Western Illinois at Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview

Western Illinois Leathernecks at Illinois Fighting Illini(#12)

Friday, August 29th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Illinois -48.5 (62.5) (0) Open: -45.5 | 63.5
Illinois 52 - Western Illinois: 3

Leathernecks (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 5 - 47 (5 - 47 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Illinois -23 (SP+ ILL -18)
ILL Win prob: 100% | Cover: 40%

Fighting Illini (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 45 - 7 (45 - 2 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
WIU Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Illinois's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Western Illinois at Illinois	+48.5	62.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Fri 9/5	Western Illinois at Northwestern	+30.5	48.5	L 7 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Illinois's Schedule

Illinois's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Illinois vs Western Illinois	-48.5	62.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Illinois at Duke	-2.5	49.0	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Illinois vs Western Michigan	-27.5	50.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Illinois at Indiana	+4.5	52.5
Sat 9/27	Illinois vs USC	+2.5
Sat 10/4	Illinois at Purdue	-22.5
Sat 10/11	Illinois vs Ohio State	+6.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Illinois at Washington	-1.5
Sat 11/1	Illinois vs Rutgers	-13.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Illinois vs Maryland	-12.5
Sat 11/22	Illinois at Wisconsin	-9
Sat 11/29	Illinois vs Northwestern	-23.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIU		0%	5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	47	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL	#25 (.37)	50% (30)	45	51% (34)	3.13 (55)	165	49% (36)	241	5.76 (5)	#35 (.03)	38% (56)	7.3	32% (21)	42% (80)	2.09 (16)	52.3	0	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIU Offense	2	5	5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ILL Defense	3	7.3	1.5	37.6%	2.09	2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	32%	42%	18%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIU Defense	2	47	47	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ILL Offense	3	45	45	50.3%	5.76	0	22	406	165	241	4.3	51%	49%	51%	49%	13%	.37

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Illinois	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Illinois	3	33:29	22	47%	100%	5.7	52.3	0	2	6.3	3	1	37.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ILL Defense	3	42% (19)	32% (21)	-	-	-	-	-.24 (4)	2.56 (49)	43% (10)	14% (22)	0.43 (1)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ILL Offense	3	51% (66)	51% (34)	38.7	164.7	4.3	9 (17)	.18 (50)	3.13 (55)	69% (83)	11% (103)	0.91 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ILL Defense	3	58% (121)	42% (80)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (87)	.22 (73)	1.6 (88)	34% (59)	33% (95)	.14 (40)	4% (104)	1.6 (34)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ILL Offense	3	49% (68)	49% (36)	19	26.3	241	9.2	12.7	8 (18)	0 (1)	.57 (17)	1.8 (22)	31% (78)	48% (7)	.82 (8)	3% (16)	2 (68)

Western Illinois's Power Ratings
Western Illinois's Power Rating: #NR
Western Illinois's Offense Rating: #NR
Western Illinois's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Western Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: -
Western Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Western Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Western Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Illinois: Illinois: 23.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Illinois: Illinois: 17.7

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 23.165 #19
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Illinois's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Western Illinois Scoring
Offense: 5 PPG
Offense on Road: 5
Defense: 47 PPG
Defense on Road: 47

Western Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 40
Western Illinois 17

Total Points: 57

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 7.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 1.5

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/29	Illinois	52	Western Illinois	3	Illinois	Illinois -48.5	Illinois	62.5	Under
2018	09/08	Illinois	34	Western Illinois	14	Illinois
2015	09/12	Illinois	44	Western Illinois	0	Illinois	Illinois -25	Illinois	0
2007	09/08	Illinois	21	Western Illinois	0	Illinois

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	4	2	0 Overs
Western Illinois	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#NR) Western Illinois Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Illinois Highlights

Western Illinois Deficiencies
Western Illinois has a really bad Offense
Western Illinois Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	ILL	WIU
OverallOver	#15	—
OffenseOff	#14	—
DefenseDef	#23	—
Special TeamsST	#45	—
PassingPass	#29	—
RushingRush	#17	—
Run BlockRBLK	#21	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#81	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#24	—
TacklingTkl	#32	—
Run DefenseR Def	#19	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#16	—
Coverage DefCov	#59	—

Rematch from Week 1
Illinois -48.5 (62.5)
Illinois won vs Western Illinois this year (52-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WIU | ILL
Depth Chart: WIU | ILL
Rosters: WIU | ILL

(#19) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 23.165 #19
Offense Rating: 24.50 #19
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #20
Talent Rating: 864.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.76 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Illinois Notes
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/5) OC Lunney underrated, good play caller
(4/4) Beilema good HC, returns a ton. Big year?

Illinois Highlights
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread
Illinois in Undefeated
Illinois is Undefeated at Home
Illinois is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Illinois offense is efficent (#30)
Illinois offense is good in red zone (#5)
Illinois offense is good on 3rd downs
Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Illinois has a good run defense (#21)
Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#6)
Illinois Front 7 is disruptive (#22)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)

Illinois Deficiencies

Western Illinois's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chris Irvin	32	67	48%	408	3	2	6.1
Cason Carswell	6	8	75%	52	1	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Markell Holman	40	146	1	3.7	18
Brinston Williams	11	76	1	6.9	21
Tanner Zolnosky	6	50	0	8.3	24
Chris Irvin	22	28	1	1.3	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demari Davis	12	217	1	18.1	36
Christian Anaya	6	74	1	12.3	30
Brandon Lanier	6	73	1	12.2	18
Alex Williams	5	45	1	9.0	17

View Western Illinois's Full Roster

Western Illinois's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Malini Ti'a	16	0	0
Buju Aumua-Tuisavura	16	0	0
Christian Pierce	16	1	0
Esteban Guillory	15	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
David Dunston	3	1	1
Jalen Nicolas	1	1	1
Peyton Bradford	5	1	1
Payne Miller	5	2	1

Pass D	Tack	PD
Chikala Warden	5	1
Esteban Guillory	15	1
Jaylen Olokun	4	1

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Luke Altmyer	56	78	72%	709	8	0	9.1
Ethan Hampton (Tr)	1	1	100%	14	0	0	14.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaden Feagin	50	222	3	4.4	26
Ca'Lil Valentine	25	158	2	6.3	23
Aidan Laughery	15	106	2	7.1	57
Hank Beatty	1	25	1	25.0	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hank Beatty	19	289	1	15.2	59
Justin Bowick (Tr)	8	86	3	10.8	21
Hudson Clement (Tr)	5	75	0	15.0	27
Malik Elzy	5	71	0	14.2	25

View Illinois's Full Roster

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Malachi Hood	14	0	0	0
Miles Scott	14	1	0	0
Matthew Bailey	13	0	0	1
Leon Lowery	9	2	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Jacas	8	4	4	2	1
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)	5	1	1	2	0
Tanner Heckel	4	1	1	0	1
Leon Lowery	9	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Joe Barna	3	0	2
Xavier Scott	6	2	2
Torrie Cox Jr.	8	0	1