Northwestern at Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Northwestern logo   Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini  Illinois logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Illinois -7 (44.5) (-270)  Open: -7.0
Illinois 20 - Northwestern: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (15 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
NW is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -14  (SP+ ILL -7)

Projected Score: NW: 16 - ILL: 30 (45)
ILL Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NW Travel: 139 miles
Fighting Illini (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-6.045.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-12.543.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+20.546.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-3.047.5W 19 - 0UY
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+7.544.5L 21 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/7 Northwestern at USC+14.554.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+10.041.5L 22 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota-4.041.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+7.044.5L 13 - 20UY
Fri 12/26 Northwestern vs Central Michigan-13.543.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+7.051.5L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+6.562.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-7.555.5W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+15.551.5L 16 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington+3.554.5L 25 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.563.5W 35 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-15.551.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-8.542.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-7.044.5W 20 - 13UN
Tue 12/30 Illinois vs Tennessee+3.062.5W 30 - 28UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)23.439% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)19.844% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)29.445% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)23.650% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1223.415.237.1%3.021.516285991863.445%54%39%36%19%.02
ILL Defense1323.614.446.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1219.82645%3.741.3 - - - - - 47%53%44%46%15%.15
ILL Offense1329.431.344.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1229:491633%50%4.838.81.51.34.81.9328
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1245% (106)39% (113)29.398.63.412 (114).07 (102)2.63 (124)66% (112)11% (98)1.1 (20)
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1247% (26)44% (80) - - - - .07 (42)2.99 (63)69% (47)8% (107)0.86 (15)
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1254% (31)36% (116)17.632.7186.15.710.67 (130)11 (72).02 (132)1.3 (134)35% (119)31% (79).2 (109)8% (121)1.8 (119)
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1253% (110)46% (117) - - - - - - 10 (66).25 (77)1.4 (13)27% (128)35% (116).28 (55)7% (33)1.8 (24)
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 2.03  #56
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 12.77  #70
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 10.74  #50
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.8  #51
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 2.03   Illinois: 17.76

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 5.8   Illinois: 12.9




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 17.76  #15
Illinois's Offense Rating: 26.51  #8
Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.89  #37
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 30
Northwestern 16


Projected Total Points: 45
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Illinois20Northwestern13Illinois -7Push44.5Under
202411/30Northwestern28Illinois38Illinois -8.5Illinois42.5Over
202311/25Illinois43Northwestern45Illinois -5Northwestern46.5Over
202211/26Northwestern3Illinois41Illinois -15.0Illinois38.0Over
202111/27Illinois47Northwestern14Illinois -7Illinois45.0Over
202012/12Northwestern28Illinois10Northwestern -13Northwestern41.0Under
201911/30Illinois10Northwestern29Illinois -6.5Northwestern38.0Over
201811/24Northwestern24Illinois16Northwestern -14.5Illinois56.0Under
201711/25Illinois7Northwestern42Northwestern -16.5Northwestern46.0Over
201611/26Northwestern42Illinois21Northwestern -15Northwestern48.5Over
201511/28Illinois14Northwestern24Northwestern -3.5Northwestern42.0Under
201411/29Northwestern33Illinois47Northwestern -9Illinois0
201311/30Illinois34Northwestern37Northwestern -4Illinois0
201211/24Northwestern50Illinois14
201110/01Illinois38Northwestern35
201011/20Northwestern27Illinois48
200911/14Illinois16Northwestern21
200811/22Northwestern27Illinois10
200711/17Illinois41Northwestern22
200611/18Northwestern27Illinois16
200511/19Illinois21Northwestern38
200411/20Northwestern28Illinois21
200311/22Illinois20Northwestern37
200111/22Illinois34Northwestern28
200011/17Northwestern61Illinois23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois967 Overs
Northwestern1664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams12 - 138 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#56) NW at (#15) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #56 #15
SP+SP+ #51 #24
Perf GradeGrade #44 #24
OffenseOff #31 #12
DefenseDef #73 #69
Spec TeamsST #97 #91
TalentTal #41 #37
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #39
Northwestern Notes
(11/22) Braun gets NW back to bowl. Great job & rebound
(11/16) Lost 3 straight but competitive in most. Improving
(10/19) Have now won 4 straight, 3 in B1G play. Improving
(10/19) Def shut out Purdue, Run Off great, Run Def good
(10/19) QB Stone has been JAG- though, must game control
(9/14) Good fight w/ Ducks but Off has zero expl
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
Northwestern Injury Report
Illinois Notes
(11/22) Finishes 2-3 on road after awful L @ Wisconsin
(10/10) 1st in P4 at +42 Pts off TOs w/ a TO margin +7
(9/20) Destroyed by IU, outrushed 267 to 2! Off awful
(8/15) OL banged up in fall camp, not major
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
Illinois Injury Report
Northwestern on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #31 #69
SuccessSuc #123 #115
ExplosiveExp #101 #8
PPAPPA #129 #76
PowerPwr #70 #37
SP+SP+ #90 #41
Pts POPPO #127 #37
HavocHav #118 #117
Northwestern Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
Run GameRun #53 #51
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #127
Run ExplRExp #20 #5
PPAExp #102 #108
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLY #124 #132
Stuff RateStuff #129 #134
TackleTak -  #33
Northwestern Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #67 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #116 #90
Pass ExplPExl #134 #17
PPAExp #132 #44
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #47
F7 HavocF7 #98 #120
DB HavocDB #121 #84
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #73
SuccessSuc #45 #106
ExplosiveExp #44 #16
PPAPPA #31 #57
PowerPwr #8 #50
SP+SP+ #27 #30
Pts POPPO #39 #64
HavocHav #103 #77
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
Run GameRun #54 #94
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #80
Run ExplRExp #95 #15
PPAExp #67 #42
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #63
Stuff RateStuff #20 #40
TackleTak -  #100
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #35 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #44 #117
Pass ExplPExl #15 #13
PPAExp #16 #77
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #39
F7 HavocF7 #107 #107
DB HavocDB #82 #33
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Illinois -7.0 (44.5)
Illinois won vs Northwestern this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Northwestern last year (20-13)
Illinois beat Northwestern in 2024 (38-28)
Northwestern beat Illinois in 2023 (45-43)

  
NW's OC Zach Lujan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)22237060%240017126.5
Ryan Boe2729%17012.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe190941115.056
Joseph Himon II9948614.937
Dashun Reeder22222110.179
Robby Preckel4214903.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)71880812.449
Hayden Eligon Ii37521314.138
Hunter Welcing28296210.636
Ricky Ahumaraeze10200020.035

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Tim McGarigle (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald1066014
Mac Uihlein894000
Braydon Brus815344
Braden Turner522012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard2610850
Michael Kilbane428481
Anto Saka134320
Braydon Brus815344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell291009
Fred Davis II (Tr)221006
Ore Adeyi201005

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer24636567%30072258.2
Ethan Hampton (Tr)3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ca'Lil Valentine13161444.725
Kaden Feagin12250774.226
Aidan Laughery7538235.157
Luke Altmyer10024252.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty70864312.362
Collin Dixon35548515.761
Hudson Clement (Tr)36454312.627
Justin Bowick (Tr)22265512.025

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey764012
Miles Scott644104
Dylan Rosiek534013
Torrie Cox Jr.501003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas44141161
Leon Lowery203240
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)165231
Joe Barna202212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Clarke301007
Miles Scott644104
James Kreutz304003