Maryland at Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Illinois Fighting Illini(#9)Illinois logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Memorial Stadium - Champaign, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 34 - 11 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MD 2nd straight Road Game
ILL coming off BYE
Our Line: Illinois -12.5   (SP+ ILL -9)

Projected Score: MD: 17 - ILL: 30 (47)
ILL Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
MD Travel: 606 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 45 - 7 (45 - 2 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Maryland vs Florida Atlantic-16.557.5W 39 - 7UY
Fri 9/5 Maryland vs Northern Illinois-17.044.5W 20 - 9UN
Sat 9/13 Maryland vs Towson-28.553.5W 44 - 17ON
Sat 9/20 Maryland at Wisconsin+9.543.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Maryland vs Washington+3.5
Sat 10/11 Maryland vs Nebraska+4.5
Sat 10/18 Maryland at UCLA-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Maryland vs Indiana+7.5
Sat 11/8 Maryland at Rutgers+1.5
Sat 11/15 Maryland at Illinois+12.5
Sat 11/22 Maryland vs Michigan+9.5
Sat 11/29 Maryland vs Michigan State+0.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+4.052.5
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+2.5
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-22.5
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington-1.5
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-12.5
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-9
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-23.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#60 (.22)46% (52)34.344% (67)2.96 (72)11747% (43)2663.48 (97)#9 (-.1)26% (5)1128% (10)25% (6)1.18 (4)68.30.72.7
ILL#25 (.37)50% (30)4551% (34)3.13 (55)16549% (36)2415.76 (5)#35 (.03)38% (56)7.332% (21)42% (80)2.09 (16)52.302
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense334.334.346.1%3.480.7213831172663.541%59%44%47%12%.22
ILL Defense37.31.537.6%2.092 - - - - - 42%58%32%42%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense3111126.4%1.182.7 - - - - - 49%51%28%25%18%-.1
ILL Offense3454550.3%5.760224061652414.351%49%51%49%13%.37

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland330:412130%50%8.368.30.72.773.3234.3
Illinois333:292247%100%5.752.3026.33137.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense341% (123)44% (67)33.3116.73.53 (95) (105)2.96 (72)71% (67)7% (32)0.79 (112)
ILL Defense342% (19)32% (21) - - - - -.24 (4)2.56 (49)43% (10)14% (22)0.43 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense349% (63)28% (10) - - - - -.03 (40)2.41 (35)86% (112)10% (67)1.24 (117)
ILL Offense351% (66)51% (34)38.7164.74.39 (17).18 (50)3.13 (55)69% (83)11% (103)0.91 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense359% (12)47% (43)22.737.32667.111.76 (34)1 (23).38 (52)1.6 (50)31% (67)43% (22).71 (17)6% (81)2.2 (33)
ILL Defense358% (121)42% (80) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (73)1.6 (88)34% (59)33% (95).14 (40)4% (104)1.6 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense351% (76)25% (6) - - - - - - 7 (1)-.16 (9)1.7 (98)38% (19)22% (33).27 (68)7% (34)2.4 (120)
ILL Offense349% (68)49% (36)1926.32419.212.78 (18)0 (1).57 (17)1.8 (22)31% (78)48% (7).82 (8)3% (16)2 (68)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Maryland's Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Maryland's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 12.59   Illinois: 23.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 8.9   Illinois: 17.7




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 23.165 #19
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Illinois's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense on Road: 11

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 30
Maryland 17


Total Points: 47

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 7.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 1.5

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Maryland24Illinois27IllinoisMaryland -13.5Illinois52.0Under
202109/17Illinois17Maryland20MarylandMaryland -7Illinois61.5Under
201810/27Maryland63Illinois33MarylandMaryland -16.5Maryland56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois121 Overs
Maryland212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#44) Maryland Info
Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23
Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 26%
Great in Scoring Position 1.18 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Maryland has lost 6 straight
Maryland has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Maryland Notes
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
(7/30) Lost 9 starters to portal, 5 to NFL draft.
(5/11) OL is bottom 20 in exp & no exp from portal
(4/8) Fr QB Washington doing media, unusual for MD
(4/2) New OC Hamilton out of coaching last 2 yrs
(3/22) QB J. Martin (UCLA) or FR Washington
(3/19) RBs - Hemby left (IU). Ray looks solid
(3/19) WR rebuild, 2 portal adds. Talent is there
(3/19) OL 2/5 back. Poor unit LY. Anyone's guess

Maryland Highlights
Maryland in Undefeated

Maryland Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Maryland has a really good defense (#5)
Maryland defense is really good in red zone (#4)
Maryland has a good run defense (#10)
Maryland has a good pass defense (#6)
Maryland has a great TO Margin (#28)
Maryland defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#1)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Maryland offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Maryland gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#115)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatILLMD
OverallOver#15#10
OffenseOff#14#47
DefenseDef#23#4
Special TeamsST#45#64
PassingPass#29#35
RushingRush#17#73
Run BlockRBLK#21#62
Pass BlockPBLK#81#4
Route RunningWR Rt#24#61
TacklingTkl#32#17
Run DefenseR Def#19#6
Pass Rush DefPRush#16#24
Coverage DefCov#59#3

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Maryland in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MD | ILL
Depth Chart: MD | ILL
Rosters: MD | ILL
(#19) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 23.165 #19
Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.76 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Illinois has lost 6 straight
Illinois has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Illinois Notes
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?

Illinois Highlights
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread
Illinois in Undefeated
Illinois is Undefeated at Home
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Illinois offense is efficent (#30)
Illinois offense is good in red zone (#5)
Illinois offense is good on 3rd downs
Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Illinois has a good run defense (#21)
Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#6)
Illinois Front 7 is disruptive (#22)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)

Illinois Deficiencies


  
Maryland's OC Pep Hamilton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington6210062%773617.7
Khristian Martin61250%25002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams3212113.817
Nolan Ray289813.511
Iverson Howard259103.610
Malik Washington52815.617
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shaleak Knotts11196317.842
Octavian Smith Jr.10154015.453
Jalil Farooq (Tr)14151010.824
Dorian Fleming (Tr)10106210.648

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Ted Monachino
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate282000
Trey Reddick192100
Carlton Smith151120
Jalen Huskey121001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart106320
Zahir Mathis83310
Jayden Shipps41100
Trey Reddick192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)50003
Lavain Scruggs70002
Messiah Delhomme120002

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer567872%709809.1
Ethan Hampton (Tr)11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaden Feagin5022234.426
Ca'Lil Valentine2515826.323
Aidan Laughery1510627.157
Hank Beatty125125.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty19289115.259
Justin Bowick (Tr)886310.821
Hudson Clement (Tr)575015.027
Malik Elzy571014.225

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Hood140000
Miles Scott141000
Matthew Bailey130010
Leon Lowery92100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas84421
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)51120
Tanner Heckel41101
Leon Lowery92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Barna30002
Xavier Scott62002
Torrie Cox Jr.80001