Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Purdue has a bad defensive line (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Altmyer | 56 | 78 | 72% | 709 | 8 | 0 | 9.1 |
| Ethan Hampton (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 100% | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Feagin | 50 | 222 | 3 | 4.4 | 26 |
| Ca'Lil Valentine | 25 | 158 | 2 | 6.3 | 23 |
| Aidan Laughery | 15 | 106 | 2 | 7.1 | 57 |
| Hank Beatty | 1 | 25 | 1 | 25.0 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Beatty | 19 | 289 | 1 | 15.2 | 59 |
| Justin Bowick (Tr) | 8 | 86 | 3 | 10.8 | 21 |
| Hudson Clement (Tr) | 5 | 75 | 0 | 15.0 | 27 |
| Malik Elzy | 5 | 71 | 0 | 14.2 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Hood | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Scott | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Bailey | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Leon Lowery | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Jacas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Tanner Heckel | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Leon Lowery | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Barna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Xavier Scott | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Torrie Cox Jr. | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Browne (Tr) | 56 | 88 | 64% | 786 | 5 | 4 | 8.9 |
| Malachi Singleton (Tr) | 2 | 3 | 67% | 29 | 0 | 0 | 9.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Mockobee | 58 | 230 | 3 | 4.0 | 17 |
| Ryan Browne (Tr) | 25 | 59 | 2 | 2.4 | 26 |
| Antonio Harris | 9 | 36 | 0 | 4.0 | 17 |
| Malachi Thomas (Tr) | 10 | 21 | 0 | 2.1 | 7 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arhmad Branch | 7 | 167 | 2 | 23.9 | 49 |
| Michael Jackson III (Tr) | 14 | 149 | 1 | 10.6 | 31 |
| Nitro Tuggle (Tr) | 8 | 130 | 2 | 16.3 | 33 |
| E.J. Horton (Tr) | 10 | 125 | 0 | 12.5 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Correa (Tr) | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Myles Slusher | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mani Powell (Tr) | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tahj Ra-El (Tr) | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Correa (Tr) | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| C.J. Nunnally | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Jamarrion Harkless | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mani Powell (Tr) | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudauri Hines | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Charles Correa (Tr) | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Mani Powell (Tr) | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |