Missouri at Arkansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Missouri -4.5 (54.5) (-195)  Open: -2.0 | 57.5
Missouri 31 - Arkansas: 17  (SEC)

 
Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.2 MPH
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -6  (SP+ MIZ -11)

Projected Score: MIZ: 30 - ARK: 24 (53)
MIZ Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
MIZ Travel: 222 miles
Razorbacks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bobby Petrino (Int) (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt+3.052.5L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+7.048.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-7.550.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+4.542.5L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Missouri vs Virginia-4.043.5L 7 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.059.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+5.564.5L 13 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10.068.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+7.557.5L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.555.5L 24 - 33ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-5.566.5L 35 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+4.058.5L 22 - 23UY
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+10.557.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+4.554.5L 17 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#51 (.2)45% (43)30.248% (23)3.12 (37)21642% (65)1813.85 (56)#11 (.04)35% (7)18.935% (8)35% (13)3.24 (33)48.11.20.8
ARK#14 (.31)49% (12)32.954% (1)3.43 (6)19245% (37)2634.2 (31)#127 (.27)47% (127)33.850% (132)46% (118)4.21 (119)671.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1330.217.544.8%3.851.2223972161815.455%43%48%42%13%.2
ARK Defense1233.83547.3%4.210.8 - - - - - 54%44%50%46%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1318.91734.5%3.240.8 - - - - - 47%51%35%35%20%.04
ARK Offense1232.930.548.7%4.21.7234551922635.748%51%54%45%17%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1330:1122.146%68%5.148.11.20.86.62.8428.1
Arkansas1229:0123.347%53%7.8671.70.85.41.8227.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1355% (32)48% (23)40.3216.25.430 (4).23 (16)3.12 (37)89% (1)9% (49)1.08 (26)
ARK Defense1254% (118)50% (132) - - - - .21 (125)3.05 (100)71% (66)9% (89)0.95 (61)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1347% (38)35% (8) - - - - .01 (19)2.64 (23)68% (49)13% (9)0.95 (64)
ARK Offense1248% (80)54% (1)33.6192.25.725 (30).3 (5)3.43 (6)65% (109)10% (77)1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1343% (106)42% (65)16.726180.6710.815 (50)10 (108).18 (106)1.4 (115)29% (34)31% (60).28 (76)4% (16)2.1 (28)
ARK Defense1244% (15)46% (118) - - - - - - 6 (75).44 (132)1.7 (122)31% (84)36% (131).44 (127)6% (54)2.1 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1351% (98)35% (13) - - - - - - 7 (75).1 (16)1.6 (83)35% (20)28% (39).27 (61)7% (14)2.1 (82)
ARK Offense1251% (54)45% (37)19.331.8262.98.313.722 (8)11 (60).37 (30)1.7 (21)31% (59)40% (4).58 (5)7% (114)2.3 (4)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 16.38  #29
Missouri's Offense Rating: 11.48  #56
Missouri's Defense Rating: -4.90  #15
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32%  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1  #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #32
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 16.38   Arkansas: 10.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 16.1   Arkansas: 4.9




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 10.08  #41
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 22.68  #13
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 12.42  #98
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #52
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 30
Arkansas 24


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 25
Missouri 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 29
Arkansas 25

Total Points: 54
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Arkansas17Missouri31Missouri -4.5Missouri54.5Under
202411/30Missouri28Arkansas21Missouri -3.5Missouri51.5Under
202311/24Arkansas14Missouri48Missouri -9.5Missouri53.5Over
202211/25Missouri29Arkansas27Arkansas -3.0Missouri55.5Over
202111/26Arkansas34Missouri17Arkansas -14.5Arkansas63.0Under
202012/05Missouri50Arkansas48Missouri -2Push55.5Over
201911/29Arkansas14Missouri24Missouri -15Arkansas53.0Under
201811/23Missouri38Arkansas0Missouri -24Missouri59.0Under
201711/24Arkansas45Missouri48Missouri -9.5Arkansas68.5Over
201611/25Missouri28Arkansas24Arkansas -7.5Missouri72.0Under
201511/27Arkansas28Missouri3Arkansas -14Arkansas44.0Under
201411/28Missouri21Arkansas14Arkansas -1.5Missouri0
200701/01Arkansas7Missouri38
200312/31Arkansas27Missouri14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas344 Overs
Missouri1177 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 59 - 24 - 05 - 2
Road Teams5 - 92 - 92 - 50 - 4

(#29) MIZ at (#41) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIZARK
Power RatePwr #29 #41
SP+SP+ #19 #52
Perf GradeGrade #10 #79
OffenseOff #11 #45
DefenseDef #9 #116
Spec TeamsST #12 #99
TalentTal #38 #48
Blue ChipsBC% #21 #33
Missouri Notes
(12/28) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (30-67)
(12/21) Hired Chip Lindsey at OC (Mich). Awful hire
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
Missouri Injury Report
Arkansas Notes
(11/30) Hired Ryan Silverfield (Memphis). Meh hire IMO
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off great
(10/18) Off great vs A&M, Def torched as usual. 9 flags hurt
(9/30) Def has no players, schematics almost don't matter
(9/30) Pittman fired, Petrino Interim, Def staff fired
(9/27) Damn break vs ND, Def mauled, Off awful. Green bad
(9/23) Have fumbled away 2 straight games, brutal
(9/23) QB Taylen Green leads CFB in total offense (Wk 5)
(9/19) Off hot start, QB Green great, WR Blake weapon
(9/19) Pass Def torched by Ole Miss, Run D held up
(8/17) OC & DC are fighting, nearly physically?
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
Arkansas Injury Report
Missouri on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffARK Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #116
SuccessSuc #43 #127
ExplosiveExp #85 #77
PPAPPA #51 #127
PowerPwr #56 #98
SP+SP+ #32 #99
Pts POPPO #56 #119
HavocHav #25 #73
Missouri Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffARK Def
Run GameRun #6 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #132
Run ExplRExp #26 #61
PPAExp #16 #125
Run BlockR Blk #14 -
OL YdsOLY #37 #100
Stuff RateStuff #44 #63
TackleTak -  #22
Missouri Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #73 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #65 #118
Pass ExplPExl #115 #122
PPAExp #106 #132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #12 #77
F7 HavocF7 #49 #89
DB HavocDB #16 #54
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatARK OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #45 #9
SuccessSuc #12 #7
ExplosiveExp #15 #73
PPAPPA #14 #11
PowerPwr #13 #15
SP+SP+ #16 #13
Pts POPPO #31 #33
HavocHav #101 #9
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #2 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #8
Run ExplRExp #25 #64
PPAExp #5 #19
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLY #6 #23
Stuff RateStuff #94 #38
TackleTak -  #11
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatARK OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #63 #28
Pass SuccessPSuc #37 #13
Pass ExplPExl #21 #83
PPAExp #30 #16
Pass Block/RushP Blk #72 #4
F7 HavocF7 #77 #9
DB HavocDB #114 #14
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 48° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Missouri 4.5 (54.5)
Missouri won at Arkansas this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Arkansas last year (28-21)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-14)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2022 (29-27)

  
MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)18227067%19461197.2
Matt Zollers478853%503425.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2561649166.472
Jamal Roberts12475366.163
Beau Pribula (Tr)9529763.149
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)66732111.150
Donovan Olugbode30401213.434
Marquis Johnson28345212.349
Joshua Manning29318211.034

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)8413271
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Santana Banner (Tr)591003
Marvin Burks Jr.492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Zion Young42167142
Chris McClellan488662
Darris Smith1565112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Dreyden Norwood242005
Daylan Carnell417014

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green19832661%271419118.3
KJ Jackson335461%441308.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington168106886.457
Taylen Green13877985.664
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)65409.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)57760513.336
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)41592314.458
Rohan Jones (Tr)19519427.362
CJ Brown28319311.426

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Chris Wilson (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Stephen Dix Jr.794100
Larry Worth641001
Caleb Wooden (Tr)593013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.4316860
Phillip Lee (Tr)316440
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Bradley Shaw505211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)5231011
Julian Neal (Tr)5520010
Jordan Young (Tr)280016