Maryland at Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Maryland logo   Maryland Terrapins at Illinois Fighting Illini  Illinois logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Illinois -15.5 (51.5) (-900)  Open: -14.5
Illinois 24 - Maryland: 6  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (18 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
MD 2nd straight Road Game
ILL coming off BYE
Our Line: Illinois -17.5  (SP+ ILL -12)

Projected Score: MD: 16 - ILL: 33 (49)
ILL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MD Travel: 606 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Maryland vs Florida Atlantic-16.557.5W 39 - 7UY
Fri 9/5 Maryland vs Northern Illinois-17.044.5W 20 - 9UN
Sat 9/13 Maryland vs Towson-28.553.5W 44 - 17ON
Sat 9/20 Maryland at Wisconsin+10.544.5W 27 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Maryland vs Washington+5.552.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Maryland vs Nebraska+7.047.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/18 Maryland at UCLA+3.552.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Maryland vs Indiana+21.050.5L 10 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Maryland at Rutgers+1.556.5L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/15 Maryland at Illinois+15.551.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Maryland vs Michigan+14.046.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 11/29 Maryland vs Michigan State+4.049.5L 28 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+7.051.5L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+6.562.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-7.555.5W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+15.551.5L 16 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington+3.554.5L 25 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.563.5W 35 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-15.551.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-8.542.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-7.044.5W 20 - 13UN
Tue 12/30 Illinois vs Tennessee+3.062.5W 30 - 28UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)23.541% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)26.542% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)29.445% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)23.650% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1223.517.540.9%3.621.7223861112763.640%60%41%41%17%.13
ILL Defense1323.614.446.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1226.522.343.3%4.341.4 - - - - - 50%50%42%44%14%.19
ILL Offense1329.431.344.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1230:0521.540%45%6.458.61.71.45.71.2027.8
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1240% (125)41% (97)30.8110.63.615 (96).03 (113)2.89 (94)69% (100)9% (45)0.95 (78)
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1250% (60)42% (65) - - - - .05 (28)2.73 (27)75% (75)10% (71)0.89 (27)
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1260% (10)41% (74)26.341.1275.76.710.521 (51)14 (115).19 (97)1.4 (124)32% (77)32% (64).24 (101)8% (120)1.8 (123)
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1250% (78)44% (107) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (109)1.5 (44)30% (97)32% (91).3 (67)4% (122)1.8 (25)
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 0.15  #69
Maryland's Offense Rating: 12.66  #71
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.51  #59
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17%  #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #75
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 0.15   Illinois: 17.76

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 0.6   Illinois: 12.9




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 17.76  #15
Illinois's Offense Rating: 26.51  #8
Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.89  #37
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.3

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 33
Maryland 16


Projected Total Points: 49
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Illinois24Maryland6Illinois -15.5Illinois51.5Under
202310/14Maryland24Illinois27Maryland -13.5Illinois52.0Under
202109/17Illinois17Maryland20Maryland -7Illinois61.5Under
201810/27Maryland63Illinois33Maryland -16.5Maryland56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois231 Overs
Maryland213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 23 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#69) MD at (#15) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMDILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #69 #15
SP+SP+ #75 #24
Perf GradeGrade #104 #24
OffenseOff #106 #12
DefenseDef #73 #69
Spec TeamsST #104 #91
TalentTal #51 #37
Blue ChipsBC% #29 #39
Maryland Notes
(11/29) 8 straight L's to finish, but Locksley is back next year?
(11/22) 7 straight L's, 4th straight no show. Team quit
(11/9) Only 3 2H points in bad L to Rutgers. Bowl doubts
(11/5) 1-11 run after wk 4 past 2 years, last 3/4 by 1 score
(11/2) Locksley now 17-45 in B1G games, 20-0 OOC
(10/12) Blew Neb game. Is it same ole MD time now it's Oct?
(10/6) Locksley is now 0-10 following a bye week
(9/24) Fr DEs Stewart & Mathis have been huge finds
(9/20) Huge W at Wisc, Fr QB Washington the real deal
(9/5) Run game awful. QB Wash & WR entire Off
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
Maryland Injury Report
Illinois Notes
(11/22) Finishes 2-3 on road after awful L @ Wisconsin
(10/10) 1st in P4 at +42 Pts off TOs w/ a TO margin +7
(9/20) Destroyed by IU, outrushed 267 to 2! Off awful
(8/15) OL banged up in fall camp, not major
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
Illinois Injury Report
Maryland on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #106 #69
SuccessSuc #92 #115
ExplosiveExp #89 #8
PPAPPA #106 #76
PowerPwr #71 #37
SP+SP+ #90 #41
Pts POPPO #95 #37
HavocHav #88 #117
Maryland Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffILL Def
Run GameRun #86 #51
Run SuccessRSuc #97 #127
Run ExplRExp #78 #5
PPAExp #113 #108
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLY #94 #132
Stuff RateStuff #73 #134
TackleTak -  #33
Maryland Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #56 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #90
Pass ExplPExl #124 #17
PPAExp #97 #44
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #28 #47
F7 HavocF7 #45 #120
DB HavocDB #120 #84
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffMD Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #73
SuccessSuc #45 #86
ExplosiveExp #44 #39
PPAPPA #31 #84
PowerPwr #8 #59
SP+SP+ #27 #55
Pts POPPO #39 #116
HavocHav #103 #103
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffMD Def
Run GameRun #54 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #65
Run ExplRExp #95 #27
PPAExp #67 #28
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #27
Stuff RateStuff #20 #42
TackleTak -  #83
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffMD Def
Pass GamePass #35 #70
Pass SuccessPSuc #44 #107
Pass ExplPExl #15 #44
PPAExp #16 #109
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #43
F7 HavocF7 #107 #71
DB HavocDB #82 #122
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Illinois -15.5 (51.5)
Illinois won vs Maryland this year (24-6)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Maryland last year (24-6)
Illinois beat Maryland in 2023 (27-24)

  
MD's OC Pep Hamilton (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington27347358%29631796.3
Khristian Martin111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams12850133.940
Malik Washington5531745.873
Nolan Ray6728924.353
Iverson Howard3912503.210
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shaleak Knotts44717616.362
Jalil Farooq (Tr)5854549.429
Octavian Smith Jr.43529012.353
DeJuan Williams4542619.555

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate1027221
Jalen Huskey722002
Carlton Smith642140
Lavain Scruggs641013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart3211772
Zahir Mathis359631
Nahsir Taylor193220
Trey Reddick536202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)401008
Jamare Glasker (Tr)326006
Messiah Delhomme391003

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer24636567%30072258.2
Ethan Hampton (Tr)3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ca'Lil Valentine13161444.725
Kaden Feagin12250774.226
Aidan Laughery7538235.157
Luke Altmyer10024252.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty70864312.362
Collin Dixon35548515.761
Hudson Clement (Tr)36454312.627
Justin Bowick (Tr)22265512.025

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey764012
Miles Scott644104
Dylan Rosiek534013
Torrie Cox Jr.501003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas44141161
Leon Lowery203240
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)165231
Joe Barna202212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Clarke301007
Miles Scott644104
James Kreutz304003