Missouri at Arkansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo (#23)Missouri Tigers at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field - Fayetteville, AR  (SEC)

 
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 52 - 16 (52 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -6   (SP+ MIZ -5.5)

Projected Score: MIZ: 36 - ARK: 30 (66)
MIZ Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
MIZ Travel: 222 miles
Razorbacks (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 48 - 21 (52 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-13.546.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-50.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+2.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+2.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M-3.5
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-12
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-6

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+9
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+4.5
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn+6
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+10
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+11
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+6

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#15 (.45)56% (11)51.760% (6)3.91 (6)30253% (24)2855.52 (12)#29 ()31% (15)15.732% (18)31% (26)3.86 (84)58.30.71
ARK#5 (.55)56% (12)47.758% (12)3.98 (3)24556% (13)3245.55 (11)#108 (.22)49% (122)20.757% (133)42% (82)3.93 (86)5411.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense351.751.756.5%5.520.7285873022856.252%48%60%53%10%.45
ARK Defense320.7748.7%3.931.3 - - - - - 46%54%57%42%19%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense315.715.731.2%3.861 - - - - - 44%55%32%31%26%
ARK Offense347.75256.5%5.551295692453246.947%52%58%56%11%.55

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri337:4928.362%86%658.30.717.32.3129.3
Arkansas329:572972%0%65411.36.72.3027.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense352% (62)60% (6)49302.36.211 (8).42 (8)3.91 (6)88% (19)7% (40)1.08 (46)
ARK Defense346% (40)57% (133) - - - - .16 (104)2.78 (69)76% (96)11% (51)0.71 (18)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense344% (31)32% (18) - - - - .07 (70)2.35 (34)38% (4)17% (4)1.21 (113)
ARK Offense347% (89)58% (12)35.3245.36.98 (26).51 (3)3.98 (3)100% (1)5% (10)1.24 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense348% (71)53% (24)24.331.3284.79.111.78 (18)1 (23).48 (28)1.5 (73)22% (12)47% (10).77 (13)3% (24)2.1 (57)
ARK Defense354% (99)42% (82) - - - - - - 2 (56).28 (91)1.6 (91)27% (123)37% (118).46 (109)8% (26)1.9 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense355% (104)31% (26) - - - - - - 2 (56).01 (23)1.6 (81)31% (86)21% (28).23 (60)8% (22)2.2 (108)
ARK Offense352% (49)56% (13)22.733.33249.714.312 (3)2 (60).63 (13)1.7 (30)28% (48)52% (2).84 (6)6% (96)2.2 (47)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 29.01 #13
Missouri's Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Missouri's Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32% #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 29.01   Arkansas: 18.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 19.5   Arkansas: 13.9




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 18.475 #34
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 28.44 #9
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 10.39 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9 #25
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #11
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 51.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 51.7
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.7

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 36
Arkansas 30


Total Points: 66

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Missouri28Arkansas21MissouriMissouri -3.5Missouri51.5Under
202311/24Arkansas14Missouri48MissouriMissouri -9.5Missouri53.5Over
202211/25Missouri29Arkansas27MissouriArkansas -3.0Missouri55.5Over
202111/26Arkansas34Missouri17ArkansasArkansas -14.5Arkansas63.0Under
202012/05Missouri50Arkansas48MissouriMissouri -2Push55.5Over
201911/29Arkansas14Missouri24MissouriMissouri -15Arkansas53.0Under
201811/23Missouri38Arkansas0MissouriMissouri -24Missouri59.0Under
201711/24Arkansas45Missouri48MissouriMissouri -9.5Arkansas68.5Over
201611/25Missouri28Arkansas24MissouriArkansas -7.5Missouri72.0Under
201511/27Arkansas28Missouri3ArkansasArkansas -14Arkansas44.0Under
201411/28Missouri21Arkansas14MissouriArkansas -1.5Missouri0
200701/01Arkansas7Missouri38Missouri
200312/31Arkansas27Missouri14Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas344 Overs
Missouri1066 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 49 - 14 - 05 - 1
Road Teams4 - 91 - 91 - 50 - 4

(#13) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 29.01 #13
Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18
Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32% #21
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.52 PPO
Great Run Success 60%
Good Pass Success 53%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 31%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Missouri has lost 8 straight
Missouri has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Missouri Notes
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?

Missouri Highlights
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread
Missouri in Undefeated

Missouri has Really Good Running Game (#3)
Missouri offense is efficent (#11)
Missouri has a top Offensive Line (#6)
Missouri offense is good in red zone (#12)
Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)

Missouri has a really good defense (#15)
Missouri has a good run defense (#18)
Missouri has a good pass defense (#26)
Missouri Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri Secondary is very good (#22)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)

Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#110)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARKMIZ
OverallOver#17#3
OffenseOff#15#3
DefenseDef#39#9
Special TeamsST#34#76
PassingPass#20#3
RushingRush#6#9
Run BlockRBLK#52#18
Pass BlockPBLK#14#7
Route RunningWR Rt#38#5
TacklingTkl#16#23
Run DefenseR Def#61#10
Pass Rush DefPRush#16#17
Coverage DefCov#36#22

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Arkansas last year (28-21)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-14)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2022 (29-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | ARK
Depth Chart: MIZ | ARK
Rosters: MIZ | ARK
(#34) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 18.475 #34
Offense Rating: 28.44 #9
Defense Rating: 10.39 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.55 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 57%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Arkansas has lost 9 straight
Arkansas has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Arkansas Notes
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
(5/23) Hogs getting picked clean by portal, NIL bad
(5/23) OL returns 3/5. 5 portals. Best left via portal
(5/18) WR J Anthony a track star, hasn't played much
(5/15) WR top 5 are portals, 7 total. Blake (Char) good
(5/12) WR core bolted due to T Green? DBs a big issue
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp, 63% returning, 37% portals
(3/18) QB Green back, electric but inconsistent LY
(3/18) RBs rebuild. Good Run game LY needs RB1
(3/18) Def lacked ballers, pressure, TO's

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas is Undefeated at Home

Arkansas has Really Good Running Game (#8)
Arkansas offense is efficent (#12)
Arkansas offense is explosive (#15)
Arkansas has a top Offensive Line (#3)
Arkansas offense is good in red zone (#11)
Arkansas offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

Arkansas Secondary is very good (#26)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas has a bad defense (#122)


  
Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)688976%791718.9
Matt Zollers55100%631012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)5746258.171
Jamal Roberts2922217.763
Marquise Davis2512324.917
Beau Pribula (Tr)257633.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)24258110.850
Marquis Johnson9173219.249
Brett Norfleet118737.927
Joshua Manning881010.117

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)155000
Jalen Catalon (Tr)100000
Jeremiah Beasley90000
Nicholas Rodriguez82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.63320
Zion Young73110
Darris Smith31130
Khalil Jacobs51110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dreyden Norwood61004
Caleb Flagg30002
Nicholas Deloach Jr.20001

Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green639269%8661129.4
KJ Jackson5771%1061015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylen Green3230729.664
Michael Washington3126038.453
Braylen Russell2510324.18
Rodney Hill73705.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)18266314.830
Jalen Brown (Tr)10114211.429
CJ Brown9111212.326
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)7107215.337

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.232120
Stephen Dix Jr.231000
Julian Neal (Tr)211004
Caleb Wooden (Tr)142000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.93330
Phillip Lee (Tr)123240
Miguel Mitchell111100
Shakur Smalls (Tr)51101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Neal (Tr)211004
Kani Walker (Tr)131004
Keshawn Davila00001